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 MR DIY IPO

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icemanfx
post Oct 10 2020, 06:30 PM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 10 2020, 04:08 PM)
We think its IPO price of RM1.60 is at fair value. The reference price multiples as at Last Twelve Months ended 30 June 2020 are as follows:
LTM PE of 36x
LTM Proforma EV/EBITDA of 23x
LTM P/FCF of 28x
For a business with a fantastic flywheel model and economics, MR D.I.Y. deserves the premium in valuation. RM1.60 is a fair entry price to subscribe to the IPO shares .

The expected  target price  (TP) is RM 2.50

DIY has achieved stellar growth for the last 3 years; the compounded annual growth rate CAGR from FY2017 to FY2019 (2 years period):

Revenue – 36.06%

Net Profits – 22.98%

Store Openings – 29.43%

These are very impressive growth rates when it is even considering Mr Toy and Mr Dollar stores in future. Lets not forget its upcoming warehousing capacity which will support the store expansion and reduce costs as well.

All in all, Mr. DIY looks fairly valued at 31x P/E with ~23% profits annual growth.
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If rm2.5 tp is realistic, IPO price should be about rm2.1 else ill advised by I.b.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 10 2020, 06:31 PM
icemanfx
post Oct 14 2020, 10:27 PM

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Historically, most IPO price is overvalued.
icemanfx
post Oct 16 2020, 06:42 PM

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QUOTE(kailc @ Oct 16 2020, 11:28 AM)
Mr Talk Cock, this TP RM8.88 ?? and this Mr DIY boss a goreng kaki also ?
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if you don't know their background will likely maul by syndicate without realizing it.
icemanfx
post Oct 16 2020, 09:41 PM

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QUOTE(Krv23490 @ Oct 16 2020, 09:25 PM)
maybe! i am excited for listing date!
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Price definitely rise.
icemanfx
post Oct 17 2020, 04:11 AM

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QUOTE(Solar Calendar @ Oct 17 2020, 03:46 AM)
This ipo is as bad as a scam. They borrowed alot of money before listing and pay out a huge sum of dividends to themselves. You are practically paying off their loan for no reason.

Bought Brunei business for RM 90 million (according to sharetisfy.com, they studied the prospectus) , a very small market with very poor prospects. They only have 4 stores in Brunei, digest this.

New shares worth nothing issued directly to individual founders before listing. And these shares will be worth RM 1.60 each on the market. Each of them receive like 1.5% to 1.6% of the enlarged market cap. (if i didnt read the prospectus wrongly)

That was the first round. Second round is after listing. A few of their major shareholders do not have a moratorium imposed on them. Including hypis, creador. PE 30 attempting to justify by opening another 200 Mr DIY and dozens of Mr DOLLAR and MR Toy. They only have like one or two dollar/toy shops. Completely unproven. They already have 600 over Mr DIY stores, what make them think the next 200 can offer the same profit margin. Even if it goes exactly as they planned which i say is impossible, PE 30 already price in the growth for the next 10 years.

Who the heck in their right mind is willing to pay extra for 10 years worth of profits for a stock that before listing already  been milked for money like nobody's business? Sad to say, it is fully subscribed. From what I see, this stock should not be worth more than half the ipo price at all.

This is just my opinion, which I think many people share.
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Those who knows the background won't touch even at pole length. However, current market is frenzy with retailers, hence fully subscribed.

Those allocated or bought pre IPO, sell at IPO price is significant gain. Interesting to see how many shares they will sell at IPO. Those 250 unsuccessful IPO applicants are likely to celebrate.

Bursa is a known croc pond for reasons.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 17 2020, 04:19 AM
icemanfx
post Oct 17 2020, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 17 2020, 10:11 AM)
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Oct 17 2020, 07:29 AM)

For reasons the herd will end in either slaughterhouse or over cliff.

Listing is next week, only a few days to goes.
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WARRANT BUFETT >>
BE. GREEEEEEEDY WHEN OTHERS IN SHIVERINGG🤔👌👍
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Current market sentiment at bursa is far from shivering.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 17 2020, 10:41 AM
icemanfx
post Oct 17 2020, 05:41 PM

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QUOTE(C-Note @ Oct 17 2020, 05:36 PM)
What's the target price and offer price for big fishes?
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TP price for those bought/allocated pre IPO is IPO price.
icemanfx
post Oct 18 2020, 02:50 PM

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user posted image

Mr DIY share will become a penny stock sooner than most expected.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 18 2020, 02:57 PM
icemanfx
post Oct 18 2020, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 18 2020, 04:23 PM)
Pity to this  sweat.gif  bangwall.gif SOUR  GRAPE ... biggrin.gif ...

Please sell to him RM 2.00 @  A  STEAL  :thumbsup:  thumbup.gif - still below  TP  RM 2.50 blink.gif
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You can buy at RM 2.0 by all means.
icemanfx
post Oct 18 2020, 04:51 PM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 18 2020, 04:34 PM)
thanks  Soup grape blink.gif hmm.gif
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Don't count the chicken before they hatch.
icemanfx
post Oct 18 2020, 08:11 PM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 18 2020, 05:48 PM)
Risk averse Sour Grape  >> blink.gif  hmm.gif  

>> ... U better GRAB grandma old fashioned FD@Fixed Deposit for a never failed  sweat.gif  doh.gif 1 % chickenfeed@Peanut  in a year
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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 18 2020, 06:12 PM)
NO  SWEAT....!   thumbup.gif ....Can't  wait Monday , Oct 26 rclxm9.gif  whistling.gif

MR  DIY  >> SURE  ONE  biggrin.gif  thumbsup.gif   $$$$$
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for reasons, there are only about 4% of adults in this country have over us$100k net worth.

historically, at end of every bull run, a generation of investors is washed out.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 18 2020, 08:13 PM
icemanfx
post Oct 18 2020, 11:16 PM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Oct 18 2020, 10:37 PM)
suckers... better sell on TO else get trapped
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QUOTE(Barricade @ Oct 18 2020, 10:40 PM)
Most overpriced shit ever. Bet it will limit down on first day
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October 26th.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 18 2020, 11:22 PM
icemanfx
post Oct 19 2020, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(chen9 @ Oct 19 2020, 08:41 AM)
cant wait to see what price mrdiy will go after being listed

could go either way i think
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promoters are likely to keep their cash for second harvest later in the season.

icemanfx
post Oct 24 2020, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 24 2020, 10:00 PM)
UOBKAYHIAN

MR DIY Group (MRDIY MK)
Shopping For A Great Bargain

MRDIY, Malaysia’s most established home improvement retailer offers a compelling 4-
year earnings (2017-21F) CAGR of 20.6%, which is unrivalled in the region (peers’
average: 8.1%). Robust organic growth of 8.9% is further supplemented by new store
rollouts and expansion into new retail formats. Ultimately, it has a sterling track record,
execution ability and a highly cash-generative business model. Initiate coverage with

BUY and target price of RM2.20. blink.gif  thumbup.gif  whistling.gif

• The go-to home improvement retailer for the masses. MR DIY Group (MRDIY) is
synonymous with Malaysian households for its quality home improvement products at
affordable prices. Frost & Sullivan’s price benchmark study on a basket of goods found
MRDIY’s prices were on average 21% cheaper than its physical-store competitors. Our ecommerce study found MRDIY’s basket of goods to be 20% cheaper. MRDIY’s attractive
value proposition combined with its convenient locations and large offerings at an average of
16,600 SKUs per store entrench it as the go-to one-stop shop for home improvement
products.

• Undisputable market leader in a growing and resilient segment of the retail sector in
Malaysia. MRDIY holds a 30% market share in home improvement spending in Malaysia. It
could gain further market share via its aggressive expansion in a highly fragmented industry.
Meanwhile, natural organic growth as forecasted by Frost & Sullivan is attractive at 8.9%
(2019-24F). Establishing new concept stores within the toy and dollar store concept will
provide additional impetus for growth. Outperforming East Malaysia MRDIY stores suggests
ample room for growth beyond urban cities.

• Compelling cash generation derived from impressive revenue growth, high
profitability and brief payback. We expect MRDIY’s free cash flow (FCF) to grow at a 5-
year CAGR (2017-22F) of 38.2%. This is supported by a trifecta of factors: a) store
expansion and robust same-store sales (SSS) growth; b) high operational profitability
(EBITDA margins of 26-30% in 2017-22); and c) instant brand recognition, need-based
demand and an impressive operating cost structure that significantly reduce store payback
period to two years from the usual three years.
• Negative perception carves out opportune window. There could be an opportune buying
window, given the uninformed and negative perception among retailers, which was
perpetuated by a media report. But we expect upcoming quarterly results to dispel the
perception of declining prospects (eg SSS growth).
Click here for Blue Top dated 21 Oct 20. MRDIY’s IPO listing is on 26 Oct 20
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If could close at 1.60 on Monday is considered lucky and bless.
icemanfx
post Oct 25 2020, 12:38 AM

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QUOTE(_kilakila_ @ Oct 24 2020, 11:15 PM)
If drop less than 40 cents already consider lucky.. whistling.gif
rumour from insider said itts definitely gonna drop, based on its prospectus, 91% of its proceed will used to repay bank borrowings while remaing 9% pay for IPO fees. shakehead.gif  shakehead.gif
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Through its IPO, Mr DIY hopes to raise RM1.5 billion, of which RM1.2 billion will go to its promoters offering to sell their shares. The balance RM301.44 million to be raised through the issuance of new shares will be used to pay off debts worth RM276.14 million, and RM25.3 million in IPO fees and expenses incurred.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mr-d...s-future-growth

icemanfx
post Oct 25 2020, 09:26 AM

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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 25 2020, 04:58 AM)
UOB Kay Hian analyst Philip Wong,
who is initiating a “buy” call with a target price of RM2.20, said MR DIY has a superior earnings growth outlook.

biggrin.gif  blink.gif  thumbup.gif  whistling.gif
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QUOTE(SURE ANGPOW @ Oct 25 2020, 09:02 AM)
Stock: [MRDIY]: MR D.I.Y. GROUP (M) BERHAD

Oct 25, 2020 8:42 AM | Report Abuse

VALUATION/RECOMMENDATION

• Initiate coverage with BUY and target price of RM2.20 thumbup.gif ,
based on 31.0x 2021F PE. Its regional ASEAN peers are trading at an average of 26.6x 2021F PE, but we opine that MRDIY well deserves a 15% premium to peers due to:

a) its significantly superior 4-year net profit CAGR (2017-21F) of 20.6% (peers: 8.1%);

b) its established track record and it being the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia; and

c) home improvement spending in Malaysia is among the highest in the ASEAN region.

Our blue-sky valuations suggest a target price of RM2.50. blink.gif  :thumbsup:  whistling.gif
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Debut is less than 24 hours away. If you don't BBB, price will drop.
icemanfx
post Oct 26 2020, 08:41 AM

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Pop corn time.
icemanfx
post Oct 26 2020, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(fantasy1989 @ Oct 26 2020, 10:36 AM)
Run... average sell price .. 1.73

thank you Mr DIY ..later go support you to buy few bottle of sanitizer
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icemanfx
post Oct 26 2020, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(cofin @ Oct 26 2020, 12:18 PM)
i run road at 1.75

better than nothing .....at least can dine at restaurant if not eat chap fan
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QUOTE(penanghomes @ Oct 26 2020, 12:25 PM)
SOLD 1.75

MILO DINOOSAAAAURRR SATU
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icemanfx
post Jan 14 2021, 06:13 PM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Dec 11 2020, 01:13 PM)
$3.x already.

how many hold till now from start?
huat arrrr
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Take my hat off/salute to mr diy controlling shareholders, they played the game very well.


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