QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 2 2008, 02:57 AM)
Bro, that is where you do not really understand investment. The greatest measure in calculating investment returns is its annual COMPOUNDING returns. What you just shown there were simple returns.
So you were talking about before-compounding figures. I wasn't sure because they were not correct. But I take your point about equities being a 2-3% higher than bonds.
But that's the thing you see - per annum
before compounding, the difference may seem rather small, but since we are talking about 10 years, the difference is
magnified and you can easily see that by looking at the "simple" returns:
Public Ittikal Fund total for 10-yrs: 246%
Public Bond Fund total for 10-yrs: 106%
The few percent per year has turned into 246-106 = 140%. So you were actually thinking backwards into the before compounding effect, when the correct approach should be to look at the after compounding effect.
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To make a simple comparison again, lets take a look at the total returns for the funds mentioned for the past 1 year:
Public Savings Fund: -8.4%
Public Growth Fund: -7.8%
Public Index Fund: -13%
Public Aggressive Growth Fund: -9.3%
Public Industry Fund: -16.8%
Public Regular Savings Fund: -9.5%
Public Ittikal Fund (Best performer) - 12.5%
Against Public Bond Fund 10-year annualised: -1.2%
It is clear that PBOND is still able to hold itself amid such high volatility period while most equity funds are in deeper negative figures.
My UT consultant tells me to take a long term view when it comes to equites, and not just look at the past 1 year. Your consulting advice wherever it came from must be telling you something different.
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It is clear that PBOND is still able to hold itself amid such high volatility period while most equity funds are in deeper negative figures. I never denied that bond funds can have negative returns as well, but for 12 years since PBOND has been launched, I am proud to say that it has NEVER made any negative returns for the full financial year. But please be reminded that past performance is not an indication of future performances, but such a track record has quite proven that bond funds will hold up over the long term, although a little less return than equity funds

To say "NEVER made any negative returns for the full financial year" is just marketing hype. They are
currently showing negative returns for the past year. There is nothing to suggest that when the financial year comes around, things are going to magically change.
So, if bond funds can go negative, and under-perform equites for the long term, why not just put your funds into FD (or cash-management/money-market funds) for the short term, and equity funds for the long term? Not expecting an answer here, because it is going to depend on personal circumstances.
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For your information, PBOND is the only bond fund that I am investing into for the moment, and I still have my other equity funds. This is just for diversification purpose to lower my risk exposure in unit trust though

Not everyone can be fully invested in equity funds at situations like this and still expect for positive returns. I am not making any assurance or guarantee, but I am just sharing for discussion purpose.
Hey, ultimately it is up to each individual to make up their own mind. Good luck with your investments.