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SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 10:52 AM

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Do you know the NEM only valid for 10 years? Your "return" has an expiry date. Year 1-5 trying to recover, then Year 6-10 you earn some. Year 11 onwards, you are on your own.
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 10:57 AM

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Saving = RM 750

RM 750 x 12 months x 10 years = RM 90,000 (consider your panel doesn't degrade at all, no maintenance needed at all)

RM 90,000 / RM 47,000 = 191% for 10 years.

Let's calculate the CAGR

1.91^(1/10) = 1.067

Meaning 6.7% Compounded Annual Growth Rate (Again, with no solar panel losses, no maintenance needed, no solar seasonal pattern). That's the absolute max you can get for 10 years.

After 10th year, you needed battery to make it viable.


SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 10:58 AM

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You can renew, buy new set of panel, new installation again.

QUOTE(ipohps3 @ Oct 3 2023, 10:56 AM)
after 10 y cannot renew?
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This post has been edited by SurpriseZZZZZ: Oct 3 2023, 10:58 AM
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:00 AM)
But u must understand, we don’t need to cough up 47k.
That compound interest is when u have 47k upfront.
We just need to pay monthly as usual for 5 years. Actual Tnb usage. And next five years total free.
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I just calculate what went in and what came out. Simple.

RM 1000 paid as bill = RM 1000 paid as investment, it's the same RM 1000 after all.

SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:03 AM)
Panel no need to buy new one. Inverter also no need.  Can use up to 30 years.  So it is quite worth it.

Coz even after nem 10 years. Ur system still generate. It can at least cover morning usage without battery.  With battery investment which could be another 15k at thst time, c potential to save is even higher.
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Do you have any viable battery option now?
10kvah can easily be 30,000 currently.
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:05 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:04 AM)
But 47k upfront in Fd generating interest is very different from
47 k thst u accumulate in 5 years time.
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I agreed. However your return will not suddenly increase from 6.7% -> 30% due to different payment schedule. It will be probably 8% maybe?

That's again, no maintenace, no cleaning needed, no efficiency drop? You know it's super hard to have all these right?

Solar panel efficiency drop 2% for the first year and 0.5% - 1% every year after that.

This post has been edited by SurpriseZZZZZ: Oct 3 2023, 11:06 AM
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:07 AM)
Oh. If u see carefully, the money u pay to Tnb is a money thst u need to set aside anyway.  It won’t help you generate anything except paying to Tnb. But if u buy system, that money still with you, just in a form of a machine thst generate “money” for 20-30 years
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Yes it will generate for 20-30 years and you can only use it during day time.

Night time is what kill your TNB bill, not day time.

I average 35 kwh per day of usage and day time we hardly hit 10 kwh, at night that's another 20-25kwh of usage, mainly from air conditioning.

So without battery after 10th year, your panel will be covering just max 1/3 of your usage. Not entirely.

I am an avid solar supporter, but it should be backed by solid facts and figures.

There is no announcement for NEM4.0 yet. We do not know what is the terms like yet.

From what we know, NEM1 > NEM2 > NEM3, the terms get worse from one NEM to another.

This post has been edited by SurpriseZZZZZ: Oct 3 2023, 11:11 AM
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:12 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Oct 3 2023, 11:10 AM)
ROI extremely fast based on TS high monthly usage
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26 panels = 26 ways to fail, also extremely fast.

You think we all live in an area without dust? haze?
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:17 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:12 AM)
My plan is getting a battery after the system. Even if it cost 30k by then, and can help me save 600 ringgit every month. It should be still viable.

But now a bit sked coz battery seems to explode.
*
TESLA powerwall seems to be ok.
Around 25k for 10 kvah. Not too bad actually.
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:19 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:17 AM)
Haiya. Let me show u la my bill.

user posted image
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They are interested to see the TNB bill itself.

How much is your import as of now?
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(netflix2019 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:17 AM)
I can provide bill. But need to censor details. scare tio doxx.

If i post u going to edit out all your sceptical post? Dun need to apologize, just edit them to show the proof i provided. Deal?
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Many ktards here has forgotten TNB rate is yet to hike post pandemic.

Many ktards here also own / will own an EV soon. That would push them over 1500 kWh easily (welcome to the new ICPT charges)

Solar has its place, just find the right one for your usage. I do agree not everyone needed a 40k setup but if your usage justify it then go ahead. If your bill is only 300 then get a 15k setup then. Simple.

No point bashing each other here.
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Oct 3 2023, 11:22 AM)
it's a non moving parts
the most frequent maintenance he needed to do is keeping it clean
we have dust but at the same time we have rain as well
so how often do u think TS need to clean it

if you're even worried about solar thn i'm worried about you owning a car
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If rain can clean it how come our exterior wall will still be dirty after years of usage?

Even then solar panel guys been telling us, please clean the panels periodically.

No one is doubting the capability of solar generation but it shall never be glorified and advertised in such a way that it does not come with its challenges.

Read both sides of the stories.
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(mroys@lyn @ Oct 3 2023, 11:26 AM)
no, the previous FiT user just need to submit for NEM application without new installations.
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Finally some good news.
That is good to know.
SurpriseZZZZZ
post Oct 3 2023, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(bee88 @ Oct 3 2023, 11:21 AM)
Import 1010

Export 983

Extra kwp previous month 70

From app, generation is 1203

So self consumption is around 220
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Looks like the solar only managed to cover less than 20% of your usage (day time).

Move some energy intensive stuff to day time perhaps?

Your import still ok. 500 kwh away still from the ICPT charges.

 

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