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 Will you think the property market will fall soon?, will the landed property fall in 2024?

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A.B.D.
post May 6 2023, 12:51 PM

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QUOTE(nxtpg @ May 6 2023, 11:50 AM)
if u sold all units by 2015, keep the money in 4%compounding returns, u r earning. very good passive income compared to holding the property itself since2015. agree?
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Depends on sold what property. The one more people have is the investment condo, if bought a good one pre 2010, sold in 2015 and put into EPF it’s even better than FD, and it’s worthwhile to forgo being able to touch it until reaching the age for partial withdrawal. But this is benefit of hindsight lah. A good condo will still be generating positive cashflow even during MCO. When 12 months moratorium was available that was a chance to cash in on some paper gains also, if haven’t paid up by then.
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post May 6 2023, 12:55 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ May 6 2023, 11:52 AM)
U which lubang keluar.. Companies like cimb, BP, tng,scope they are still paying 30% increase despite employees having 20k pay package. So many of my colleagues kena poach this year.. Within my team 2 gone.. Pay package closing to 30k doing the same thing.. We just can't match them.

Meanwhile I'm asking my management when can we have a hike. Matter of time we lose everyone. If your salary is stagnant I'm more worried for you yourself. Not the property market.
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No wonder can own so many properties and can pay 40% down payment. Well done! thumbup.gif
A.B.D.
post May 6 2023, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(Sihambodoh @ May 6 2023, 02:13 PM)
Making money is not about having the balls. It is about using the brain. If you wanna use your balls, use in a fist fight but even that you might lose to someone who uses their brain.

I got my net worth and my 2 fully paid using my brain. And I sure as hell won't use my balls in my future purchase decisions. That's what separates you from me.
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When it is not risk free, investing need balls also. For many people, myself included, when opportunity arises the brain says easy profit but end up putting in small amounts only. Earn few hundred % on RM few k
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post May 6 2023, 05:39 PM

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I read the Cyberjaya example icemanfx showed. It has extra problems as explained by AskarPerang in #4500 of that thread

“The defaulter owner did not do MOT yet.
No buyer can buy direct from this owner.

In normal subsale market, the seller will need to settle MOT before selling.
But coz this is force sale by the bank, the winning bidder will need to settle this MOT first. And then only can proceed to the normal transfer (2nd transfer). Hence the name double transfer.”
A.B.D.
post May 7 2023, 11:17 AM

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QUOTE(jojolicia @ May 6 2023, 05:31 PM)

P/S. Your defination 'underwater', i actually only hear  this term of late. Is it holding in short the older version.

Or here in lyn, i find ppl equates rental not covering installment + maintenance (if any) is 'underwater'?? Is this what underwater really means here?

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icemanfx question for you I believe
A.B.D.
post May 7 2023, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 7 2023, 01:26 PM)
Hypocrite would be the one selling and telling others to buy
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That’s the definition of salesperson by the way.
Now because of you whenever I meet one I will see “hypocrite” on their forehead
A.B.D.
post May 7 2023, 09:23 PM

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QUOTE(Sihambodoh @ May 7 2023, 05:53 PM)
I have to disagree with your statement that if for own stay price movement has no impact. Taking the example of Mirage by the Lake, if you bought at 1m, now subsale 500k, are you sure you won't feel anything? I know I would be so butthurt lol.

Well nobody can predict if the price will go up or down but some times it is quite obvious. For example now, global tightening, interest rates going up, banks collapsing, companies retrenching, EPF no more withdrawals, what do you think the price of properties will be like 12 months from now?

So why buy now when you can get a better deal 6 to 12 months later? Instead of paying 5k installment, you could be paying 3.5k and have 1.5k extra to put into ASM. Just saying.
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jrshow TS take note, wait 6-12 months will be better, hope you get your Subang Jaya house for the price you wanted
A.B.D.
post May 7 2023, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 7 2023, 05:24 PM)
There are many condo in kv built 10, 20, 30 and even 40 years ago. Their current price could be indicator of new launch price in 10, 20 and 30 years time.

If one track these old condo price would find their price rise at about or often below inflation rate in the last few decades. The drastic price rise was 1984-1987, 1994-1997 and 2011-2015, price was largely stagnant the rest of time. Funny to find many novices took snake oil seller as gospel while historical data is available.

Those own these condo are welcome to comment.

For own stay, price rise or drop has no material impact. Home is meant for dwelling not a investment. One should buy within its mean and could trade up with rising income. DSR >30% is financially stressed.
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Exactly the experience of many boomers. Many bought during 80s peak, just before the big recession, the value of their house fell significantly. But I think can’t be underwater by much because back then down payment was higher. Anyway for own stay, just continue paying and to fully settle within 20 years is normal back then. In their case the paper loss after their purchase was irrelevant and they gained a lot in value later.
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post May 7 2023, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(jrshow @ May 7 2023, 10:22 PM)
Long waited edy ma
Price going up as interest up again,inflation,Rental going up owner holding power stronger,Has been increasing n property mkt is good now,Time for business to recover。。。
My agent reply....
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Wait so long already 6-12months is nothing la. Not like you can buy today also, that’s why open thread and asking right…

But your target area also many born and bred Subang kids are earning $$$ overseas, RM is weak and if they wanna invest in hometown they can pay the high asking prices as long as the unit is nice. Now Anwar PM some more, lagi want to invest back home.
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post May 8 2023, 06:57 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 8 2023, 02:57 PM)
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It says bank value RM2m but I have doubts whether that is true. If it didn’t have issues then yes can be RM2m like a quiet and pleasant corner house in nearby Damansara Jaya.

This post has been edited by A.B.D.: May 8 2023, 06:57 PM
A.B.D.
post May 8 2023, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(clyeoh1980 @ May 8 2023, 11:06 PM)
after so much talk, so back to the title itself will property price drop ?
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Yes. Expect price drop to happen in 6-12months or by Nov 2023 to May 2024. Explanation is in post #774.
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post May 9 2023, 09:03 AM

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QUOTE(clyeoh1980 @ May 9 2023, 08:22 AM)
sure or not, newly launch project in alma, bukit mertajam, terrace house - 700K+....crazy... drop ? i don't think so....
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Not I say one
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post May 9 2023, 09:05 AM

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QUOTE(TrialGone @ May 9 2023, 08:57 AM)
Lots of sos. But mostly just average based on agent, and prop site. I sometimes help friends and relatives moving to look for rental.

Then minus 10% to 20% if nego cause of them overpriced in anticipation of haggling.
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Use transaction data like brickz and edgeprop. They are selling it but if free will be limited to last few transactions
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post May 9 2023, 09:18 AM

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QUOTE(Dark Butterfly @ May 9 2023, 01:13 AM)
Already dropped...

People who is still denying most probably a property agent
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Or people whose target price for the prop they want to buy is not met yet. Therefore they are wishing for more drop in their favour.
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post May 9 2023, 09:23 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 8 2023, 04:18 PM)
This land size could rebuild to 16 to 20 rooms for rental.
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So far this is the best use for such prop, provided can get all the required approvals. Or biz like daycare, confinement centre but depends on the noise level there also.
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post May 9 2023, 03:07 PM

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QUOTE(ltf_195 @ May 9 2023, 02:50 PM)
Waiting for property market fall since I'm married in 2011 to buy my own house. then I give up and bought house in 2017. Even during covid, housing price is not much effect. Why tf properties market is so strong??
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Where did you buy in 2017?

Was it in your target area or different from initial target area?
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post May 9 2023, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE(ltf_195 @ May 9 2023, 03:13 PM)
Ipoh. Yes within target area
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QUOTE(ltf_195 @ May 9 2023, 02:50 PM)
Waiting for property market fall since I'm married in 2011 to buy my own house. then I give up and bought house in 2017. Even during covid, housing price is not much effect. Why tf properties market is so strong??
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all those years waiting to buy a house, you maintained your target area and eventually bought.

that should answer your question, it was demand from you and others like you in the same area.

that's why your own experience was that the property market was so strong.
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post May 9 2023, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(Ohfv9 @ May 9 2023, 04:02 PM)
I do believe this topic surely discussed or concerned since my parent's generation. The property market still going strong nowadays. Meaningless
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It’s repetitive for sure. The same words spoken by different characters over the years.

Meaningless? It depends. To the relevant parties, property talk is like a pulse of the industry. No talk is bad, no demand, means ICU already. A lot of talk means active, hot and running fast.
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post May 9 2023, 04:33 PM

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QUOTE(ltf_195 @ May 9 2023, 04:24 PM)
Well, thats quite funny. You are telling me that I have control over the property market. That mean if I still havent buy the house, or buy the house outside my area, the property market in my area will already collapse. What about people that not afford to buy house since 2011, did the property market in their universe collapse too, because they cannot be in the same universe as me right?

Lets be honest, you're property agent and everyone know about supply and demand theory. But lets be realistic, the property market is really strong despite various of gov policies, gov campaign, economic crisis, political crisis, covid-19 and so on, still property market is going strong. Will it fall? probably, but we didn't when. Property agent is one of many who afraid of property market fall because they will lose their job. Even rumors about property market fall like this thread will effect their income
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You and those who demanded the area have about equal responsibility. After everyone stop buying the collapse will happen.

I’m sure there are under performing properties outside Ipoh. But you ignore it. Just like KL and PJ people reject bungalow in Rawang but will wish for crash to happen in their area.

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post May 9 2023, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(ltf_195 @ May 9 2023, 04:55 PM)
This is still a theory. In reality, there's alot other factor will affect it not only demand. For example, if bank stop provide loan for property or increase interest for property loan drastically, doesn't matter how much the demand is, the market will start to fall

Yes, you're right. But we are talking about the malaysia market in general. I still dont understand your point. My point is, the market is still going strong and nothing can stop it so far. Would you agree?
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The example I gave is to point out that since it is not possible for a desired area to have zero demand, then how high is the possibility of crash? Lelong also will see buyers push higher and higher because it’s worth it for them. Bank will always lend to qualified borrowers. Since you look for property in 2011 until now, government has tried to keep interest rate low without big jumps to encourage economic activity.

General trend, meaning all properties combined, is up, yes. There’s data few pages back.
But it’s made up of so many states, towns, tamans & types of properties, and not all are up, some areas are down. So there are super performers causing the general trend to be up. These areas also tend to be the target of people waiting for crash. Anyway my point is personal experience of property market is different like someone who wants to buy in hot area only or trying to sell their prop in dead area. General trend has limited use to an individual.

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