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 Public Mutual, PM/PB series fund

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howszat
post May 24 2008, 03:31 PM

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Distributions makes no difference whatsoever to the total value of the fund.

It's pointless to know when distributions happen, apart from the annoying need to take it into account when looking at fund performance.

This post has been edited by howszat: May 24 2008, 03:35 PM
howszat
post May 24 2008, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(Jean72 @ May 24 2008, 03:37 PM)
howszat,

distribution doesn't affect the value of the fund, yes..it is correct. But it is wrong to say that distribution is completely pointless and annoying
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From a practical investor perspective, the total value is the same - therefore it is pointless.

With distributions, you cannot take prices at two points in time and compute a percentage figure. Many Fund managers don't tell you what the distribution is and when it happens. Those who do tell you (ie for investors), it is often much later after the fact. Therefore it is annoying.

So, which bit is wrong?

This post has been edited by howszat: May 24 2008, 03:49 PM
howszat
post May 24 2008, 04:44 PM

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QUOTE(Jean72 @ May 24 2008, 04:07 PM)
ok. let discuss this. Why div is not pointless. It doesn't increse the total value of the fund, agreed.

BUT, if you opt to reinvest your given div, you are investing with zero cost, ie. no service charge, unlike you investing your fresh money. Hence, you get more units with cheaper cost. Then when you are given div next year again, you are being paid based on the total number of units that you have. Reinvest your div will allow you to enjoy compounding effect - ie. div next year is being paid not only on the initial invested units but also the distributed div portion, and so on and so forth
If I reinvest the distributions, it is with zero cost, agreed. On the other hand, for a fund that does not give distributions, it is also zero cost. The total value is the same, there no additional costs in either case - so what's your point?

I disagree with the "you get more units with cheaper cost". The total number of units is irrelevant. It is the total amount in $ terms that matter. A 1000 units x RM1 is the same as 2000 units x RM0.50. Same total value - nothing is cheaper or more expensive.

I disagree with the "Reinvest your div will allow you to enjoy compounding effect". If I have RM1000 to start with, and RM1000 to finished with after distribution, there is no compounding effect in play at all. It's not like FD where you start with RM1000 and end up with RM1037 and you start earning interest on the RM1037.

QUOTE
Regarding the percentage profit, basically it doesn't affect your calculation if you opt to reinvest your money again. Only you have more units, that's it.

Afterall, it really is not hard to work on the profit percentage even after the distribution. Just check with your agent. Agents should have the system to tell you your fund performance anytime.
It affects the calculation in that you can no longer compute the percentage based on the price figures alone. It's annoying because I don't want to run to the agents each time. Guess what, even agents don't know until the Fund manager announces it. And not all funds operate the way PM does.

It's not hard, it doesn't require rocket science, it's not the end of the world. Just a little annoying.

howszat
post May 24 2008, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(Jean72 @ May 24 2008, 04:30 PM)
Theoritically is the same if the fund manager reinvest the amount. But we are seeing many different type of investors. Some older folk will let to have their yearly dividend as pocket money. Those who dont' need it, then just re-invest

So, it really is not pointless to some.
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It is still pointless. You can easily just withdraw some units if you want pocket money.


Added on May 24, 2008, 4:47 pm
QUOTE(Jean72 @ May 24 2008, 04:45 PM)
Yes! all of us are just here trying to share a bit of our knowledge for the benefit of all
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Yes, your understanding of how UT works need adjusting.

This post has been edited by howszat: May 24 2008, 04:47 PM
howszat
post May 24 2008, 06:13 PM

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QUOTE(Jean72 @ May 24 2008, 04:48 PM)
yes. but just a point to share here. withdrawing will lessen your invested units, which ultimately will reduce your next div entitlement which paid based on units.
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Units have nothing to do with it - it is the total value in $ that is relevant. The total value is decreased whether you take out the distribution/dividend payout, or withdraw some units - if that's what you want to do.

As already explained, the next dividend entitlement (or any dividend entitlement) does not affect the total value of the investment, so it's really pointless to even talk about it.
howszat
post May 26 2008, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ May 26 2008, 10:43 AM)
Distribution is really pointless to investors, moreover the distribution is taxed for a small portion of it.

Anyway, distribution/unit split is meaningful to unit trust companies, where with lower price of unit and good distribution history, it in fact attracts more investors into it. Most of the investors have a wrong perception that distribution is good to them. In fact, unit trust distribution is different from stocks dividend.
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Yes, this distribution/split thing is useful in making UT unit prices and share prices look "cheap" and works quite well.

However, somebody forgot to tell Warren Buffet who still has his Berkshire Hathaway shares listed at US$123,970/share. biggrin.gif
howszat
post Jun 11 2008, 02:41 PM

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Bond/Fixed Income funds have been dropping badly recently.

* Public Bond Fund
* Public Islamic Bond Fund
* Pb Fixed Income Fund

Anybody got any clues why?
howszat
post Jun 12 2008, 02:06 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 12 2008, 01:29 AM)
At times like this, you could opt for new funds, as they were mostly launched during the market turmoil.
So, they have less downside exposure with their portfolio, while other older funds have to price in the loss they incur in their portfolio.

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Surely the older funds have already priced in whatever losses they have incurred?

Which means that for someone entering now, the consideration is what the funds currently hold in their portfolio and their future potential, and not whether it's 'old' or 'new'?
howszat
post Jun 13 2008, 11:45 PM

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QUOTE(kingkong81 @ Jun 13 2008, 11:21 PM)
ASB & ASN is similar to unit trust as well...so, they are not capital guaranteed as well.
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I believe ASN is similar to UT, but ASB (and ASW and a few others) are capital guaranteed.

The guaranteed funds at those selling at RM 1.00 per unit, whereas the UT-like ones are quoted at NAV per unit which varies on a daily basis, and can go minus like many of them currently are.

The guaranteed ones stay at RM 1.00 NAV, and gives out real dividends, and not fake ones like UT smile.gif


Added on June 13, 2008, 11:50 pm
QUOTE(kingkong81 @ Jun 13 2008, 11:26 PM)
The PB Capital Protected Dragon Fund initial investment is at rm1000 only...additional is rm100.

I guess it is quite affordable
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You also need to catch them before the offer period closes which in this case was 7th May.

This post has been edited by howszat: Jun 13 2008, 11:50 PM
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post Jun 19 2008, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ Jun 18 2008, 02:15 PM)
I never see any equity/balanced fund which have totally different top 5 holdings in 2 consecutive months. If yes, this is another indicator to investors, fund managers may not do homework before they invest earlier.
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I actually used this as one of the indicators (in a converse way) to sell off a fund not long ago. The fund was doing poorly, and the top 3 or 4 were the same for at least nine months, and the new ones entering the top 5 were also moving backwards. Whereas similar funds with the same objectives were doing much better. I decide to cut my losses. It may be pure luck, but the same fund has done even worse since then.

I also find it useful when deciding to buy a fund as it gives some idea about the fund and also whether to keep/sell the fund in the longer term. And it probably takes up less resources than 5 minutes of kopitiam postings. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by howszat: Jun 19 2008, 02:54 PM
howszat
post Jul 7 2008, 12:13 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jul 6 2008, 10:47 PM)
Nobody wants to comment on the new fund?

Public Far-East Telco & Infrastructure Fund (PFETIF)
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The thing is with sector-specific funds is that they normally fall into the aggressive categories which means the fund can either do very well, or do very badly. And because fund managers are constrained by what they can invest in or out of, this potentially makes things worse when times are not good.

While Telco may sound promising, it is not necessarily reflected in the share price. A good example is China Mobile.

It's a case of investor beware, a lot more so than say a balanced fund.
howszat
post Aug 1 2008, 10:48 PM

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Bond funds are sensitive to the possibility of interest rate rises. Recently, they all dropped 3-4%. Considering they took 1 year to rise about 3%, the drop is huge, and it means that all(?) the bond funds are now about minus 1-2%.

I have some bond funds, and as soon as they recover a bit, I am going to switch them to cash management funds. But I may have to wait a while.
howszat
post Aug 1 2008, 11:41 PM

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Past performance is no indication of future performance. In particular, if you look at the performance over the past 10 years, it has never dropped like it has done over the past month or so. The conditions/assumptions are no longer the same. High oil prices, and hence inflation and the possibility of increases in IR is not going to go away.

On the other hand, if you stick with bond funds out to the maturity dates, you will be less exposed to the fluctuations in between. Then again, if you have a long term view, I was told equities would outperform bonds.

No right or wrong. Just a different perspective.
howszat
post Aug 2 2008, 01:08 AM

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I'm no expert on bond funds either, but if you look at the returns chart for the past year, all the PM and PB series of bonds funds are showing negative returns. This is not just PM either - bond funds by other Fund managers are showing the same thing. Generally safer yes, but they can also go negative.

Not sure how you got the performance figures. From the 10-year charts, they show:

Public Ittikal Fund: 246% = 24.6% per year.
Public Bond Fund: 106% = 10.6% per year.

Which is a bit more than 2-3% per year?
howszat
post Aug 2 2008, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 2 2008, 02:57 AM)
Bro, that is where you do not really understand investment. The greatest measure in calculating investment returns is its annual COMPOUNDING returns. What you just shown there were simple returns.
So you were talking about before-compounding figures. I wasn't sure because they were not correct. But I take your point about equities being a 2-3% higher than bonds.

But that's the thing you see - per annum before compounding, the difference may seem rather small, but since we are talking about 10 years, the difference is magnified and you can easily see that by looking at the "simple" returns:

Public Ittikal Fund total for 10-yrs: 246%
Public Bond Fund total for 10-yrs: 106%

The few percent per year has turned into 246-106 = 140%. So you were actually thinking backwards into the before compounding effect, when the correct approach should be to look at the after compounding effect.

QUOTE
To make a simple comparison again, lets take a look at the total returns for the funds mentioned for the past 1 year:

Public Savings Fund: -8.4%
Public Growth Fund: -7.8%
Public Index Fund: -13%
Public Aggressive Growth Fund: -9.3%
Public Industry Fund: -16.8%
Public Regular Savings Fund: -9.5%
Public Ittikal Fund (Best performer) - 12.5%

Against Public Bond Fund 10-year annualised: -1.2%

It is clear that PBOND is still able to hold itself amid such high volatility period while most equity funds are in deeper negative figures.
My UT consultant tells me to take a long term view when it comes to equites, and not just look at the past 1 year. Your consulting advice wherever it came from must be telling you something different.

QUOTE

It is clear that PBOND is still able to hold itself amid such high volatility period while most equity funds are in deeper negative figures. I never denied that bond funds can have negative returns as well, but for 12 years since PBOND has been launched, I am proud to say that it has NEVER made any negative returns for the full financial year. But please be reminded that past performance is not an indication of future performances, but such a track record has quite proven that bond funds will hold up over the long term, although a little less return than equity funds smile.gif
To say "NEVER made any negative returns for the full financial year" is just marketing hype. They are currently showing negative returns for the past year. There is nothing to suggest that when the financial year comes around, things are going to magically change.

So, if bond funds can go negative, and under-perform equites for the long term, why not just put your funds into FD (or cash-management/money-market funds) for the short term, and equity funds for the long term? Not expecting an answer here, because it is going to depend on personal circumstances.

QUOTE
For your information, PBOND is the only bond fund that I am investing into for the moment, and I still have my other equity funds. This is just for diversification purpose to lower my risk exposure in unit trust though smile.gif Not everyone can be fully invested in equity funds at situations like this and still expect for positive returns. I am not making any assurance or guarantee, but I am just sharing for discussion purpose.
Hey, ultimately it is up to each individual to make up their own mind. Good luck with your investments. smile.gif





howszat
post Aug 3 2008, 12:39 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 3 2008, 02:36 AM)
Your numbers shown earlier were taking into account the "super" bull in 2007. Since this was an "exceptional" case, we should not take this period into consideration. So I took the numbers from 1996 to 2006, which should roughly reflect our current market situation. The most recent "super" bulls happened in 1993, and then only happened about 14 years later in end-2006. We would not see another run like this until at least the next decade.

Hence, it is only fair if we take a period that reflects our current market to compare. Now we do not see a catalyst that would trigger such "super" bull in these 5 years period. So do you still think equity funds would still make returns like those in 2007?
Past performance is no indication of future performance. Which means, you can't selectively pick a period as being more "reflective" of the future than any other period. As well, things have changed, in particular China and India were not significant factors in the past as they are today and will be tomorrow. And if I were to throw buzzwords around, I should also include Brazil and Russia as in BRIC.

QUOTE
All consultants would say the similar stuff. This is the "marketing hype". Why was I looking at the past one year? I was just responding to your earlier statement that "they are currently showing negative returns for the past year". Again, I did not deny the fact that bond funds can make negative returns too, but in a slow market like now, I am just showing you that the negative returns on equity funds are even more. Would you rather see a return of -3% or a return of -15% in your portfolio? I think a lot would agree that we would not see a strong recovery in our market for the next 2-3 years. For this period of time, it would be "enough" for bond funds to outperform equity funds.
Let's try another question, shall we? "Would you rather see a return of +3.7% (in FD) or a return of -3% in your portfolio?".

QUOTE
You are so right bro and thank you. By the way, it would not harm to have a bond fund in your portfolio as well to act as a "cushion". Please do not just follow the words of your consultant, because ALL consultants would want to push equity funds more than bond funds because the difference in commission is 10x. This is just my honest advice to you smile.gif
I do take your previous points about bond funds, and how they have a role to play in an individual's portfolio. And don't worry, I am also familiar with blardy consultants marketing hype. Thanks for your concern. smile.gif
howszat
post Jan 17 2009, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(untouchable @ Jan 17 2009, 09:14 AM)
which funds do u think its worth investing now for an agressive fund??
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Any fund that has "China" in the name. Will be volatile, so you need to have a longer term view.
howszat
post Jan 21 2009, 10:39 PM

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Is Public Mutual Online restricted to PM Funds only? Or applies to PB Funds as well?
howszat
post Mar 9 2009, 11:22 AM

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How long does the application for Public Mutual Online take?
howszat
post May 23 2009, 11:44 AM

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PM is making a good start with PM Online.

Still missing are online Switching and Redemption services. They did say it's coming -- in "future". Once these services are available, the next logical step is to reduce the service charge for those doing transactions online.

Some may still prefer the personal touch and that is fine - they can pay 5.5% for the privilege.





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