I am buying this counter in hopes of reaping high returns within a year or so...
DUFU Technology
DUFU Technology
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Jan 10 2023, 12:13 PM, updated 3y ago
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#1
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Junior Member
100 posts Joined: Sep 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
Anyone buying this counter? I know there's a lot of negative news on this counter at the moment but what's the outlook of this company 1-2 years down the road?
I am buying this counter in hopes of reaping high returns within a year or so... |
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Jan 10 2023, 12:26 PM
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#2
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(snowflax24 @ Jan 10 2023, 12:13 PM) Anyone buying this counter? I know there's a lot of negative news on this counter at the moment but what's the outlook of this company 1-2 years down the road? And what's the negative news about the stock that is driving the stock down?I am buying this counter in hopes of reaping high returns within a year or so... |
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Jan 10 2023, 12:29 PM
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#3
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Junior Member
789 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
5276, dont say no share lmao
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Jan 10 2023, 12:41 PM
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#4
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Junior Member
100 posts Joined: Sep 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 10 2023, 12:26 PM) The stock has been trading sideways mainly due to lower demand for their HDD components. Taken from the edge nov 1 article: “Based on the forecast in hand, we foresee HDD demand will continue to remain weak in line with our recent industry checks suggesting inventory adjustments will likely continue at least for the next quarter towards end of 2022. On top of that, demand is seasonally weak in the first quarter of 2023.” For 3QFY2022, Dufu's net profit fell 18.92% to RM16.42 million, from RM20.25 million a year ago, on lower revenue. Earnings per share shrank to 3.1 sen in 3QFY2022, from 3.8 sen in 3QFY2021. Revenue for the quarter declined 17.88% to RM74.72 million, from RM90.99 million a year before, mainly due to the decrease in revenue related to HDD components. They will also lose out on forex gains once our rm strengthens against the usd. But overall I do feel that the company might see some bright future possibly by year end. They're planning to expand their production capacity with their recent purchase of the factory in Penang which will be fully functional within 3 years. I feel it's a buying opportunity at this level. Just my two cents What's your take on this? |
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Jan 10 2023, 12:53 PM
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#5
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(snowflax24 @ Jan 10 2023, 12:41 PM) The stock has been trading sideways mainly due to lower demand for their HDD components. Pretty spot on your analysis. Taken from the edge nov 1 article: “Based on the forecast in hand, we foresee HDD demand will continue to remain weak in line with our recent industry checks suggesting inventory adjustments will likely continue at least for the next quarter towards end of 2022. On top of that, demand is seasonally weak in the first quarter of 2023.” For 3QFY2022, Dufu's net profit fell 18.92% to RM16.42 million, from RM20.25 million a year ago, on lower revenue. Earnings per share shrank to 3.1 sen in 3QFY2022, from 3.8 sen in 3QFY2021. Revenue for the quarter declined 17.88% to RM74.72 million, from RM90.99 million a year before, mainly due to the decrease in revenue related to HDD components. They will also lose out on forex gains once our rm strengthens against the usd. But overall I do feel that the company might see some bright future possibly by year end. They're planning to expand their production capacity with their recent purchase of the factory in Penang which will be fully functional within 3 years. I feel it's a buying opportunity at this level. Just my two cents What's your take on this? So, you reckon the best strategy is to be the Early Worm? Or don't you rather want to take the safer approach? Wait and see. Wait for actual indication in their earnings that the Q3 earnings was just a temp blip? |
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Jan 10 2023, 12:59 PM
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#6
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Junior Member
789 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
QUOTE(snowflax24 @ Jan 10 2023, 12:41 PM) The stock has been trading sideways mainly due to lower demand for their HDD components. good take, but i feel that it would depend highly on cloud now which needs more serverTaken from the edge nov 1 article: “Based on the forecast in hand, we foresee HDD demand will continue to remain weak in line with our recent industry checks suggesting inventory adjustments will likely continue at least for the next quarter towards end of 2022. On top of that, demand is seasonally weak in the first quarter of 2023.” For 3QFY2022, Dufu's net profit fell 18.92% to RM16.42 million, from RM20.25 million a year ago, on lower revenue. Earnings per share shrank to 3.1 sen in 3QFY2022, from 3.8 sen in 3QFY2021. Revenue for the quarter declined 17.88% to RM74.72 million, from RM90.99 million a year before, mainly due to the decrease in revenue related to HDD components. They will also lose out on forex gains once our rm strengthens against the usd. But overall I do feel that the company might see some bright future possibly by year end. They're planning to expand their production capacity with their recent purchase of the factory in Penang which will be fully functional within 3 years. I feel it's a buying opportunity at this level. Just my two cents What's your take on this? that said, decision makers are slowly leaning towards SSDs for servers than HDD dy so hopefully the management prepared enough for this |
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Jan 10 2023, 01:13 PM
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#7
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Junior Member
100 posts Joined: Sep 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
QUOTE(sadukarzz @ Jan 10 2023, 12:59 PM) good take, but i feel that it would depend highly on cloud now which needs more server Hi true. So it will be a slightly bumpy road ahead and the only way for them to stay relevant is probably to switch up their business model. I do feel that the management team is pretty prepared for the uncertain times ahead.that said, decision makers are slowly leaning towards SSDs for servers than HDD dy so hopefully the management prepared enough for this As for me, I will take a slow and steady approach in accumulating this stock. Let's see how it fares in the next coming months. |
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Jan 10 2023, 04:19 PM
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#8
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Senior Member
4,693 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(sadukarzz @ Jan 10 2023, 12:59 PM) good take, but i feel that it would depend highly on cloud now which needs more server With cloud in play more cyber attacks are expected 🤦♀️that said, decision makers are slowly leaning towards SSDs for servers than HDD dy so hopefully the management prepared enough for this Better off buying cyber companies like LGMS instead |
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