QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 4 2017, 04:20 AM)
Haha.. my eye problem.. 😂BWC
BWC
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May 4 2017, 11:01 AM
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#21
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567 posts Joined: Feb 2006 |
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May 5 2017, 09:43 AM
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#22
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I buy in success today..
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May 5 2017, 10:05 AM
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#23
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567 posts Joined: Feb 2006 |
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May 5 2017, 11:25 AM
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#24
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567 posts Joined: Feb 2006 |
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May 8 2017, 11:43 PM
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#25
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» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « LOL... can change nick? this nick doesn't represent me now but brings me sentimental value.. created this nick when I was still a teenager.. ok anyway, i really don't have a good grasp of which one to choose... so i just simply tembak again la.. based on charts, Success and Sign look the same to me.. both are on uptrend.. what is the difference that you see? Facvo looks like fake breakout of base because of the black bar on the next day of breakout with high volume although it still close at the breakout point.. if i have to rank based on the charts, i would say Success and Sign > Favco based on fundamentals, Success have high chance of reporting better earnings while the share price haven't fully reflect the potential earnings yet.. Sign could be reporting better earnings forward.. based on TA Securities research on 30 March 17.. projected profit for FY17 and FY18 is 22.2m and 30.6m (can trust or not Favco on the other hand have no catalysts.. OnG still in doldrums.. have to wait for earnings reversion if one plan to enter.. So my rating based on fundamental will be Success>Sign>Favco please help to correct me.. Errr... how to look for entry point for stocks that is on uptrend? |
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May 9 2017, 10:47 PM
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#26
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 9 2017, 06:28 AM) This is pretty well thought out reasoning process. Keep this up. Note: TA notes on Sign. Current half year net profit is around 6.6m. Projected profit of 22.2m is really, really optimistic (or rocket) la. Entry point for uptrend stocks? Know the answer to 'Where's the beef'. You need to know the potential upside. The risk assessment is most important. Pointless to play a stock with upsides that are rather limited/uncertain. QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 9 2017, 08:22 AM) P/S... Have you thought about doing the other way around? Funny comes first... Ic.. makes sense.. other than projecting the potential upside, what's the cut loss plan? lets say one have entered into a trade and the price went down after that... do we cut loss based on percentage loss from entry point or wait till the earnings result are out to make a decision?Don't let the chart dictate your trade selection(s)..... Yes.. I've read from somewhere that we should enter a trade based on fundamentals and chart but exit a trade based on chart only as stocks with good fundamentals can tank too if the market direction is heading south.. |
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May 12 2017, 12:04 AM
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#27
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» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « Ok learnt about position sizing and expectancy from Uncle Google liao.. Hope I can put this to good use.. I think we should stick to our cut loss rules.. If we enter at the right price, most of the time the price won't drop until our cut loss price.. correct? But I think as we progress to be a better trader, we can give some leeway based on past experiences.. as a newbie, its better to always stick to the cut loss rule.. In the past I have made mistakes by selling too early (taking small profits), buying in too early (longer holding period), sticking to my position when the fundamentals changed (give back a portion of the profits).. Now I think I understand the market better from reading and your posts.. Hopefully I won't make the same mistakes again.. |
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May 12 2017, 06:17 PM
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#28
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567 posts Joined: Feb 2006 |
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May 16 2017, 01:47 PM
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#29
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Aiya... missed some stock tips over here...
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May 18 2017, 12:54 AM
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#30
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So what does the future holds for Inari? It released a good set of numbers yesterday but the price closed lower today with higher volume. Does that mean that the good result have been priced in earlier and ppl are selling on news? If that is the case, next quarter results have to be even better in order to keep the uptrend intact..
In the latest quarter review (as screenshot above), it stated that the profit was lower QoQ due to unfavourable foreign exchange. But from the USD-MYR chart, it shows that USD is stronger QoQ.. Anyone know why and care to explain this? Thanks... |
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Jun 28 2017, 09:05 PM
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#31
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Hello hello hello!!!
Anyone looking at glove counters? COMFORT CAREPLS HARTA TOPGLOV KOSSAN SUPERMX Choose your horses... |
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Jun 29 2017, 09:38 AM
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#32
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QUOTE(spring onion @ Jun 28 2017, 11:54 PM) interesting to see harta getting higher and higher. wonder when it will burst. I would put my bet on COMFORT and CAREPLS.. my pick would be supermax decent dividend yield, PE ratio, but because of the chairman remark 10 years back comfort looks good on paper but no dividend. macam mana ya?. resistance on RM1 my conclusion: trader POV, Comfort >> Careplus >> TG >> Harta >> kossan >> Supermax investor POV, Supermax >> TG >> kossan>> careplus >> harta >> Comfort CAREPLS current PE is around 67 while COMFORT PE is around 12 but both of them having about the same forward PE.. They are smallish player, so new line expansion will have more effect on their top and bottom line.. And also.. both of them showing strength recently.. For me dividend is no issue as long as there is profit growth.. For dividend play, usually the time frame for investment will be longer.. To invest in dividend stocks, we need to look for one that has strong cash flow and is able to keep increasing their dividend payout.. My 2 cents.. |
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Jun 29 2017, 09:39 AM
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#33
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Jun 29 2017, 10:11 AM
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#34
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jun 29 2017, 09:48 AM) The thing about these 2, there are too smallish to be taken seriously. I would not look beyond TopG or Kossan or Harta. 2+1 cents taken.. Anyway, I am utterly uninterested in this sector. It's way over crowded and all the major players are grossly guilty of over expansion. My 2+1 sen. Do you mean they are too small compared to the other big boys in the industry? Looking at their market cap, they are not that small.. QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jun 29 2017, 09:50 AM) Ahhh.... remember theme plays like Elections? Pasiseh.. I don't understand this.. aluminium counters have correlation with hari raya? Care to explain?Now that Raya is sort of over.... ask yourself.... has there been a Raya rally this year? Do the same for others.... |
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Jun 29 2017, 01:37 PM
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#35
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Jul 27 2017, 01:56 AM
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#36
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hai cikgu...
i have a question to ask.. i notice this SMA line (20-day, 50-day, 150-day and 200-day) are at different price in a daily and weekly chart. Why is it different? My understanding is that it should be at the same price no matter what time frame chart you choose... Example below... Daily Chart Weekly Chart BTW this stock can buy or not? Tipsy pleaseeeee.... |
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Jul 27 2017, 09:19 AM
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#37
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QUOTE(hehe86 @ Jul 27 2017, 02:32 AM) The EMA/MA indicator uses the candlestick to calculate. So for each timeframe, those candlesticks have different closing price, hence the difference of MA/EMA Supposed one is using moving averages as support line indicator, then there would be two support line if choose between daily and weekly chart.. which one to use ahh?Terima kasih cikgu.. |
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Jul 27 2017, 12:48 PM
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#38
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QUOTE(hehe86 @ Jul 27 2017, 09:54 AM) Eh i'm nobody cikgu, i still have long ways to learn lol haha as long as you teach me something then you are my cikgu laa.. To use what moving average as support line on which timeframe, guess u have to ask yourself you wanna trade short-term or long-term/swing trader. No best answer here, depending on your method Some use MAs in weekly to just check the trend, follow trend/counter trend, then dive into daily to find entries. Then one may use a shorter MA/EMA like 10/20 as support line etc. Best is to backtest/paper trade to know which suits u best what you said is similar to what i have read.. that is to have an aerial view of the longer term trend to be in your favour by looking at the long term chart and have the long term MA line upward.. then only look at proper base set up to enter.. and some other rules such as price is trading above MA, short term MA line above long term MA line.. etc.. QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2017, 10:05 AM) These EMA lines .... they are lousy indicators. Previously I buy only based on fundamentals.. my fundamental analysis also not so good la.. just enough to avoid lemons.. the returns are satisfactory but definitely could be better if incorporate some chart skills to know when to buy and sell.. my previous buys are usually too early and sell is too late.. that's what i hope to improve on.. OK... dun take my word for granted ... which means .... the best way to test it out. Know the time frame you are trading. *ahem* If you are into daily trading, the EMA 20 is not gonna cut it. Some would suggest switching to shorter EMA 10. In short the shorter the time frame your trading is based upon, the shorter EMA is recommended. Which one? Ah... the discovery period should help... a lot. Mark down the EMA 10 and the EMA 15. Run some fake trades on it. See the end result. Which suits you better? Now if you are a longer period (6 months at least) , then the weekly chart are more important than the daily ones. Mess around la... See which one you die less..... Btw, I start to track my average gains and losses to know what is my expectancy... |
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Jul 29 2017, 12:40 AM
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#39
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2017, 02:00 PM) Improving on late selling is not that difficult. I held some stocks for few years.. Some turned out great... but others was having good returns at first but then later the growth is not there anymore... so the price went sideways or retraced.. So I'm giving back the return or losing opportunity cost.. Selling too late usually does not happen in stocks with real solid future prospects. Selling too late (which turns the trade into losses) usually happen in stocks with not so good fundamentals, ie goreng stocks. Most of the time, in such cases, the chef has left the building, leaving holders with losses. In such cases, learning when to sell (exit a trade) is important. Search via Google. Plenty there. I always believe in buying right. Buying correctly makes the selling decisions much easier. 're expectancy. Tracking is important but it would be better if you could know your averages on different strategies. Do you track your trades? What's your avg profit and percentage of winning trades like? |
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Aug 11 2017, 04:16 PM
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#40
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Ah Boon.. in market like this, is it better to clear all holdings? This is only small market correction?
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