QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Feb 21 2024, 12:07 AM)
Selling my positions now will lock in the gains but no correction in the market now will take prices close to what they were back in 2018. So re-entering the market after a near term correction would essentially mean i have a much smaller buffer between my entry price vs future price. I grew my portfolio since 2018 with USD900K+ capital to a fund value of USD2.63mil today having 80% of my original positions remaining the same but 20% were fine-tuned before corrections in order to maximise the buffer.
Okay, in my opinion definitely you're prioritizing a certain kind of optics over reality here.Let's say, 2018 you bought ABC with price 100 USD.
2022 you bought ABC with price 230 USD.
Now (2024) the price is 250 USD. You anticipate a correction. Imagine you have perfect ability to tell the future, you know that price will drop to 215 USD later this year.
Your intention is to sell all your 2022 units to 'reset' that tranche, gain a bit of profit, and once correction you can re-enter. But your 2018 units you want to hold so that you can 'let winners run'.
(If anything wrong with above simple example please make corrections).
What I (and some others) are saying is that none of the above matters except for annual tax reporting. And what I'm saying in addition is that if you sell ALL your units now (at 250 USD) you have already made 150% on your 2018 units. Re-entering at a higher entry price would not lose you any money. You are LOCKING IN your gains (this can actually be a smart play, depending on the portfolio/horizon), which is objectively a good thing and doesn't affect your fund value at all.
Secondary example, if stock ABS would one day drop to 110 USD price, would you still hold on to it because you bought it cheaper in 2018? If you had sold and bought after correction at a higher entry price would that have convinced you to sell it earlier? In both those cases then you're probably engaging in a form of sunk cost fallacy.
Feb 21 2024, 09:26 AM

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