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 SG Savings Bond (SSB) & Treasury Bills (T-bills), Guaranteed by Singapore Government

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SUSTOS
post Nov 20 2022, 08:22 PM

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Source: https://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/threads/...769601/page-405

SUSTOS
post Nov 22 2022, 01:07 PM

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Today's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off Yield4.12% p.a.4.5%p.a.
Median Yield3.85% p.a.4.25%p.a.
Average Yield3.19% p.a.3.76%p.a.

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-11-25
12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-11-25

So, tomorrow gonna bid 4.5% p.a. for the 6-month T-bill. smile.gif
SUSTOS
post Nov 22 2022, 02:42 PM

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QUOTE(Fate Collide @ Nov 22 2022, 02:34 PM)
T-Bill liquidity a bit worrying hmm.gif
*
Ya, that's correct. 2% spread for selling them to the 3 primary dealers DBS, UOB and OCBC. So, time your cash flow "accurately".

Onshore SGD FDs are comparable alternatives.

Otherwise, you can use SSB if the interest far exceeds the (2+2 = 4) SGD transaction costs, or if you can swallow FX risk, USD FDs/US T-Bills/ US T-bill ETFs are close substitutes.

This post has been edited by TOS: Nov 22 2022, 02:42 PM
SUSTOS
post Nov 23 2022, 10:14 AM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 23 2022, 09:45 AM)
I bid 4% this time round. If still cannot get then i will go for DBS eFD again but i read the DBS promotion has ended. Have to wait for new promo then.
*
You don't have other SG bank accounts to place onshore SGD FD?
SUSTOS
post Nov 23 2022, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 23 2022, 09:45 AM)
I bid 4% this time round. If still cannot get then i will go for DBS eFD again but i read the DBS promotion has ended. Have to wait for new promo then.
*
I received DBS FD promo today. New promo code, so I guess it's another campaign: https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...ost&p=105950711

Anyway, I bid 4.35% p.a., pity those Sporeans... tongue.gif
SUSTOS
post Nov 24 2022, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 24 2022, 03:47 PM)
Cut off yield for T bill BS22123S 3.9%

[attachmentid=11314329]
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yawn.gif
SUSTOS
post Nov 24 2022, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 24 2022, 04:38 PM)
So many lowballers. Next t bill maybe 3.8% puke.gif
*
Made it to the front page of Bloomberg...Must be too popular...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...h-record-yields (May need to bypass paywall to read)

The Edge has a "copy" of the article, without paywall: https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/sing..._medium=Website

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I notice it's 60 bp behind 3-month, similar to last time... Gone are those good days where the spreads are just 5-20 bp... bye.gif

This post has been edited by TOS: Nov 24 2022, 06:24 PM
SUSTOS
post Nov 25 2022, 11:40 AM

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Today is the last day to apply for the Dec 22 SSB.

https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/Sing...e-Savings-Bonds

Do so via OCBC and UOB before 12 pm (or 5 pm?, can't be sure, check your respective internet banking settings.)

DBS deadline is 9pm tonight.

Jan 23 bond rates are available for comparison here: https://www.ilovessb.com/
SUSTOS
post Nov 26 2022, 01:03 PM

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From BT 251122:

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SUSTOS
post Nov 28 2022, 04:06 PM

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SSB Dec 22 allotment result has been published. https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-12-01

QUOTE
This Savings Bond was allotted using the Quantity Ceiling format. Applicants who applied for S$14,000 or lower were fully allotted, subject to the individual allotment limits.
Applicants who applied for S$14,500 or higher were allotted either S$14,000 or S$14,500.
Approximately 39.34% of these applicants were selected at random and allotted the additional S$500.



SUSTOS
post Nov 30 2022, 09:02 AM

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Yesterday's 4-week and 12-week MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off Yield5.49% p.a.4.5%p.a.
Median Yield4.22% p.a.4.3%p.a.
Average Yield3.68% p.a.3.96%p.a.

4-week 5.49% is crazy yield figure... The SG institutions all pakat and bully cheng hu laugh.gif

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-12-02

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-12-02
SUSTOS
post Nov 30 2022, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 30 2022, 11:21 AM)
Yet the sg pipu so dumb bid low2 for the t bills  doh.gif
*
Did sgh bid "low low"? (If yes, that means he says you are dumb. laugh.gif)

Actually, cannot blame them entirely. It's law of one price at work. SG government sets a much-lower-than-market risk-free rate for their CPF accounts, so it's rational for people to queue for hours just to secure a higher rate of return on their CPF savings by investing in T-bills, which carries the same risk profile as CPF accounts.

In the end CPF proceeds, (which goes into purchasing SSGS first) and T-bills proceeds all go to GIC in the long run, so it is always in the interest of GIC to borrow with a lower rate from CPF savers. Principal-agent problem.

Anyway, GIC will have to work hard these few years. Free money era is over.
SUSTOS
post Nov 30 2022, 01:55 PM

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QUOTE(tradingGo @ Nov 30 2022, 12:41 PM)
How does the bond work?

Must submit a bid price like in the stock market?
*
You can look up MAS official website for info on SG T-bills: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/Sing...for-Individuals

QUOTE
Treasury bills (T-bills) are short-term Singapore Government Securities (SGS) issued at a discount to their face value. Investors receive the full face value at maturity. The Government issues 6-month and 1-year T-bills.


Reddevil has his own version on HWZ, which is easier for you to understand: https://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/threads/...-bills.6769601/

------------------------------------------

The bill (Technically, <1 year maturity = bill, 2-10 year = note, >10 year = bond) is issued at discount to par value of 1000 SGD. So, you pay in multiples of 1000 SGD to MAS, MAS refund the discount to you, and at maturity, MAS return you the multiples of 1000 SGD you paid earlier. 3 cashflows involved.

The bidding process is called "uniform price auction". There are 2 ways you can purchase the T-bill. Non-competitive bid vs competitive bid.

Reddevil summarized those 2 processes in his post.

QUOTE
When you apply for T-bills, there are 2 options, competitive or non-competitive bids.

Non-competitive = you will accept whatever yield (i.e., Cut-off Yield) that came out from the auction. In other words, if the cut-off yield is 2%, think of it as if you interest on an annualised basis is going to be 2%.

So if you were to apply for $1,000 for a t-bill with 6 months tenor, you will almost immediately after the auction get back ~$10 upfront. Then your $1,000 will be credited back to you at the end of the 6 months.

Competitive = you want a baseline as to what yield you might want to accept. So example, you can find a yield of 2.5% somewhere else, so you wouldn't bid for T-bills if you don't get better than 2.5% from it, in that case you may want to put in a competitive bid of 2.55%.

Should the eventual cut-off yield be 2.7%, you will get the t-bill, but instead of getting a yield of 2.55%, you will get a yield of 2.7%.

Should the eventual cut-off yield be 2.2%, you will get nothing.

To conclude for Competitive

If your bid is < cut-off yield, you will definitely get the full allocation an the yield is the cut-off yield

If your bid is = cut-off yield, your allocation is pro-rata (stand to be corrected) and the yield is the cut-off yield

If your bid is > cut-off yield, you get nothing.
------------------------------

Use non-competitive bid if you really want those T-bills regardless of what yield is given. Use competitive bid (i.e., you need to enter a bid yield) to ensure a minimum floor which means you won't accept any yield below your stipulated bid yield.

You will need a CDP-linked bank account with DBS, UOB and OCBC plus a CDP account in Singapore in order to be able to purchase T-bills or SSBs.
SUSTOS
post Nov 30 2022, 05:08 PM

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QUOTE(tradingGo @ Nov 30 2022, 04:51 PM)
Are the returns usually lower than FDs?
*
You asked a very good question. There should be only one risk-free rate for each tenure.

T-bills therefore should yield somewhere close to SGD onshore FD (promo) rates.

I can't speak for the past few years when yields are close to 0. For this year, when yields are rising, the observation is T-bills rate pull ahead first, as they follow US T-bill rates. The SG banks are the last in line to play catch-up game.

So, right now the returns are quite close. 6-month onshore SGD FD promo rates from major SG banks are somewhere around 3.5-3.9% p.a. and (no) thanks to the huge influx of CPF money in the last two 6-month T-bills issues, the 6-month bill now yields 3.9% p.a., so that amounts to a difference of some 40-50 basis points, depending on which bank you are looking at.

Large stable S-banks usually carry lower promo FD rates at 3.5-3.55% whereas smaller/foreign banks like BOC offer better rates of 3.85-3.9% p.a though you end up with a slightly higher (counterparty) risk. https://sgfd.neocities.org/


SUSTOS
post Nov 30 2022, 06:33 PM

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CPF Board announced yesterday that the various CPF account rates remain unchanged through 31st March 2023.

https://www.cpf.gov.sg/member/infohub/news/...re-sum-for-2023

It's gonna be tough for the next few months for SG T-bill bidding.
SUSTOS
post Dec 1 2022, 04:46 PM

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Jan 2023 SSB rates announced today. Closing date: 27 Dec 2022, 9pm.

https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-01-03

Amount offered: 900 million SGD
SUSTOS
post Dec 1 2022, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(zebras @ Dec 1 2022, 10:39 PM)
How about Malaysia government bond?
Anyone is buying Malaysia government bond?
*
lol Malaysia government securities are on a very different risk spectrum. Malaysia government securities are issued mostly to institutions like banks, insurance companies and local asset management firms. Foreign investors like them too.

QUOTE
Malaysian Government securities are marketable debt instruments issued by the Government of Malaysia to raise funds from the domestic capital market. The central bank (Bank Negara Malaysia) acts as banker and adviser to the Government and assists in planning and facilitating issuances through market infrastructure that it owns and operates. Currently, the various forms of Government securities in Malaysia are:

Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) - long-term interest-bearing debt securities issued by the Government of Malaysia to raise funds from the domestic capital market for development expenditure
Malaysian Government Investment Issues (MGII) - long-term Islamic Government securities, issued based on established Shariah principles
Malaysian Treasury Bills (MTB) - short-term discount securities issued by the Government of Malaysia for working capital
Malaysian Islamic Treasury Bills (MITB) - short-term Islamic Government securities, issued based on established Shariah principles


Source: https://www.bnm.gov.my/financialmarkets/bondmarket

Malaysia government rarely sell bonds directly to the public. (The last time they did that was during the issuance of Sukuk Prihatin, can Google the details of that bond online).

For now, the most straightforward way is to buy Malaysia government securities on FSM MY bond express platform. https://www.fsmone.com.my/bonds/bond-express/retail-bonds

The minimum denomination can be quite high at 10,000 MYR. Also beware that bonds held on FSM are subject to counterparty risk (FSM is holding it for you). There is no CDS-like central depository facility in Malaysia for bonds, unlike Singapore.

Hope that helps.
SUSTOS
post Dec 3 2022, 01:19 PM

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SSB Dec 2022 offer posted in BT 021222.

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Tomorrow's BT Weekend Brunch section will be about SG T-bill 101 Q&A. Stay tuned.
SUSTOS
post Dec 4 2022, 11:59 AM

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As promised yesterday, BT's Weekend 03-041222's 3 -page "T-bills 101".

BT cover page:

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------------------------

The 3-page article:

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This post has been edited by TOS: Dec 4 2022, 12:00 PM
SUSTOS
post Dec 6 2022, 02:03 PM

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MAS Bill results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield4.8%4.65%
Median yield3.75%4.47%
Average yield3.15%3.82%

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-12-09

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2022-12-09

This post has been edited by TOS: Dec 6 2022, 02:03 PM

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