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 Will you think the property market will fall soon?, will the landed property fall in 2024?

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kidmad
post Apr 28 2023, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(A.B.D. @ Apr 28 2023, 02:06 PM)
I just listened to this BFM podcast, around 6:30min the MD of Crest Builder talk about construction cost going up and house buyers need to pay more.

https://www.bfm.my/podcast/morning-run/the-...fixed-contracts

Subsale will automatically adjust pricing up too. This is another reason house prices cannot fall, especially in the high demand area. And thread title specify landed house, worse still, in high demand area it has become limited edition already.
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Back to fundamentals.. Its inflation. That drives raw material to go up indirectly the props as well.

Why don't we wind back time and look at the prop prices of early 2000s in subang area.
kidmad
post Apr 28 2023, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2023, 03:47 PM)
Many boats to Holland.
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Hahaha those whom listens to you since 2012 really all go Holland. 11 years man!! Can go back and forth.
kidmad
post May 3 2023, 02:16 PM

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QUOTE(A.B.D. @ May 3 2023, 10:56 AM)
Thank you Eric. We are very lucky today to get your detailed insider’s info here. It helps the reader to understand current situation for property industry and market thumbup.gif
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aiyah the nay sayer won't listen la... else the property bubble burst thread won't last until v20. Say all they want if property in crisis. same goes to their job, their ability to put food on the table.
kidmad
post May 3 2023, 11:54 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2023, 09:04 PM)
According to people in the trade; some commie poorperly were transacted recently at 20 to 30% lower than previously valued.
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yes it is. in 2019 i bought a unit at RM330k... now it's priced at RM280k only.
2nd Jan 2023 i bought another unit at around 670k transacted lower prior to 2019 at around 850k - 900k.

that's the thing right in any kind of investment at least for me property is part of my investment portfolio there will be win/lose. no point if it's all talk and you do not know how to value the prospective appreciation value for any form of investment. I've been collecting dividend from REITS/blue-chip stocks since 2017 boom 1 pandemic it was flat across 30% lost. So what's yr point of view?

when times are good you don't buy when times are BAD you shouldn't be investing in one at all. if the property market fall we are talking about you and others will be losing job. KLSE index will be way lower than to be hovering around 1500 points. so when property market drop so? will you buy? Such thread will just continue on and i'll be here saying the same thing again in 2030, 2040 till the day i have multiple fully paid property milking from renters.
kidmad
post May 4 2023, 12:14 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 4 2023, 12:05 AM)
If you know me long enough, may know i advocate buy when blood is knee deep on the floor. you should also know, i don't share what i bought or buy, but would voice what should not to buy.

poorperly is not the only investment option available.
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that's shit talk in 11 years right? not sharing your investment what you buy/bought just sharing shit load of negative view. What's your ill intention then? Meanwhile i'm sharing everything i've ever invested in my 13 years journey since 2010. I've gain some, i've lost some. Since 2010 6 property purchased, sold 3. made some money out of 2 while 1 was selling at break even. Those who had gone through debates with me since 2010 would even know which are the units i purchased at what price and sold at what price.

again i'm repeating this when blood is knee deep on the floor. you are on the floor. you won't have chance to buy any shit anymore.
kidmad
post May 5 2023, 07:35 AM

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QUOTE(Sihambodoh @ May 4 2023, 11:02 PM)
Ploperty flippers will face reckoning soon. 15 years of non stop printing allowed them to party for so long. Now there's no more moratorium or EPF withdrawals to help them stay afloat.

For those who say material labor cost up, how can ploperty price go down? Just look at US. When nobody buys, the market doesn't give a fuck if your cost has increased. You sell cheap or gulung tikar.
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It shows you weren't aware on what's going on in states. California and New York property went crazy, making an average joe can no longer afford a property there. They went kuku in 2018 where a studio unit alone had hikes of more than > 200k USD. A small studio would easily cost 700k USD and above. So a small studio rental cost ppl approx 2.5k USD in NYC. That's on a lower side.

The way I look at it with all their recent feds hike that's what they are asking for. Ppl started defaulting loans, rental cost has to be increased further. No way repayment can be cheap. Of course ppl will stop buying. That's because no one can afford it! Malaysia got such hike meh? Also malaysia property during 2020 pandemic it did took a hit.. 30% drop in value for most cases. U did not know?
kidmad
post May 5 2023, 07:38 AM

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QUOTE(Sihambodoh @ May 5 2023, 03:45 AM)
When there is a major recession, most will be affected but not all. Also, it doesn't have to drop like 90%. Even I don't want this country to be like Sri Lanka. But in a major recession it can drop 30% to 50%. Again using US as reference, during the GFC, properties dropped as much as 50%. Right now, even before an official recession, luxury homes have already dropped 30% while commercial real estate CRE some have dropped as much as 80%.

I really don't understand why Malaysians are so confident of our property market like our economy is so strong. Even China is struggling in their property market.

The stupidest comment I always here is labour and material price increase. Like people must buy property and can't rent. Rental market is hot now, any guesses why?
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In 2020 crisis it affects all. No one was spared. During pandemic with all those mco going on... U can't even go viewing or execute a prop purchase.

Also if it's purely economic crisis, it impacts all what are you talking man.. Have not learn enough from Sri Lanka? Or any of those African nation? Please go study what happens to a country where such economic crisis happens. Just look at sri Lanka as a case study.. Buying property when times are bad? U must be kidding me.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 07:14 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 6 2023, 06:51 AM)
Most of those bought poorperly post 2014 are under water is the reality. Until overhang is reduced substantially, price will stay suppressed.
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What you talking iceman.. 2012 only joined that's why say before 2014?

For me I'm mid 80s borned, if I could have bought prior to 2007, I could now be very close to retirement. That's when many condos selling approx 150k to 200k. Damn gooding those prices.

So do you know what's the lesson learned in this time line?
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 07:22 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 6 2023, 06:51 AM)
Those bought above 500k is under water and some are financially ruined.

300k poorperly is almost always available subject to location, size, age and type. Unrealistic assumption or expectations is impractical or ignorant.
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At least this i can agree with you. That's why I always tell others buy when your ready. Avoid new Development if possible. if die die want new make sure the developer is reputable.

Subsales has alot of perks to be honest.
1. You get to see the community when your hunting for the unit.
2. It's ready for your to move in.
3. You get to see if they could keep up with the maintenance

Only downside is the initial upfront payment which most likely you have to prepare 16% for first and second home. For multi home owners like me I had to prepare around 40%.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 11:52 AM

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QUOTE(TrialGone @ May 6 2023, 11:28 AM)
Doesn't matter what I think. What I can tell: stagnating salary, increase interest rate, inflation, etc and bank not going beyond 35 years loan. U can come up with ur own conclusion whether it goes up or down.

If it quadruple price not like I care, lol. I can earn tidy profit too.
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U which lubang keluar.. Companies like cimb, BP, tng,scope they are still paying 30% increase despite employees having 20k pay package. So many of my colleagues kena poach this year.. Within my team 2 gone.. Pay package closing to 30k doing the same thing.. We just can't match them.

Meanwhile I'm asking my management when can we have a hike. Matter of time we lose everyone. If your salary is stagnant I'm more worried for you yourself. Not the property market.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 11:53 AM

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QUOTE(nxtpg @ May 6 2023, 11:50 AM)
if u sold all units by 2015, keep the money in 4%compounding returns, u r earning. very good passive income compared to holding the property itself since2015. agree?
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Well yeah I did that too back in 2012.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(nxtpg @ May 6 2023, 11:47 AM)
yes. landed is 100x better than condo, in holding value.... old units however did drop a bit from 2015 pricing... and remained stagnant.  but got some gng price increased a bit
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Condo has its worth too.. Condo you would not need to topup that much for your monthly home repayment.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 11:57 AM

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QUOTE(TrialGone @ May 6 2023, 11:53 AM)
.... Sorry did I said I don't own a house?
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I'm talking bout your salary not your house. Your the one phrasing it about pay stagnant.

Also If you own a house you hope for a fall for what? These are good example of preaching and practicing different principal in life. Also you guys are a joke. If those houses not own by someone good luck in trying to even rent one. Rentals logic 404.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(xSean @ May 6 2023, 12:45 PM)
What job their get from rm20k to rm30k?
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All It field. Solutions I think it's ridiculous when IT are in the league of doctors pay package.


QUOTE(A.B.D. @ May 6 2023, 12:55 PM)
No wonder can own so many properties and can pay 40% down payment. Well done! thumbup.gif
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Save and invest and it's a long term thingy. I was debating with this iceman when his first day in forum sharing all the loom and gloom stories. They still have not woken up to this day.. There is this the other guy bearbearwong? Already purchased a unit, moved on have a family. Good for him.

Every once a while we will have a newbie with this thought that prop price will sky fall.. If prices fell at those kind of level you also won't be buying.. Take this pandemic as an example.. 2020 my puri aiyu unit fell to transacted price at 330k!! I was so tempted to buy the penthouse at rm520k back then! Similar to share it's just paper lost to be honest. Now 2023 it went back to the price before the pandemic. Bought in 2010, 10 more years my tenant will pay it off for me le.

Anyway I stay, live and work in Cyberjaya, the unit I bought before pandemic in 2019 took a hit but Im riding the wave and continue buyinga bigger one for myself in late 2022.

2033, I'll still be here.. Let's see where we are by then.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 02:02 PM

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QUOTE(Sihambodoh @ May 6 2023, 01:55 PM)
Not all who are calling for property correction are newbies who own and know nothing or will be affected by a major recession.

Most can't or dare not buy, but what makes you think the so called newbies won't buy in a crash? You assume they are salary man like yourself?
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Simple when you don't have the balls to buy when times are good what makes u think ull suddenly grow a pair and go for it?
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 07:49 PM

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QUOTE(Sihambodoh @ May 6 2023, 02:13 PM)
Making money is not about having the balls. It is about using the brain. If you wanna use your balls, use in a fist fight but even that you might lose to someone who uses their brain.

I got my net worth and my 2 fully paid using my brain. And I sure as hell won't use my balls in my future purchase decisions. That's what separates you from me.
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Now you sound like those pak lebai. So buy or no buy? Suddenly claim 'oh I have 2 unit I damn smart, I use my brains'. Clap for you la. One more to my ignore list.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(TrialGone @ May 6 2023, 02:15 PM)
U r right. Unfortunately time is not good now. Lol.
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When was it ever good for you?

QUOTE(TrialGone @ May 6 2023, 03:49 PM)
Hopeful? Dude nobody wants prop to crash like amurica 2008. But prop pipu telling pipu or implying that ur house will worth 200% in future if buy now is deceitful and actually accelerating that crash.
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Who told you it will appreciate 200%?since 2007 is always the forumer with negative opening thread saying property will crash.. I've not seen an agent opening thread saying their project will appreciate 200%. Except now that you mentioned.

Read the title again. Such thread had been open since I first joined the forum. Unfortunately the fall had came and go. Now property will just be left afloat and let's see in 10 years time whether it will fall. Hope your still around to prove me wrong but then.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 07:55 PM

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QUOTE(A.B.D. @ May 6 2023, 05:39 PM)
I read the Cyberjaya example icemanfx showed. It has extra problems as explained by AskarPerang in #4500 of that thread

“The defaulter owner did not do MOT yet.
No buyer can buy direct from this owner.

In normal subsale market, the seller will need to settle MOT before selling.
But coz this is force sale by the bank, the winning bidder will need to settle this MOT first. And then only can proceed to the normal transfer (2nd transfer). Hence the name double transfer.”
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Iceman is a very unique kind of animal. He only post and share narrative which suits his agenda. Exactly like done politician.
kidmad
post May 6 2023, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(xSean @ May 6 2023, 04:45 PM)
There are rm20-30k iIT job but not many. You also don't know what position...then you though many get above RM20k.

Management will not stupid just pay from RM20K to RM30K. Some companies can pay just because needed people for project and if the project done, they will retrench this group of kuli.

RM20K also quite good package and able to find talent.

IT change very fast, you get RM20k now, should save for rainy day.
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It change very fast yes it is but so does the ppl. Already 13 years in this field learning new things everyday. I have alot for rainy days else how to form out 40% down payment wo. Why don't you start finding base on the company names over just shared? They are mass hiring.. Some don't even need to be talented, easily 15k.
kidmad
post May 7 2023, 07:34 AM

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QUOTE(xSean @ May 6 2023, 10:57 PM)
Yes, I asking what kind of position. You just say IT and solution. And you doing what IT or your job?
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IT what position? Please learn how to ask the right question. Your desperate to know what role gives u such numeration. In general you don't even need to be a manager, the pays are decent across all the IT role. If you are in IT start looking up SFIA.

QUOTE(TrialGone @ May 6 2023, 11:00 PM)
So is this year a good time? Next year a good time? Maybe a last year?

I don't know. I been hearing this since a decade ago already Hahahaha.

Even got one time one prop agent guy told me the 1mil prop can resell for rm2mil next year. Buy now, this year good year, cheap prop (rm1mil apparently is cheap lol). Lol. Lucky I didn't listen to him and got myself just right priced subsale below market price.
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So time was never good for u in the last decade?

QUOTE(ChAOoz @ May 7 2023, 12:13 AM)
Iceman is a perma bear. But another thing i observe is he rarely makes any decision not just in property but all other forms of investment type.

Apart from property actually his negative perception came true like the case of his bursa croc pond warning or his bitcoin prediction. He could actually made a lot of money last year short selling all those things based on his believe, but i din’t see any indication he pull the trigger on any of these bear views.

Or perhaps he just playing the role of a market observer like he always said
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Well that's the thing he just share all around not to buy this and that suddenly came out with grandfather story I sold 2 units in 2014. Damn hypocrite right? Ask ppl not to buy but suddenly selling property. Exactly like those pak lebai preach one thing but practice the polar opposite.

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