QUOTE(xuzen @ May 31 2017, 03:29 PM)
Algozen version four speaketh; listen well...(The values are now in MYR correlation).
I tried putting in various UTF(s) into Algozen and letting her run the numbers. Maximum per simulation run is ten UTFs. Anything more, is limited by the correlation coefficient parameters.
The criteria for selecting UTFs for simulations are:
1) Good risk to reward ratio among peers.
2) They must have poor correlation among each other (meaning must be well diversified)
.........
The ports that I have run simulation gave the highest possible return to be 21% (100% TA-GTF) and the lowest possible return is 7% (100% Esther Bond). Hence the whole spectrum of return is from 7 to 21%. As expected the higher the return the higher the risk aka std - deviation. After running 12 times with various composition of portfolios, I find that the most risk optimal point is around the 10, 11, 12 and 13% point.
Let's take 13% as the expected return. In order to get 13% the composition of UTFs are as below.
KGF @ 15%
REITs @ 10%
TA-GTF @ 25%
Esther Bond @ 30%
RHB EMB @ 20%.
Std - deviation of this portfolio is 4.41% and the risk to reward ratio is 13/4.41 = 2.95.
Xuzen
wow.... I tried putting in various UTF(s) into Algozen and letting her run the numbers. Maximum per simulation run is ten UTFs. Anything more, is limited by the correlation coefficient parameters.
The criteria for selecting UTFs for simulations are:
1) Good risk to reward ratio among peers.
2) They must have poor correlation among each other (meaning must be well diversified)
.........
The ports that I have run simulation gave the highest possible return to be 21% (100% TA-GTF) and the lowest possible return is 7% (100% Esther Bond). Hence the whole spectrum of return is from 7 to 21%. As expected the higher the return the higher the risk aka std - deviation. After running 12 times with various composition of portfolios, I find that the most risk optimal point is around the 10, 11, 12 and 13% point.
Let's take 13% as the expected return. In order to get 13% the composition of UTFs are as below.
KGF @ 15%
REITs @ 10%
TA-GTF @ 25%
Esther Bond @ 30%
RHB EMB @ 20%.
Std - deviation of this portfolio is 4.41% and the risk to reward ratio is 13/4.41 = 2.95.
Xuzen
wow,..the correlation is just so beautiful with this new port
wow,...if i can just have the heart to "throw away" some beloved funds like ponzi 1.0, EISC, india, greater china.....
xuzen, can i keep these just 2 of this funds at 5% each....PLEASE...
KGF @ 15%
REITs @ 10%
TA-GTF @ 15%
Esther Bond @ 30%
RHB EMB @ 20%.
Greater China 5%
India 5%
This post has been edited by yklooi: May 31 2017, 04:32 PM
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May 31 2017, 04:27 PM

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