QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 23 2009, 11:39 PM)
SKY,
Without using DDM, assuming the expected DY of 9%, a fair price of 2.41 would translate to DPU of 0.21 (estimated DPU for FY2009 of 0.16 and FY2010 of 0.15~0.17). What I am saying is, the assumptions used to derive the fair price of 2.41 is impractical. When would this fair price be met? Rental reversions will not be significant for at least a few years, so when would the DPU of 0.21 be met?
Based on my DPU estimations with Kenanga's estimated growth rate of 2.8%, it would take a good 9 years to see a DPU of 0.21.
If basing on DPU alone, then no point for Axreit to acquire more assets. Without using DDM, assuming the expected DY of 9%, a fair price of 2.41 would translate to DPU of 0.21 (estimated DPU for FY2009 of 0.16 and FY2010 of 0.15~0.17). What I am saying is, the assumptions used to derive the fair price of 2.41 is impractical. When would this fair price be met? Rental reversions will not be significant for at least a few years, so when would the DPU of 0.21 be met?
Based on my DPU estimations with Kenanga's estimated growth rate of 2.8%, it would take a good 9 years to see a DPU of 0.21.
If let say Axreit started with KLCC, the rest of asset class would fail to be on par with KLCC. DPU would drop.
DPU cannot account for Asset appreciations which are not distributable.
Full Gearing if possible would help DPU also. Let say Axreit borrows 65m or 150m from the bank by not placing shares, DPU can jump , right ? Let assumes property loan is at BLR -2%.
If i think it is very subjective anyway.
No point to argue further.
This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Aug 24 2009, 12:04 AM
Aug 23 2009, 11:51 PM

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