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 Will Supermx bounce back to 7 again?, need expert to comment

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icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(k town shit @ Feb 14 2021, 01:32 PM)
Many investors are stuck in 7 to 8. Will so many vaccine out in the market, by any chance it will bounce back to RM7 or even 8?
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If immunization proceed as planned in the u.s and e.u, gloves demand and subsequent asp will waterfall in Q3/21.

Short term price movements is random walk; share price >rm7 could happen but unlikely to sustain.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Feb 14 2021, 03:04 PM
icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(k town shit @ Feb 14 2021, 03:14 PM)
Do you think Investor should sell all before it's too late? Let's say the EP is Rm6.70
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Whether to cut loss, how much and when to cut loss, only you could decide.
icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 04:21 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Feb 14 2021, 04:05 PM)
It all depends on your initial intention of putting money in to the stock.

If initially you only intended to ride the uptrend and earn a quick buck then you may cut loss now, because the electronic manufacturing industry is the trend now.

If you’re an investor, you didn’t borrow money to invest and you don’t mind letting the company intrinsic value to reflect in their share price, you can do nothing or add on position as it goes lower. This is because the market is feeling pessimistic to the glove industry. The glove companies CEOs have said “demand will not meet supply in the next 3 years. Even after demand meets the supply, the ASP will SLOWLY normalise. Remember ASP normalise doesn’t mean net profit decreases, because production capacity and business expansion can offset the normalisation of ASP.

If you are in doubt, always check on the prospect outlook in the company’s annual report or watch interviews with the management team. Don’t listen to bullshit like ASP will “waterfall”, company will go bankrupt yada yada..these people normally disappear when proven wrong lol.

All the best! smile.gif
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Poorperly developers similarly claimed not long ago; kv run out of land for development, demand > supply, price could only rise, etc. Guess where are BBB/uuu lately?

Taking hook, line and sinker from those with vested interests will be gutted.
icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Feb 14 2021, 04:24 PM)
What a dumb analogy.

Few days ago, you suggested TopGlov should bail out Air Asia Group Berhad, now you compare the property industry with the glove industry.

What a dumb analogy, that only a donkey can think of. doh.gif
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Q3/21 is only a few months away and we could certainly wait.

Guess you are heavily vested in gloves shares.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Feb 14 2021, 04:35 PM
icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 04:41 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Feb 14 2021, 04:39 PM)
Just like everything you type in this forum, all just based "guessing" only kan hahaha!

Not good, keep guessing!  rclxs0.gif
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Only death and tax is certainty in life.

As we are not buying 4d or lotto, approximate/estimate is sufficient/enough for our intent and purpose.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Feb 14 2021, 04:44 PM
icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Feb 14 2021, 04:45 PM)
No, stupidity is for certain incurable, too. biggrin.gif
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Let's wait and see who will have the last laugh.

icemanfx
post Feb 14 2021, 06:24 PM

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QUOTE(SgtScoop @ Feb 14 2021, 05:58 PM)
Nobody knows what's going to happen in the future. I'm invested in Top Glove but market conditions are the same across the glove makers. The experts are predicting glove demand to remain high through 2023 and then to stabilise at much higher levels than pre-pandemic.

I'm holding Top Glove for the dividends. I'll reevaluate the situation in 2023.

With a P/E of 7, I think the price is cheap.
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Gloves demand post pandemic will be higher than pre-pandemic. however, due to supply>demand, asp price will be cheaper than before like face mask.

topg daily share price movement is often greater than dividend payment; holding for dividend may or may not be profitable.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Feb 14 2021, 06:58 PM

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