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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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kevyeoh
post Dec 23 2016, 07:58 PM

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If got such ppl like you around waiting to BBB... then how can it go DDD? as there is a support line waiting lo....

QUOTE(empatTan @ Dec 23 2016, 07:49 PM)
BBB time cumming...

Rubbing hands in glee...
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kevyeoh
post Jan 6 2017, 07:41 PM

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dead cat bounce also applicable for property huh...

QUOTE(blanket84 @ Jan 6 2017, 05:20 PM)
We will see a dead cat bounce first before the real burst happen.
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kevyeoh
post Jan 7 2017, 08:58 AM

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but for property it is not the same as stocks... location is important for property also...
good location area...i don't think there will be dead cat bounce...at most... the graph is upward trend and if there's slowdown...prices will be mostly flat before it picks up again...

let us continue to monitor....

QUOTE(blanket84 @ Jan 6 2017, 09:26 PM)
Should be applicable for most thing that involve money and human. One of the post in this thread shows the graph that has a dead cat bounce in it few pages back.
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kevyeoh
post Jan 7 2017, 11:01 AM

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I believe in buying and holding long term for good location properties and then get rental income while holding long term.... is this consider uuu?

For properties in good location... i don't see the price DVD... i have been stressing on this keyword = location, but usually people like to generalize and say property downtrend now... AFAIK... prime or good location area the price hardly go down... probably stay flat in bad times only.... but over long term... it is up trend....

QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jan 7 2017, 10:46 AM)
Why no downward? R u uuu?
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kevyeoh
post Jan 13 2017, 04:29 PM

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Wow... 86% urban household with no savings ? It is like almost 9 out of every 10 households don't have savings... really curious if this is indeed true !

QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 13 2017, 02:46 PM)
user posted image
http://www.malaysiandigest.com/frontpage/2...ne-of-them.html

If the above is accurate or close, few have reserve at flexi account.
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kevyeoh
post Feb 7 2017, 11:10 AM

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Means price dropped 30k?

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 6 2017, 08:00 PM)

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kevyeoh
post Mar 6 2017, 06:58 AM

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Next bubble??? So current bubble when pop first ?

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 06:13 AM)
U.s economy is currently stronger than many realized, almost at full employment without trump budget. Gop is pro business, deregulation (e.g limiting epa power, banking compliance) will increase corporate profit. Loosening lending will push stocks, house price and inflation higher until next bubble is formed.
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kevyeoh
post Mar 6 2017, 08:38 PM

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Does this mean the buyer getting 100% loan?

QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 08:28 PM)
Now oledi banyak ppl sell 10% below market price la. They dun say less, they use the term rebate. So many 500k condo rebate 50k...summore can use the rebate for dp. End of day loan 450k only...means already happening la. But they dun make it obvious onli. Wait a while more 20%, 30% also will come la.
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kevyeoh
post Mar 25 2017, 08:52 AM

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Seriously????

If you really DDD also... you think this argument logic is valid? I think this expert is one of the worst expert I have come across....

You buy... end of the day... you still got the property you own which you can sell and recoup back the money... this expert fail to include this scenario ...

The rm702k is paid and burnt up in the air already.....


QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 22 2017, 11:49 PM)
Buying a RM500,000 property? Better to rent, says expert
Robin Augustin | March 22, 2017

PETALING JAYA: Thinking of buying a RM500,000 house?

A veteran property expert said for that amount of money, renting might be a more viable option given the price of properties and the rising cost of living.
“There is no shame in renting,” Ernest Cheong told FMT in a recent interview.

“People often say, ‘If I rent a house, for the next 30 years I will only enrich the landlord and after 30 years I won’t own a home’.”
Cheong said this was only true if a person could afford the monthly instalments for 30 years.

But even then, Cheong said, given the inflated price of properties and the rising cost of living, people looking to own a home shouldn’t rush into owning one because, in the future, they might have other needs such as their children’s education or medical expenses.

“Let’s look at a RM500,000 property as an example. Say, for that price, it is a 1,000 square feet apartment in Puchong with three bed rooms, with a rental value of RM1,500 a month.”

“One man, Harry, rents it for RM1,500 a month, and his neighbour Sally decides to purchase her unit for RM500,000.”

After 30 years, Cheong said, Harry would have paid his landlord a total of RM702,000 assuming that after every three years the rent was increased by RM100 per month.

Sally, meanwhile, would have paid RM50,000 for the 10% deposit required and taken a RM450,000 bank loan to pay the balance 90% of the purchase price.

“She would also have to pay around RM40,000 in stamp duty and legal fees.”

With a 30 year loan, Cheong said, Sally’s monthly repayment to the bank would be around RM2,734 per month.

“In 30 years, Sally would have paid the bank a total of RM984,240 (RM2,734 x 360 months) and plus the 10% (RM50,000) deposit and RM40,000 legal fees and stamp duty, she would have paid a grand total of RM1,074,240 for her apartment.”

Cheong, a chartered surveyor, said over the period of 30 years, the value of both properties might increase three-fold, but this might only be on paper.

“In reality, we are now seeing an oversupply of residential units and with the rising cost of living, can many people say with confidence that they can afford a bank loan repayment of over RM2,734 a month for 30 years? Or that the value of properties will go up as planned?”

In recent times, Cheong noted, it had been reported that EPF figures showed there were 14.5 million working Malaysians in the country, of whom 89% were earning less than RM5,000 a month.

Cheong said a lot could happen in 30 years, with children needing to go to college or salaries not rising in tandem with the cost of living.

“So in reality, renting may not be a bad option because it allows you to be flexible. Lose a job or need to raise funds? Move to a cheaper place. If you take a loan, you’re committed for 30 years. Sure, you could sell the place, but are you sure you can get the ideal price given the oversupply of properties nowadays?”

Cheong said if people couldn’t afford to repay their bank loan at any time within the 30-year period, they might lose all their money, or even be made bankrupt if they could not sell the property at a price sufficient enough to pay the balance of the loan.
This, Cheong said, was why renting a property – rather than buying one – was a viable option which people should consider.

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...nt-says-expert/
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kevyeoh
post May 27 2017, 12:36 PM

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How you know a lot of ppl kena credit card issue?

QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 27 2017, 09:38 AM)
bearbearwong  bz with something else now..
Mostly kena credit card now is gen y n gen x.. Good to serve them a lesson don't spend future money
. Credit card debt no big deal la,  they credit limit normally won't that high and bank can't sue them for bankruptcy. They should contact akpk or bank to restructure the payment to keep a good record
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kevyeoh
post Jul 4 2017, 07:33 AM

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You sure they still working to pay off the loan or probably renew contract just to do some work and pass time?

QUOTE(chokia @ Jul 4 2017, 06:51 AM)
Excitement is one thing, all the way to the bank is another. With so many properties lying around unsold with ridiculous asking price and strict bank approval process, what most flippers can do is just hold their property.

My office colleague  has 4 landed properties in Penang, every other day he'll tell everyone his properties worth millions, but until today nobody buys his property and he is 66 years old on contact and still working to serve the bank loan instead of laughing all the way there.

Infact they're few more uncles in the office too who everyday get together and discuss property here and there dreaming of becoming millionaires but then they already passed 55years old and still working renewing their contract with the company annually.

Pathetic and sad.
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kevyeoh
post Jul 4 2017, 12:14 PM

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Lol... you and your legendary quote....

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 4 2017, 10:53 AM)
Property is illiquid, unlike commodities or stocks, price takes years to bottom.
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kevyeoh
post Sep 23 2017, 10:14 AM

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Oh mai gawd... iceman's word is illiquid... it takes many years for him to stop repeating the same thing....

While you have some points ... But I really hope no one take this word of yours seriously and never buy any property... because you say this easily a few years already and still wait to bottom? With this type of mentality I think very hard to buy property already... I don't think you can tell exactly when is the so called bottom price and once price rebounded you may continue to say wait till it bottom.... good luck bro!

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 21 2017, 07:48 AM)
Property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.
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kevyeoh
post Jan 5 2018, 09:06 PM

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Sales fall 4% but not price la.... number of sales down 4% only ... I still waiting for bubble to burst ... wait until neck now almost 2 metre long ... want to become giraffe already ....

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 5 2018, 03:36 PM)

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kevyeoh
post Feb 20 2018, 04:50 PM

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Shouldn't it be a good time to buy now? Later when the price up again then you regret not buying earlier and then miss the boat...

QUOTE(trumpkampung @ Feb 20 2018, 10:08 AM)
penang now stagnant
bank say very less transaction and advise not buy now
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Personally... I think anytime is a good time to buy when you find a good unit you really love ... not all units the same even if same property project...example ... house or unit number... Will you buy a unit with no 4 vs no 8? And if condo .. if got a unit sea view at a good price you can afford.. you still want to wait?

I just think it is hard to time your purchase because sometimes a really good unit comes along and that is the time to buy if you like it ...

Just my 2 cents. ...

QUOTE(dem0nic @ Feb 20 2018, 01:55 PM)
guys need an opinion. is it good to invest in property now? I am thinking about to get a unit in 1 pavilion suites and try to rent it out or put it on Airbnb so i could get extra money along the way. I don't plan to stay at all, maybe in 5-10 years, i will.  Or i should buy a bungalow unit in Bukit Jelutong or something and try to rent it out and hope in future the price will go up. My plans are more like to make a future asset i would say.
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kevyeoh
post Feb 21 2018, 04:47 PM

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I guess you will know when you find one...

I was looking around for a long time and finally I saw a unit that I immediately fell in love and made decision in less than 24 hours to buy ...

Follow your heart... smile.gif

QUOTE(dem0nic @ Feb 21 2018, 11:48 AM)
you're actually right. it is hard for me to find a property that i really like. but then again, it 's hard to decide which is good for my situation. one is very good and touristic situation and another is big land and good in the future when i have a family.
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kevyeoh
post Jul 27 2018, 12:14 AM

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So is it a good time to buy now? When should be a good time to buy?
kevyeoh
post Sep 1 2018, 04:17 PM

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It is already down ... 10% down at minimum..


QUOTE(yeezai @ Aug 28 2018, 03:54 PM)
price is going down its a fact ...but it wont burst
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For landed you think it won't drop a lot?


QUOTE(scorptim @ Aug 28 2018, 04:19 PM)
For condos got a few 30% discounts flying around d right now.

Landed I think your estimate is sound but high rise, I predict by the time we reach the bottom of this downtrend we’ll see around 30-50% drop.
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kevyeoh
post Sep 1 2018, 10:33 PM

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For discussion purpose... May I know your reason for saying this? As I thought condo has more facilities and so ppl tend to buy condo than landed... younger generation folks tend to favor condo too...nowadays landed not so much in demand compared to condo so my thought is landed since low transaction ... got higher risk lower demand and now price drop ... based on my own observation without proper data from NAPIC etc... I just observe some landed house can put for sale up to 2 years plus before finally being sold... and it is at a prime area...

QUOTE(scorptim @ Sep 1 2018, 06:38 PM)
Yeah, landed definitely won’t drop as much as high rise.
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This post has been edited by kevyeoh: Sep 1 2018, 10:33 PM
kevyeoh
post Sep 19 2018, 09:20 PM

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Do you agree that those who buy back in 2012 or 2013 or even 2014... most likely they are still earning a profit by selling off the property at s lower price than last year?

Assuming back then rm250k ... then peak at 550k.. now so called drop 80k become 470k...

So will you buy now if price drops to 470k or you think it will further drop to 300k?

I am quoting real life case here... if you buy back then ... and hold till now... even with drop in price... it is still quite a decent profit ... there are still transactions and still got buy/sell activities... I don't even see the price drop even 20% at those hot locations...

QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Sep 19 2018, 02:33 AM)
few years ago.. we started speculating about the property bubble would struck... and we never lose hope and our belief after seeing all factors that come forward and today what we believe happen..despite so many were against us.. trust yourself

this would be the sweetest moment of life.... where truth arise and those whom uttered those comments in d past now were and are as silence as grace.. the government finally comes to change when ppl says no..

keep fighting ... but never forget to grab the chance... buy one yourself .. that will be sweet  too..

jolokia
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This post has been edited by kevyeoh: Sep 19 2018, 09:21 PM

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