QUOTE(mkhor7 @ Feb 15 2008, 06:31 PM)
MC accounts as at Feb-2007 showed they have already put in around RM20 million including land development costs of over RM15 million. The RM100 million from CHGS will be used to buy more seedlings, planting and fertilizers costs, labours , maintenance, re-planting, etc... Hence a fully operating plantation with productive trees would fetch good value even after 20 years. This Gua Musang land lease would likely remain as plantation land for its whole leasehold term.
"100% Failproof" : I should have added that the project
on paper looks very good and very viable.
This is because the returns is FULLY based on world CPO prices and not on MC plantation business operation. Hence, there is only a very remote risk of downside. Oil palm products future is unlikely to be shaken unless cheaper substitute can be found. I estimated returns to be very likely between 6% to 13% for the whole of 23 years term of the CHGS.
"Growers" are largely removed from other risks such as on the plantation trees which could come from land disaster, disease, flood, drought or other acts of nature/God. MC has stated that some of these perils are insured for, and only 28000 out of 40000 plots are "sold" to "Growers" to enable MC to earn sufficient profits to pay the "Growers" annual interests which is FULLY based on CPO prices.
Good medium/long term investment : This CHGS is definitely not liquid like unit trust or shares, but is almost similar to buying a piece of landed property. When we want to sell, we have to depend on whether there are ready buyers. If only a few are selling at any moment, my guess is that MC can help us to get a buyer. Hence for small folks who want to "own" some plantation property and getting steady annual returns, this CHGS is highly recommended. But for those punters who want returns of over 12%, this CHGS will likely disappoint them.
Why 23 years? I
guess MC by then has enough accumulated profits and cashflow resources to continue on their own and to compulsory buyback from "Growers". I hope the valuer appointed at that time will not "discount" too much from the open market value but to give the "Growers" some capital appreciation.
To Mr. Andrew :
Can you confirm whether we will get FULL 8% returns during the 3 years we join this CHGS regardless of the date of joining. eg. if we pay next month March-2008, we will still get in FULL the 8% for ALL of the 3 years after then on Feb-2009, Feb-2010 and Feb-2011.
thanks + regards
michael
One question,
If the palm oil tree fails to grow enough then there would be no profit, then how the company going to pay the return to the scheme holders?
Yes, it depends on the CPO price but it also depends on the plantation yielding aka fruits grows. In term of any natural disaster like flooding etc, then no profit then how company going to pay the return? Insurance enough to cover?

Don't think insurance company want to make losing business as well.
Participant in trust is like owning it and whether to get the return or not, it depends on the profitability of it, just like Reit.
Owning the trust is not exactly like owning a land, just similarity, as same as reit also. Owning a land, you got the land title, you can opt to sell or do whatever you want whenever you wish. But in this trsut scheme, investors basically are tight for 23 years period, unless another person willing to take up the trust or buying from you. Actual landbank or owning a land is much easier to sell than owning a trust espeically the trust is not listed. If listed, then it would be a good plantation trust, as it resolve the main issue, liquidation part.
It is just a leasehold for 23 years?
Don't get me wrong. Not mean to discredit this scheme, instead personally view it is an ok investment target. Just want to highlight some disadvantage besides its pros so that discussion in it will only make a claerer picture and only benefit to all.
Also, 'guess' term is not good enough, it involves hard earned money in stake, every fact in it must be known properly, can't second guessing of it. This scheme already running one, we should able to find out the actual fact of it.
cheers.
This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 15 2008, 09:48 PM