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 Q1 and Q2 GDP growth for many countries, Updated for many countries

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Milupa
post Aug 14 2020, 05:43 PM

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China back in growth is remarkable though
22222222
post Aug 14 2020, 05:55 PM

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QUOTE(James1983 @ Aug 14 2020, 05:30 PM)
So sad... our results quite bad
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Our private spending drop 18.5 and investment drop 28.9%, that's why the result so bad.

Expected the coming September, BNM will cut interest rate again.

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Milupa
post Aug 14 2020, 05:58 PM

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QUOTE(amir.asyraf @ Aug 14 2020, 03:29 PM)
how come vietnam so op?
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look at China Q2. jin satki
khelben
post Aug 14 2020, 06:05 PM

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Wow china..
SUSkastam
post Aug 14 2020, 06:13 PM

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QUOTE(dotadellpro @ Aug 14 2020, 02:16 PM)
Q1 (sorted from highest to lowest)

Vietnam :  +3.82%  (10-year low)
Indonesia : +2.97%     (weakest since 2001)
Malaysia : +0.7%    (weakest since 3Q 2009 )
Philippines : -0.2%      (first time negative in 22 years)
South Korea : -1.4% (biggest decline since 4Q 2008)
UK : -2.0%
Thailand : -1.8% (the deepest contraction since the flood-hit fourth quarter of 2011)
Singapore :  -2.2%     (worst GDP year-on-year contraction since 1Q 2009)
US : -4.8%  (lowest level since the 8.4% plunge in Q4 of 2008)
China : -6.8%      (first decline since at least 1992, when official quarterly GDP records started)
Hong Kong : -8.9%     (biggest fall since the government began tracking comparable data in 1974)

Q2

China : +3.2%     
Vietnam : +0.32%     
South Korea :  -3.3%    (worst GDP contraction South Korea has experienced since 1998.)
Indonesia :    -5.32%    (the lowest since the first quarter of 1999)
Hong Kong : -9.0% (contracted for the fourth straight quarter, only one quarter behind the longest recession on record, when Hong Kong's economy shrank for five quarters in 1998-1999.)
US : -9.5%  (steepest decline in nearly 70 years of quarterly data)
Singapore :  -13.2%     (worst on record)
Phillipines :  -16.5%  (lowest since 1981)
Malaysia :   -17.1%  (worst performance in nearly 22 years)
UK : -20.4% ( worst on record )
Q1 Sos

MY : https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/bnm-...measures-impact
SG : https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/busine...vid-19-12577146
HK : https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/20...as-gdp-dives-89
SK : https://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2020&no=421550
PH : https://www.rappler.com/business/260156-gro...ippines-q1-2020
ID : https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/i...e-2001-12703550
CN : https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/17/china-econo...oronavirus.html
US : https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/29/us-gdp-q1-2...st-reading.html
TH : https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/192140...y-rate-to-0-50-
VN : https://vietnamtimes.org.vn/vietnams-gdp-gr...-low-18849.html
UK : https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2...n-business-live

Q2 Sos

MY : https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/m...omic-activities
SG : https://www.straitstimes.com/business/econo...nges-worse-than
ID : https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/08...5-32-in-q2.html
VN : http://hanoitimes.vn/vietnam-positive-grow...sbc-313035.html
CN : https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-07-16/China...gOrK/index.html
US : https://wolfstreet.com/2020/07/30/no-gdp-di...l-annual-rates/
SK : https://asiatimes.com/2020/07/south-koreas-...nges-3-3-in-q2/
PH : https://thefinancialexpress.com.bd/economy/...1981-1596690529
HK : https://www.straitstimes.com/business/econo...shrinks-9-in-q2
UK : https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/12/uk-gdp-plun...nd-quarter.html

Anyone want me to add other countries to the list, can help give me sos
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ts better check back, some of the growth decline is year to year basis, while some is compared to previous quarter. different yo. example, singapore vs malaysia

This post has been edited by kastam: Aug 14 2020, 06:14 PM
Hollow21
post Aug 14 2020, 06:20 PM

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Ayam prediction almost came thru
SUSadam09
post Aug 14 2020, 06:22 PM

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Indon, vietnam better than my
SUSAsquith
post Aug 14 2020, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(9m2w @ Aug 14 2020, 03:06 PM)
You mean it should be worse? Real curious to hear your take. If anything retail activity at petrol stations gives a pretty good ground level view of the state of things
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The 3 petrol stations I have access to its sales data certainly showed a much worse picture as did their marts.

The 1st station is my family foundation and trust owned station. Located in a Klang Valley suburban location. This is a very new station, only opened last February. This one is a high petrol sales station as diesel combined B10 and E5 makes up less than 10% of total volume.

2/20 :
Fuel sales : 520kL
Mart sales : RM72k
Tobacco sales : RM28k

3/20 :
Fuel sales : 390kL
Mart Sales : RM78k
Tobacco sales : RM32k

4/20 :
Fuel sales : 176kL
Mart sales : RM26k
Tobacco sales : RM7k

5/20 :
Fuel sales : 320kL
Mart sales : RM35k
Tobacco sales : RM12k

6/20 :
Fuel sales : 502kL
Mart sales : RM61k
Tobacco sales : RM17k

7/20 :
Fuel sales : 620kL
Mart sales : RM102k
Tobacco sales : RM37k

The 2nd station belongs to my estranged wife's family, this station is near an industrial area in Selangor and 2/3 of its volume is diesel. I was running this station up until last June but it seems they never changed the passwords to access the oil company's inventory management system.

2/20 :
Fuel sales : 850kL
Mart sales : RM66k
Tobacco sales : RM38k

3/20 :
Fuel sales : 520kL
Mart Sales : RM57k
Tobacco sales : RM29k

4/20 :
Fuel sales : 330kL
Mart sales : RM40k <---- Mainly selling Maggi cup noodles, masks and sanitisers.
Tobacco sales : RM2k <-------- No stocks as tobacco salesman not allowed to access.

5/20 :
Fuel sales : 310kL
Mart sales : RM28k <------ Mainly Maggi cup noodles, 100+, masks and sanitisers to PDRM, ATM & RELA.
Tobacco sales : RM9k <---------- I bought stocks off the family's station to sell here.

6/20 :
Fuel sales : 442kL
Mart sales : RM52k
Tobacco sales : RM18k

7/20 :
Fuel sales : 610kL
Mart sales : RM52k
Tobacco sales : RM29k

The 3rd station is a station I have been managing for a friend of mine while he sorts out his health issues. This one is fairly close to the 2nd station but different brand. It is a Selangor area station that has a mix of industrial, commercial and residential areas nearby. 85% of the population are Malays and many work or worked for Perodua, Genting, LaFarge and Proton. 1 in 3 households has someone working in one of those 4 companies or are civil servants.

2/20 :
Fuel sales : 1.1mL
Mart sales : RM102k
Tobacco sales : RM68k

3/20 :
Fuel sales : 850kL
Mart Sales : RM57k
Tobacco sales : RM53k

4/20 :
Fuel sales : 210kL
Mart sales : RM0 (Mart ordered to close by PBT)
Tobacco sales : RM0

5/20 :
Fuel sales : 230kL
Mart sales : RM12k (Mart reopened on 18th)
Tobacco sales : RM0 as no stocks.

6/20 :
Fuel sales : 630kL
Mart sales : RM65k
Tobacco sales : RM42k

7/20 :
Fuel sales : 980kL
Mart sales : RM92k
Tobacco sales : RM58k

Fuel sales are written in litres as there are big differences in price between February prices and that of April, May and June.

Most stations in Malaysia experienced a fairly similar drop and bounce.
Lim Wee Huat
post Aug 15 2020, 06:10 AM

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Remarkable indeed. This is what CN people are doing right now..

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...-household-debt

This post has been edited by Lim Wee Huat: Aug 15 2020, 06:11 AM
TSdotadellpro
post Aug 16 2020, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(22222222 @ Aug 14 2020, 05:39 PM)
"UK gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have fallen by a record 20.4% in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2020, marking the second consecutive quarterly decline after GDP fell by 2.2% in the previous quarter (Figure 1). This is the largest quarterly contraction in the UK economy since Office for National Statistics (ONS) quarterly records began in 1955, and reflects the ongoing public health restrictions and forms of voluntary social distancing that have been put in place in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. In level terms, real GDP was last lower in Quarter 2 2003. Compared with the same quarter a year ago, the UK economy fell by 21.7%."

Y-o-Y comparison.
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Thanks.
TSdotadellpro
post Aug 16 2020, 11:11 AM

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QUOTE(kastam @ Aug 14 2020, 06:13 PM)
ts better check back, some of the growth decline is year to year basis, while some is compared to previous quarter. different yo. example, singapore vs malaysia
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Can you specify which one is QoQ?

I checked, both MY and SG are YoY comparisons.

There was the UK one, but I corrected it.

This post has been edited by dotadellpro: Aug 16 2020, 11:11 AM
SUSkastam
post Aug 16 2020, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(dotadellpro @ Aug 16 2020, 11:11 AM)
Can you specify which one is QoQ?

I checked, both MY and SG are YoY comparisons.

There was the UK one, but I corrected it.
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sorry made a mistake for SG and MY. both are apparently YoY comparisons. but thank you for double checking
staind
post Aug 16 2020, 11:24 AM

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Better than ukeke gf thread.
Milupa
post Aug 17 2020, 03:08 PM

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hope to see the Q3 here soon biggrin.gif
22222222
post Aug 17 2020, 03:12 PM

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Thailand just announced Q2 GDP 2020, -12.12....better than us. Look like Malaysia is the worst in Asean.
Joe_Longgo
post Aug 17 2020, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(22222222 @ Aug 17 2020, 03:12 PM)
Thailand just announced Q2 GDP 2020, -12.12....better than us. Look like Malaysia is the worst in Asean.
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I reckon because Thai covid wasn't as bad in MY? their domestic production still can continue.
22222222
post Aug 17 2020, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(Joe_Longgo @ Aug 17 2020, 03:15 PM)
I reckon because Thai covid wasn't as bad in MY? their domestic production still can continue.
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Haha, how about Singapore, Philippines & Indonesia? The covid case worst than us but economic not as bad as like us.

Thailand start to lockdown by end of March and start to open end of July, during the lockdown the whole tourism sector are affected, the tourism sector contribute to thailand 10-15% GDP yearly to Thailand. The lockdown should impact Thailand mostly, but look like it perform better than us.
Joe_Longgo
post Aug 17 2020, 04:15 PM

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QUOTE(22222222 @ Aug 17 2020, 03:37 PM)
Haha, how about Singapore, Philippines & Indonesia? The covid case worst than us but economic not as bad as like us. 

Thailand start to lockdown by end of March and start to open end of July, during the lockdown the whole tourism sector are affected, the tourism sector contribute to thailand 10-15% GDP yearly to Thailand. The lockdown should impact Thailand mostly, but look like it perform better than us.
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That is easy. we suck.
TSdotadellpro
post Aug 17 2020, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(22222222 @ Aug 17 2020, 03:12 PM)
Thailand just announced Q2 GDP 2020, -12.12....better than us. Look like Malaysia is the worst in Asean.
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Its possible we are worst in Asia if you ignore Macau (not really a country on its own).

And we could be even worst in the world, if UK didn't do so bad. So really we must thank UK for saving our face this round.
SUSMPPJ
post Aug 17 2020, 08:50 PM

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Japan q2 -27.8%

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