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 The Big Short 2021

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SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 01:11 PM, updated 5y ago

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Remember this movie..
where Dark Knight predict the collapse of Mortgage in US.
he put all his managed fund money to SHORT mortgage.

All ppl Laughed.
at the end. all ppl die laughing him.


i put in all my bonus SHORT BTC. from US36k.
wish me luck.

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/5083225
zerorating
post Jan 6 2021, 01:15 PM

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this kind of insurance against market downfall is actually exist?
sorry, i dont know anything about financial institution.
EUPH0RIA
post Jan 6 2021, 01:16 PM

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Actually thinking you are Michael Burry? PepeLaugh
never be a gay bear in a bull market kekw
teehk_tee
post Jan 6 2021, 01:17 PM

ไม่เป็นไร
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U have better luck shorting Tesla as an S&P component than BTC.

All the best. Meanwhile hodl.
hotdayum
post Jan 6 2021, 01:17 PM

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SUSfreeman1
post Jan 6 2021, 01:18 PM

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Thank you TS, i finally manage to let go my BTC at 36k.

This post has been edited by freeman1: Jan 6 2021, 01:18 PM
J1g54w
post Jan 6 2021, 01:18 PM

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if you short real estate i can understand

but trying to short bitcoin which is a hedge AGAINST traditional assets is insane

for each Michael Burry there are 9999 Micheal Buried

This post has been edited by J1g54w: Jan 6 2021, 01:19 PM
pisces88
post Jan 6 2021, 01:20 PM

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Actually how to short bitcoin? Got such trade?
SUSPohziliang96
post Jan 6 2021, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Jan 6 2021, 01:15 PM)
this kind of insurance against market downfall is actually exist?
sorry, i dont know anything about financial institution.
*
Yes
SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(EUPH0RIA @ Jan 6 2021, 01:16 PM)
Actually thinking you are Michael Burry? PepeLaugh
never be a gay bear in a bull market kekw
*
is not a conspiracy theory.

behind the latest, biggest ever bull run of BTC
was the major financial institution worldwide.


BTC provide them a "legit ground" to syphon public money BY

creating this Historical BULL RUN of BTC.

now btc market cap = $65.6B

these BULL run "HAS NO ACTUAL VALUE"
unless they cash out.

but the lastest bull run did attract alot people come in.

The historical Bear run of BTC is inevitable. is just a matter of WHEN.
zerorating
post Jan 6 2021, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(Pohziliang96 @ Jan 6 2021, 01:21 PM)
Yes
*
can poor individual buy one? biggrin.gif
oOoproz
post Jan 6 2021, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 02:11 PM)

Remember this movie..
where Dark Knight predict the collapse of Mortgage in US.
he put all his managed fund money to SHORT mortgage.

All ppl Laughed.
at the end. all ppl die laughing him.
i put in all my bonus SHORT BTC. from US36k.
wish me luck.

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/5083225
*
You got balls to go against the trend, good luck
SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 01:23 PM

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QUOTE(J1g54w @ Jan 6 2021, 01:18 PM)
if you short real estate i can understand

but trying to short bitcoin which is a hedge AGAINST traditional assets is insane

for each Michael Burry there are 9999 Micheal Buried
*
u just like most other in 2017~2018

when BTC hit the 1st historical BULL RUN

many people "said" it can goes 1M usd.

what happen next?

BTC Broke.

why?

Big player cash out.
Small player paid.

All the BULL RUN was "purposeful"
not fengshui ok?

BULL RUN, bring in MONEY from public
BEAR = BULL(major player) RUN
SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(oOoproz @ Jan 6 2021, 01:22 PM)
You got balls to go against the trend, good luck
*
trend?

small fish can only see BULL Trend.


BTC never bear?

my friend...

It always a SINE wave form.

not rocket.
SUSBug Juice
post Jan 6 2021, 01:25 PM

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I have to watch the first one about 4 times in total to understand the whole trade thing, I'm not afraid to admit that I am pretty dumb for this kind of movies. I stopped the movie whenever I don't understand things I have to Google the for the terms.
J1g54w
post Jan 6 2021, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 01:23 PM)
u just like most other in 2017~2018

when BTC hit the 1st historical BULL RUN

many people "said" it can goes 1M usd.

what happen next?

BTC Broke.

why?

Big player cash out.
Small player paid.

All the BULL RUN was "purposeful"
not fengshui ok?

BULL RUN, bring in MONEY from public
BEAR = BULL(major player) RUN
*
Not saying it's going to 1M but you are predicting the top too soon

feekle
post Jan 6 2021, 01:26 PM

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I love this movie! and also hope they can recreate margin call 2.

This post has been edited by feekle: Jan 6 2021, 01:26 PM
SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 01:27 PM

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QUOTE(oOoproz @ Jan 6 2021, 01:22 PM)
You got balls to go against the trend, good luck
*
if your BTC profile already tipping 500% profit now.
are you really still holding? not attracted to cash out profit??



this is the trend.

The more the bull run,
most major player already / almost HIT their desired profit target.
major CASH OUT tsunami soon.
Lucas0323
post Jan 6 2021, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 01:11 PM)

Remember this movie..
where Dark Knight predict the collapse of Mortgage in US.
he put all his managed fund money to SHORT mortgage.

All ppl Laughed.
at the end. all ppl die laughing him.
i put in all my bonus SHORT BTC. from US36k.
wish me luck.

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/5083225
*
Of all the world financial asset and derivatives that u can short u choose btc. When economy bad btc up or down? Good luck
SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(J1g54w @ Jan 6 2021, 01:25 PM)
Not saying it's going to 1M but you are predicting the top too soon
*
all it need was a major player 1st cash out.

a 10% sharp drop. will trigger CASH OUT tsunami
xcxa23
post Jan 6 2021, 01:36 PM

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QUOTE(J1g54w @ Jan 6 2021, 01:18 PM)
if you short real estate i can understand

but trying to short bitcoin which is a hedge AGAINST traditional assets is insane

for each Michael Burry there are 9999 Micheal Buried
*
Be it stock market, real estate or crypto

It will and always be, controlled by the rich and powerful

You wan crypto
Easiest way, buy it with fiat
Most will just fomo buying it in
The rich push up the price
More ppl fomo in, pushing it higher
When the big player decided to cashout for fiat
Bang, it collapse.

Conclusion, don't too greedy.
lagista
post Jan 6 2021, 04:02 PM

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What if the opposite happen? how much ur loss later ??
SUSifourtos
post Jan 6 2021, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(lagista @ Jan 6 2021, 04:02 PM)
What if the opposite happen? how much ur loss later ??
*
if raised to USD72000.
habis all money gone.
LiMi
post Jan 6 2021, 05:17 PM

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You missed the chance to name this thread "The BTC Short 2021"
Big Balls Jackson
post Jan 6 2021, 05:21 PM

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nice fud faggot
lambsauce
post Jan 6 2021, 05:28 PM

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ts for real?

ayam thought to short too, btc bullrun is fking ridiculous man, cb pure goreng shit

ts use wat platform to short? etoro cfd?
Taikor.Taikun
post Jan 6 2021, 05:30 PM

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Dr Mike Burry wannabe Msia version. Good luck
SUSCmyong88
post Jan 6 2021, 05:32 PM

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This assessment I agree and on board but only after state of the union.
kamfoo
post Jan 7 2021, 12:07 AM

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All in
Syie9^_^
post Jan 7 2021, 12:12 AM

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QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Jan 6 2021, 03:06 PM)
Be it stock market, real estate or crypto

It will and always be, controlled by the rich and powerful

You wan crypto
Easiest way, buy it with fiat
Most will just fomo buying it in
The rich push up the price
More ppl fomo in, pushing it higher
When the big player decided to cashout for fiat
Bang, it collapse.

Conclusion, don't too greedy.
*
Actually if anyone read up, recent buying wasnt the retailer, its more of the institutional player. What are they up to? unsure.gif hmm.gif
cucumber
post Jan 7 2021, 12:20 AM

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Short it when it's 100k la, not now.
shirohamada
post Jan 7 2021, 12:22 AM

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Buttcoin to the moon.
weeuweed
post Jan 7 2021, 12:29 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 01:23 PM)
u just like most other in 2017~2018

when BTC hit the 1st historical BULL RUN

many people "said" it can goes 1M usd.

what happen next?

BTC Broke.

why?

Big player cash out.
Small player paid.

All the BULL RUN was "purposeful"
not fengshui ok?

BULL RUN, bring in MONEY from public
BEAR = BULL(major player) RUN
*
2017 is the first bullrun? If that is the extent of your knowledge in this field, good luck TS, you'll need it.
weeuweed
post Jan 7 2021, 12:31 AM

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By the way, any proof of you actually shorting this or just talk? biggrin.gif
CWW88
post Jan 7 2021, 02:20 AM

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Hmm.. which platform allows this? Share lai
balambgarden
post Jan 7 2021, 03:04 AM

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The big short is the collapse of the whole system
Bitcoin is just one part of the system
rubrubrub
post Jan 7 2021, 03:18 AM

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TS going to lose his ham ka ling bonus. rip
westernkl
post Jan 7 2021, 03:21 AM

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QUOTE(pisces88 @ Jan 6 2021, 01:20 PM)
Actually how to short bitcoin? Got such trade?
*
I wanna know too.

Parking ya.
westernkl
post Jan 7 2021, 03:24 AM

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QUOTE(lambsauce @ Jan 6 2021, 05:28 PM)
ts for real?

ayam thought to short too, btc bullrun is fking ridiculous man, cb pure goreng shit

ts use wat platform to short? etoro cfd?
*
Parking, ayam nak learn too.
blueblueoutofblue
post Jan 7 2021, 04:36 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 01:23 PM)
u just like most other in 2017~2018

when BTC hit the 1st historical BULL RUN

many people "said" it can goes 1M usd.

what happen next?

BTC Broke.

why?

Big player cash out.
Small player paid.

All the BULL RUN was "purposeful"
not fengshui ok?

BULL RUN, bring in MONEY from public
BEAR = BULL(major player) RUN
*
You are playing against :

Institutional client
Government sovereign fund (like Temasek will buy btc as investment reserve)
Bank (building crypto exchange to serve its own client, and traditional client)

Btc will have a long bull run, correction definitely coming, but it will keep breaking ATH on almost weekly basis until February

Unless you have 1B to short, which only using 1% of ur fund to short, then good luck

I hope you are shorting to take profit when your already earn nice return

blueblueoutofblue
post Jan 7 2021, 04:38 AM

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QUOTE(lambsauce @ Jan 6 2021, 05:28 PM)
ts for real?

ayam thought to short too, btc bullrun is fking ridiculous man, cb pure goreng shit

ts use wat platform to short? etoro cfd?
*
There are few platform to short using

Futures
Futures swap
Option
Margin

Pm me if you want open account
mousqy
post Jan 7 2021, 05:45 AM

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nearing CNY can la
coz thats the sentiment
always

unless ths year people use angpow buy some more
xcxa23
post Jan 7 2021, 09:41 AM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Jan 7 2021, 12:12 AM)
Actually if anyone read up, recent buying wasnt the retailer, its more of the institutional player. What are they up to? unsure.gif  hmm.gif
*
Institutional player are betting that crypto being legalized
Syie9^_^
post Jan 7 2021, 10:23 AM

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BTC 37K, BBBBUUUU rclxm9.gif
SUSifourtos
post Jan 7 2021, 10:27 AM

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QUOTE(blueblueoutofblue @ Jan 7 2021, 04:36 AM)
You are playing against :

Institutional client
Government sovereign fund (like Temasek will buy btc as investment reserve)
Bank (building crypto exchange to serve its own client, and traditional client)

Btc will have a long bull run, correction definitely coming, but it will keep breaking ATH on almost weekly basis until February

Unless you have 1B to short, which only using 1% of ur fund to short, then good luck

I hope you are shorting to take profit when your already earn nice return
*
Sheep minded investor.


current BTC total market cap around $66B
so, to raise another 10% in btc price per coin, you need $6.6B cash injection.
every next 10% raise to BTC is tougher and tougher.

who benefit from quick rise & QUICK DROP of price?
Big player ( which INCLUDE those institutional client you mentioned )

What they want is not BTC keep rising,
What they want is BTC Price volatility.

if BTC Price stagnant, they get nothing.

So, if no more power enough to rocket BTC Pricing,
They release the valve to make BTC price vomit.

as long as, quick rise, or quick drop, they earn quick profit.



ONLY SHEEP MINDED invest ON BULL ONLY

SUSifourtos
post Jan 7 2021, 10:29 AM

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QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Jan 7 2021, 09:41 AM)
Institutional player are betting that crypto being legalized
*
they already get what they want from BTC.

now BTC become a quick money syphon pool for them.

THey jerk up price, tons of sheep follow in.

I just wait the moment they release the valve.
machonacho
post Jan 7 2021, 10:30 AM

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sure, it'll drop, but when?

the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent
homicidal85
post Jan 7 2021, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 01:11 PM)

Remember this movie..
where Dark Knight predict the collapse of Mortgage in US.
he put all his managed fund money to SHORT mortgage.

All ppl Laughed.
at the end. all ppl die laughing him.
i put in all my bonus SHORT BTC. from US36k.
wish me luck.

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/5083225
*
interesting move. my TA indicates price will continue to rise till almost 50k then drop to 20k. you could be right too but i would seriously caution you not to go all in on this short.
SUSifourtos
post Jan 7 2021, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(machonacho @ Jan 7 2021, 10:30 AM)
sure, it'll drop, but when?

the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent
*
QUOTE(homicidal85 @ Jan 7 2021, 10:32 AM)
interesting move. my TA indicates price will continue to rise till almost 50k then drop to 20k. you could be right too but i would seriously caution you not to go all in on this short.
*
Bet on BULL IS NEVER AS GOOD AS
Bet on BEAR.

Bull is not stable

BEAR?

very very predictable.

Market Fear sentiment is much more predictable.

my indicator = A 10% single day sharp drop = valve released.
Kyojin
post Jan 7 2021, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Jan 7 2021, 09:41 AM)
Institutional player are betting that crypto being legalized
*
Crypto Markets Jump on OCC Approval for Banks to Use Blockchains
*U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC)
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/crypto-mark...ains-2021-01-04

There ain't no public blockchain without crypto, and there's only one public blockchain actively used.
homicidal85
post Jan 7 2021, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 7 2021, 10:35 AM)
Bet on BULL IS NEVER AS GOOD AS
Bet on BEAR.

Bull is not stable

BEAR?

very very predictable.

Market Fear sentiment is much more predictable.

my indicator = A 10% single day sharp drop = valve released.
*
i have no problem with shorting. i just dont think you got the level right. is this your first BTC bull market?
oOoproz
post Jan 7 2021, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 06:11 PM)
if raised to USD72000.
habis all money gone.
*
Your risk and reward is not worth also, i didn't expect you put your stop loss until this far
blueblueoutofblue
post Jan 7 2021, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 7 2021, 10:27 AM)
Sheep minded investor.
current BTC total market cap around $66B
so, to raise another 10% in btc price per coin, you need $6.6B cash injection.
every next 10% raise to BTC is tougher and tougher.

who benefit from quick rise & QUICK DROP of price?
Big player ( which INCLUDE those institutional client you mentioned )

What they want is not BTC keep rising,
What they want is BTC Price volatility.

if BTC Price stagnant, they get nothing.

So, if no more power enough to rocket BTC Pricing,
They release the valve to make BTC price vomit.

as long as, quick rise, or quick drop, they earn quick profit.
ONLY SHEEP MINDED invest ON BULL ONLY
*
I think you meant to say current btc market cap is 690B, not 66B

66B probably the daily trading volume.

So, if you want to use market cap as comparison, it’s 1% of total market cap, which right now daily trading volume is already 10% of market cap.

New $$ of 10% out of daily trading volume is 6.6B yes, which is actually for now it’s easy

There are trillion and zillion of fund in the world

This post has been edited by blueblueoutofblue: Jan 7 2021, 11:29 AM
homicidal85
post Jan 7 2021, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(ifourtos @ Jan 6 2021, 05:11 PM)
if raised to USD72000.
habis all money gone.
*
how did you short? you just sell and wait to buy back in or you use margin?
i dont have much experience with margin trading but this is the first time i heard margin call at 2x entry price.

 

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