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 Country Heights Grower Scheme (CHGS), anyone heard before?

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suewong85
post Aug 6 2013, 12:04 PM

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http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...ry-heights.aspx

Country Heights Grower Scheme investors receives RM208m

Published: Tuesday August 6, 2013 MYT 10:23:00 AM
Updated: Tuesday August 6, 2013 MYT 10:38:58 AM
Country Heights Grower Scheme investors receives RM208m

BY CHOONG EN HAN

KUALA LUMPUR: The management company of Country Heights Grower Scheme (CHGS), Plentiful Gold-Class Bhd has handed over RM208mil to the trustees of the now defunct scheme.

The monies comprise of three payments including 90% capital refund of RM182.9mil, RM25mil goodwill payment from scheme founder Tan Sri Lee Kim Yew and 10% refund payment amounting to RM200,750 unclaimed money by some growers.

“This puts growers at the receiving end of a total payout of RM319mil as opposed to RM189.5mil raised by the scheme,” said Lee at a press conference on Tuesday.

The company said this is in compliance with the voluntary termination as approved by 98.89% of the participants of the scheme.

The trustees are now tasked to refund the monies to some 10,000 growers in the scheme.

CHGS was Malaysia's first oil palm farm-sharing scheme that provided the opportunity to the subscribers to participate in the palm oil industry in Malaysia.

Plentiful Gold-Class in the last five years had paid a total return of 48%, consisting of a rate of return of 8% per annum for the first three years and 12% over the subsequent two years.

It paid a total net yield of RM78.5mil for the period between 2007 and 2011.

With the additional RM25mil goodwill payment together with the full refund of the grower's fee pursuant to the termination of the scheme, the growers are set to collectively receive a total of RM319mil.

This is compared to the total funds raised at RM215.5mil when the scheme was first launched in 2007.

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suewong85
post Sep 10 2013, 04:12 PM

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Dear all,

Now that you all are starting to receive your checks, I would like to introduce Golden Agro Growers Scheme to you all.

The Golden Agro Growers Scheme is a 20 year investment scheme.

For the first 5 years of the scheme(the planting phase), investors will receive a 7% guaranteed return.

From year 6 to year 20 of the scheme (the harvesting phase), investors will receive 100% of the net profits of the plantation, minus a 5% management fee. The projected returns are 7 to 23%, depending on CPO prices.

After year 20, the plantation will be sold, and investors will receive capital appreciation as well on the land sold.

Unlike CGHS, we argue that Golden Agro Growers Scheme is a realistic investment. By not promising a fixed return during the harvesting phase, the company will not face the issue where it cannot deliver what it is promising.

Of course, it is in the company's best interest that the plantation does well. However, we are aware that we cannot foresee what will happen 5, 10 years down the line. Minimum wages might increase, leading to higher labour costs. Fertilizer prices (the largest expenditure of a plantation) might go up too. Nonetheless, we are committed to making our plantation a success.

Feel free to browse the website - www.gapgrowers.com.my

Thanks

This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 09:50 AM
suewong85
post Sep 10 2013, 08:56 PM

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QUOTE(Justmua @ Sep 10 2013, 06:24 PM)
Are you saying,

1). The return doesn't depend on the plantation production yield, just on CPO price? And you get 7-23%? So, if no fruit bunch, but price high, then investor still gets 7-23%
2). By not promising a fixed return, it is good for you, but bad for investors!!  But based on 1- you already more or less committed to 7% what? So, which is which?
3). How are "we committed to making our plantation a success"?
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1 - the return is of course tied to the production yield. the profit generated is then proportional to the CPO prices.

2- if someone promise a fixed return, of course it would be easy to sell. but when the time comes to actually pay, that person might not be able to, and end up closing their scheme. in that case, is it really good for you all? or is it good for them? we do not want to promise anything. the 7-23% is projected returns, but of course, there are risks in everything. even if you put your money in a plantation company, there is no guarantee that you will get a good return too. in our case, we want to have the same risk and rewards as our investors. if you are looking for some 20+ year, 10+% guaranteed product, then this is not for you. nonetheless, if you can find one product like that, please let me know too.

3- no one wants their plantation or business to fail. the company has good plantation managers, independent auditors, independent plantation consultants, etc. furthermore, if you want, investors are more than welcome tisit the plantation yourself. Can you say the same if you invest in a listed company? Do you think you can go and visit IOI's plantations?


This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 09:56 AM
suewong85
post Sep 10 2013, 09:14 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Sep 10 2013, 06:16 PM)
Why not invest in a listed palm oil grower then, you can own a piece of the plantation with proven management, all for much cheaper per acre basis.  wink.gif

Do the maths and you will find out... tongue.gif

I wonder why so many fall for all these schemes...  over and over and over again...rolleyes.gif
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Plantation companies have been paying out a dividend yield of 3 to 7% or so p.a. on average the past few years, even during the good times when CPO prices hit RM 4000+. Listed companies do not pay out 100% of their net profits. Normally it is around 30% or less.

For 2012, the average dividend yield was 0.3% to 3.5%. You can check these information yourself - http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/insider-asi...r-catalyst.html

Also, can you say for sure 100% that you will get capital appreciation from your stocks? Everything has risks. Listed companies have crashed before. Unit trusts have went bust.

This post has been edited by suewong85: Sep 10 2013, 09:15 PM
suewong85
post Sep 11 2013, 12:31 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Sep 10 2013, 09:55 PM)
And your grower scheme have no risk? What if fertilizer cost double? Minimum wages rise? Are you implying you can sell you ffb at above the industry price? What is your expected ffb yield and oer? What is your expected cost per ton ffb?

Dont forget sarawak plantations is on peat soil? Do you know the impact of that?

Companies dont pay out 100% of thier dividends is for a good reason, they GROW thier revenue and thus profits. If you have studied in more detail companies like klk and united plantations you can see how much they have grown? 1 acre equivalent bought 10 years ago now become 20 acres easily. Why only focus on dividend? Which sane bussinessmen will not grow thier company but will just milk it dry?

Also golden palm is selling 1 plot at rm 8k, 1 acre at 32k. You buy shares in good listed company, you can get  rm 16k for a HECTARE. Dont believe me? Divide the market cap with some of the plantations total holding and see? Ofcourse some plantations are higher and some lower but so far NONE is as expensive as yours.
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of course there are risks. that is why we do not dare to guarantee a fixed return, because things change.

fertilizer prices generally follow CPO prices. they go up when CPO prices go up, and down when CPO prices go down.

FFB prices are fixed, and are published daily. I dont know how you got that impression that of selling above industry price.

expected FFB? well, this question also ties into your question about peat. Peat costs a bit more to develop, but consequently, have a higher yield peer hectare too. You can plant about 128 trees per hectare on mineral soil, but about 155on peat. The company is looking to get about 24 mt/hectare, and that is what the projections are based on.

There has been many development in peat in the past few years. It's all about water management and compaction when it comes to peat. There are both pros and cons in both mineral soil and peat. Mineral is also very hilly and uneven, making harvesting harder. Peat is flat.

See some articles about peat :
http://www.theborneopost.com/2013/09/08/ne...e-for-oil-palm/
http://www.theborneopost.com/2013/09/08/pe...asteland-lulie/
http://www.theborneopost.com/2013/09/08/pr...-critics-wrong/

expected cost? in general, a decent scaled plantation companies breaks even at about RM 1400 to RM 1500. The company expects to fall within that range too, and will of course strive to get lower.

re: growing the company / cost per acre/hectare, i think that you are comparing apples to oranges. our business model is structured differently, and our aims are different too. investing in IOI / KLK will not give you higher dividends, and again, there is no guarantee that the share prices will go up.

In our case, after 20 years, the land of the plantation will be sold. Do you not think that land prices will appreciate in 20 years?

as for the cost per acre/hectare - that again is a simplistic argument. At the end of the day, for both companies, you do not own the land. You will just profit form the company using the land. in fact, we even go one step further and are more than happy to invite investors to visit our plantations. can you visit IOI / KLK plantations?

also, our "price per acre", to use your metrics, is "inflated" largely because of how our product is structured.

This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 09:59 AM
suewong85
post Sep 11 2013, 12:38 AM

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QUOTE(EddyLB @ Sep 10 2013, 11:19 PM)
Agreed. Everything is about risk and return. At least CHGS has LKY who eventually return the growers' money + dividend. How about the boss behind this scheme ? If anything is wrong (touch wood), will he/she be able to do what LKY did ?

I can see he owns 2 KLSE listed companies. How is the 2 companies' performance in terms of profit ? And also their current share price ? You mentioned dividends. How's the dividends from the 2 listed companies ? I hope their dividend is good. Because he will be managing the scheme and pay dividends to the investors. His track records of companies currently under his management must give confidence to potential investors. Hope you can convince investors here by sharing your boss' achievement in managing his companies
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well, the boss is a very low profile individual. as for his track record, feel free to research into Sunrise Berhad, during the period when he and his business partner Dato' Tong bought over the company.



suewong85
post Sep 11 2013, 06:25 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Sep 11 2013, 10:08 AM)
Not necessary, fertilizer is not only used for palm oil, but used for general crops, maybe less thn 10% is used for all palm oil plantations. The cost of fertilizer depends on price of rock phosphate (mined), MOP & urea (manufactured from natural gas). There is zero relation of fertilizer to palm oil ffb prices.
Of course, you are saying that your scheme is better than listed oil palm plantations, if all of you share the same COST of production and SAME selling price, how can your projected earning be more than listed plantations. Oh and most listed plantations run their own palm oil mill, but you have to sell yous to an independent mill (which will take a cut), wouldn't your margin be much lesser?
Nope the best soil to plant palm oil is alluvial soil (found in east sabah, south kalimantan and south sumatra) , peat soil is generally frown upon to plant palm oil. You get less yield per hectare, less OER per hectare so you will earn less because your cost per ton is higher. Also peat soil plantation are mostly not eligible for RPSO, and hence your fruit cannot demand a premium.  wink.gif

You are expecting 24ton per ha, but that is generally not able to be achieved on peat soil, look at Sarawak plantation & SOP, their yield per ha is generally less than 20 t/ha. If you look at plantation is south Sumatra & Kalimantan and also alluvial soil is perak area, you can generally achieve 23 to 25 t/ha.

Oh, you have not answered what is your expected OER rate?  wink.gif
Why only focus on dividends, yes the land value will go up in 20 years. But if you invest in listed plantation, the AMOUNT of land per SHARE also goes up, TOGETHER with the value of the land. Which one is a better growth story?

Investing in this share farming scheme does not give your ownership rights, you don't even OWN the land & the trees on your plot. Investing in a listed company you have rights and protection as shareholder. Here you only have promises.
So now you AGREE that you are selling over priced land to investor. Plantation land (cleared & planted) in Miri Sarawak generally goes for 30k-35k per hectare. Yet you are selling to investor at 8k per 1/4 acre or 32k per acre or 79k per hectare. Wow at this prices, why bother to buy at Sarawak? You can get same fully planted matured palm oil at Perak alluvial soil.... rolleyes.gif

ARe you sure in the end your dividends are not robbing perter to pay paul with the massive overpricing?  wink.gif
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I never claimed that the scheme is better than listed oil palm companies. I am saying that this is fundamentally a different financial product. If anything, a possible comparison would be between the interest scheme business model and SPACs. Both are methods of raising money to fund a business. At least in the case of interest scheme products, you already know the tangible product that the money raised is used for. Money raised for SPACs are a lot more riskier, as you do not know what they will actually do with that money despite their investment mandate.

The reason that interest scheme products are pricier / makes you think that it is inflated is because of how it is structured. The price of the product includes the fixed returns of the first few years. Eg: for our product, whenever an investor invests in a plot (RM 8000), our 7% guaranteed returns for the first 5 years is actually derived from the initial investment. So, out of this RM 8000, our trustee actually keeps (7x5=)35% + 10% (contingency) = 45% of the money with them. The company receives the remaining 55% to be used as capital for the business.

Fundamentally, the interest scheme model is just a different financial product whose model has been used and tested around the world. It is just unfortunate that in the case of Malaysia, there has been a high profile incident which has marred the whole industry. Also, arguably, the regulators have not been doing a good job regulating this industry. Things will improve though, when the upcoming Interest Schemes Bill is introduced.

Just think of it in another way - if one of the SPACs were to crash, the rest of the SPAC industry will surely be affected as well.

re: fertilizer prices, there are some correlation between prices and CPO prices - http://palmoilis.mpob.gov.my/publications/...v5n1-nasir2.pdf. Again, we are also aware that prices will increase in the long run. That is why we are not promising any unrealistic fixed returns.

i disagree with you re: peat soil. many advancements have been made with peat, and yields are in general higher than mineral. You can google around for this. Eg: http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...states-are.aspx
There's even a whole research department set up by the Sarawak government to improve the ways that peat is being used. Also, RSPO doesnt command much of a premium anyway compared to the costs that is spent. RSPO itself has been subject to many criticisms of being just another form of protectionism tariff.

OER - if anything, the company will of courses try to achieve a comparable OER with well managed plantations. You speak as though the company doesnt want to succeed or something.

re: comparing to large plantations - again, this is fundamentally a different product. Sure, the land that they own does go up in price, but how do you know they will sell it down the road? even if they do, there is no guarantee that investors can receive a large payout. In the case of this scheme, the mandate of the scheme is such that investors will get to enjoy the capital appreciation from the sale of the plantation down the road.

re: why dont the company take loans / want to do this scheme in the first place
well, large scale palm oil plantations are very capital intensive ventures. the interest scheme model is just another way to raise funds to reduce financing costs. you can similarly argue about SPACs. "Oh, Oil & gas is so lucrative, why do they need to raise money via a SPAC ? why not approach a bank? " Well, not all banks are willing to lend money to entrepreneurs. Startup business owners can definitely understand this point. Also, if these alternative fundraising models do not exist, then all industries will just be dominated by established big boys.

This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 10:01 AM
suewong85
post Sep 11 2013, 10:57 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Sep 11 2013, 06:54 PM)
1. SPAC is created in mind with protection for investors, your planting schemes has no such protection nor actual ownership  of assets or the company. A SPAC is obligated by law to return 90% of the money collected if the company cannot find a suitable investment within 3 years. Also any asset to be acquired requires voting  by non-interested shareholder (ie minority shareholders). You actually own a piece of the business and any assets there. your grower scheme have zero protection and you do not own anything other than a promise, so there is absolutely ZERO comparison. Can the scheme GUARANTEE 90% back and give minority to vote on business direction? No.. then why are you comparing.
2. You are AGREEING that you are robbing peter to pay paul. Why do you have to return the investor money (the 45%) back to them and claim it is dividend? If you pay yourself out of your own pocket and assets is NOT called a dividend. You are clearly misleading your investors. Why not make it easier and sell the plots at 45% discount? why don't you tell me the lucrative 'cut' that each salesman takes as well, can consider part of capital? Also you still have not mentioned why a FULLY PLANTED MATURED palm oil land & listed pallm oil plantation is still CHEAPER than yours (even after 45% discount)?
Yeah I wait for the day IF it is legalized since your current scheme have zero protection as minority investor, ZERO equity, ZERO ownership & ZERO accountability. Even BNM warned against all these interest scheme.. why I wonder?  tongue.gif
Oh.. now no need RSPO, so your planting will be indiscriminate and doesn't matter if you destroy the environment as long as you make a buck?

And your palm oil mill who owns it? Since you sell plots only?  whistling.gif

Yes I have been wanting to hear what is your expected OER that you can achieve.. this way we can COUNT the projected earnings. Also you have not answer why your SCHEME is expected to get 24ton per ha yield while others can't?
Another misinformation, you can REALISE the land bank gain by SELLING your shares, why have to wait until the company sell their land? If their land appreciates, I am sure the share will do so accordingly. Also why bother to sell the land, when i can have the land producing for me indefinitely? If you have a golden goose laying golden eggs every month, will you sell it off after 20 years even if it can still lay eggs? Doesn't make sense to an investor...

Oh by the way don't tell me the tree getting old not productive anymore. Heard of replanting?  wink.gif
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1&2 - There are also many people who would argue loudly that SPACs are bad investments, etc. You can see http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/08/13/a-t...f-failure/?_r=2 or http://www.kinibiz.com/story/issues/46323/...investment.html. In some countries, SPACs have a very bad reputation too because some high profile ones failed. This is the case now with the interest scheme business model in Malaysia after the failure of a high profile scheme. The interest scheme model is not something new. This sort of fructuary / share farming schemes exist in other countries too. Like SPACs, there are successes and failures in other countries as well.

Your 'robbing peter to pay paul' argument is just your disagreement with the interest scheme business model. Again, many people can raise similar disagreements with the SPAC model as well. Maybe you would be one to defend it then. At the end of the day, we can just agree to disagree that the interest scheme model is viable. we are looking for like minded investors. clearly, you are not one of them. perhaps you should just invest in SPACs.

Moving forward, the introduction of the Interest Scheme bill will help to strengthen and improve the industry. Currently, SSM is already seeking public feedback for the drafting of the bill. They have posted ads already. When the bill becomes a law, of course companies in the industry will have to comply. We are only more than happy to comply. RE: your worries about the lack of safeguards - we do have an independent auditor and independent plantation consultant who publishes their report alongside our prospectus. Also, the trustee have wide ranging powers. Investors can also vote to remove the management company shold they feel the need to. All these are spelt out clearly in our prospectus. Lastly, the best safeguard? Come and see the plantation yourself.

BNM did not say anything about interest schemes. You wonder wrongly. They only warned against get rich quick schemes like Genneva (officiated by top politicians, nonetheless). You can see all their announcements here: http://www.bnm.gov.my/microsites/fraudalert/ ; http://www.bnm.gov.my/consumeralert/

re: mills, the company will operate the mills of course. it is a progression of diversifying downstream.

OER - we do aim to hit the industry average of 20%, which is not unachievable.

re: 24 tons/ha - the company aims to hit that figure some time during the harvesting stage. of course, the company will not hit that right off the bat. these figures depends on things like tree profile, etc. in our case, the company is confident of hitting it eventually because of the fertile land. the land is surrounded by other productive plantations, all who are highly profitable too.

lastly, once again, interest schemes are different from shares. share prices are also volatile. IOI 5 years ago was about RM 3.50. Now its RM 5.40. At one point it hit RM 2.30+. At its peak it was RM 8.20+. If you bought in when it was high at that price, now you would be cursing and swearing too.

RE: replanting - it is also in the prospectus that investors can vote for the option to replant after the end of the scheme too if they feel that they do not want to sell the plantation.

This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 10:03 AM
suewong85
post Sep 12 2013, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Sep 12 2013, 10:06 AM)
Recycling all the old information again and again like a broken clockwork. You still have not proved that your scheme is safe, you are mere doing selective comparison against one company and or another scheme. SPAC have investor protection and yours does not, period. Anyway I dont like SPAC as well as I think they are bunch of con men as well. The plantation next to you is highly profitable becase they did not buy OVERPRICED land. And robbing peter to pay paul is already proven in your own words.

Let cut to the chase. Lets use all the figures you have supplied.

You have mentioned 24 t/ha, although peak production of palm oil is at age 8-14, younger and older than that you will have a decline. Never mind assume your trees are in forever peak production.  tongue.gif

1 ha = 24 tons/yr = 9.712 tons/ acre = 2.428 tons / plot

Lets say your cash cost (manpower, fertilizer, trimming, utilities, transportation etc) is very efficient at RM 1,500/ton (Better than 90% of listed plantation out there). In before you say your worker super efficient (maybe work for free?) and can buy fertilizer below market price.  rolleyes.gif

This cost is excluding administration cost, you do charge management fees, but lets say your Dato is feeling very charitable and doing all the management for free.  rclxms.gif

2.428 ton FFB x 20% OER = 0.4856 ton CPO

Assume you are able get MAX market price (In reality you cant cause you have other logistic/transportation expenses) which today is 2,350 per ton. This time Dato provide the transportation for FREE. Also the mill have not take the cut yet.. also assume FREE  icon_rolleyes.gif

Your net earning per ton CPO will be 2,350-1,500 = RM 850 per ton

1 Plot = 0.4856 ton x 850 = RM 412.76

Cost of 1 plot = RM 8000

Net earning yield = RM 412.76/RM 8000 =  5.15%

If you remove the other cost such as management, logistics etc , your yield will be likely below 3%.

So answer, this where is your projected 7%-23% dividend?
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SPACs - investor protection? Tell that to the investors of the 72 SPACs that have been liquidated since 2004 worldwide. There are risks in every product. all products have successes and failures cases, be it SPACs, interest schemes, hedge funds, PEs, mutual funds, unit trust, etc. You dont like SPACs? Well, some people do. some institutional investors do too. everyone has different risk appetite. if you are so risk averse, perhaps you should just hide your $ under your bed or put it in a FD, because banks totally will never collapse right?

again, the 'robbing peter to pay paul' part is merely your words, not mine. this is financial structuring of a product, not any different to other industries where securitization can happens. you can also see this in real estate where there are concepts like DIBS, or 2 years 7% rental income guarantee, free legal, SPA, etc. All things are of course priced in. This is a legal sweetener. Nothing wrong about that.

re: your calculations, i disagree with many parts. many of the extra costs u add are already priced into the break even point / operating margins.

Cost of production is not RM 1500. It is lower than that. You are making things up, like "better than 90% of listed plantations", just like your " bnm warned against this" allegation. You are also assuming that we wont try to improve to reduce cost by improving efficiency.

"CPO futures prices are not likely to break the RM1,800 ring-git per tonne mark and even the most inefficient oil palm plantation companies producing CPO within the RM1,500 per tonne levels will be able to stay profit-able in these bearish market conditions.”
http://www.theborneopost.com/2013/03/17/pa...ish-or-bullish/

"Currently, the cost of production (COP) among well managed oil palm plantation companies in Peninsular Malaysia would be about RM1,300 to RM1,400 per tonne of CPO."
http://www.thestar.com.my/story.aspx?file=...43&sec=business

Upstream margins are always high - up to 50% or higher. In fact, larger corporations See http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/personal-fi...m-oil-palm.html

See Nomura's Asean Palm Oil Research, April 9 report.
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the projected returns are tied to palm oil prices. If palm oil prices are high, then investors will get a high return too. The company will return 100% of our net audited profits, minus a 5% management fee. simple as that. nothing unrealistic or overreaching.

the company is also optimistic of palm oil prices rebounding in the future when they reach the harvesting stage, and there are good reasons to believe that it will. your calculation is based on today's weak prices.

This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 10:07 AM
suewong85
post Sep 12 2013, 10:14 PM

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the word the company used is 7% guaranteed returns. once again, you are not referring to any of our materials / prospectus, but talking from your own misconceptions / prejudice.

re: investing in shares, again, i have pointed out, that 1- share prices are volatile, and dividends are lower. the investment profile is complete separate, as these are separate type of products.

the projected earnings is based on CPO prices being RM 2500 - RM 4000. This again, along with a projected earning chart, is clearly stated in the marketing materials. if prices go below that, then the company can only pay lower dividends. Once again, you are just talking without referring to our actual materials.

again and again, i have pointed out articles, research reports, papers, etc to refute your words. i cannot please everyone. there will always be people who believe in a product, as well as naysayers.

re: future palm oil prices, i of course cannot make any predictions. what i can say though, is that we are optimistic about the potential of palm oil, based on the supply and demand of palm oil. palm oil is widely used in everything, and is cheaper than other vegetable oil. fast developing countries are increasing their per capita consumption of palm oil as they become more prosperous.

palm oil however, cannot be planted everywhere in the world. cultivatable palm oil land in this region is dwindling, forcing companies to go to foreign countries (png, liberia, colombia, etc) where they do not have local knowledge (political, labour issues, etc) to palm. initiatives like biodiesel (b10 in malaysia, indonesia) will also help to support prices. other initiatives like the POIC are also allowing plantations to get revenue from palm oil waste like empty fruit brunches (EFB) for the biomass industry. also, in the country, organizations like MPOB and Pemandu are also working to improve yields and OER - see the ETP report. therefore, the company are optimistic about the palm oil industry.

This post has been edited by suewong85: Dec 23 2013, 10:10 AM

 

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