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 Does continued buying of property make sense?, Delusional confidence or buying low?

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DragonReine
post Mar 14 2022, 12:02 PM

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Some people are conservative minded who believe that at least worst case scenario they still have a roof over their head, assuming loans paid off etc.

and if hold on long enough if cash strapped, when they sell off usually can cover loan AND still have cash leftover (if property value didn't depreciate).

It's like people who die² only 'invest' in FDs, EPF, SSPN, ASB

might not be best or optimal to grow wealth but they'd rather be safe than sorry, which is fair if they know what they're doing

a decent property is still decent wealth/asset preservation for long term, provided take into account maintenance costs and loan costs 😂
DragonReine
post Mar 15 2022, 08:17 AM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Mar 14 2022, 07:39 PM)
This is if all variables remain the same, what if the country becomes a Lebanon or an Egypt. It’s not out of the realm of impossibility is my point where it’s headed.
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This is where you calculate your risk appetite + plans for self + financial situation lor, honestly.

If investment was that easy we'd all be millionaire tongue.gif

Just as no one predicted a Pandemic of the scale we're experiencing now, or a Sheraton move, it's not so easy to say if things will head that way.

The true mastery of investment is, whether you have a backup plan (or several) to cut losses if this truly go to sh*t, so you don't need to worry about "What Ifs".

I'm no investment guru, just another dog on the internet 😂 so for myself for example I buy house not to earn money but for ownstay + secure finances in an illiquid but relatively stable asset. Why and how I invest will not apply to someone with a different risk appetite/different amount of investment capital/, different goal.
DragonReine
post Mar 15 2022, 09:29 AM

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QUOTE(mini orchard @ Mar 15 2022, 09:07 AM)
To own a property for own stay is not an issue but TS reference is this ....
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A person who owns that much property, in my general and biased experience in dealing with people who actually do own that much property, do not actually own that property as an optimal way to earn wealth, but as a status symbol.

Because it takes a lot of starting capital (and/or deliberate obfuscation of financial straits by playing with the system to stretch their credit) to even afford to get 2 or more home loans simultaneously. If it's mostly paid in cash then is just showing off even further lor.
DragonReine
post Mar 15 2022, 09:41 AM

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But to answer to TS's concerns, my dua sen is that there are two things that lead to people being so invested (heh) in property investment, and both are happening simultaneously.

One is, as I mentioned, the fact that to own property is a symbol of financial stability, since home loans are a long term debt.

The other is the common conservative thinking of low risk, low effort investing, where people would rather just sit on a property asset and pray it appreciates (especially if they based their evaluation on how earlier generations' purchases have appreciated) rather than having to actively invest elsewhere, or touch things like stocks/ETFs/mutual funds/crypto etc. which requires monitoring of economics, which is common in a developing country like Malaysia.

Combine the two and you get a situation like TS mentioned where so many people would rather buy property both as a way to show off and as a wealth preservation method.
DragonReine
post Mar 15 2022, 10:38 AM

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QUOTE(mini orchard @ Mar 15 2022, 10:12 AM)
Make some sense but again every person investing strategies are different.
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That's why I said need to calculate risk appetite + plans for self + financial situation in the very first paragraph 😂 it's not immediately wrong or bad to invest in property IF you're doing it with a sound strategy AND you have contingency plans for if things go south (no tenants/no Airbnb from travel restrictions/lose job cannot pay loan etc.)

TS's concerns about if our country fails is valid, but at the same time, demands for homes are high for both ownstay and investment, which is NOT being helped by the number of bulus out there touting themselves as self-made millionaires from property investment "which you can also become if you pay me RM5k to attend my special workshop, I'm totally not earning commission from developers and banks by pushing certain project TRUST ME LOOK AT MY PORTFOLIO" and lack of regulation about investment "gurus" like these.

sheep mentality is less of a property problem and more of a symptom of our country as a whole's culture + lack of initiative in nurturing critical thinking and the willingness to criticise authority figures

regulations will not happen when sheep mentality is beneficial to the corrupt oligarchs in power through economics and politics
DragonReine
post Mar 16 2022, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Mar 16 2022, 09:15 AM)
I’d argue that there’s an overwhelming number of people who do have the identical goal of owning a daisy chain of investment property. Developers wouldn’t be pumping out 1000s of units otherwise.
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This is a particular noteable issue of townships/cities with many office skyscrapers, high amount of white collar "migrant" population, perceived higher standard of living, and lack of enforcement on the building of skyscrapers (both office and residential), with local examples being Klang Valley & Penang Island, and overseas would be places like NYC and Hong Kong. "Billionaire's Row" is a notorious example.

Unfortunately this will require enforcement by governments to limit density / height, but when government can benefit from the high amount of tax income per acre of land from building such skyscrapers, it's not exactly in greed's best interests to limit the presence of skyscrapers.
DragonReine
post Mar 16 2022, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Mar 16 2022, 04:47 PM)
No joke that they’re serious about redevelopment. I was perusing through the KL 2020 plan and all of this redevelopment as far as Balakong, Jinjang etc were being actively encouraged.
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To alleviate "city population pressure" supposedly.

In theory, they're not wrong, since there's quite big disparity between the rural vs the city areas in terms of population density.

But whether they develop responsibly, I have serious doubts, as current government prioritize industrialisation and commercialised land over liveability and environmental sustainability.

This post has been edited by DragonReine: Mar 16 2022, 05:18 PM
DragonReine
post Mar 17 2022, 07:49 AM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Mar 16 2022, 08:10 PM)
If the intent is revenue raising via land sales and affordable property prices via crushing oversupply then they’ve done their job.

The problem is the negative wealth effect and the exposure of the major financial institutions to staggering levels of domestic debt.
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Lack of regulation on loan approval and property price control sadly, as we can see from all the "100% loan approval" schemes 😅 not exactly entirely a problem caused by high rise, but the absurd ballooning of property prices in 2014 which has yet to be flattened properly, on top of Malaysia's lack of decent living wages

DragonReine
post Mar 17 2022, 10:27 AM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Mar 17 2022, 08:14 AM)
It’s the regulators that have no teeth and opaque goals.
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This is the country where ministers happily attribute mass deforestation to "natural disasters" and claim that it's better for tigers to have less trees.

The cronies in charge are doing it for profit not people.

 

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