QUOTE(kbandito @ Dec 9 2019, 11:33 AM)
Two points that I agree so much, but many failed to understand its magnitude.
1) Life expectancy of 100. This is very real and will kill many FIRE plans because most budget 75 years old.
2) Nest egg that feeds you until 100. This means not working for at least 40-50 years and yet it can last you for that half a century. I built my own spreadsheet that is tailored to my investment style and appetite, the required number for FIRE scared the hell outta me. Everyone should start building a detailed year-by-year and item-by-item plan to build their goal properly.
I think it risky to think we might live to 100 soon. Basically, according to here1) Life expectancy of 100. This is very real and will kill many FIRE plans because most budget 75 years old.
2) Nest egg that feeds you until 100. This means not working for at least 40-50 years and yet it can last you for that half a century. I built my own spreadsheet that is tailored to my investment style and appetite, the required number for FIRE scared the hell outta me. Everyone should start building a detailed year-by-year and item-by-item plan to build their goal properly.
Life expectancy is different from lifespan. The significant increase in life expectancy over few decades was mainly due to reducing childhood mortality and the introduction of antibiotics ....that does not mean our natural lifespan has increased
Anyway, to cut short, it is “risky” to plan for living to 100 because your delayed gratification gets longer and what happens is you are likely to die from working before you reach 100... in other words, there is no RE at all because you over budgeted( not saying one must RE after achieving FI)
Dec 9 2019, 12:24 PM

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