QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 7 2018, 05:14 PM)
Personally don't think refiners are good theme for this year, I could be wrong.
Shutdown, Euro4 upgrade dateline, massive upgrade capex, stubborn high crude oil.
Massive capex will incur more depreciation down the road, which may erode profit margin as well.
Also US's Gasoline inventory number are building up since the Hurricane shut down. (can refer to weekly US inventory data)
Forward futures contract for crack spread is on declining trend.
After upgrading and restarting, only then there is more clarity picture.
Still expect volatile price swing in between.
Thanks for the review Cherroy. 👍Shutdown, Euro4 upgrade dateline, massive upgrade capex, stubborn high crude oil.
Massive capex will incur more depreciation down the road, which may erode profit margin as well.
Also US's Gasoline inventory number are building up since the Hurricane shut down. (can refer to weekly US inventory data)
Forward futures contract for crack spread is on declining trend.
After upgrading and restarting, only then there is more clarity picture.
Still expect volatile price swing in between.
Mar 7 2018, 05:38 PM

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