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 Forex Version 20, Foreign Exchange Market Discussion

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Hansel
post Nov 27 2019, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(akib_mullen @ Nov 26 2019, 10:57 PM)
I like fundamentals but I am too lazy to keep up hehe, so now only focusing on technicals. At least fundamental you can  talk to other people, with technical usual people won't know what we talk.

Edit: i kind of see the yen strengthening. If I am correct it starts early this year with flash crash. Then it went up before it starts to go down again, around the third quarter. Quite a loss I had on gbpjpy during this period, due to the trade war between us china i suppose.
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Tks akib,....

I think using techs or funda's depend on what type of trader (or investor,... if you can call a forex enthusiast this) you are. For myself,... I am not too keen to go in and out, hence, I would like to have a very big picture of what's happening now and how today's events will affect future events.

I have applied techs to my investing style, but I found it to be not very accurate. I have before used 'longterm' Elliott Waves, 200ma to predict. The third wave always missed,... maybe my luck then.

Then some chartists recommended other time-periods but I found these charts being highly dependant on what supports are broken and what resistances are exceeded. Again,... I found my floors and my ceilings kept getting broken and hitting my stoplosses.

I seldom set TPs,... preferred to keep riding up,...

Bro,.. on the GBPJPY, with Brexit decisions going to and fro,... you need to pullout from a position quick ! You need to have tight SLs and TPs here. With the 'stability' of the yen,... chances to loose are higher.....

This morning,... RBA Govenor Rob Lowe (can't remember his name, I only remembered 'baldy' Glenn Stevens for I've spoken with him personally a few yrs ago,..) said they may not totally remove ideas of QE in Aust..

As of this morning, target for the RBA rate is 0.25%. shocking.gif shocking.gif

I wouldn't want to short AUDJPY too with the above news. I'll just stay away,...

Better I go long SGDMYR,....
Hansel
post Nov 27 2019, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(mrbigggyyy @ Nov 27 2019, 12:29 PM)
haha bro, i hope one day can meet you and go for a yumcha session! would really love to hear your journey and your experience! smile.gif
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Tks bro for the comment and the invite,.. smile.gif thumbsup.gif
Hansel
post Nov 27 2019, 02:40 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Nov 27 2019, 01:48 PM)
jpyusd in uptrend since January 2018 I think...easy to see using weekly...trend lines are also clear... so am expecting 1-2 more weeks of dipping, then 2-3 months up... don't know if it'll continue the trend but hey that's trading

not many retail traders will hold a position 2-3 months... smile.gif
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Tks bro,... I'm not so confident of the USDJPY (sorry bro,.. not JPYUSD),... the moment Feds changes direction,... mati-lor,...

Recent dipping of USDJPY because Feds reiterated again that they WILL STOP dropping rates. But if,... POTUS says 1st phase trade deal can't happen this year, one will be caught in the wrong direction if world economy tumbles. USD regains safe haven status.

JMHO, bro,... better to watch AUDJPY,... more predictable, for me at least,...


Hansel
post Nov 27 2019, 09:25 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Nov 27 2019, 03:23 PM)
here's how I'm looking at it...the last 2 yrs, the feds have raised and cut rates, and Japan's reaction has resulted in this chart before us...so as long as Japan keeps the same...maintaining status quo, then we should be good

also, central banks around the world will adjust rates to manage trade and gdp...we don't know for sure how that is going to turn out, the best is assume you gonna be wrong...and manage the probability and risk /uncertainty as part of the game
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...tq again, bro,... well,... I'll manage my risks this time by staying away from this risk, for now,... I've lost almost 7 zeroes of AUD earlier, only in AUDJPY forex.... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

Luckily can make back many times more from other investments,... sad.gif sad.gif

If I keep taking chances like this,... and loose,... wives and children will not be able to makan anymore,.... biggrin.gif
Hansel
post Nov 28 2019, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(paogeh @ Nov 28 2019, 12:55 AM)
7 ZEROES !!!

u are .......RICH !
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QUOTE(Goodboy92 @ Nov 28 2019, 08:33 AM)
7 zero

100000.00
One hundred thousand

10,000,000
Ten Million

0000000
Zero
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biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

Morning bros,... yo guys are sharp,... sorry for revealing the figure here, I got excited chatting with bro DWRK yesterday,...

I meant to say 7-digits yesterday, not taking into account the cent positions.

Yeah,.. I had cutlosses in my PB and outside broker platforms totalling up to 900K+ AUD when the AUDJPY dropped-down the last few years. biggrin.gif

I kept holding cos I was busy and many a time I forgot abt the positions.

Fortunately, my investments in other instruments made many times more and I could cover, without incurring MC first. I did a cutloss before MC was called upon me.
Hansel
post Nov 28 2019, 09:31 AM

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QUOTE(cmk96 @ Nov 28 2019, 09:25 AM)
thumbup.gif  thumbup.gif  thumbup.gif 

you are right!
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Glad I clarified,... looks like figures are very distinctive and very visible to forummers,...

One small mistake when revealing a number and people start pinpointing possible exaggerations in such numbers. But this is good - it's called check and balance,...

I observed it's better to stay away from numbers. smile.gif
Hansel
post Nov 28 2019, 12:58 PM

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Sure,... tq very much, gents,... will try to make it, bro Akib,... bro DWRK, maybe can meet in future,....

Bro akib,... I'm a loser, bro,... just wanted to say this first,... Lost a lot because never took care of my pair,... I bought the pair many times in 2014, 2013, 2015,... I think,... at levels of above 100 also,.... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

Then when dropped to 95, bought some more,... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif then forgot abt it,....

Then this year,... 70+ only,.... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

CUTLOSS !!!!!!

Just sharing only,.... don't know if right to learn from me or not.
Hansel
post Nov 28 2019, 06:55 PM

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QUOTE(mrbigggyyy @ Nov 28 2019, 02:15 PM)
hey don't forget me le! lol
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QUOTE(paogeh @ Nov 28 2019, 02:19 PM)
im one of the losers as well .
Started back in 2006 ,
till now still losing ....BIG ...
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QUOTE(dwRK @ Nov 28 2019, 06:44 PM)
happy to meet up bro one of these days smile.gif
ok lah I share a bit my pain...

some time back bought a few hundred k myr worth of bitcoins...these went up to about 2.5 mil...then invested them in some other ventures...long story short...2.5 mil gone...hahaha

got other painful stories but one is enough lah for the day...
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Tq bro for all replies,.... thumbup.gif

So,.. must organise a losers' gathering soon,... not winners' gathering,.... biggrin.gif

For those of us who have already lost,... $$ gone already,... nothing much can be done except to look forward to new investments,...

Bro paogeh,... if you're still holding-on to losing open positions, maybe can consider cutting loss to salvage what ever you have to fight another day,....
Hansel
post Nov 28 2019, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(mrbigggyyy @ Nov 28 2019, 08:36 PM)
eagerly waiting for the gathering! smile.gif
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biggrin.gif thumbup.gif
Hansel
post Dec 3 2019, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(paogeh @ Nov 29 2019, 12:47 AM)
honestly,
after the LOSS of USD76K back in October,
I still hanging on , from USD4K ---> USD13K ----> USD3K ---->USD7K (now)
*managed to withdraw back USD2K for expenses.
No plan to add more own $ .
Found out, i have over commited .

Like In war , I have over commited my troops. 
Hansel ,
if u drop by penang,  remmeber to message me .
drwk,

another legend of 7 digit ....
now , my losses of 6digit seems nothing ....
Fundamental most .
No indicator,  just volume for reference.
only trade EU .
Quick scalp .
6Standlot each trade .
can get ~USD1K--3K per week .  ==>Can MC too .
*dun follow me , i have burst too many accs.
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QUOTE(akib_mullen @ Dec 2 2019, 12:47 AM)
yo bro, u unmention, so didn't noticed. if can meet in future, i will surely ask how you doing, not how much u make. in terms of psychology. I am more into it. Now trying systematic trading, got sl and tp. record it on spreadsheet. when 4 win and 5 lose i still making money, but with a sample size of below 10 is not reliable  biggrin.gif

I've tried discretionary method, but I can't cope with the stress. Maybe in future when my trade execution is good (low floating) then I can try again.
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Tq and apologies for the late reply, bros,...

Was very busy with REIT merging in SG the last few days and preparing for the Christmas Family Driving Adventure in Switzerland now.

Okay,.. will keep in mind all yuo guys said in the above,... Hoping someday can meet too. Trade safely, bros,.. protect capital !
Hansel
post Dec 3 2019, 10:39 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Dec 3 2019, 08:53 PM)
nice...good time for skiing also.... thumbup.gif

enjoy your holiday bro, stay safe and have fun... I continue to bleed from stocks... cry.gif
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Tq bro,.. yeah, quite liked the activity too especially when you get to ride in the open carriage up the hill and launch from there,...

What stocks are you holding,... hmm.gif
Hansel
post Dec 4 2019, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Dec 3 2019, 11:10 PM)
2 supermajor oil stocks... one EU the other US, been topping up past 10 yrs... was just looking at liquidating 3 weeks ago before this shit storm... also was gonna hedge it few days back but got distracted by something else...already got plans for this market pullback just didn't manage to execute... oh well...
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Bro,... I don't know what your entry price is, but macro-wise, oil output by OPEC is said to be reducing after the IPO of Aramco this mth.

With reduction of oil output, naturally oil price will increase if the fear of less-demand is low. But the most recent news is that the first phase of the US-China trade truce will probably not take place anymore this year.

Secondly, please do cover the fact that your company may have company-specific issues, for which no positive macro-element be able to overcome.

For eg,.. I bought Eagle Energy Trust (EGL.UN) back in 2011, I think,.. Averaged down throughout the years. Today,... it (EGL) has gone into receivership. This is due to company-specific issues.

Just sharing some of my bad experiences,.... biggrin.gif
Hansel
post Dec 4 2019, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Dec 4 2019, 02:33 PM)
thanks for the concern bro. sorry to hear about your egl... I too have my fair share of dca till pn4... biggrin.gif that's why I'm so -ve when ppl say martingale can be good last week...hahaha

I'm only into big oil...Shell, BP, Chevron, Exxon, etc...but plan to reduce stake and diversify elsewhere....these are my "savings" stocks getting relatively good dividends even in downturns, but it's time to move on smile.gif
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Ok bro,... tq for the reply,.. sometimes, must take a break first, then the mind becomes clearer and we suddenly 'KNOW' the objectives in our mind are RIGHT !

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