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 PROPERTY MARKET TO BE BADLY HIT IN 2018, Tekan the greedy sellers to the max!

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R o Y
post Nov 15 2017, 02:47 AM

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In 2013 he said we are "heading to a property bubble":



3 years later in 2016, he said:

QUOTE
In addition to the economic recession, there is no denying that the property bubble vis-à-vis the Malaysian property market has burst as evidenced by:

i) Rapid increase in property prices from 2010 to 2014

ii) Property prices having reached unsustainable levels and peaked in 2013 and 2014

iii) Property prices starting to decline since January 2015

http://property360online.com/scary-truth-affordability/

So if the market was "HEADING" in 2013....

and the market has "BURST" in 2016...

how come real estate prices only going to drop drastically 2 years later in 2018?

Shouldn't the market have gone thru a drastic price correction in 2016 - 2017? hmm.gif

By the way, Bangsar Terrace houses are now 1.6m-2m depending on location and condition. So anyone who sold their bangsar house in 2013 would have missed out on about 25% capital appreciation over the past 5 years.

R o Y
post Nov 20 2017, 12:00 PM

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Below is the JPPH link to download the NAPIC 2017 H2 report:

http://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...leUploadId=5087

I would like to share the tables below, so you may determine for yourself if its all doom and gloom, or if the market has bottomed:

user posted image

user posted image

Above shows the transacted value data for the past 6 quarters (Q1 2016 - Q2 2017) for KL and Malaysia. I have highlighted the Residential Data since that's what most of us are concerned about here

JPPH data shows that KL Property market has already been in recovery since Q4 2016

H1 2017 vs H1 2016 shows an increase in transacted value of 19%

All the recent news on the report has only looked at the overall Malaysia picture. None that I've seen so far have highlighted the recovery for KL market. If you talk to any active Agent or REN covering KL area, the KL figures wont come as a surprise. We've already experienced the recovery happening this year

Unfortunately, the rest of the states still flat or dropping. However they may start to follow KL's trend soon

I believe some are still adopting a "wait-and-see" attitude for their property purchase hoping that prices will drop further next year. If planing to buy somewhere in KL, then perhaps shouldn't wait any longer
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post Nov 20 2017, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(Afro100 @ Nov 20 2017, 12:59 PM)
In what price segment, is the property market in kl making gains?

Last i heard 500k-1mil  segment was not doing well, >1mil is doing ok, i guess that was what contribute to the increased in transacted value?
*
On JPPH the detailed state by state report is only available for Q1 2017

Since number of transacted residential units in KL was still pretty flat, while value increased significantly, its probably does mean the percentage of higher value transactions has increased. However I believe both 500k-1m and above 1m doing well, but the above 1m recovery has been relatively stronger

 

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