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Cubalagi
post Jun 22 2019, 03:57 PM

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No need to buy new fighter.. Mrca, LCA. Maintain existing ones. Instead Malaysia should buy mobile SAM systems.

Look at Iran, fighter from 70s, still can threaten US.
Cubalagi
post Jun 22 2019, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(zacky chan @ Jun 22 2019, 04:14 PM)
sarcasm or what  laugh.gif
Serious. Govt has money challenges. Debt is high, revenue is less due to removal of gst n economy not so hnnggh. Promise to rakyat are a lot still to be fulfilled. Defence expenditure will be lowest priority for many years.

So how to build credible defence? ATM should forget all this expensive Rafale, Typhoon, Gripen. Not happening for a long-long time. Even if buy, the numbers will be so insignificant in war.

So better start to think like a miskin underdog force. Realign strategy and equipment.
Cubalagi
post Jun 22 2019, 05:12 PM

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Yes the budget has been poor. It will continue to be poor. TUDM is like that RM2000 salary guy dreaming of Civic Ketam. So I'm saying better look at public transport.

No SAM experience? Cmon! We already operate air defence radars. And as u said we have Jernas. N Navy has Seawolf. Sam operation is just an extension. Radar.. control.. Missile. ATM has radars n missiles experience. Only now to figure out a more capable approach. And if Vietnamese farmers and Arab goatherders can figure out SAM operations back in the 60s/70s, I'm sure our people can too. Vietnam, Singapore, Thai, Myanmar have decent SAM capabilities right now. Where they got experience then? "Not from childbirth.

LCA also doesn't make sense as well. Why buy expensive training aircraft (and LCA is high end Trainer fighter not cikai type prop trainers ) to train pilots for MRCAs that we can't afford?


Cubalagi
post Jun 22 2019, 07:50 PM

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QUOTE(atreyuangel @ Jun 22 2019, 05:18 PM)

But there is something wrong with your statement
Budget comes from the rakyat pockets. It's not the God given right or even constitutional right for each service to get XXX amount. This Three Kingdoms mentality and rivalry is not good.

Anyway many air forces operate large SAM systems. Eg Singapore, Vietnam. I say it's better for C3 purposes for SAM to be under air force

Mig-29.Don't hv to replace. MIG was an air defence fighter, so if really worried about air defence gaps buy a SAM system. Much cheaper then any Mrca squadron.look at Yugoslavia. All their fighters were useless in the war, but their SAM (which was under air force) came out well.

Mb1339 not flying anymorw...n quite new right? Very typical Malaysia. Now have to change to new more expensive Trainer.

But if we don't buy any new MRCAs u don't need Lifts. Or rather need but now only for rwmaining squadrons. I suggest use the Hawks. Or we can outsource training to other places as well.


Cubalagi
post Jun 22 2019, 11:05 PM

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QUOTE(atreyuangel @ Jun 22 2019, 10:36 PM)
semua main duit rakyat eh, aku pun bayar cukai jugak
dan kalau aku suka lagi kalau ada MPA/AEW dari fighter baru so apa macam
It's your right to want whatever.

Govt finances now is worse than 5 years ago n this new govt will want to make sure it's not a one term govt. Not many ppl will vote for govt bcoz they buy fighters or MPA/AEW. They care more for PTPTN, subsidies, bailouts..

N sad to hear abt the mb-339. What a waste. Wonder whether there will be an investigation? (PH govt hobby)

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jun 22 2019, 11:08 PM
Cubalagi
post Jun 23 2019, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(zacky chan @ Jun 23 2019, 07:29 AM)
the way your reply and thinking is worrisome....here...read some of this about defense...
If u, like TUDM/ATM dream of mrcas, awacs etc, then you should be worried.

Thanks for the reading links. I hv seen those before. Nothing new.

You can read this. Prof Jomo was in Council of Elders appointed by PH, so he should know what he is saying.

https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2019/06/...arns-malaysians

Prepare for tough times ahead, n ATM will not be excluded. In fact, I think ATM will be more starved.





Cubalagi
post Jun 24 2019, 12:11 AM

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QUOTE(zacky chan @ Jun 23 2019, 08:54 PM)
if you have seen it,then you will know the TUDM CAP 55(comes with 2 squadron of MRCA+LCA+ground base air defense+MPA+AEW plane+UAV) is doable with around 1.6 billion -2 billion allocated budget for procurement for each RMK(each 5 year)...but by the end of the day, do the govt want to commit to it or not...that is the problem since the beginning...
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Cap55 means 2055? .. That's a pretty long 35 more years (exclude this year) or 7 5-year Plans...

Interesting.. That's RM11.2-RM14 billion spending spread over the 35 years? Meaning about RM320-RM400 million a year...and by 2055 you get the end results of CAP55. Is my understanding of what u say correct?

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jun 24 2019, 12:11 AM
Cubalagi
post Jun 24 2019, 02:21 PM

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QUOTE(zacky chan @ Jun 24 2019, 04:52 AM)
read this

http://www.malaysiandefence.com/another-view-on-tudm-cap-55/

it can be done...but the problem always  if the govt can commit or not...a credible military take decade of planning and commitment just to achieve that...we fall short on that always...
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Ah.. 1.6-2b USD.. I thought it was in RM! Not so affordable then.. Other services also need funds.

Past 5 year Defence Development Exp is about Rm16B. There will probably be a cut in 2021-2025 period. Say RM14b. Split into 3 services n joint forces budget.. I think Tudm should be lucky if can get USD1 b.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jun 24 2019, 02:52 PM
Cubalagi
post Jun 24 2019, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE(zacky chan @ Jun 24 2019, 04:32 PM)
bro...as someone here said,the MRCA budget was 3 billion...that was USD ok...at exchange rate of RM4=1USD,its around RM 12 billion ..  laugh.gif

if the govt can fork up 3billion USD for one time purchase,for sure they can reserve less than that for each 5 year plan...but again..like i said,the govt want to commit to it or not...
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Yeah right... USD3 billion. SItting in FD somewhere, just waiting for Tudm to drawdown.. 😆
Cubalagi
post Jun 25 2019, 01:46 PM

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QUOTE(zacky chan @ Jun 24 2019, 05:40 PM)
govt cant just simply take other dept/ministry money to do what they want...najib do that and look what happen to them..

no...not RMAF decision at the end...in our govt,only PM have full power...other minster not so much...at most only MOF got around 50% power to do things and need to follow PM and EPU guide...other minister or ministry even low % than that since need to answer from MOF,PMO,EPU,dept and other...so no...its not up to RMAF or mindef...if you give full power to them, a lot of things we got bro...  laugh.gif
*
Means that the USD1. 6-2 billion tht you claim "doable" is purely on the basis of "hope" that the PM will increase ATM budget allocation significantly in the future.

Since all the signs are that we should be bracing for tough times ahead, sorry to say that this is just a military fanboy wet dream...I only hope Tudm does not do its planning that way.

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