QUOTE(2387581 @ Dec 6 2017, 12:33 PM)
I think you are mixing up between flippers vs home buyers. Home buyers do not "go to market" (that is for trading) but buy for own stay, so they care less about the value of the house for short term since they are not selling it right away for profit, so if it is a bargain they will snap up (I would).
Flippers, on the other hand wanted to maximise profit, hence they will not enter the market when sentiment is low, because chances are they will be unable to sell anytime soon, unless they have the holding power.
the last major house price crash in Malaysia was 97-98. there was a massive reduction in house price during that time. unfortunately the majority of the population did not benefit from the reduction of house prices because:
1. Economy was in recession. People are worried if they still have jobs.
2. Banks freezed almost all loans.
3. Even if loan was possible, the loan to value ratio was very low
4. BLR peaked at 12.27% in 1998
Only people that really profited from the house price crash was cash rich buyers who can get really good deals due to desperate owners
The problem with house price dropping by 20-30% in a short time is that banks will be more prudent. If a 1mil house drop value of 20% to 800k within 2 years, chances of getting 90% loan for the 800k is very low because the bank is worried they might not be able to recover the loan if the property goes up for auction.
So the bank might do more risk assessment and decides it might drop by another 30% to 500k instead and offers the buyer 70% of 800k instead, which is 560k. This will mean the buyer have to fork out 240k cash just for the downpayment alone.
Best thing for the market is to let the market decide. I think a price correction is happening now, but it's not something drastic, which means it is pretty stable.