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 SG Savings Bond (SSB) & Treasury Bills (T-bills), Guaranteed by Singapore Government

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SUSTOS
post Sep 26 2023, 02:01 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield4.11%4.06%
Median yield3.95%3.99%
Average yield3.45%3.41%
BTC ratio1.731.86

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-09-29

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-09-29
SUSTOS
post Sep 27 2023, 06:16 PM

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6M T-bill auction closes at 9 pm today.

Offshore SGD implied yield based on SG OIS SORA and US SOFR reference curve: 3.72% - 3.77% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Onshore SGD implied yield based on same condition as above: 4.02-4.03% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


MAS published last bid quote (by primary dealers) of BS23118S maturing 19 Mar 2024: 3.75% p.a.

https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

Looking at above figures, I will bid 3.7% p.a. This time I also bid 2000 SGD, both from OCBC, now that the Frank debit card is fully functional and activated. Not trusting the fishy 3.5% p.a. marketing trick by CIMB SG anymore...

Lend money to Cheng hu is still the best option! laugh.gif

It's interesting to note 1-year T-bill is approaching 3.7% p.a. as well.


SUSTOS
post Sep 28 2023, 01:55 PM

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FINALLY! It breaks 4%!!! 4.07%

Today's 6M bill auction result:

% of Competitive Applications at Cut-off AllottedApproximately 99%
% of Non-Competitive Applications Allotted100%
Bid-to-Cover Ratio1.76
Cut-off Yield (Price)4.07% p.a. (97.971)
Median Yield (Price)3.62% p.a. (98.195)
Average Yield (Price)3.51% p.a. (98.25)

Source: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-03

Once again, OCBC's damn fast!

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Discount money also credited liao...

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Cheng Hu's T-bill beats CIMB SG hands down... lol

This post has been edited by TOS: Sep 28 2023, 04:17 PM
SUSTOS
post Sep 28 2023, 05:44 PM

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https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

The 6M yield quoted by primary dealers jumped to 3.94% p.a., 1Y T-bill now 3.76% p.a. !
SUSTOS
post Oct 2 2023, 08:37 PM

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SSB rates skyrocket as well.

Issue size upped $200 million to 1 billion!

SBNOV23 (Announced)

Year from issue date12345678910
Interest %3.213.213.213.213.213.213.303.523.633.63
Average return per year %3.213.213.213.213.213.213.223.253.293.32

*At the end of each year, on a compounded basis.

Closing Date: 26 Oct 2023

Source: hwckhs/HWZ, MAS
SUSTOS
post Oct 3 2023, 08:17 AM

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For those who are interested, some slight difference in custodian technicalities between US and SG T-bills (also apply to other Treasury notes/bonds).

QUOTE
Brokers handling U.S. Treasuries typically can handle initial auction orders too. That part doesn’t change. TreasuryDirect is just another option for those who are eligible to use it.

As background, TreasuryDirect has no analog in Singapore. For U.S. persons (and possibly a few others) the U.S. Department of the Treasury (through its Bureau of the Public Debt, I believe) operates its own channel for direct public participation in auctions of U.S. Treasuries. U.S. persons are not obliged to use this channel (TreasuryDirect) specifically, but it’s a popular option. In Singapore we have what are called “primary dealers,” and the retail public places their orders through their channels. The U.S. Treasury also offers direct custody services for these bonds/notes/bills/securities. Here in Singapore we don’t have that either. The custody is via CDP or (for SRS and CPF) primary dealers. U.S. Treasuries still have primary dealers, of course.


Source: BBCWatcher/HWZ

SUSTOS
post Oct 3 2023, 01:11 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield4%4.07%
Median yield3.9%4%
Average yield3.35%3.54%
BTC ratio2.281.86

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-06

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-06

The 4-week MAS bill demand spiked, likely due to worries about US government shutdown earlier. BTC ratio increased 30% from 1.73 last week to 2.28 this week. 12-week rate remains stable.
SUSTOS
post Oct 4 2023, 07:11 PM

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1-year T-bill breaks above 3.80%!

5-year SGS breaks 3.40%.

10-year SGS breaks above 3.50%!

20-year SGS yield rose 10 basis points in a day to 3.31% from 3.18% yesterday. 30-year and 50-year yields also rose 10 basis points in just one day.

SGD.MYR reaches 3.45 as of now.

https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

This post has been edited by TOS: Oct 4 2023, 07:12 PM
SUSTOS
post Oct 8 2023, 03:51 PM

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War in the middle east will likely result in flight to risk-free assets, SG T-bills yield might drop...

But on the other hand, USD and oil price will go up. If expected inflation number ticks up, should help moderate the impact of the rush to T-bills...
SUSTOS
post Oct 9 2023, 01:48 PM

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https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-...orts-lose-steam

MAS Monetary Policy Statement due for release at 8 am on the 13th of October.

https://www.mas.gov.sg/monetary-policy/adva...elease-calendar
SUSTOS
post Oct 10 2023, 01:20 PM

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DBS now informs users about their T-bill application via email.

QUOTE
Now DBS send email confirmation after placing my bid in cash.

Not sure if they will send email of the bid results, will only know on Thursday.


Source: oric1/HWZ

SUSTOS
post Oct 10 2023, 02:26 PM

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SGD.MYR hit 3.47 again today.

This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield3.99%4.09%
Median yield3.9%3.95%
Average yield3.52%3.55%
BTC ratio1.981.97

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-13

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-13
SUSTOS
post Oct 11 2023, 06:52 PM

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6M T-bill auction closes at 9 pm today.

Offshore SGD implied yield based on SG OIS SORA and US SOFR reference curve: 3.66% - 3.70% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Onshore SGD implied yield based on same condition as above: 3.94-3.96% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


MAS published last bid quote (by primary dealers) of BS23119H maturing 02 Apr 2024: 3.91% p.a.

https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

Looking at above figures, I will bid 3.85% p.a. This time I also bid 2000 SGD, both from OCBC.

Looks like the issue 2 weeks back was due to some traders bidding 6M T-bill using onshore rates instead of offshore rates, hence the jump in yield.
SUSTOS
post Oct 12 2023, 02:46 PM

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Today's 6M bill auction result:

% of Competitive Applications at Cut-off AllottedApproximately 68%
% of Non-Competitive Applications Allotted79%
Bid-to-Cover Ratio2.73
Cut-off Yield (Price)3.87% p.a. (98.07)
Median Yield (Price)3.66% p.a. (98.175)
Average Yield (Price)3.37% p.a. (98.32)

Source: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-17

OCBC's kind of slow today. BTC almost 3 times, a very hot issue, no wonder COY comes down.

Next week's 1Y T-bill might be hot as well...
SUSTOS
post Oct 13 2023, 08:01 AM

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MAS policy statement:

QUOTE
MAS will therefore maintain the prevailing rate of appreciation of the S$NEER policy band. There will be no change to its width and the level at which it is centred. MAS will closely monitor global and domestic economic developments, amid uncertainty on both inflation and growth.


https://www.mas.gov.sg/news/monetary-policy...atement-13oct23

They will shift to a quarterly MPC statement announcement from next year. The next MPC statement is scheduled for release in late January 2024.

This post has been edited by TOS: Oct 14 2023, 10:13 PM
SUSTOS
post Oct 13 2023, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(ccschua @ Oct 13 2023, 04:21 PM)
does this mean MAS is intentionally strengthening its currency against the basket of currency ?
*
MAS has always appreciated its currency to counter inflation. Singapore does not set its monetary policy based on interest rate but through currency instead.

MAS has good reason to believe that inflation will come back with the war in Middle East and a resilient US economy.
SUSTOS
post Oct 17 2023, 01:10 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield4.09%4.11%
Median yield3.91%3.99%
Average yield3.62%3.55%
BTC ratio2.211.91

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-20

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-10-20

4-week a bit hot yet COY jumped 10 basis points from last week. 12-week yield stable, little changed from last week.

Tomorrow 9pm is 1Y T-bill application deadline. Bloomberg screenshots will be provided around 5.30-6 pm. Stay tuned!
SUSTOS
post Oct 17 2023, 01:28 PM

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QUOTE(ccschua @ Oct 17 2023, 01:19 PM)
seems like going up.

tomorrow is the opening of 1Y T Bill. close 1 week later.
*
Err, no. Tomorrow is the closing for 1Y T-bill. Auction for 1Y takes place this Thursday, 19th Oct, which is 2 day from now.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


6M T-bill will open on the same day as 1Y T-bill auction date (19th Oct), but no need to be in a hurry for bidding. It's too early for 6M.
SUSTOS
post Oct 18 2023, 12:53 PM

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One warm reminder for DBS users:

CPF-OA deadline for T-bill application has been pushed forward to align with cash application (i.e., both will close at 9pm today).

Reported from hwckhs/HWZ.
SUSTOS
post Oct 18 2023, 05:49 PM

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Here we go!

1Y T-bill auction closes at 9 pm today.

Offshore SGD implied yield based on SG OIS SORA and US SOFR reference curve: 3.62% - 3.71% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Onshore SGD implied yield based on same condition as above: 3.91-3.92% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


MAS published last bid quote (by primary dealers) of BY23102N maturing 30 July 2024: 3.82% p.a.

https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

Looking at above figures, I will bid 3.75% p.a. This time I bid 1000 SGD from OCBC.

Keep your fingers crossed for this hot issue in tomorrow's auction...

This post has been edited by TOS: Oct 25 2023, 06:06 PM

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