QUOTE(Jordy @ Jul 19 2019, 04:00 PM)
The questions we need to ask ourselves are, how long can it hold at its current valuation, how long is our big brother China going to sustain their buying spree, and the most fundamental question would be how long will the US keep its interest rate low?
Yes, gold is now at historical highs in MYR terms.Thanks for sharing the chart. A 20 year time frame will show you an even more interesting picture.
But for sake of discussion, let me try to answer ur questions:
Q: How long will it keep its current valuation?
Ans: No idea. There is no comparative industry PE or EPS or a as such. Gold is..just gold. If we can tell exactly, than we can make millions by trading gold futures instead.
Q: How long will big Brother China going to continue its buying spree?
Ans: I think as long as the China-US rivalry persists.. which is going to be a long time. China problem is that they have too much of their money held in US Treasuries. Imagine if all ur money is with ur enemy.. Who is now starting to get aggressive with u. Problem right? They are trying to diversify away gradually, but since we are talking trillions of dollars, they can't pull out quickly without losing money themselves.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/16/china-has-c...two-years.html:Q: How long will the US keep their interest rate low?
Ans: They have been increasing interest rates for the past 2 years. Early this year, they said enuff increase! Now everyone is expecting the first cut to come end of this month. The expectation is that this is the first cut of many to follow. To answer your question, I would say about 1-2 years.
This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jul 19 2019, 05:34 PM