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 Investors Club V10, Previously known as Traders Kopitiam

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Vanguard 2015
post Mar 7 2018, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 7 2018, 05:14 PM)
Personally don't think refiners are good theme for this year, I could be wrong.
Shutdown, Euro4 upgrade dateline, massive upgrade capex, stubborn high crude oil.
Massive capex will incur more depreciation down the road, which may erode profit margin as well.

Also US's Gasoline inventory number are building up since the Hurricane shut down. (can refer to weekly US inventory data)
Forward futures contract for crack spread is on declining trend.

After upgrading and restarting, only then there is more clarity picture.

Still expect volatile price swing in between.
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Thanks for the review Cherroy. 👍
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 7 2018, 09:19 PM

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QUOTE(lowya @ Mar 7 2018, 08:11 PM)
whats your take on Annjoo vs Masteel?
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Based on fundamental and valuation, AnnJoo wins hands down. IMHO, it will survive the current downtrend.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 9 2018, 09:15 AM

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Re-entered PetronM this morning at RM9.50.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 9 2018, 07:22 PM

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QUOTE(fense @ Mar 9 2018, 01:45 PM)
Wah, very good decision
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Thank you. Beginner’s luck still holding. smile.gif

QUOTE(helob @ Mar 9 2018, 05:19 PM)
Excellent timing to get back in.
What is your take on this stock going forward? Trading, mid and long term?
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Thanks. IMHO, PetronM should rebound to at least RM11. Then I will monitor it and decide what to do.

QUOTE(Alex9182 @ Mar 9 2018, 06:07 PM)
Wah, close at RM10.40.
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Intelligent tikam only. 😀

Vanguard 2015
post Mar 12 2018, 12:30 PM

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As I predicted, LC Titan and PetronM have broken through the resistance.

Go! Go! Go!
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 13 2018, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(Kar Weng @ Mar 12 2018, 08:10 PM)
@vanguard is it worth to enter PIE at the current price? Seems to have improvement today after QR out.
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Hi, PIE's QR was already released on 23rd Feb 2018. So the price movement yesterday was unlikely to have anything to do with the QR.

PIE's valuation and fundamental is still solid. Valuation 2/3 and Fundamental 2.4/3. Compared to the Machinery & Heavy Vehicles industry group, PIE is currently trading at a significant discount based on Price to Sales ratio,Trailing P/E, and Forward P/E. The analysts are issuing a buy call with a potential upside of +33.96%.

But I think PIE need to improve its net profit for the next QR in order for it to move upwards. If the next QR results are bad, then PIE may stumble further. Are you willing to make a calculated bet that PIE will turnaround by the next QR? There is no right or wrong answer. We only have a set of data and have to make our best bet based on it.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 16 2018, 09:45 AM

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I sold all Magni today for a profit.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Mar 16 2018, 09:46 AM
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 16 2018, 11:41 AM

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QUOTE(helob @ Mar 16 2018, 11:03 AM)
thumbup.gif
What is your take on PetronM? Still holding?
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I am still holding to PetronM as per my siggy.

If you have the stomach for the volatility, why not? But I am feeling a bit queasy with the roller coaster ride. One day up +10%. Next week down -10%. I may be getting off the train soon.

QUOTE(lowya @ Mar 16 2018, 11:05 AM)
go more room to go upstairs.
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Today Magni is up about 11% to 12% because there was an improvement in its latest QR which released yesterday and declaration of dividend. The fundamental and valuation is still attractive.

But I choose to sell and lock in my profit at only about 7%. Sounds silly? Well, I could be Mr Market, irrational at times.

Vanguard 2015
post Mar 16 2018, 04:06 PM

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Sold off 1/2 of LC Titan for +16% profit.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 16 2018, 04:53 PM

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QUOTE(lowya @ Mar 16 2018, 04:21 PM)
take a look at KSSC, what does it says?
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I am sorry but what is KSSC?
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 16 2018, 08:39 PM

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QUOTE(lowya @ Mar 16 2018, 04:21 PM)
take a look at KSSC, what does it says?
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Valuation is 2.6 and Fundamental is 1.3.

For the rest like beta, EPS, ROE, SMA, I think you know it better than me.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 17 2018, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(helob @ Mar 17 2018, 12:07 PM)
Excellent investment at 16% profit.
Question why 1/2 and not 100%?
Not waiting for 23 cent dividend?
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Previously I sold off 4 different stocks and invested everything in LC Titan.

Then when I reconstructed my present portfolio, LC Titan formed more than 40% to 50% of the total value in my portfolio. This is a huge risk. Win big or lose big. Thus I choose to sell 1/2 to manage the risk.


Vanguard 2015
post Mar 19 2018, 09:45 AM

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QUOTE(helob @ Mar 18 2018, 10:23 AM)
Thank you for sharing yr investment strategy.
Learning some new today
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You are welcome.

On a another note, Magni continues to rise. Now up +8.30%. Alamak. Sudah jual.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 19 2018, 05:20 PM

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Entered BJToto and CMMT today. Will queue up for MQReit tomorrow.

I am doing it ala DCA style (Dollar Cost Average) instead of my usual hentam one lump style.

Vanguard has turned into a cigar butt investor, bottom feeder, turnaround stock investor, etc.

Hope for the best.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 19 2018, 08:18 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Mar 19 2018, 06:08 PM)
Welcome to the club bro
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Er, meaning? Have you bought the same stocks buddy?
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 19 2018, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Mar 19 2018, 08:43 PM)
meaning you are doing DCA which is what I have been doing since day one
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I see. I usually only do DCA for my unit trust investments.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 20 2018, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(Kar Weng @ Mar 20 2018, 01:57 AM)
Still planning to hold on PetronM as of now? What is the reason behind the recent price plummet of petronm and hengyuan?
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Yep, I am still holding PetronM for now.

I have no idea why the recent price plunged. Drop in crude oil price? Thus the crack spread dropped and the earnings are unattractive?

The most probable cause is the Greater Fool Theory! biggrin.gif


Vanguard 2015
post Mar 20 2018, 03:03 PM

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QUOTE(lowya @ Mar 20 2018, 11:15 AM)
Masteel could the cigar butt you like to smoke.
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Thanks bro. I had a look at Masteel previously but somehow did not find it appealing. Hmm, I can't remember why.
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 20 2018, 03:05 PM

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Entered MQReit today. Topped up on AnnJoo and CMMT.

AnnJoo has fallen about -9% since I bought it last month. Lai, lai. Fall some more AnnJoo. I dare you to fall to RM3.00. smile.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Mar 22 2018, 11:40 AM

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Sold BJToto at costs. I have other stocks to fry.

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