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 Bogleheads Local Chapter [Malaysia Edisi]

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Hoshiyuu
post Feb 13 2022, 03:46 PM

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QUOTE(DragonReine @ Feb 13 2022, 02:54 PM)
If Malaysian and willing to invest in MYR + don't care about "government ponzi scheme", EPF and (if you're bumiputera) ASB are damn good substitutes for bond allocation by nature of being "stable", "no loss" schemes.
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ASB and ASB loans are my biggest envy and the first time in my life I felt the difference as a non-bumi when I started investing... Malaysia offers plenty of no-loss scheme that most can easily earn 4%+ returns very very safely without having to worry that the money has been cut in half when you actually need it.

The problem remains whether it's actually sustainable... the question starts to pile up with no confident answer behind it... ASB is probably safe for now, but will EPF continue to deliver 0.5% less returns every year? Will SSPN continue to supply 4% a year? Is their vault actually empty and just propped up by the government delaying its implosion year after year as the people still deposit into it without knowing?

When will/how much people will come to the conclusion that "I've decided to trust US financial institution and regulators (which has a strong and long history of untrustworthy-ness and preying on retail investors and the general public) over the Malaysian government and SC"?
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 13 2022, 06:28 PM

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deleted, double posted, oops.

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 13 2022, 06:29 PM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 13 2022, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(MUM @ Feb 13 2022, 04:44 PM)
In a planned portfolio with not too much margin for error (would be the case for an average earner), having your portfolio rollback by 6 years would severely delay your early retirement, or easily reduce your yearly withdrawal amount in your retirement - at a 50% equity drop, its entirely possible to go from "just comfortable enough" to having to move into a shared apartment and live on maggi for a few years until the market bounces back.
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does one need to sell the balance of the 50% and to having to move into a shared apartment and to survive the on maggi....to tight over the 2~3 BAD years...
then he sure does not have enough for retirements...

for if the markets did not drops....it will just be enough to last him for another few years
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He don't HAVE to, but if he doesn't do it, it would jeopardize his real retirement.

Okay, lets say someone has retired with 1mil and is withdrawing 4% a year (so about ~40k a year, ~3.3k a month) to live really modestly.

Market drops by 50%, his 100% equity portfolio is now worth 500k. His withdrawal of the year is now 20k, so he barely have 1.6k a month to spend.

Let say he's not willing to give up his living standards, he continue to draw 40k a year (8% withdrawal rate) - that's basically setting up his retirement portfolio for failure in far-to-mid future, i mean.

Hoshiyuu
post Feb 14 2022, 02:47 AM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Feb 13 2022, 08:35 PM)
Thanks will consider either bond etf once I research further.

Yea tried to search for individual bonds to buy some US gov bond could cost usd3k just for one bond. Also need to have willing buyer if wanna sell a bond. Some like SG bond need to wait gov to issue a bond after a few mths. Everything so complicated about them. I think to simplify things just leave it to a bond ETF.

Found some good videos today as this topic now pique my interest:

The first video more reliable. Second video Kelvin feels he don’t need bonds due to SG retirement fund, but shows an important part which is suggested bond ratio in one’s portfolio.. in Reddit someone else mention is your age -10 = how much percent of bonds one should have.

This couple instead forgo bonds completely due to some research they quote. The comments below the video are interesting to read. Many disagree and say bonds have a role to play.
So in the end depends what you’re comfortable with, and stick with the plan.

I’m thinking locally to substitute bond we could buy fixed deposit since those are guaranteed returns? If a FD is offering good rate would be wise to go ahead? But yea downside is we’re using MYR which any day might plunge lower.

Will look into SG to see if got any good dividend distributing type bond etf.. since SG don’t charge taxes on dividends.
Edit: best SG bond etf is - ABF SG bond etf. Performance is similar to AGGU etf so depends which u prefer or can just get both.

Found an article that mentioned that it is better to invest in short term bonds when interest rates are expected to rise:
https://www.im.natixis.com/us/portfolio-con...-term-bond-etfs

Found a good short term bond etf which is IBTU or IB01. One is accumulating another distributing. Reason for price difference of USD 5 vs USD 100 per etf: https://www.reddit.com/r/eupersonalfinance/...utm_name=iossmf

Other list of good short term bonds here (need to ownself search for UCITS Irish domiciled counterpart): https://seekingalpha.com/article/4379128-be...1hoCproQAvD_BwE
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Anything by Ben Felix has a strong recommendation from me. Some advices are Canadian exclusive for sure but most of the time he does explain the logic behind them that be applicable to everyone.

As suggested before, EPF/CPF puts most investor in MY/SG in a unique position where they have a mandatory fallback plan. However as they have a deposit/withdrawal limit which meant they could never truly behave as bonds until retirement age. So when accepting this substitute will have to keep a few characteristics in mind.

I believe FD has similar issues and even with rolling FD it's just way too much trouble for what it's worth, plus the return is generally weak even with insane lockup periods, and plus it's MYR, one bad year of inflation can easily erode away months to years of returns that seemed lucrative when you initially placed it. Strongly against it personally.

For those seeking 100% equities allocation, gocurrycracker, a blog by FIRE'd couple have a detailed write up on why they think it's the way to go, how it affects their planning, and what kind of acknowledged risk they are taking for the extra return, and how they deal with it.

It's a great read and lots of concrete numbers.
https://www.gocurrycracker.com/path-100-equities/

As for bond choices, I generally still prefer total bond indexes for their diversification and liquidity. The last thing I ever, ever want, is for my fallback plan to get defaulted exactly when I need it

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 14 2022, 06:01 AM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 14 2022, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(xander83 @ Feb 14 2022, 02:24 PM)
AGGG pays monthly dividends but if like pure bond why not BND or BNDX name sake ETF
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To my knowledge, the logic of Irish-domiciled near equivalent AGGG/AGUG/AGGU or alternative IGLO is to avoid estate tax and withholding tax compared to US domiciled BND/BNDX.
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 14 2022, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Feb 14 2022, 02:39 PM)
If u r the type who is not limited to US market, I can suggest Abfmy Singapore bond ETF listed on SGX for a safe heaven play.

It invests in SG government bonds, which is AAA rated country (higher than US). You get interests which is a bit higher than SG FD and, depending on market, can even be higher than US Treasuries. And, more importantly, there is no witholding tax.

As of yesterday, SGS 10 year yield 1.93% and US 10 year Treasuries yield 1.95%. Pretty close.
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Out of curiosity, thoughts on ABF Malaysia Bond Index Fund?

Also, which platform do you use to buy SGX stuff? Most platform I know do charge a rather hefty fee for SGX access.
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 14 2022, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(sgh @ Feb 14 2022, 03:12 PM)
For SGX, HKEX I think you can try Tiger, Moomoo as I don't think IBKR is offering so good rates for non-US exchange traded ETF.
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Hmm, I don't like either platform for various reasons. Thanks anyway for the answer!
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 14 2022, 03:20 PM

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QUOTE(xander83 @ Feb 14 2022, 03:18 PM)
Stay away from ABF Malaysia being dragged down thanks to 1MDB  doh.gif
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Just gathering sentiments, appreciate the input! I wouldn't touch anything MYR with a 10 meter stick regardless biggrin.gif
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(cucumber @ Feb 15 2022, 09:25 AM)
Great thread! Thanks for starting one.

I have a question.

I know IBKR is probably the preferred broker for most for its low fees, can buy Irish Domiciled ETF like VWRA and if you are buying US ones you get to DCA by buying fractional shares.

Personally, I don't feel comfortable putting all my money in a single broker (not to mention outside of Malaysia).

So I'm curious, do you guys diversify / split to different broker accounts? If yes, what do you use and what are you favourite funds? VWRA, VTI+VXUS, VT?
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Not sure about the others, but I've not invested long enough or a big enough sum for me to not sleep well worrying that my money will disappear overnight.

I use IBKR and hold VWRA, AVUV, AVDV. I'm expecting that by the time it grow to an amount I need to worry about broker diversification, there will be plenty of competitors popping up with similar offerings. For now, I don't see a reason to use anything other than IBKR.

At the moment due to needing access to London Stock Exchange, many brokerage are unsuitable candidates for me... Syfe Trade/Futu Moomoo/eToro have no access to VWRA, so the closest thing I can get is VWRA via Syfe DIY portfolio, which charges a hefty fee on top of the base ER. So, not much choice here unless you want to bite the estate tax + 30 withholding tax bullet.

By the way folks, Bogleheads thread. If it's discussion about timing your purchases, there's always the stocks thread instead. or the stashaway thread

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 15 2022, 11:19 AM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(cucumber @ Feb 15 2022, 11:17 AM)
Thanks for sharing, I didn't realize Syfe and Futu Moomoo have access to VWRA... I'll check that out. Yea, want to avoid estate tax + reduce the 30% withholding tax if possible, IBKR is the best so far.

What about TDAmeritrade? Doesn't seem very popular around here for some reason.
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Sorry, sorry! Made a typo, I meant to say they have no access to VWRA to my knowledge.

Not familiar with TDA myself, generally when it comes to foreign brokers, non IBKR loses a lot of money on deposit and forex alone...
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(pigscanfly @ Feb 15 2022, 02:29 PM)
I support the formation of this Bogleheads Local Chapter. I've mostly relied on "investing from singapore" guide on the bogleheads wiki, since there aren't any malaysian guides written so far. Thanks to the good forumers on LYN forum, I have been enlightened to the ways of Bogle investing.

BTW, are there advantages of choosing VWRA (USD) over VWRP (GBP)? They are just different currencies, but the underlying assets are still the same. I have read an article on the bogleheads wiki regarding Non-US investors and ETF currencies.
Based on the above statement, are there any significant advantages of VWRA over VWRP? I am currently using IBKR. Does IBKR offer better conversion rates from USD/SGD vs GBP/SGD?
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There are a few way to approach this, but I'll explain my personal logic and see any of then seems convincing to you.

1. I prefer my holdings to be denominated/convert favourably in the currency I am most likely to use when retired.

2. SGD is very pegged to USD.

3. Brexit dollars.

4. My small cap value tilt and future bond holdings are either denominated in USD or USD hedged.

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 15 2022, 02:40 PM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(KingArthurVI @ Feb 15 2022, 02:38 PM)
Bro you moving to USA? brows.gif
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Oops, I edited my message so it makes a little more sense.

And nah, I'm asian, I don't want to go to a backwards country to get shot and covid, and have to tip 20 pack of nasi lemak for soggy pizza delivered cold. Not even as a traveling location.

Just that USD will convert very well to SGD/JPY/TWD or most fun countries if things stay the way they are .

If that changes I may reconsider the currency my investment is in later on.

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 15 2022, 02:44 PM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ Feb 15 2022, 02:43 PM)
quite normal. i know of someone who's FIRE... living in KL but his monies are all in SGD. he retired decades ago
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Zero reasons not to have your savings in a strong, stable currency. AKA not MYR.
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Feb 15 2022, 02:48 PM)
But..but..local MMF is in that hated currency..MYR 😁

/S

But seriously l, if u want to compare MYR MMF then it should be with MYR Bonds. Malaysia 10 year MGS is 3.75% now.
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Versa's still great for emergency fund though, it's what I use them for. I'd rather not have to go through remittance in an emergency.

But yeah, if I wanted bonds I would get non-MYR denominated bonds just because the coupon payment might not even recoup inflation sad.gif

If I am being honest I trust MGS as much as I trust SC, that's to say I'd rather trust some other country's counterpart tongue.gif

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 15 2022, 02:51 PM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 15 2022, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Feb 15 2022, 03:10 PM)
U should trust MGS more than any local MMF and even  FD tho..MGS issued in MYR, govt can always print MYR.

Btw u can also consider USD money market ETF as a defensive option.eg SHV.
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I feel like that's part of the problem too tongue.gif Plus I don't like being "locked in" by direct bonds...
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 16 2022, 02:03 AM

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The Intelligent Investor’s Road to $1,000,000

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Feb 16 2022, 02:03 AM
Hoshiyuu
post Feb 24 2022, 05:05 PM

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Just a friendly reminder to everyone that, this too shall pass.

Stay the course.
Hoshiyuu
post Mar 27 2022, 07:30 PM

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QUOTE(naranjero @ Mar 27 2022, 06:40 PM)
Hi everyone, I am quite a boglehead too. 60/40 VWRA+WSML+small amount of local mutual fund/AGGU+cash with 5% gold.

Normally where you guys park your cash? FD or money market? what are the good options to park cash?

My take on local vs international is incline to international as much as possible depending on size of money... since our EPF maybe already have around 35% in local market if not mistaken (and 15% international)

Been thinking about any accessible alternative asset in Malaysia can't find any good options. REITs, crypto, Rolex are not my type of game, hedge fund too high to climb...
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For what it's worth, I hold as little cash as possible so my safe-to-invest money is in the market as soon as possible. I don't hold any cash outside of my emergency fund and a little bit of spare spending money.

For my 6 month emergency fund, I currently hold them in KDI Save (3%), previously in Versa (~2.4%), both of which are MMFs with quick deposit and withdraw time. Some may strongly disagree that emergency fund should be accessible within minutes, FD is better suited for it, but I personally think 3 days max (weekend) is acceptable for me.

Personally, I agree with your line of thought and have also come to the conclusion that I want nothing to do with the local Malaysian market, so no Malaysian UTs, no Malaysia-listed stock for me. EPF is a big enough permanent MYR risk for me to handle.

So my stock allocation are 0% Malaysia, 60% US, 40% International ex-US... which is basically holding nothing but VWRA really. I do have a small amount of small-cap value tilt via AVDV and AVUV but they are 60:40 US:ex-US too.

I see zero reason to invest anything in Malaysia unless I somehow receive a significant sum of money to hold multiple properties in Malaysia at once (hah, keep dreaming), and I believe that REITs are mostly correlated to the stock market up and downs, dividend investing is just a misunderstood path that hurts your long term gain, and that I'm too young in my investing life to consider any bonds yet.

So, no REITs (local, SG or otherwise - I hold some through VWRA i guess? biggrin.gif), no fixed income ETF or dividend stocks, no bonds (yet - I will slowly pick up VAGU later on in my life)

I do however, dedicated 5% of my portfolio as play money. I just generally mess around and have fun with this money to scratch and satisfy whatever itch or FOMO I could possibly have. It's done it's job well and kept me on the course so far, so I do recommend this for those who are itchy handed.

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Mar 27 2022, 07:40 PM
Hoshiyuu
post Mar 27 2022, 07:36 PM

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QUOTE(naranjero @ Mar 27 2022, 06:56 PM)
By the way I do believe index investing might be one of the most effective method of investing for general individual investor compare to many other method i.e. stock picking, market timing, trend trading etc unless we have enough tools to compete with big market player.

These two are my favorite books (sure most of you had already read) but it could be useful for newcomer:

Little Book of Common Sense Investing
Book by John C. Bogle

A Random Walk Down Wall Street
Book by Burton Malkiel
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Broad-based index, yes, others, not so much. Many have been tempted with flavor of the month sector index recently...

Invest in the entire market, ride through its up and downs, grabbing onto the tailcoat of big players who can actually swing the market to their favor, and pickup the free breadcrumbs on the way. Might never be a billionaire, but I am more likely to have more than enough if I stay the course.

Great books and very commonly shared, but I believe ultimately too long to keep most Malaysian's attention, compared to a bad tiktok video promising 3000% gains or "conservatively, 20% APR interest yield" that no one can seem to properly explain where the money is coming from other than a zero sum game of passing bags.

I think JLCollin's stock series as well as it's book version, The Simple Path to Wealth is much shorter, much more laymen friendly, and if you drop the clearly labelled US-specific chapters, is a rather quick and short read to get everything you'll ever need. I personally found the Boglehead's path through this book.

This post has been edited by Hoshiyuu: Mar 27 2022, 07:38 PM
Hoshiyuu
post Mar 29 2022, 02:22 AM

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QUOTE(RigerZ @ Mar 28 2022, 10:28 PM)
Am I a Boglehead?

the financial philosophy of LBYM (live below your mean), - Yes

broad diversification (through index funds),  - Not really. Mine's a mix of unit trust + stocks + stashaway + EPF + drop of crypto

asset allocation (balanced portion between equity and fixed income) - I think so?

with the ultimate aim of achieving financial independence. - not really my ultimate aim aha
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I think that LBYM belongs in the general financial advice category and is heavily emphasized in the FI/RE community, and isn't part of Bogleism. However most FI/RE folks are also Bogleheads as it's the most predictable and most likely way to have a successful retirement/FI portfolio.

I believe that the core tenets of Bogleism lies in 1. Not timing the market 2. Invest via low-cost, broad-based index funds (i.e. buying the whole market, or as much of it as possible).

So by investing in unit trust (mostly high cost speculative sector/flavor/region tilting) or owning individual stocks, to me, it's really is a far cry from Bogleism.



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