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 Covid19 and MCO effect on properties, Q&A Session on the effects

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icemanfx
post Aug 25 2020, 04:05 PM

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He also noted that from an analysis of over 5,000 development launches past and present, 45 percent of projects were 'overpriced' by over 10 percent and some by as much as 80 percent.

Out of those numbers, which were derived from the housing and local government ministry records, about 160 developments are due for completion in 2021.

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/539933

icemanfx
post Sep 3 2020, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Sep 2 2020, 06:39 PM)
Vacancy tax is comng
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QUOTE(heavensea @ Sep 3 2020, 12:28 AM)
Developer dai
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this policy is unlikely to implement. anyhow, developers are known to have "sold" unsold units (in particular commercial) to their subsidiaries and could practice similar to residential.

as a last option, developer could offer rent to own scheme.
icemanfx
post Sep 11 2020, 02:02 AM

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It seems some developer are offering up to 40% discount/rebate/cash back; spa price is almost valueless. A reason why some bank insist on valuation for developers units in particularly commercial.
icemanfx
post Sep 15 2020, 11:15 AM

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Developing Asia’s coronavirus-battered economy will shrink for the first time since the early 1960s, with the level of output next year still seen below pre-pandemic projections even as growth recovers, according to the Asian Development Bank.

The region’s gross domestic product will decline by 0.7% in 2020, down from June’s projection of an increase of 0.1%, the Manila-based bank said in a report Tuesday. A contraction this year would be the first since 1962, Yasuyuki Sawada, the ADB’s chief economist, said in a live-streamed briefing.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...-1960s-adb-says
icemanfx
post Sep 23 2020, 12:07 AM

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* There were 75,318 residential transactions worth RM25.61 billion recorded in H1 2020, declining 24.6% in volume and 26.1% in value compared to H1 2019.

* The residential overhang continued to increase due to slow market absorption of the primary market. There were 31,661 overhang units worth RM20.03 billion, increased by 3.3% in volume (H2 2019: 30,664 units) and 6.4% in value against the preceding half year (H2 2019: RM18.82 billion).

* The serviced apartment segment, which falls under commercial property albeit its usage as residential, recorded 1,433 transactions worth RM0.97 billion, forming 17.7% of the commercial property transactions volume and 11.5% of the total value. Mirroring the trend of the residential sub-sector, its market performance recorded a decrease of 24.2% in volume (H1 2019: 1,891 transactions) and 25.3% in value of transactions (H1 2019: RM1.30 billion).

* Serviced apartment overhang continued to increase, accumulating a total of 21,683 units with a value of RM18.64 billion, up by 26.5% in volume and 23.9% in value (H2 2019: 17,142 units worth RM15.04 billion). Meanwhile, the number of unsold under construction and unsold not constructed increased to 35,720 units and 10,874 units, up by 5.6% and 42.0% respectively.

https://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...1&fileURI=14012

https://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...showButton=true

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 23 2020, 12:16 AM
icemanfx
post Oct 2 2020, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Oct 2 2020, 10:21 AM)
Bro can you explain
1. what is existing supply? Does it include the units that have been occupied?
2. what is the definition of demand (transacted data) by NAPIC? Does is include subsale and auction transaction? Or just new units' transaction?
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Data and explanation available at napic.
icemanfx
post Mar 13 2022, 03:30 PM

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QUOTE(airtawarian @ Mar 13 2022, 03:08 PM)
Semua lelong. Budak perempuan lagi. Main coxxxxx loan ke🤭

The square one city retail lot - 1
Third Avenue - 2
windows on the park - 1
Pavilion - 1

Hutang >RM 4 juta,1 bulan bayar >RM 20k - Ktard gaji

user posted image

Bincangkan (20,000 markah)
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Covid19, mco or loan compression fault?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 13 2022, 03:31 PM
icemanfx
post Apr 12 2022, 03:25 PM

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Despite Malaysia’s reputation as a country with a penchant for shopping, several malls in the capital city appear to be at risk of shutting down, with barely any of their commercial units still occupied and a drop in the number of shoppers and visitors.

It is a situation exacerbated by the onset of Covid-19 which left the economic sector reeling from the consecutive lockdowns imposed since early 2020 in a bid to keep the spread of the virus under control.

And it is a situation that threatens to continue even with the country’s transition towards the endemic phase which began earlier this month.

MalaysiaNow’s recent visit to a well-known shopping complex in Ampang, Selangor, found the three-storey building a ghost of its former self.

Nearly 90% of the shoplots were unoccupied while the few that were open were mainly traditional massage parlours.

More from
https://www.malaysianow.com/news/2022/04/12...ls-fall-silent/
icemanfx
post May 9 2022, 01:49 PM

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user posted image

'Overhang' in subsale is believe to be a few times of primary/developers.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...that-never-pops

icemanfx
post Jul 4 2022, 10:03 AM

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Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) will raise rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, its first consecutive rise in more than a decade, to rein in inflation stemming in part from a weaker ringgit as the US Federal Reserve hikes aggressively, a Reuters poll found.

BNM, although dealing with low inflation compared with many other economies, unexpectedly raised its key overnight policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.00 percent at its May meeting.

All 22 economists in the June 27-July 1 poll forecast rates to rise by another 25 basis points to 2.25 percent at the July 6 meeting. The central bank last raised rates twice in a row in mid-2010.

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/627024

If covid19 was the earthquake, rate rise is the aftermath tsunami.

icemanfx
post Jul 30 2022, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(HikayatSalju @ Jul 30 2022, 11:02 AM)
A whopping 1.9 million out of 9.6 million residential units purchased in Malaysia are unoccupied, according to numbers released by the statistics department in June, raising questions about the housing situation in the country amid the scramble to find affordable homes.

Department director-general Mohd Uzir Mahidin said the data was collected in the 2020 population and housing census, and showed a steep increase from the 700,000 units registered as unoccupied just 10 years before in 2010.

In Pahang, 18% of homes purchased are not fully occupied while in Melaka, the numbers are even higher at 30%.

Speaking at a press conference, Uzir had attributed the situation in part to homeowners using such houses as temporary accommodation or homestays. In other cases, he said, the owners might possess a house in a particular area but work elsewhere.

A similar trend has been ongoing in the US, where one out of every 10 homes is unoccupied – equivalent to about 16 million units.

This is one of the highest figures in the world, followed by Japan (eight million), Brazil (7.9 million) and France (three million), according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Property expert Cha-Ly Koh said cities in Malaysia appeared to have been built without data or a comprehensive understanding of conditions.

"A key metric that we track is the over and undersupply of housing in Malaysian cities," Koh, the CEO of a property data company in Petaling Jaya, said.

"The areas with oversupply naturally translate to vacancies."

Speaking to MalaysiaNow, Koh said that unoccupied homes were the result of two main issues, namely the use of houses as a commodity and policies that are not based on real data, coupled with the situation in the real estate market.

Rosli Said of Universiti Malaya's architecture faculty said those who invest in real estate might do so in the belief that such assets will not depreciate in value.

But he said this would also depend on the type of house as well as its location.

"The data issued by the statistics department includes the units that are located in areas with low levels of economic activity," he said.

"This leads to a lack of demand for these units. This is one of the factors leading to vacancies in houses offered for rent."

About 59% of rental demand comes from the private sector with the rest attributed to civil servants.

According to Rosli, tenants from the private sector gravitate towards areas with economic activity while government employees do not depend on location.

If this trend continues, he said, only houses for rent in areas with economic activity will remain in demand while the number of unoccupied units in other locations will increase.

At 76.9%, Malaysia's home ownership rate is one of the highest in the region.

Nevertheless, owning a home is also considered difficult and unaffordable.

"If housing is treated as a commodity, whether it shelters a family or not becomes a secondary concern," Koh said.

"That's why you hear stories of discriminatory landlords who would rather leave their units vacant than rent them out to families who need them."

Describing this as an artificial shortage, she said the government was taking the easiest route by simply building more houses.

She said this was why government policy usually asked developers to cross-subsidise the construction of affordable housing, or increase the density of housing projects.

However, units bought for housing are allowed to remain unoccupied for the accumulation of wealth, she added.

"The government KPI may have been met but the shelter pressure has not been relieved," Koh said.

"This cycle repeats itself to the point that it has risen to the 1.9 million vacant homes reported by the statistics department."

Rosli meanwhile said the country might witness a housing crisis as tenants are increasingly unable to afford homes while investors cannot make repayments to financial institutions if the units that they buy, especially wholesale, fail to obtain the expected rent.

At the moment, he said, there was no appropriate act to deal with the problem of speculation despite the constant changes to the real estate profit tax.

"Appropriate measures should be enforced by limiting the purchase of affordable units, for example to five units," he said.

He said local authorities could also help resolve the issue by limiting the rental period of "rent to own" homes to five years. 

The "rent to own" scheme was introduced several years ago to allow prospective buyers to test out a particular piece of property by renting it before deciding whether to buy it once the scheme ends.

Under this scheme, no advance payments are required.

Rosli suggested that advance payments be included in the monthly rent in the form of an annuity for the first five years.

"This way, the buyers will not be burdened because they will continue to own the house at the same rental payments as the first five years," he said.

Koh meanwhile said that increasing the property supply would not resolve much.

Even though there are already 1.9 million unoccupied units, she said, it is difficult for first-time buyers to purchase these units from the original owners as they would need six to seven times the amount of cash compared to buying a unit in a new project.

"Instead of supplying more housing to the market, the government could simply effect some changes to the rules and unlock these 1.9 million units to those looking to purchase a home," she said.

"Young people should not be encouraged to buy new housing projects," she added. "Older or existing housing projects are better located, anyway."

https://www.msn.com/en-my/news/national/the...52UH?li=BBr8Mk9
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icemanfx
post Jul 31 2022, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Jul 31 2022, 07:03 AM)
Ongoing or systemic issues don’t go away overnight just because a pandemic crisis is somewhat over. The true extent of the aftermath is not apparent yet.
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If covid19 pandemic was a earthquake, the aftermath economic recession could be a tsunami.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 31 2022, 12:39 PM

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