haha same for me. Seems to be quite agressive butif he has 2million ringgit in EPF account then no problem. We shall let him updating us whether this strategy will work or not after 5 years. ^^
I think it is difficult to replicate the return because:
a) how many funds are there able to generate return more than 10%PA for the last 10 years? Many can generate exceptional return for few years but consistently to get 10%PA for 10 years is pretty difficult.
b) Are we overly optimistic on the market? can we expect the fund price to go up 10-20% every few months? Is it realistic? Even individual stock hardly able to achieve it.
c) What happens if the fund price goes down by 5 or 10%? Cut loss of mutual fund? This is totally new to me. So in March 2020 I should cut loss all my stock and mutual funds? I would then lose the chance enjoying the gain post March 2020. Time in the market beats timing the market.
d) 2020 is an unprecedented year. If you buy before early 2020, you are likely still having a decent gain till now. If you lucky to time the market by buying after COVID 19 and enjoyed the quick and super profit due to excess liquidity, would it be the same for the next few years?
e) Check out the talk by FSM Malaysia general manager Wong WeiYi this morning. Many new investors are overly optimistic (greedy) recently. They haven't "taste" the downside of the market yet.
I dont get a share if you gain but I feel sorry if you lose money and thats why I share my humble opinion here. Don't shoot me please. peace
Personally I am doing "boring investing style" - DCA monthly aiming return of 8-10% PA.
You are right on the greediness of new investors. Because of the sharp gain in this month, i also worry market could crash soon. EPF 1 year return 5-6%, i got 11% return in 3 weeks. It's a crazy and irrational market now.
What we can do to mitigate such risk is to DCA. If we sell now, we might miss awesome gain. But if we buy now, we should expect a steep selloff. So the only way is to DCA. Boring but it works.