The Fall | The Fighting Doesn't Stop For A Minute. Military Summary And Analysis For 2023.10.14

US Running Low on Weapons as Proxy Wars Target Russia, Iran, & China

Update on the conflict in Ukraine + Israeli-Palestinian conflict for October 14, 2023

- Ukraine’s offensive has culminated, in many areas is being overturned by Russian counter-offensives;

- Western military assistance continues to dwindle for Ukraine and is now being divided between both Ukraine and Israel;

- Israel’s military and political leadership have openly announced a deliberate intention to cut off civilians from food and fuel while bombarding them with military aviation and other long-range weapons;

- Israel is contemplating a ground operation into Gaza;

- The Middle East has been pivoting slowly away from US primacy, toward a Russian-Chinese led multipolar order;

- Hamas raids and Israel’s disproportionate response pose a danger to this process - forcing the region to be drawn into an armed conflict at risk of escalating;

- Hamas’ background and actions over the last 2 decades have served US foreign policy objectives, including supporting regime change attempts in Syria and to perpetuate, not end Israeli occupation and military aggression;

- Russia/China seek a two-state solution, in accordance with the UN, and seeks to reshape the region in a way that will make the two-state solution possible;

The Russian army is advancing on the Kupiansk front, breaking through the defenses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
▪️ Troops of the "West" groupings, with the most powerful support of aviation, artillery and the TOS "Solntsepyok", attacked the enemy's defenses on the border of the Kharkiv region and the LPR.
▪️ "The Svatovsky segment - the Russians launched a massive offensive from Lyman Pervy and Orlyansky," Ukrainian military analysts reported the other day.
▪️ "West of the village of Orlyanske (Orlyanka), Russian troops have entrenched themselves along two forest belts in the gray zone," the enemy's resources are admitted today.
▪️ Near Lyman Pervyi, MLRS, howitzers and "Solntsepyoks" razed a number of enemy positions to the ground, blew up an ammunition depot and forced the militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to flee from their positions.
❗️ In recent days, our attack aircraft have stormed more than 10 strongholds and advanced more than 1 km into the depth of the enemy's lines.
▪️ "Khokhol runs, throwing weapons and the wounded, when the stormtroopers of the 25th Guards 😄" , - the guys write from the place.
▪️ In neighboring areas, our troops are also supporting attacking operations, artillery and aviation are actively working.
▪️ TOS "Solntsepyok" launched 3 strikes on the concentration of forces in the shelters of the 32nd mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Tymkovka.
▪️ In the course of counter-battery combat with the artillery of the Western Military District 2S1 Gvozdika and Krab self-propelled guns, 155-mm M-777 and 4 mortar crews were destroyed near Novolyubivka, Novoserhiivka, Stepove and Novoselivka.
▪️ According to the Western Military District, the total losses of the enemy per day: more than 2 companies of manpower, a tank, a minibus, a pickup truck and a UAV.

An epic battle near Verbove: the enemy tried to storm the positions of the Airborne Forces, but the landing force counterattacked and destroyed the Ukrainian Armed Forces

Soldiers from the field say:
“The enemy tried to squeeze out our stronghold, but as a result of a counterattack he was brutally driven back. In the process of fleeing, all the infantry was destroyed. First, they were battered by our fighters, and then our artillery showed miracles.
The footage shows a direct hit on an infantry group, a direct hit on a Ukrainian Armed Forces tank.
And in the finale, they beautifully burned the remains of the enemy, this is not phosphorus, but incendiary shells that were completely permitted by the “коневской жевенцией”
The Nazis just pissed themselves with pleasure! The enemy will be defeated, Victory will be ours!"

Rybar Comics English version in pdf format.
First 2 issues posted in Post #3311 dated Sept 8th 2023
Third issue posted in Post #4011 dated Sept 22nd 2023

Issue #004 October 2023 <Download Link>


#Comic by Rybar #4: Once Upon a Time on the Russian-Ukrainian Border

It took us a little longer than we expected, but we've also increased the volume: in the fourth issue of comics by the Fisher's team, there are already 18 pages (for comparison: there were only 8 in the second issue).
This time, we decided to touch on the theme of national traitors and their use in shooting propaganda videos on the Russian-Ukrainian border for demonstrative raids. After all, even our TikToks are cooler than the enemy's. Isn't that right? 😉

Synopsis:
Several months have passed since the breakthrough of Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups near Belgorod in the Graivoron district. Despite a decrease in the number of shellings, the Russian border region is still the focus of the enemy's attention.
Both foreign mercenaries and nationalist formations operate from the nearby Sumy region. As a rule, attempts at sorties and ambushes are "legendised" as the activities of traitorous defectors with the aim of sowing confusion and destabilizing the situation in Russia.
Such raids and sorties are coordinated by British special forces from the Special Air Service (SAS): they do all the dirty work, while on the spot photo and video reports are shot by "traitors'" units.
In the summer, Chechen detachments of the National Guard of Russia from the Akhmat Regiment were redeployed to the Belgorod region. The British specialists decided to stage another attack near the Russian town of Kozinka, using Euro-Ichkerians from the "Sheikh Mansur Battalion"...

Ukraine Unable To Rip Moscow's Defences, Calls-Off Counteroffensive; Russian Envoy Drops Bombshell

Russia's ambassador to the U.S. has said that Ukraine's counteroffensive has formally ended as it failed to rip through Russian defences in the last four months. "Instead of putting an end to the massacre of Ukrainians on the frontline, the West continues to feed them weapons, like a drug to an addict, thus prolonging his agony,” Vassily Nebenzia told the UN Security Council.

In the spring, a group of enthusiasts responded to our call for help to the front by making shanks, now the Technofront of RusVesna has more than 60 volunteers from Russia and Belarus, and our Kristina organizes their work and the transfer of products to the fighters.
Armed with 3D printers and machine tools, six months later, our technicians are handing over to the front drop systems, sapper crampons and probes, bomb cases, AK adapters and grenade launchers, bead lights, cases for detonators and medicines, armored glass.
The products are used from Kherson to Kupyansk by special forces, sappers, artillerymen, reconnaissance ... - it is the Technofront that processes the applications of fighters to our channel.
All these people are united by one thing - the desire to contribute to the common Victory, "bringing shells" and protecting the lives of our fighters.

Ukraine finance minister says donor 'tiredness' growing as war drags on

MARRAKECH, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Ukraine is finding it harder to secure financial support as the attention of officials in key donor countries shifts to upcoming elections and geopolitical tensions heighten, Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko told Reuters on Saturday.

"I see a lot of tiredness, I see a lot of weakness among our partners, they would like to forget about the war but the war is still ongoing, full-scale," Marchenko said on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank meetings in Marrakech.

He said Ukraine is making "twice the effort right now to convince our partners to provide us with support compared to the last annual meetings" in April.

As the war with Russia rages on, Ukraine needs to secure Western financial support to cover a $43 billion budget gap in 2024. Talks this week have been overshadowed by the conflict between Israel and Hamas, which broke out just as delegates were making their way to Marrakech.

Marchenko said "a geopolitical shift and internal political context in different countries" was dampening governments' appetite to support Ukraine, mentioning elections scheduled in the U.S. and the European Union next year.

Ukraine has earmarked additional tax receipts and funds to be raised from internal debt, but it will be dependent on outside help for the bulk of next year's spending requirements.

"We already have some commitments, like $5.4 billion from the IMF programme, and we expect commitments from Japan and United Kingdom, and of course, we rely on our key partners and allies the United States and European Union," Marchenko said in the interview.

The EU is working on a 50 billion-euro ($52.6 billion)Ukraine package for 2024 through 2027. Marchenko said Ukraine is seeking 18 billion euros of that in 2024, matching the package received for this year.

Marchenko welcomed the efforts to harness frozen Russian state assets, saying that what was previously portrayed by Western backers as an "achievable goal" now "sounds like a plan". Legal concerns, among others, have complicated recoveries.


CREDITOR DISCUSSIONS

Since Moscow's February 2022 invasion, most of Ukraine's bilateral lenders have suspended repayment obligations until 2027, and the country has agreed a two-year freeze on $20 billion of international bonds that runs through August.

Ukraine has been sounding out major investors over plans to restructure the international debt and the possibility of raising fresh financing, Reuters reported on Oct. 9, citing people with knowledge of the discussions.

"We have some time to prepare discussions with private creditors," Marchenko said, declining to provide a timeframe on when formal talks with creditors may start.

"Our natural desire is to preserve access to the market," he added.

Marchenko said credit enhancement notes could be "one of the ways" to raise funds, but that how such guarantees would work depends on the future of Ukraine's growth, among other economic factors. This has not been a topic of discussion at the meetings in Marrakech, he said.

Ukraine's economy is set to grow 5% in 2024 , Marchenko told the meetings earlier this week, and sufficient gas storage for the winter should buttress the economy from a potential rise in prices, he told Reuters.

($1 = 0.9516 euros)

Fighting in the Kherson direction: combat work of our artillerymen against enemy positions
Crews of D-20 howitzers of the Dnepr group with precise strikes hit artillery batteries of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and destroy strong points and infantry of the militants. Fire at the enemy is continuous and adjusted by UAV operators.

Meanwhile in the Lyman - Kreminna sector...
Battles near Bilohorivka: Artillerymen hit militant strongholds
The crews of the “Southern” group, in cooperation with the UAV operators, destroyed the militants of the 81st Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with precise hits.

This post has been edited by Catnip: Oct 15 2023, 05:29 PM

The Russians Achieved Success At Avdiivka, Synkivka, Verbove, Pryiutne. Military Summary 2023.10.15

Marines from the 155th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Flee hit a Ukrainian armored vehicle near Ugledar with a Lancet.

Hot day in the Kremensky forest: artillerymen of the "🅾️" group destroyed the Polish self-propelled gun "Crab"

▪️ An enemy self-propelled gun was spotted from the air, firing at our troops. Afterwards, Ukrainian militants tried to disguise her between the trees. But thanks to the coordinated work of reconnaissance and artillerymen of the Siberian Association, Krab will remain standing in this forest for a long time in the form of a pile of charred iron.
▪️ The shooting was carried out with high-precision ammunition "Krasnopol", as a result of which the self-propelled gun burst into flames like a match.

“Lancet” of the Airborne Forces found and hit an American M109 “PALADIN” self-propelled artillery mount in the Zaporozhye direction.

The enemy camouflages a 152-mm D-20 gun-howitzer in the vicinity of Vugledar before the arrival of the Lancet of the 40th Pacific Fleet brigade.

Warning: Dead Ukrainian soldiers

Cleared tunnels in the Belogorovka area littered with killed AFU soldiers. Apparently this is a quarry area.

Location not specified.
Solntsepek burns out positions of Ukrainian militants.
The first blow hit an old concrete hangar, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces used as a strong point. The rest were located in the forest belt, where there were Ukrainian positions.

Ok.. I get it now.

Lancet-arsonist: the drone of the "🅾️" group hit an American howitzer

▪️Ukrainian militants fired from the M777 howitzer, donated in exchange for the sovereignty of their country. They were detected in time by our reconnaissance. Then His Majesty the Lancet came into play.
▪️Despite the fact that the drone hit a tree on approach, the strike still turned out to be extremely successful: the ammunition burst into flames, and then everything else. The enemy howitzer was disabled.

Morning briefing of the Ministry of Defense of Russia (October 15, 2023) ❗Text only❗
⚡️Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation

(15 October 2023)

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.

◽️In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Group of Forces supported by aviation and artillery repelled six attacks of assault groups of AFU 68th jaeger, 14th mechanised, and 95th air assault brigades close to Novoegorovka,Sinkovka (Kharkov region), Makeyevka (Lugansk People's Republic).

◽️In addition, helicopters delivered strikes at manpower and hardware of AFU 14th, 32nd mechanised brigades near Sinkovka and Ivanovka (Kharkov region).

◽️ Actions of one sabotage and reconnaissance group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been thwarted near Olshana (Kharkov region).

◽️More than 50 Ukrainian troops, one tank, two armoured fighting vehicles, two pickup trucks, and one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system have been eliminated.

◽️In Krasny Liman direction, as a result of coordinated actions by units of the Tsentr Group of Forces, helicopters and artillery, three attacks by assault groups of the 12th Azov Special Forces Brigade and the 63rd Mechanised Brigade of the AFU have been repelled near Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People's Republic) and Serebryanskoye forestry.

◽️Moreover, AFU manpower and hardware have been eliminated near Torskoye, Grigorovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People's Republic).

▫️ The enemy losses were up to 180 Ukrainian troops killed and wounded, three armoured fighting vehicles, and two pickup trucks.

▫️ In Donetsk direction, the Yug Group of Forces, supported by aviation and artillery, repelled five attacks by units of the AFU 56th Mechanised Brigade and the 127th Territorial Defence Brigade close to Orekhovo-Vasilyevka, Dubovo-Vasilyevka, and Kleshcheyevka (Donetsk People's Republic).

▫️Manpower and hardware of the AFU 93rd Mechanised Brigade, the 112th Territorial Defence Brigade, and 3rd, 5th assault brigades have been hit near Andreevka and Kleshcheyevka (Donetsk People's Republic).

◽️ Ammunition depots of AFU 28th, 31st mechanised brigades and the 116th Territorial Defence Brigade have been destroyed close to Dyleyevka, Zhelannoye, and Tonenkoye (Donetsk People's Republic).

▫️ The enemy has lost up to 410 Ukrainian personnel killed and wounded, as well as two armoured fighting vehicles, and three motor vehicles.

▫️ In the course of the counter-battery warfare, one Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, one Msta-B howitzer, one D-20, and one D-30 howitzers were hit.

▫️ In South Donetsk direction, units of the Vostok Group of Forces, helicopters and artillery repelled one attack of the AFU 128th Territorial Defence Brigade's assault group close to Staromayorskoye (Donetsk People's Republic).

◽️ Clusters of manpower and hardware of AFU 79th air assault, 72nd mechanised, 127th, 128th territorial defence brigades have been hit close to Novomikhailovka, Ugledar, Vodyanoye, Staromayorskoye, Urozhaynoye (Donetsk People's Republic) and Priyutnoye (Zaporozhye region).

▫️ Up to 155 Ukrainian personnel, two armoured fighting vehicles, and three motor vehicles have been neutralised.

▫️ In Zaporozhye direction, units of the Russian Group of Forces repelled one attack by the AFU 71st Jaeger Brigade's assault group close to Verbovoye (Zaporozhye region).

▫️In addition, air strikes and artillery fire struck the personnel and hardware of the 65th Mechanised Brigade close to Rabotino (Zaporozhye region).

▫️ Up to 55 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made M777 artillery system, and one D-30 howitzer were destroyed.

▫️Moreover, one ammunition depot of the 102nd Territorial Defence Brigade was neutralised close to Malinovka (Zaporozhye region).

▫️In Kherson direction, two AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups' actions were repelled on Alyoshkinsky Island.

▫️Up to 20 Ukrainian servicemen and two motor vehicles were destroyed as a result of fire defeat.

▫️ Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, and Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have engaged AFU manpower and hardware in 133 areas during the day.

▫️ One communication centre of the Ukrainian Air Force has been destroyed at the Dnepr airfield (Dnepropetrovsk region).

◽️ One command post of the AFU 66th Mechanised Brigade was destroyed close to Podliman (Kharkov region).

◽️ Russian air defence forces have intercepted three U.S.-manufactured HIMARS MLRS projectiles during the day.

◽️Moreover, 67 unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down near Verkhnekamenka (Lugansk People's Republic), Berestovoye, Belogorovka, Maryinka, Vasilevka, Elenovka (Donetsk People's Republic), Kamenskoye, Chervonogorka, Mirnoye (Zaporozhye region), and Sagi (Kherson region).

📊In total, 488 airplanes and 250 helicopters, 7,888 unmanned aerial vehicles, 441 air defence missile systems, 12,640 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 1,163 combat vehicles equipped with MLRS, 6,771 field artillery guns and mortars, as well as 14,297 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.