ETH holder. Next few days pump back toward 4068 if rejected, it should print the last bearish divergence. Any price movement falling below the trendline should be your exit.




Weekly ETH. Not yet printed. Still got chance to cancel the bearish divergence if pump up aggressively (non stop). ETH story has been a sad one. During the bear market, I dont see any accumulation zone. Only small accumulation zone at 2200-2300. That might explain the weak bull for ETH. I hope next bear will see ETH accumulation zone (it should).




Solana Weekly chart story, It has been a great run since it the accumulation zone. Bottom to top is 2300% gain. However, the weekly divergence already printed and it is now doing the UTAD test.



Wait Solana daily chart is legit accumulate pattern also.





Here come the main event of this cycle XRP. It consolidate between 2 fibonnaci extension levels. I can see got accumulation going on at $2.2. I dont see any bearish sign yet. Instead there is hidden bullish divergence, hence high possibility it will go retest $2.8, if breakthrough next level should be $3.44. I wonder what is there $3.44? My tradingview cant see




And never forget doge musk. That is american flag pattern . That kind of RSI look like consolidating. I think it is not a bearish divergence. This is a case study. First time see this kinda of RSI & such flag pattern. Can break both ways.





This post has been edited by mois: Dec 11 2024, 07:39 AM

I am re-adjusting my UTAD test target for btc. Using the fibonnaci extension level, I see 2 figures because of the August 24 wick (49k) and 53k closed. Here is how it look like. So it could be 105k or 108k.








When I zoomed in 4H price action. Symmetrical triangle breakout (I dont think it is going to break down, more likely to go up). It point at 108k.




If no rejection at 105k, then watch out for 108k. If 108k rejection, this is the top of the cycle. And the beginning of the bear market. Do not bother buying the dip. Wait RSI below 44 after 365 days. Trust the chart, FUD news will come later.



This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 08:57 AM

Your friend bet 180k? How much you bet the top price? Increase the stake!

This is my elliot wave count. Im not too familiar with sub-structures. But weekly can see it is 5th wave the final wave.



This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 06:49 AM

Total market cap. Again 2 figures due to wick. It should end at 3.71T or 3.83T. It has some room to go due to the dump last 2 days. If btc staying range, the money will go to alts. It mean this 2 weeks might the final alts season (santa rally).





This post has been edited by mois: Dec 11 2024, 07:44 AM

I think it should have last alts rally. Pull in back retails using alts. Then btc doing the last test. People will thought it gonna moon.

This post has been edited by mois: Dec 11 2024, 01:44 PM

Alert!
This is my new discovery using MACD weekly histogram. This is interesting one. In 2021, the histogram showing obvious bearish divergence. But now, the histrogram showing a higher high. If using histogram, wah btc got alot more room to go. If distribution cycle invalidated, need follow the 4 years cycle which end at Q3-Q4 2025. This discovery put a dent on my distribution chart confidence. Now I am going to say I am confused and lets just wait and see. Must respect the bull market if it invalidate distribution. It will pump higher!




Then total market cap will see new level which is 4.93T. That is massive room to go. However, I do not have history to back test the histogram. It only happen once.



This post has been edited by mois: Dec 12 2024, 08:58 AM

Total market cap. RSI already showing bearish divergence. Just waiting for the total market cap to push to 3.71T. IF if if if if if rejection there, it will print higher high on total cap, higher low on RSI. That should print the bearish divergence on Daily chart. If 3.71T isnt the level, then move on the next level(again due to wicks).



This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 06:50 AM

I TP everything few weeks ago after I sense trap and it turned out to be distribution again. I didnt detect the cycle until UT & SOW appear. That was 103k pump and dump. But after the alts dip, I made some alt buy purely for trade, not hold. I believe some alts still have some rooms to go.

Sorry.

This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 06:50 AM

Sorry.

This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 08:49 AM

Today headlines.


This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 06:51 AM

This total market cap altcoin with ETH



Cup and handle pattern target on altcoin has reached. How do I missed this.



But, the bullflag pattern still have some rooms to go.'



This is total market cap altcoin without ETH


Both got rejected from 2021 ATH. And both printed weekly Bearish Divergence on RSI. Not yet on MACD(this is why MACD lagging indicator). This look dangerous for altcoin. There might not be santa rally. The only way to reverse this is to pump up aggressively as well.



This post has been edited by mois: Dec 16 2024, 01:46 PM

Or diversified using ETF next time. But ETF only have BTC & ETH tho.

Btc just need to pump another 3k+ above 110k to invalid distribution cycle. It is so close. Go go go!

This post has been edited by mois: Dec 17 2024, 11:46 AM

Bullish chart. Daily MACD just made the bullish cross.



Until I backtested it to 2021.



This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 06:15 AM

I am getting scared of my own chart. That 108k and 3.71T market cap.

Although this is my third distribution labels, but back then 2021 I didnt aware. This is my first hand on experience narrating story of btc live during this distribution cycle. It feels like manipulator sitting beside me while I secretly tell you guys what they are gonna do. Information I gave out here for free is worth billion of dollars to some. And Im sorry I have to delete some charts that are supposed to stay hidden. But I will leave the technical analysis charts alone.

This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 08:44 AM

Let time decide. I cannot be sure until tomorrow morning.

2 scenarios. Need more times

1. Retest 108k
2. Back below trading range 103k.

This post has been edited by mois: Dec 18 2024, 09:21 AM

Hahahahaha spilled my coffee. You are legend.