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 USD/MYR and SGD/MYR

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icemanfx
post Sep 29 2022, 04:53 AM

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Due to political pressure, bnm is resisting rate rise as long as possible.

MYR is on downtrend in the last 30 years, nothing has changed and down trends to persist.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 29 2022, 04:55 AM
icemanfx
post May 24 2023, 07:03 PM

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RM has been on downtrend in the last few decades. As there is no change in gomen policy, RM devaluation is likely to continue.
icemanfx
post May 24 2023, 11:53 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ May 24 2023, 11:49 PM)
Old days US have very low FD or interest rates...

But now everything changes..... All funds going back to US market/shores πŸ’ͺ
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Money goes where there is higher yield/gain. why bother with rm, when usd give higher interest and appreciation.

icemanfx
post May 25 2023, 12:01 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ May 24 2023, 11:55 PM)
One reason previously because of low interest rate environment there.....

But now all changes...

So all back to the shores...

Thus hurting MYR in the process too....
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US fed policy doesn't take 3rd world currency or economy into account. if bnm and mys gomen failed to adapt to us feb policy, will have to face the consequences.

icemanfx
post May 26 2023, 08:53 PM

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QUOTE(xander2k8 @ May 26 2023, 07:28 PM)
How can it be the 2nd worst performing currency when Zimbabwe and Argentina and Venezuela are worse than Malaysia πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ weakest in ASEAN in 2023 probably

No investors bother about FD rates πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ but more consistent govt policies and stability which is why Vietnam will overtake Malaysia within middle of this decade
As long as BNM has reserves in IMF and World Bank it will have adjust based on Fed policies
Yes as long as economic structure and policies doesn’t change and revamp RM will go down to drain more πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
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Until there is a drastic change in legacy policies, RM devaluation will likely continue.

QUOTE(koaydarren @ May 26 2023, 07:49 PM)
The reason is simple. A good buisness takes years to generate values. Certain groups look for tongkat and handouts and the government is forced to go for short term policy. Raising interest rate is not a long term solution. Companies are paying peanuts in Malaysia and no good people want to work in Malaysia. There goes the vicious cycle. Unless we go for a merit based policy, this country won't improve. Currency rate will just drop further.
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Low productivity, low pay is natural. Even at this low pay, few FDI is interested.

QUOTE(nexona88 @ May 26 2023, 08:34 PM)
Don't forget....

The good businesses somehow later stage would be forced take over in the name of country benefits πŸ˜”

Already have previous cases happens before.... Just saying πŸ˜‰
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National service.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 26 2023, 08:54 PM
icemanfx
post May 27 2023, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(xander2k8 @ May 27 2023, 01:44 PM)
Unlikely πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ more like rm3.50+ is a reality this year
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It is all depends on what action bnm will take.

icemanfx
post Jul 14 2023, 03:01 PM

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looks like bnm intervention today.

icemanfx
post Jul 20 2023, 03:09 PM

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Until bnm raise interest rate sufficiently, rm is likely to devalue further in the foreseeable future.

icemanfx
post Sep 6 2023, 05:51 PM

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Without raising bank interest rate, RM exchange rate has only one direction to goes. As over half of foodstuffs, etc are imported. Devalued RM will keep inflation rate high, further reducing purchasing power.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 7 2023, 05:55 AM
icemanfx
post Sep 10 2023, 01:47 PM

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QUOTE(xander2k8 @ Sep 8 2023, 03:42 PM)
BNM is tool less already πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ trying intervene the market with reserves been drain now and they only left the tool OPR which will be stagnant for awhile RM will be head to 4 and 5 territory soon with SGD and USD anytime
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Given RM track record in the last few decades, unless there is a drastic change in gomen policy, it is a matter of when not if.
icemanfx
post Oct 7 2023, 07:00 PM

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QUOTE(Danhost @ Oct 7 2023, 06:32 PM)
Someone would have some spare cash, may want to consider exchanging RM to USD and put into USD FD where running at 5.7% rate on many local banks nowadays, though of buy and sell spread and possibly RM becomes strengthen than USD, putting 1 yr USD FD will offset all these drawback considering value of RM may continuous weaker in long run against USD, thereafter second yr onwards will continue enjoy the high USD interest rate.
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It is common sense to move RM savings to USD.
icemanfx
post Oct 20 2023, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(immobile @ Oct 20 2023, 10:10 AM)
rclxub.gif  rclxub.gif  i think your assumption 4.89 is coming very soon easily. dammm....sharp eyes.
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4.89 is almost a foregone conclusion.
icemanfx
post Oct 20 2023, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(immobile @ Oct 20 2023, 11:54 AM)
rich getting richer, poor getting poorer. nazri aziz smiling as the ambassador the most powerful nation in the world.

to quote from your favourite line: only about 4% of adults in this country have over >US$100k net worth.
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And the middle class is the new poor.
icemanfx
post Oct 29 2023, 09:00 AM

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RM has been devaluating in the last few decades. Pmx economic policy is no better than umno, RM devaluation is almost certain to persist and may even accelerate.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 29 2023, 10:27 AM
icemanfx
post Oct 30 2023, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(xander2k8 @ Oct 30 2023, 02:59 PM)
PMX still daydreaming as his economic policies are only backwards for the 90s situation whereby interest are higher than now πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ he doesn’t understand that with higher inflation and lower interest rates and not try to be consistent to push rates to normalise inflation he will just kill the economy faster and still daydreaming that the magic pill is for more FDIs with slowing macroeconomic backdrop now
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pmx support of hamas deter fdi and ff to consider here.

icemanfx
post Oct 30 2023, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(xander2k8 @ Oct 30 2023, 03:10 PM)
Just wait for this quarter report will reflect πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ and if it’s bad  5 would be easily hit by CNY
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If bnm mpc decided to hold the rate this thursday, usd may hit 5.0 sooner than cny.

icemanfx
post Mar 7 2024, 12:44 PM

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QUOTE(CommodoreAmiga @ Mar 7 2024, 11:26 AM)
A millionaire in MYR is actually just normal kuli. If millionaire in USD, then can talk a bit...I think I know very few people above 40s who doesn't have RM1 million networth at least.
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According to wealth reports, only about 4% of adults in this country have over USD 100k net worth.

icemanfx
post Apr 10 2024, 09:29 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 9 2024, 09:07 AM)
As if the market/outside the kampung is blind, deaf and brain dead.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 10 2024, 09:29 AM
icemanfx
post Aug 17 2024, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 17 2024, 08:16 AM)
Yeah... These good option

But one main reason some still uses money changer is for their "special services".... On transferring money out... Their fee is higher percentage but worthy for certain high risk individuals... If you know what I mean.... 😁
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Money changer is obliged to report to bnm else risk loss licence and penalty.


 

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