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 Hong Kong Exchange & HK Stocks, Per title post-Extradition Bill W/drawal

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simplylegendary
post May 3 2020, 05:21 PM

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Is anyone holding 2800.HK in HKEX? That's one of my ETF holding in HK so be good to know how u guys feel.
simplylegendary
post May 3 2020, 07:55 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 3 2020, 06:53 PM)
Why u hold this ETF?
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It replicates the Hang Seng index and is probably the biggest ETF in HKEX. So I guess safe and no surprises?
simplylegendary
post May 4 2020, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 3 2020, 08:27 PM)
Yes, 2800 is the biggest and also the first ever ETF in Asia I think.

But "Biggest" shouldn't be the first reason for buying an ETF.  And I'm not sure about "safe" and "no surprises" since we are talking about investing in HK which is always full of risk and suprises.

In this case, you are buying 2800, which is a HSI ETF. So do you think that HSI will perform well in the future and why?
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Gotcha bro.

The reason is because my investment first three principle "diversify, diversify, diversify", the next three is "low cost, low cost, low cost". So apart from ETFs in US, my second biggest bet is China-focused ETFs, since I can't buy A-shares directly, the next best thing is H-shares, but I am really bad at stock picking. Hence I just buy the whole basket! Also 2800.HK's component are 70% China companies, which I like.



simplylegendary
post May 4 2020, 01:03 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 10:28 AM)
I don't like HSI. As you said, it's 70% China. The other 30% is HK. And I'm rather bearish of HK future.

I prefer HSCEI compared to HSI, that's pure 100% China HK stocks. Look at 2828 for HSCEI exposure.
2828 could be an even better choice, I am in the same line with you on HK's outlook.

Can I understand that 2828 is basically 2800 minus the HK companies (like HSBC).

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 10:28 AM)
Or you can even go for direct A shares exposure via 2822 or 2823. This is A50. Good thing about A share is that as foreign investor have limited access, the correlation is very weak with global markets. Low correlation is good for diversification purpose.
Low correlation is often understated, and diversification is key.

Right now all indexes globally are too correlated.

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 10:28 AM)
I have owned HSCEI and A50 etfs over the years, going in and out. The main problem with HSI, HSCEI and A50, are the high concentration of banks in the indices. Same like KLCI and STI. I think current recession will cause banks to underperform.

They also don't have enough exposure to the new companies, Iike the US listed Chinese giant tech stocks like Ali Baba, JD.com, Baidu. And even HK listed Meituan Dianping (grab food, food panda of China). How can one claim to invest in China without exposure to these companies?
I admit that the FAANGs of China have not monopolized China's index like what happened in the US. It bites both ways I guess, if tech stocks drops basically most US Indexes will go down.

Indeed KLCI and STI are heavy on banks, if US is any indication the banks' weightage will drop. But also then again, banks is a local business and tech is not. US tech companies are able to take the world, but the same cannot be said of Malaysia and Singapore tech companies. So it could be a decade before the regional banks being taken out from the indexes like what happened to US, if ever.

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 10:28 AM)

My view, to invest in China now, I rather go for the new economy types. My preference will be the smaller etfs eg:

2812: Global China new economy: US listed, HK listed and China mainland listed
3173: pure China mainland listed new economy. Lots of Chinese biotech and Healthcare exposure.

You maybe suprised to know that my main China exposure is via 0829EA on Bursa Malaysia. This is only US China stocks and HK China stocks, no A shares. So it's not like 2812 which has A shares, but it's wider in terms of industries. But important is cheaper transaction costs. But if I want to add my China exposure  3173 will be on my shopping list.
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I sometimes have reservations about smaller company whose market cap is less than 1B USD, are 2812 and 3173 big companies in the new economy, or smaller ones?



simplylegendary
post May 4 2020, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 01:33 PM)
Yes, it's HSI without HK stocks, with extra Chinese H shares filling in the gap. HSCEI is a bit more volatile tho..
U can read this on A shares correlation:
OK this is really interesting, I might even stop putting money into 2800 and start going into 2828.

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 01:33 PM)
https://www.kiplinger.com/article/investing...s-consider.html

And if u are familiar with mainland China, u know that the ppl are really big into all the apps and fintech stuff. I would like my Chinese investment to be overweight those, rather than old economy like banks, property development and OnG. HSI only gives me Tencent, mostly the rest are old economy.
Yes, you could say that I was in China before most did.

HSI only gives us Tencent, indeed.

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 01:33 PM)
And another reason is that China stimulus  vs the coronavirus is also focused on the "new infrastructure" things like 5G, AI, IoT, biotech.. They are not doing a bazooka helicopter money like the US.
2812 is mostly the big ones like Baba, Tencent

3173 are the small ones u never heard before, listed in Shanghai and Shenzen. 300 of them screened by the fund manager. Potentially the future Baba and Tencent.

The only thing is that the ETFs are relatively small and trading volume is low. But the fund managers are pretty solid.
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OK so 2812 is big boy and 3173 is smaller players and 300 of them. Do they try to replicate an index such as "SZSE Technology Index" or they are active managers picking their own lot. How about expense ratios? I know I should Google all these....but since there's a sifu here.


simplylegendary
post May 4 2020, 03:48 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 03:12 PM)
Don't want to spoon feed you but u can look at the managers website.

https://etfprod.premia-partners.com/etf/3173

3173 is still on my wishlist, I haven't bought it yet. Waiting for some clarity in the world + I already have China exposure as I said. But from the same fund manager, I own some 2804 Vietnam ETF.
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For a 2 year fund the size is not bad at 100 M+ USD, expense ratio is 0.50%. Not bad considering there are so many competitors out there.

Will check it out.
simplylegendary
post May 5 2020, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 4 2020, 04:59 PM)
But don't buy tomorrow. China mainland market is still closed for 1 May holiday. This ETF will have bad liquidity when mainland closed.
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Hey man, just checked my China bank account (which I have not used for ages), apparently I can buy direct into their "ETFs" even though I don't own a brokerage account in mainland China.

They call it ETFs but it fact it is a fund but their allocation includes shares, I've taken a screenshot of one of the "tech / new economy" funds. And obviously you need RMB and a China bank account, so not the most practical, if you read Chinese here goes, just for fun.

The expense ratio is pretty high though. 2.5% to buy and 0% to sell if you hold it for over 730 days.

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This post has been edited by simplylegendary: May 5 2020, 05:01 PM
simplylegendary
post May 6 2020, 08:17 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 5 2020, 05:11 PM)
In China, they have these "ETF wrappers" sold by the bank.
Basically a fund that invest in an ETF.  It's good for the bank because they can sell it like a fund and charge stupid fees, not good for investors.
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Yea apparently so....from the expense ratio fees. But I guess it's the same elsewhere whereby funds are wrapped around ETFs, like a glorified version of robo advisories.
simplylegendary
post May 6 2020, 08:33 AM

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Quick question, do you guys have your own CCASS account or your HK stocks are held under nominee?
simplylegendary
post May 6 2020, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ May 6 2020, 09:35 AM)
You can only have that if you open brokerage on HK.
1. Do you have HK brokerage in HK?
2. Are you willing to travel to HK to do it?  biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

Oh and HK brokerage charged like HKD 100 commision with ongoing dividend fee ya. Cannot escape.
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1. I am using Standard Chartered HK Priority Banking to buy my HK shares, they probably have a brokerage license since I can do HKEX trading inside the online app. I don't know if the shares are held under nominee or with a CCASS under my own name.

2. Now lockdown....

simplylegendary
post May 19 2020, 07:53 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 19 2020, 06:03 PM)
Hi

Just an update. Good news for Han Seng ndices. Finally.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/19/china-techs...seng-rules.html
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HSI is turning into China Index, which is not necessarily a bad thing.
simplylegendary
post May 20 2020, 02:24 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 20 2020, 02:06 PM)
The changes will only take place in August so got time.

Waiting to see if S&P breach 3000..then see situation. Maybe I take some profit

I currently hold:
3140 Vanguard S&P500 etf
2804 Premia Viet etf

And  0829EA etf (Bursa) for my foreign equity index exposure.
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I know this is a HK exchange forum, but is there any reason why you buy 3140 instead of US' VOO or their Irish domiciled version?
simplylegendary
post May 27 2020, 11:16 AM

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Hi guys,

What's your thought about equity linked investment. I wanted to pull out funds from my equity market into government or corporate bonds, and the broker keep pushing this.

Note: Please analyze objectively and don't say all structured products are bad, though most are. ;-)

Equity Linked tied to both shares below
Tencent 0700.HK
Alibaba 9988.HK

Package
Airbag 80%
Coupon 16%
Early call 10%
Period 3 months

Which means that if I buy with principal 100 HKD of Equity Link Investment above, I get a coupon interest of 16% p.a. paid monthly, but if both Tencent and Alibaba drops below 80% of their shares I will get the share + coupon interest instead. The early call is whereby if the shares both goes up more than 10% the whole product will get exercised ahead in advance, and you get back the principal interest based on how much it has been going.

Scenario
1) Make money. Both shares go up more than 10% and early call is struck after trading, I get back principal (100 HKD) + interest period (16% p.a.)
2) Lost money. Both shares go down more than 20% and airbag is struck after trading, I get back share (now at 80 HKD or worse) + interest period (16% p.a.)
3) Make money. Both share go up less than 10% or down less than 20% the whole investment finished in three months, I get back principal (100 HKD) + interest period (16 p.a.)

Summarizing, I have a 36% range max (16% coupon upside + airbag downside protection which means it may go down to 20%), and unlimited downside but shares has to go down beyond 20% for it to take place.

Am I getting it right?
simplylegendary
post May 27 2020, 04:31 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 27 2020, 04:17 PM)
Looks a like something out of an option strategy, I'm not that familiar with options, but I think it's called a short strangle strategy. Basically, u are betting that the stocks will not move outside that range, meaning it will not be as volatile. So if the stocks move a lot in the upside you lose a lot in the opportunity cost and if it moves a lot in downside, you also can lose.

Coupon rate of 16% pa, with 3 months maturity, means a 4% return.

I have mixed feelings about this product. Yield is quite attractive. But I imagine you are pulling out of equities because you have a bearish outlook. This doesn't protect you in a big bear market. On the other hand, these are also very good stocks.
Yes, so it's 4% return for 3 months if the stock prices moves between 80% - 110% of my original principal, but if it goes down more than 80% I have to take the hit and take the stocks, which by now has only 80% or even lower compare to my principal.


QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 27 2020, 04:17 PM)
Looks a like something out of an option strategy, I'm not that familiar with options, but I
Btw what sort of bonds are you looking at?
Currently the practicals ones I can get hold of are Singapore Government bonds, corporate bonds or US T bills.

1) Singapore bonds - subscribed via banks in SG. (HK gov bonds seems to be very low and I am not interested to accumulate more HKD as I already have)
2) Corporate bonds - blue chip companies issuing debts, right now there are still companies giving out 4% bonds with a few years maturity, but I have not sold bonds in secondary markets so I am not sure about slippage or volatility, I am guessing there shouldn't be.
3) T bills - maybe just buy via Vanguard or something, since I don't know how to buy T bills directly, and Vanguards fees are cheap enough.

This post has been edited by simplylegendary: May 27 2020, 04:36 PM
simplylegendary
post Jul 1 2020, 09:45 PM

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Does anyone own Vanguard Total China Index ETF (3169.HK).

Considering because of the AUM and low ER. Also because it invest across all type of China shares ( A shares, H, P chips etc).
simplylegendary
post Jul 2 2020, 07:47 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jul 1 2020, 11:10 PM)
No, but you won't go wrong with a Vanguard ETF. If it is the broadest China exposure that you want, then this is good.
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Thanks Cubalagi, always helpful

I've taken a look at the 2822 and 2823 you mentioned, they are good but two issues
1) not all market, as they tracks A50 companies, which is listed on Shanghai and Shenzhen. Still very good but 3169 takes it one step further even by tracking all major Chinese companies which is listed anywhere.

2) Expense ratio, I think 2822 and 2823 are higher.

 

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