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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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TSicemanfx
post Dec 23 2016, 04:32 PM, updated 2w ago

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Continue from;

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3680981/+2560

KV property is on down trend for the last seven consecutive quarters.

TOMEI-R
post Dec 23 2016, 04:34 PM

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Oh well.. Thats is what is expected already. On the positive side, properties prices are coming down albeit slow. More people can afford to buy their own homes.

This post has been edited by TOMEI-R: Dec 23 2016, 04:34 PM
limfreelance
post Dec 23 2016, 04:35 PM

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im tired of hearing buble buble bubble.

TSicemanfx
post Dec 23 2016, 04:38 PM

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Recently, it seems;

- On some vped units; bank valuation is at about 90% of developer SNP price.

- At some banks, NPL on residential property has jumped by double digits %.

- Some banks are not providing end finance to certain developers projects.

If market sentiment doesn't improve, expect the above to persists.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Dec 23 2016, 04:41 PM
kurtkob78
post Dec 23 2016, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 23 2016, 04:38 PM)
Recently, it seems;

- On some vped units; bank valuation is at about 90% of developer SNP price.

- At some banks, NPL on residential property has jumped by double digits %.

If market sentiment doesn't improve, expect the above to persists.
*
so many auction units now. so many choice
Perbaman
post Dec 23 2016, 04:47 PM

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BBB all the wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
axisresidence17
post Dec 23 2016, 04:58 PM

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DDD!
axisresidence17
post Dec 23 2016, 07:22 PM

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Omg!!! ..just found out my fren condo is up for an auction from browsing the auction site 😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱

So shocking!
Coup De Grace
post Dec 23 2016, 07:26 PM

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QUOTE
KUALA LUMPUR: The year ends on yet another gloomy note for the Malaysian property market as both the residential and commercial segments saw an extension of the downward purchasing momentum from 2015.

Past President of the Malaysian Institute of Estate Agents (MIEA) Siva Shanker opined that the property market had reached the bottom of its cycle in 2016 after being in a slowdown mode since 2012.

“In 2013, we saw the number of transactions fall, but with the value still going up. In 2014, we saw a slight increase in value, but unfortunately, the improvement did not carry through to 2015.

“In my opinion, the property market will end the year on a weak note,†he told Bernama.


QUOTE
As property is a long-term investment, people who get caught in the cycle are the ones trying to be short-term investors or also labelled as “property-flippersâ€.

A key reason for the lower purchasing activity in the industry is the difficulty in obtaining housing loans from financial institutions.

As revealed by the National Property Information Centre (NAPIC) in its Property Market Report for the first half of 2016, the ratio of loan approvals against applications shrunk to a low 40%. It was also the lowest recorded in a six-year period.

Property buyers seemed to be burdened by the rising prices of residential and commercial buildings against the background of a weaker economy.

It was noted that the Malaysian House Price Index continued to improve moderately in the second quarter of 2016 at 235.4 points, up 5.3%.

The same goes for commercial buildings, whereby prices of shop lots continued to strengthen in areas with hype commercial activities and efficient connectivity, in ranging between RM1.2 million and RM2 million for a double-storey unit, depending on locality.

This situation has resulted in a huge property overhang for the year, especially in the residential segment. – Bernama

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...d-on-weak-note/

TLDR: Lower number of transactions, price slightly up, flippers suffer

This post has been edited by Coup De Grace: Dec 23 2016, 07:26 PM
ycs
post Dec 23 2016, 07:30 PM

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'down trend for the last seven consecutive quarters' laugh.gif
SUSchokia
post Dec 23 2016, 07:37 PM

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But Penang properties only UUU.

Penangkia have strong holding power because all houses they owned were purchased below RM100K last time, now selling price RM1Million

You want to buy? dun want i hold coz i already finish paid the morgage.


ALeUNe
post Dec 23 2016, 07:43 PM

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Hope we see "Con9lan7firm Property Bubble Burst V1" thread soon.
ALeUNe
post Dec 23 2016, 07:46 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Dec 23 2016, 07:22 PM)
Omg!!! ..just found out my fren condo is up for an auction from browsing the auction site 😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱

So shocking!
*
What was the auction price?
Location please.
SUSempatTan
post Dec 23 2016, 07:49 PM

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BBB time cumming...

Rubbing hands in glee...
kevyeoh
post Dec 23 2016, 07:58 PM

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If got such ppl like you around waiting to BBB... then how can it go DDD? as there is a support line waiting lo....

QUOTE(empatTan @ Dec 23 2016, 07:49 PM)
BBB time cumming...

Rubbing hands in glee...
*
axisresidence17
post Dec 23 2016, 07:59 PM

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QUOTE(ALeUNe @ Dec 23 2016, 07:46 PM)
What was the auction price?
Location please.
*
570K for 1098sq ft. Interested?
ALeUNe
post Dec 23 2016, 08:49 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Dec 23 2016, 07:59 PM)
570K for 1098sq ft. Interested?
*
Location?
silent_stalker
post Dec 23 2016, 08:56 PM

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Denial mode on

UUU BBB
Jliew168
post Dec 23 2016, 09:00 PM

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My friend house in GVH drop below developer price... bearbearwong can u confirm this?
bryon
post Dec 23 2016, 09:31 PM

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if myr/usd drop 10%
property also will up 10%
but it applies to old property
not those overpriced new project
TSicemanfx
post Dec 23 2016, 11:57 PM

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user posted image

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image

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user posted image

KV property is at early stage of down trend, many are in denial.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Dec 24 2016, 12:04 AM
heavensea
post Dec 24 2016, 07:51 AM

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QUOTE(chokia @ Dec 23 2016, 07:37 PM)
But Penang properties only UUU.

Penangkia have strong holding power because all houses they owned were purchased below RM100K last time, now selling price RM1Million

You want to buy? dun want i hold coz i already finish paid the morgage.
*
1000% profits!
TSicemanfx
post Dec 24 2016, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Dec 24 2016, 07:51 AM)
1000% profits!
*
At 5% p.a. compounded, one will get 1,000% in about 48 years.

At 6% p.a. compounded, one will get 1,000% in about 40 years.
axisresidence17
post Dec 24 2016, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(ALeUNe @ Dec 23 2016, 08:49 PM)
Location?
*
Segambut overlooking mont kiara 😂😂😂
bearbearwong
post Dec 25 2016, 11:57 AM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Dec 23 2016, 09:00 PM)
My friend house in GVH drop below developer price... bearbearwong  can u confirm this?
*
Yea drop 5 to 7% .. capers drop 30%
TSicemanfx
post Dec 25 2016, 06:57 PM

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QUOTE(goks @ Dec 25 2016, 05:19 PM)
If u r a yield investor, see which one makes investment sense, new is nice but u may get 3% yield, old maybe u can get 7-8% then why worry?

I have not bought a new property in the last 7 years, but I have purchased 4 properties, all on auction and 30-40% under prevailing market rate. I like new properties but I am not emotional, I only buy when I can get minimum 7% yield. So put ur emotions aside and make a business decision.

Many think new properties will have tremendous capital gain, not always true except 1st buyer but tha too no one does a nett investment calculation after all the interest u have paid during construction if the capital gain is great or not.
*
If one knows where to look, could find dead chicken even during property bullrun. Bravo!

QUOTE(goks @ Dec 25 2016, 10:59 PM)
It's always a calculated risk. My margin of loan is only 70% so 10% down isn't an issue. If I can be blunt, if u can't afford 10% of purchase price you should not be buying a property.  This is the bull shit developers now created by illegal discounts which by law is illegal but no enforcement. I saved like hell 16 years back to buy my first property, 2 years saving, no car, then BY luck I got a decent relocation bonus from company, then I dumped 10% into a house. Today young Turks want everything fast and easy.

Maintenance is almost always paid by bank for all outstanding. I have not seen cases where buyer pays.

Repairs - again no different then buying a sub sale.  Any property u buy u will spend money to dget it up to ur taste, even new one.

Vacant possession - can be an issue, keep 5k as contingency if u need to get court order.

A good auction agent is key, don't ever trust normal real estate agents who only do auction part time as they only want to rip u off some commission , i work only with full time auction agents like auction list or Lelong tips. They help me sort out allot of issues and th y do this day in and out.

Finally auction u can gain allot but it's also not something for people who are cash strapped. Example I may end up buying touts and syndicates out or give my agent some money to sort matters out, on average each auction cost me 5-8k of the addition cost but that gives me peace of mind.

Property is a life long, illiquid, hard commitments. Many young Malaysians in general dive into it without and exit plan or holding plan.
*
This post has been edited by icemanfx: Dec 25 2016, 11:14 PM
TSicemanfx
post Dec 26 2016, 02:53 PM

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QUOTE(Nikmon @ Dec 26 2016, 12:04 PM)
now the discount trend is
Preview 8%
Launch 8%+2%
after launched 3 months 8%+2%+lucky draw
after 6 months 8%+2%+lucky draw+cash rebate....
*
QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Dec 26 2016, 12:25 PM)
the best discount in 2016 is from subsale market
*
prody
post Dec 30 2016, 12:49 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Dec 23 2016, 07:22 PM)
Omg!!! ..just found out my fren condo is up for an auction from browsing the auction site 😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱

So shocking!
*
I had the same shock a while ago, when I noticed a house on auction in my neighborhood. After checking it was very close to my own house. Then after a while I noticed they started removing everything they possibly could from the house.
axisresidence17
post Dec 30 2016, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Dec 30 2016, 12:49 PM)
I had the same shock a while ago, when I noticed a house on auction in my neighborhood. After checking it was very close to my own house. Then after a while I noticed they started removing everything they possibly could from the house.
*
Omg! 😱😱😱 Must be traumatising especially if it is for families!
braun.buffel
post Dec 30 2016, 01:46 PM

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worst to come. please get UUU to show you how many VP projects for 2017, 2018, and 2019

especially those pigeon holesssss
pobox
post Dec 30 2016, 01:48 PM

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Now renting also got good choices. Best
TSicemanfx
post Dec 31 2016, 12:31 PM

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Invest in u.s stocks a few years ago could be a better option than kV property even without considering depreciating rm.


axisresidence17
post Jan 3 2017, 10:28 AM

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So any bargain to be made in property yet? I was busy shopping at Zara to get items at 50% off 😂😂ðŸ˜
TSicemanfx
post Jan 3 2017, 06:13 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Jan 3 2017, 04:00 PM)
How are the 'crooks' going to catch themselves? You already know who are the biggest 'crooks' in siphoning big sums of money out of the country.
buying domestic assets could never hedge against forex loss. Like mentioned, its just another better way of parking one's money other than saving it in the bank.

You are right on the High NPL rates. This I confirmed with my bankers. Not only NPL high on residential loans, car loans, personal loans and credit cards are also recording high NPLs.
*
Expect banks to tighten lending with rising npl. Those hoping for quick flip is in for the long haul.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 3 2017, 06:15 PM
TOMEI-R
post Jan 3 2017, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 3 2017, 06:13 PM)
Expect banks to tighten lending with rising npl. Those hoping for quick flip is in for the long haul.
*
Bro you tagged my comment in the wrong thread. laugh.gif

Btw, loans are sibeh hard to solicit right now. Bankers all giving stupid excuses for rejecting loans. Little bit reject, little bit ask for guarantor. doh.gif

This post has been edited by TOMEI-R: Jan 3 2017, 06:17 PM
SUScocbum4
post Jan 3 2017, 06:48 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 31 2016, 12:31 PM)
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Invest in u.s stocks a few years ago could be a better option than kV property even without considering depreciating rm.
*
Sure us market is doing good
Ayam more worry if us not doing good
Ayam may get lesser return but at much lower risk (currency risk?), less mistakes to be made (not all us stock make money) and less leveraged risk, long term wise property is a BBB UUU and easily outperform U.S. market. Nothing can stop it.
Keep waiting for the bubble.
TSicemanfx
post Jan 5 2017, 03:31 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jan 3 2017, 06:48 PM)
Sure us market is doing good
Ayam more worry if us not doing good
Ayam may get lesser return but at much lower risk (currency risk?), less mistakes to be made (not all us stock make money) and less leveraged risk, long term wise property is a BBB UUU and easily outperform U.S. market. Nothing can stop it.
Keep waiting for the bubble.
*
Instead of individual stock, one could choose etf and brk.b.

On forex, rm already depreciated by over 30% in one year and likely to depreciates further.

Most bought property on leverage. Profit as well as losses is magnified by leverage.

Unless market sentiment changed, kV property is on downtrend. With oversupply and bank tightening residential loan, kV property is unlikely to uuu anytime soon.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 5 2017, 03:37 AM
max_cavalera
post Jan 5 2017, 04:51 AM

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Challenging times ahead for property sector
SUScocbum4
post Jan 5 2017, 11:16 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 5 2017, 03:31 AM)
Instead of individual stock, one could choose etf and brk.b.

On forex, rm already depreciated by over 30% in one year and likely to depreciates further.

Most bought property on leverage. Profit as well as losses is magnified by leverage.

Unless market sentiment changed, kV property is on downtrend. With oversupply and bank tightening residential loan, kV property is unlikely to uuu anytime soon.
*
House do not exposed to any of the risk.
And Ayam is getting guaranteed 10-15% income every year? Why do Ayam need to worry about the risk?
TSicemanfx
post Jan 5 2017, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jan 5 2017, 11:16 PM)
House do not exposed to any of the risk.
And Ayam is getting guaranteed 10-15% income every year? Why do Ayam need to worry about the risk?
*
Every investment carry certain risks.

If kv property could guaranteed 10-15% income every year, funds manager like Blackrock and every obasans would have invested, developers need not spend millions of RM on advertisement.

SUScocbum4
post Jan 5 2017, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 5 2017, 11:29 PM)
Every investment carry certain risks.

If kv property could guaranteed 10-15% income every year, funds manager like Blackrock and every obasans would have invested, developers need not spend millions of RM on advertisement.
*
Jew won't belip it
It is why Ayam become millionaire just from the income alone. Banker always call me for new house loan, ayam can keep leveraging Ayam income. It is why Ayam find no reason Ayam need to care about the risk Jew mentioned
TSicemanfx
post Jan 6 2017, 12:06 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jan 5 2017, 11:42 PM)
Jew won't belip it
It is why Ayam become millionaire just from the income alone. Banker always call me for new house loan, ayam can keep leveraging Ayam income. It is why Ayam find no reason Ayam need to care about the risk Jew mentioned
*
Leverage magnified profit as well as losses.

To become a millionaire from 10 to 15% income, one need to start with multi-million.

Cabinda
post Jan 6 2017, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 6 2017, 12:06 AM)
Leverage magnified profit as well as losses.

To become a millionaire from 10 to 15% income, one need to start with multi-million.
*
icy, can teach me how to become millionaire ah.. i only have 2k in my bank... got chancy become millionaire ah?
TSicemanfx
post Jan 6 2017, 12:14 AM

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QUOTE(Cabinda @ Jan 6 2017, 12:07 AM)
icy, can teach me how to become millionaire ah.. i only have 2k in my bank... got chancy become millionaire ah?
*
You can try sport toto jackpot.

Cabinda
post Jan 6 2017, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 6 2017, 12:14 AM)
You can try sport toto jackpot.
*
all this while trying, and still trying.. so asking for your expertise statistics and numbers expert for advise.. hope can hit straight in between the balls..
SUScocbum4
post Jan 6 2017, 12:21 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 6 2017, 12:06 AM)
Leverage magnified profit as well as losses.

To become a millionaire from 10 to 15% income, one need to start with multi-million.
*
Is it very difficult to do it in u.s stock?
Ayam didn't know it is very difficult.
Bank keep giving Ayam new loan Ayam think it is very easy to do so in stock also.
TSicemanfx
post Jan 6 2017, 11:17 AM

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QUOTE(Cabinda @ Jan 6 2017, 12:19 AM)
all this while trying, and still trying.. so asking for your expertise statistics and numbers expert for advise.. hope can hit straight in between the balls..
*
http://publications.credit-suisse.com/task...20A1A254A3E24A5

For reasons, there are less than 3% of adults in the kangkong have over us$100k net worth.

To become a rm millionaire will takes more than just working smart, investing like a herd won't be one.

QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jan 6 2017, 12:21 AM)
Is it very difficult to do it in u.s stock?
Ayam didn't know it is very difficult.
Bank keep giving Ayam new loan Ayam think it is very easy to do so in stock also.
*
If you have the financial strength as you claimed; you could have made more than a 150m2 condo in klcc vicinity from US stocks since US presidential election in November.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 6 2017, 12:04 PM
Cabinda
post Jan 6 2017, 02:57 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 6 2017, 11:17 AM)
http://publications.credit-suisse.com/task...20A1A254A3E24A5

For reasons, there are less than 3% of adults in the kangkong have over us$100k net worth.

To become a rm millionaire will takes more than just working smart, investing like a herd won't be one.

*
hello, i dont want listen you analyze statistics, chart, or numbers, because i dont understand..

If i know how to work smart i dont have to ask for your advise already..

By your expert on statistics, chart and numbers, i believe you can turn my RM2k become RM20mil easily... So please help me to become millionaire.. or even one of the 3% who have US$100k networth
toda_erika_II
post Jan 6 2017, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(limfreelance @ Dec 23 2016, 04:35 PM)
im tired of hearing buble buble bubble.
*
bubble bubble bubble
TSicemanfx
post Jan 6 2017, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(Cabinda @ Jan 6 2017, 02:57 PM)
hello, i dont want listen you analyze statistics, chart, or numbers, because i dont understand..

If i know how to work smart i dont have to ask for your advise already..

By your expert on statistics, chart and numbers, i believe you can turn my RM2k become RM20mil easily... So please help me to become millionaire.. or even one of the 3% who have US$100k networth
*
Beside sport toto, you could buy a suit with rm2k to get a job at a investment bank or funds management in sg, hk or shanghai. If you know your stuffs and ways round, you could become the top 3% in 5 to 10 years.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 6 2017, 03:37 PM
Cabinda
post Jan 6 2017, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 6 2017, 03:37 PM)
Beside sport toto, you could buy a suit with rm2k to get a job at a investment bank or funds management in sg, hk or shanghai. If you know your stuffs and ways round, you could become the top 3% in 5 to 10 years.
*
Nowadays, doesnt require certificate ka? buy suit can get job already? I graduate in "Specialist in Property Management", SPM, can work in investment bank and funds management ka? If i apply for cleaner job maybe can lar.. work as cleaner in sg, hk or shanghai, can become top 3% in 5 to 10 years?

No other kang tau you can help me generate from RM2k to become RM20mil or even at least 3% of the US$100k networth?
SUSthepark
post Jan 6 2017, 05:08 PM

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So bubble is here? Or stagnant?
TSicemanfx
post Jan 6 2017, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(Cabinda @ Jan 6 2017, 05:01 PM)
Nowadays, doesnt require certificate ka? buy suit can get job already? I graduate in "Specialist in Property Management", SPM, can work in investment bank and funds management ka? If i apply for cleaner job maybe can lar.. work as cleaner in sg, hk or shanghai, can become top 3% in 5 to 10 years?

No other kang tau you can help me generate from RM2k to become RM20mil or even at least 3% of the US$100k networth?
*
If you are in property industry, you may has a chance to marry into developers family else accept to be a member of 97%.

blanket84
post Jan 6 2017, 05:20 PM

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We will see a dead cat bounce first before the real burst happen.
Cabinda
post Jan 6 2017, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 6 2017, 05:18 PM)
If you are in property industry, you may has a chance to marry into developers family else accept to be a member of 97%.
*
With a SPM cert on hand, and working as cleaner i can have chancy mary into developer family? very ambitious ah..

i'm now member of 97% so thats y i seek for your advise.. but look like you're one of the 97% also.. because you pusing pusing.. no solution for me at all..
kevyeoh
post Jan 6 2017, 07:41 PM

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dead cat bounce also applicable for property huh...

QUOTE(blanket84 @ Jan 6 2017, 05:20 PM)
We will see a dead cat bounce first before the real burst happen.
*
TSicemanfx
post Jan 6 2017, 08:16 PM

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QUOTE(Cabinda @ Jan 6 2017, 05:38 PM)
With a SPM cert on hand, and working as cleaner i can have chancy mary into developer family? very ambitious ah..

i'm now member of 97% so thats y i seek for your advise.. but look like you're one of the 97% also.. because you pusing pusing.. no solution for me at all..
*
Students are obviously in 97% members.


blanket84
post Jan 6 2017, 09:26 PM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Jan 6 2017, 07:41 PM)
dead cat bounce also applicable for property huh...
*
Should be applicable for most thing that involve money and human. One of the post in this thread shows the graph that has a dead cat bounce in it few pages back.
kevyeoh
post Jan 7 2017, 08:58 AM

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but for property it is not the same as stocks... location is important for property also...
good location area...i don't think there will be dead cat bounce...at most... the graph is upward trend and if there's slowdown...prices will be mostly flat before it picks up again...

let us continue to monitor....

QUOTE(blanket84 @ Jan 6 2017, 09:26 PM)
Should be applicable for most thing that involve money and human. One of the post in this thread shows the graph that has a dead cat bounce in it few pages back.
*
kurtkob78
post Jan 7 2017, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Jan 7 2017, 08:58 AM)
but for property it is not the same as stocks... location is important for property also...
good location area...i don't think there will be dead cat bounce...at most... the graph is upward trend and if there's slowdown...prices will be mostly flat before it picks up again...

let us continue to monitor....
*
Why no downward? R u uuu?
kevyeoh
post Jan 7 2017, 11:01 AM

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I believe in buying and holding long term for good location properties and then get rental income while holding long term.... is this consider uuu?

For properties in good location... i don't see the price DVD... i have been stressing on this keyword = location, but usually people like to generalize and say property downtrend now... AFAIK... prime or good location area the price hardly go down... probably stay flat in bad times only.... but over long term... it is up trend....

QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jan 7 2017, 10:46 AM)
Why no downward? R u uuu?
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TSicemanfx
post Jan 7 2017, 11:12 AM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Jan 7 2017, 11:01 AM)
I believe in buying and holding long term for good location properties and then get rental income while holding long term.... is this consider uuu?

For properties in good location... i don't see the price DVD... i have been stressing on this keyword = location, but usually people like to generalize and say property downtrend now... AFAIK... prime or good location area the price hardly go down... probably stay flat in bad times only.... but over long term... it is up trend....
*
Prime locations held by reits e.g. klcc, pavilion, mv, sunway pyramid, etc are unlikely to sell, won't see price drop. To use this as a benchmark is detached from the general market.

On residential property, believe there isn't a consensus that which area or development is super prime and will immune to any price downfall. And most people purchase are not super prime.

Historically, property price rise in the long term but at about inflation rate. Due to oversupply in kv, unless there is a change in market sentiment, price is likely continue to downtrend and falling behind inflation rate.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 7 2017, 08:01 PM
axisresidence17
post Jan 9 2017, 02:10 PM

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Im looking at bungalow lot now..and the price is kinda stubborn..not to mention procedures can make you dizzy too 🤕🤕🤕
scorptim
post Jan 10 2017, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Jan 7 2017, 11:01 AM)
I believe in buying and holding long term for good location properties and then get rental income while holding long term.... is this consider uuu?

For properties in good location... i don't see the price DVD... i have been stressing on this keyword = location, but usually people like to generalize and say property downtrend now... AFAIK... prime or good location area the price hardly go down... probably stay flat in bad times only.... but over long term... it is up trend....
*
Everything is based on generalisation la, property downward trend means that properties in most areas prices are falling just the same like stocks market la, it's a bear cycle when most stock prices go down. There will NEVER be a scenario where ALL properties or stocks go down, even in the worse kinda market some stocks will still perform well or maintain their prices, just like properties.

If follow your definition, then there is no such thing as a downward trend for anything la.

Even now, some prime locations like BB, DAMANSARA already got property prices dropping la, maybe not as significant as other sub prime areas but even prime properties are dropping, so still wanna say no downward trend? The only difference is that PRIME areas drop slower and lesser, but it's still a drop even if drop only by 5%, it's still a drop. Let's not deny that.


kevyeoh
post Jan 13 2017, 04:29 PM

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Wow... 86% urban household with no savings ? It is like almost 9 out of every 10 households don't have savings... really curious if this is indeed true !

QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 13 2017, 02:46 PM)
user posted image
http://www.malaysiandigest.com/frontpage/2...ne-of-them.html

If the above is accurate or close, few have reserve at flexi account.
*
ed1torz
post Jan 13 2017, 04:38 PM

Обучение на протÑжении вÑей жизни ï
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keyword 0 zero

so 1k can be saving too then gg
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post Jan 13 2017, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 13 2017, 02:46 PM)
user posted image
http://www.malaysiandigest.com/frontpage/2...ne-of-them.html

If the above is accurate or close, few have reserve at flexi account.
*
Thats stats for 2013?
TSicemanfx
post Jan 15 2017, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(kenlaw72 @ Jan 13 2017, 05:52 PM)
hear form developer, they already get the tenants.
they give free rental  one years to potential shop tenants which open at 3rd avenue.
*
CBJ is so vibrant that commie rental could be free for one year.

QUOTE(Donald Trump @ Jan 13 2017, 09:23 PM)
it was 100% empty after more than a year
AT LAST 1 shop doing reno....🎉🎂
*


[=Donald Trump,Jan 13 2017, 10:50 PM]
Soli correction.....my pucat friend say this is not shop renovating....is actually TLG MS use to store their crap😌......my bad
so is still maintain 100% NOT OCCUPY for more than a year and counting
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Icon city is said to be mv in the making.

QUOTE(Quang1819 @ Jan 13 2017, 11:33 PM)
worked there for a year couple months back. more shops are closing down in the mall and the shoplots outside the mall as well. heard that my old working would be shifting as well lol
*


[=Quang1819,Jan 13 2017, 11:35 PM]
but most of them are known brands like Oldtown, Subway and a few more. Those that aren't well known all closed down
*
Another uuu

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 15 2017, 06:11 PM
TSicemanfx
post Jan 15 2017, 06:09 PM

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æ ¹æ®Lelongtips.com.myçš„ç»Ÿè®¡æ•°æ®æ˜¾ç¤ºï¼Œä»Ž2004年开始至今,全国有逾36万间房屋被æ‹å–ï¼Œæ¯æœˆæœ‰è‡³å°‘2500é—´ï¼Œå³æ¯æ—¥å¹³å‡çº¦æœ‰120间房屋被æ‹å–,其中åˆä»¥éžæœ‰åœ°ç”¢ä¸šä½”多数,如æœåС公坓ã€å…¬å¯“或组屋å•ä½ã€‚

「如今隆市也有许多新房屋å‘展计划,推出å…头期或低头期优惠,å¸å¼•年轻人购买,但问题在于年轻人无法承担房贷,导致从去年开始隆雪æ‹å–屋中有约70%的屋主是80åŽçš„é’年。ã€

http://www.orientaldaily.com.my/central/zm1206

Believe this is only the beginning and will increase with npl.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 15 2017, 06:10 PM
Quang1819
post Jan 15 2017, 06:33 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 15 2017, 05:11 PM)
Icon city is said to be mv in the making.
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I doubt it. KL are just flooded with too many malls

But they claim to be a food hub lol
TSicemanfx
post Jan 16 2017, 12:16 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 15 2017, 11:49 PM)
Since when tms is a reliable dev???

It's quite a norm for buyers to b conned by tns. Nothin new I guess. It ll b headline if it's not a con job.

Now all eyes r on sg buluh.
*
It seems many of uuu/bbb herd has boarded the thief boat to holland.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 16 2017, 05:41 PM
TSicemanfx
post Jan 16 2017, 05:37 PM

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According to Napic; average take up rate 9 months after launch is about 55%.

Those claimed 70%, 80% or 85% sold at launch is as real as Robert Kiyosaki's rich dad.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 16 2017, 05:41 PM
TSicemanfx
post Jan 16 2017, 11:14 PM

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QUOTE(cedyy @ Jan 16 2017, 10:59 PM)
yes, oversupply and weakening demand. my client has an outlet on ground floor at Midvalley Garden. tenancy expiring soon and managed to get a reduction in the rental.
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wodenus
post Jan 17 2017, 06:11 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 13 2017, 02:46 PM)
user posted image
http://www.malaysiandigest.com/frontpage/2...ne-of-them.html

If the above is accurate or close, few have reserve at flexi account.
*
If this is accurate, Indians are the richest community in this countryy. Why such racist statistics though? tongue.gif

party
post Jan 17 2017, 06:14 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Jan 10 2017, 11:18 PM)
Everything is based on generalisation la, property downward trend means that properties in most areas prices are falling just the same like stocks market la, it's a bear cycle when most stock prices go down. There will NEVER be a scenario where ALL properties or stocks go down, even in the worse kinda market some stocks will still perform well or maintain their prices, just like properties.

If follow your definition, then there is no such thing as a downward trend for anything la.

Even now, some prime locations like BB, DAMANSARA already got property prices dropping la, maybe not as significant as other sub prime areas but even prime properties are dropping, so still wanna say no downward trend? The only difference is that PRIME areas drop slower and lesser, but it's still a drop even if drop only by 5%, it's still a drop. Let's not deny that.
*
From 2007 until now..it up by 100%. 5% drop tis year...still consider drop??
SUScocbum4
post Jan 17 2017, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 13 2017, 02:46 PM)
user posted image
http://www.malaysiandigest.com/frontpage/2...ne-of-them.html

If the above is accurate or close, few have reserve at flexi account.
*
Cukur Ayam is one of the 10% in the bucket
party
post Jan 17 2017, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 17 2017, 06:22 PM)
Double in 10 years is about 7% p.a compounded.

Why not compare with price in 1997?
*
I can compare even from 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. The tend is up but a little downward u guys were super happy till forgot how much u realli lost bcoz kept waiting...
scorptim
post Jan 17 2017, 07:14 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Jan 17 2017, 06:14 PM)
From 2007 until now..it up by 100%. 5% drop tis year...still consider drop??
*
Of course it's considered a drop, if not then you apply the same concept to everything lo, then everything in this world also no drop la like that.

You go to a shop eat fried noodles, yesterday they charge you 6.50, today it's RM6, you don't consider drop is it? Because 10 years ago it was only RM 3.

Follow that mindset then EVERYTHING in this world never drop always UUU lo.

You buy stock at RM 10 last year, this year become RM 9, but when the stock was first listed it was only RM 1. So, to you the stock drop or didn't drop?
kurtkob78
post Jan 17 2017, 07:16 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Jan 17 2017, 06:14 PM)
From 2007 until now..it up by 100%. 5% drop tis year...still consider drop??
*
prop baught in 2015 or later either experience price drop or dont appreciate much.

thats why so low prop sales volume now. because its riskier to buy now. cannot flip anymore. so many flippers stuck.

its not recovering in the near future.

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Jan 17 2017, 07:18 PM
TSicemanfx
post Jan 17 2017, 08:24 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Jan 17 2017, 06:29 PM)
I can compare even from 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. The tend is up but a little downward u guys were super happy till forgot how much u realli lost bcoz kept waiting...
*
After considered loan interest element, you will find your assumption is not as rosy as you thought. Beside bank interest rate is not fixed and likely to rise.

Kv property price rise from 2011 to 2014 was a fallout of u.s qe. Believe we have yet to see the aftershocks of tapering.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 18 2017, 12:04 AM
estcin
post Jan 19 2017, 12:22 PM

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Auctioned properties
http://www.auction2222.com/
estcin
post Jan 19 2017, 12:25 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 19 2017, 12:17 PM)
Last year, it was reported that developers had not been able to sell 18,908 of the 81,894 units of residential and commercial properties launched in the first quarter of 2016. The unsold units were valued at RM9.4 billion.

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...ays-consultant/
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Waiting for mega sales in 2018
AnimeSinceForever
post Jan 22 2017, 02:04 AM

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SS2 Mall "closed for redevelopment"? Well ... if that's what they call "mall closed for business", then yes.
But redevelopment would include a schedule, and I haven't seen one there about
- when development is due to start
- when it will finish
- when the mall will reopen.

Even the Atria opened late ...

QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 22 2017, 12:21 AM)
According to Savills Malaysia, Klang Valley will have more than 60 million sq ft of retail space in 2017. Average occupancy rate is expected to drop from 90% to around 85% with increasing competition, hesitant tenants and low retail sentiments.

Some malls, such as SS2 Mall and Bukit Bintang Plaza, have already closed their doors pending redevelopment, while many others, such as Jaya Shopping Center, Citta Mall, The Strand, and Sunway Nexis, are struggling to fill their space. Shuttered shops are an increasingly common sight at malls such as Amcorp Mall and Quill City Mall.

http://www.propertypricetag.com/properties/275441.html

At 85% occupancy rate, some malls are half empty.
*
TSicemanfx
post Jan 25 2017, 12:13 PM

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Futures and forwards both allow people to buy or sell an asset at a specific time at a given price, but forward contracts are not standardized or traded on an exchange. They are private agreements with terms that may vary from contract to contract.

Also, settlement occurs at the end of a forward contract.

The parties to a forward contract tend to bear more credit risk than the parties to futures contracts because there is no clearinghouse involved that guarantees performance. Thus, there is always a chance that a party to a forward contract will default, and the harmed party's only recourse may be to sue. As a result, forward-contract prices often include premiums for the added credit risk.

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/forwardcontract.asp

Buying new launch is not dissimilar from forward contract. Many people deem forward contract on commodity, stocks, currency, etc risky. Property price movement depending on aggregate economy, liquidity (bank lending), market sentiments, inflation rate, bank interest rate, etc. Forward contract on commodity, stocks, currency is generally shorter and more liquidity than property new launch.

axisresidence17
post Jan 26 2017, 10:23 AM

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QUOTE(estcin @ Jan 19 2017, 12:22 PM)
Auctioned properties
http://www.auction2222.com/
*
Wow lots of hi-end units but there were some within the affordable range also. Quite surprised to see Riana in the mix too.
mango27
post Jan 26 2017, 01:12 PM

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QUOTE(estcin @ Jan 19 2017, 12:22 PM)
Auctioned properties
http://www.auction2222.com/
*
M square Puchong havent open already auctioned.. wah....
kurtkob78
post Jan 26 2017, 01:47 PM

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QUOTE(mango27 @ Jan 26 2017, 01:12 PM)
M square Puchong havent open already auctioned.. wah....
*
how can this be. developer ask auctioneer to auction their units?
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post Jan 26 2017, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jan 26 2017, 01:47 PM)
how can this be. developer ask auctioneer to auction their units?
*
my bad... i think just opened, only the Centro by Parkson not open yet
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post Jan 26 2017, 05:19 PM

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QUOTE(mango27 @ Jan 26 2017, 01:12 PM)
M square Puchong havent open already auctioned.. wah....
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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jan 26 2017, 01:47 PM)
how can this be. developer ask auctioneer to auction their units?
*
Probably buyer didn't pay loan interest.

TSicemanfx
post Feb 6 2017, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(UncleanOne @ Feb 6 2017, 03:06 PM)
Hi,

I bought a property 2 years ago (which is undercon, about 6 months to VP). But I found out that I'm not going to stay there since most of the time I spent in oversea. I wonder has anyone successfully sell the property back to developer? If does, how you convince the developer? I just want to know whether is it ok to do in Malaysia?

Thanks all sifu  notworthy.gif  notworthy.gif
*
QUOTE(UncleanOne @ Feb 6 2017, 06:13 PM)
Thanks for the detailed reply....but as I mentioned, I checked with the sales person (by tell her that my friend is interested to buy  tongue.gif ) and she told me the price is the same + another 30K promo due to CNY  cry.gif  Feel like get cheated  cry.gif
*
kevyeoh
post Feb 7 2017, 11:10 AM

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Means price dropped 30k?

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 6 2017, 08:00 PM)

*
axisresidence17
post Feb 7 2017, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 6 2017, 08:00 PM)

*
Wow!
prody
post Feb 10 2017, 09:12 PM

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Prices can only drop, especially for properties with extremely low rental yield.
TSicemanfx
post Feb 15 2017, 05:43 PM

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THE residential market in Greater KL is expected to remain the same for the next six months to one year, with few changes in transacted prices.

“Things will be more of the same. Prices may not decline drastically but there will be little growth in the residential market, primarily in prime KL areas,†says Jeffri Rahim, Savills Malaysia vice-president, agency/project marketing, in his presentation of The Edge/Savills Klang Valley Residential Monitor 3Q2016.

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...-move-much-year

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Feb 15 2017, 05:45 PM
kurtkob78
post Feb 15 2017, 05:44 PM

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Still 3q data. Old stats. Boring
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post Feb 15 2017, 05:45 PM

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Bangsar park 13% price drop? Wow.
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post Feb 15 2017, 05:47 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Feb 15 2017, 05:44 PM)
Still 3q data. Old stats. Boring
*
You expect 4q data to be much difference?

sunami
post Feb 15 2017, 05:48 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 10 2017, 10:12 PM)
Prices can only drop, especially for properties with extremely low rental yield.
*
i dont think the rental can cover the property price now..
you have to chip in to sustain it..
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post Feb 15 2017, 05:50 PM

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Most old developments.. price already near peak
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post Feb 15 2017, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 15 2017, 05:47 PM)
You expect 4q data to be much difference?
*
No diff. Economy is not doing good. More retrenchment. Higher cost of living due to the ever incrwaaing petrol price.


prody
post Feb 16 2017, 12:55 PM

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QUOTE(sunami @ Feb 15 2017, 05:48 PM)
i dont think the rental can cover the property price now..
you have to chip in to sustain it..
*
Yeah for most of the properties bought at high prices the owner will need to chip in.

I recently saw a rental for 2k.
Capital cost for the same house is about 1.4m. Installment would be about 7k. Not taking into consideration all the other costs (quit rent, maintenance etc.) he would already need to put in an extra 5k per month if he manages to rent it out.

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post Feb 16 2017, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 16 2017, 12:55 PM)
Yeah for most of the properties bought at high prices the owner will need to chip in.

I recently saw a rental for 2k.
Capital cost for the same house is about 1.4m. Installment would be about 7k. Not taking into consideration all the other costs (quit rent, maintenance etc.) he would already need to put in an extra 5k per month if he manages to rent it out.
*
Mind sharing the location/condo name of the unit? 2k rental for 1.4m property is seriously very very low. But on the hindsight the owner might have bought it when prices have not spiraled exponentially lately.
prody
post Feb 16 2017, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Feb 16 2017, 01:05 PM)
Mind sharing the location/condo name of the unit? 2k rental for 1.4m property is seriously very very low. But on the hindsight the owner might have bought it when prices have not spiraled exponentially lately.
*
This is in Setia Alam. It was probably bought when people were still thinking prices would go up 10-20% each year.
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post Feb 17 2017, 01:51 PM

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The retail sector performance has been going south since 2013 and with the weakening ringgit reducing margins for most retailers, poorer sentiments, smaller disposable incomes and a double-digit drop in sales turnover last year, 2017 is expected to be more of the same, he told TheEdgeProperty.com.

“The retail industry is consolidating and the impact is that new malls are finding it hard to fill up and A-list tenants are elusive while terms are becoming more in favour of tenants,†Soo said, adding that the market is seeing a reversal in fortunes from the early 90’s when tenants were chasing landlords.

In addition, the rising cost of construction, an uncertain market, the rising oversupply of malls, a dilution in retail sales turnover, intensified competition for tenants, and drop in rents for new malls are dragging down the retail market.

“Developers will now have to consider the first term of tenancy as a build-up, with rents at least 20% to 30% below rack rental values,†he added.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...y-outlook-malls

Unlesss there is a rise in income, disposable income will be reduced with more property vp.

TSicemanfx
post Feb 17 2017, 02:02 PM

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Property consultancy firm Rahim & Co said it expects the Malaysian property market to recover within the next year or so, as the decline in property transactions is seen to be slowing down.

Rahim & Co director Sulaiman Akhmady Mohd Saheh (pictured) pointed out that the market has been declining since it peaked in 2012.

"The market peaked in 2011 and 2012 and had fallen in 2013, and the drop continued to 2016. By the third quarter of 2016, the total volume dropped by 11.9% while value dropped by 16.4%.

"Since 2010, we had an average of 96,000 transactions per quarter but for the first three quarters of 2016, it averaged below 80,000, which reflects the current subdued market," he said during the company's review of the Malaysian Property Market and the prospects of 2017 today.

While he acknowledged that 2017 would still be a slow year for the property market, he noted that the rate of decline has been slowing down.

"The market will be slowing down its decline in 2017, and we hope that within the next 12 to 18 months it will halt its decline. It'll gradually pick up from there on," he said.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...ve-12-18-months

Somehow property experts don't seems able to explain or reason why property market will recover.

TSicemanfx
post Feb 17 2017, 03:44 PM

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The rate of decline in the total number of property transactions is expected to slowdown this year to 5-10% from an estimated drop of 10-15% last year.

Rahim & Co Group of Companies executive chairman Tan Sri Abdul Rahim Abdul Rahman said market activity is likely to be subdued this year while average property prices, though still holding, may face some corrective pressure.

For the first nine months of 2016, transaction volume fell 11.9% year-on-year to 239,983 units while total value of transactions fell 16.4% year-on-year to RM95.4 billion.

http://www.thesundaily.my/news/2164577


kurtkob78
post Feb 17 2017, 03:49 PM

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Still slowing down. More agents are going to be wiped out
TSicemanfx
post Feb 18 2017, 06:14 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Feb 17 2017, 03:49 PM)
Still slowing down. More agents are going to be wiped out
*
re agents could change job and survive. buyers are stuck and some end up foreclosed and bankrupt.

axisresidence17
post Feb 22 2017, 08:07 PM

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Discounts on the retail sectors seemed to continue on! Been busy looking at discounted items! ðŸ˜
langstrasse
post Mar 5 2017, 09:28 PM

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Can we believe this guy ? hmm.gif

http://www.starproperty.my/index.php/artic...-while-you-can/

QUOTE
“IF YOUR grandfather did not do, your father forgot to do, you still do not want to do, your grandson will not know what to do,†joked MCT Bhd leasing director Teoh Eng Poh on the dilemma faced by property buyers.

In the recent inaugural Star-925, he suggested that properties in Malaysia are staring at a high possibility of a second wave of price hike, similar to the booming of house prices from 2009 to 2014, in which the compound annual growth rate stood at a whopping 10.1%.

“Two major boosters are going to affect the property prices. Firstly, Greater Kuala Lumpur is moving towards an infrastructural era with the upcoming mega transportation projects.

“Secondly, China’s One Belt One Road initiative will see Chinese investment pouring in our property market. Hence, a big wave is on its way,†Teoh said.

According to the latest data from JLL’s Global Capital Flows, China has hit a record of US$33bil (approximately RM146bil) in overseas commercial and residential property investment last year.

On top of that, Teoh touted Bandar Malaysia to be one of the main drivers for the property market in years to come, drawing comparisons to the success of Kuala Lumpur city centre (KLCC).


“Twenty years ago, KLCC was developed within a 100-acre land at RM400 per sq ft. Today, it is approximately RM3,000 per sq ft.

“Bandar Malaysia site covers a total area of 486 acres. The potential is huge,†he added.Teoh also said the property market slowdown in recent years was due to the mismatch in supply and demand.

“When we talk about supply and demand, there is a misconception. It is not a case of supply outstripping demand, but rather an oversupply of products not suited to the consumers’ demand,†he explained.

However, facing a soft market, property developers are now building more affordable houses, which opens the door for the younger generation to own a home.

“One who has the capacity to buy now should not wait till you miss out the opportunity of owning a home. The longer you wait, the tougher homeownership will become.

“In emerging markets like Malaysia, property remains an asset that can build wealth for multi-generations,†he said.

Teoh warned that in developed markets such as Hong Kong, where prices have shot through the roof, it can take generations to acquire a property.

The Property Market Outlook talk was jointly organised by Starproperty.my and the 925 movement. The Star-925 initiative is intended to help employees become more valuable at their workplace, which enables growth in their income stream. Thus, it will allow them to gain more leverage to build wealth through sustainable property ownership.

This initiative will run frequent events that bring together specialised speakers to benefit its members and the attendees.

TSicemanfx
post Mar 5 2017, 10:49 PM

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QUOTE(langstrasse @ Mar 5 2017, 09:28 PM)
so far, none of property guru could explain or understand reason for kv property bull run 2011 to 2014.

kv property bull run 2011 to 2014 was a fallout of u.s qe. consequently, kv property market stagnant after local bank lending to residential properties got harder following tapered u.s qe.

moving forward, kv property is likely to face after shock of u.s. rate rise in the next few years.

SUScocbum4
post Mar 5 2017, 11:16 PM

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Ayam want to belip property bubble
user posted image
ALeUNe
post Mar 5 2017, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:16 PM)
Ayam want to belip property bubble
user posted image
*
#MAGA

Meanwhile bubble burst version X
D-Frog
post Mar 5 2017, 11:20 PM

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Burst only la, I can't wait.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 5 2017, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(ALeUNe @ Mar 5 2017, 11:18 PM)
#MAGA

Meanwhile bubble burst version X
*
Ayam was expecting super bubble burst after it has inflated too much.
ALeUNe
post Mar 5 2017, 11:23 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:21 PM)
Ayam was expecting super bubble burst after it has inflated too much.
*
Yes, I'm waiting for that.
Wanna buy a condo near KLCC park.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 5 2017, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:16 PM)
Ayam want to belip property bubble
user posted image
*
QUOTE(ALeUNe @ Mar 5 2017, 11:18 PM)
#MAGA

Meanwhile bubble burst version X
*
Dow is likely to break 21k and 28k sooner than most expected.

It is critically important to know when to quit.

SUScocbum4
post Mar 5 2017, 11:28 PM

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QUOTE(ALeUNe @ Mar 5 2017, 11:23 PM)
Yes, I'm waiting for that.
Wanna buy a condo near KLCC park.
*
The next wave of BBB is getting so close that
Ayam is so worried Ayam might miss it
TSicemanfx
post Mar 5 2017, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(D-Frog @ Mar 5 2017, 11:20 PM)
Burst only la, I can't wait.
*
QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:21 PM)
Ayam was expecting super bubble burst after it has inflated too much.
*
property is illiquid, price will takes years to bottom. interest rate will accelerate the price down trend.

SUScocbum4
post Mar 5 2017, 11:31 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 5 2017, 11:24 PM)
Dow is likely to break 21k and 28k sooner than most expected.

It is critically important to know when to quit.
*
Obviously jew know nothing about the index
The ultra rich is doing everything to make sure nothing bubble will happen
TSicemanfx
post Mar 5 2017, 11:35 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:31 PM)
Obviously jew know nothing about the index
The ultra rich is doing everything to make sure nothing bubble will happen
*
The ultra rich make their money from the herd members. most ultra rich would have left the market (e.g. oil, property, gold, etc) long before bubble burst, bullrun is created to attract the herd members.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 5 2017, 11:36 PM
party
post Mar 5 2017, 11:39 PM

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I trust iceman...3years later still cant buy condo nx to klcc for 50k..demit
kurtkob78
post Mar 5 2017, 11:45 PM

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its fun to see flipper hold.

most agents also out of job already.

financing will not get any easier.

interesting time indeed.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 12:50 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 5 2017, 11:35 PM)
The ultra rich make their money from the herd members. most ultra rich would have left the market (e.g. oil, property, gold, etc) long before bubble burst, bullrun is created to attract the herd members.
*
When index is 16000, the ultra rich already left the market
When index is 20000, the ultra rich already left the market
When index is 21000, the ultra rich already left the market
.
.
We have so many ultra rich, how long will it take to make all of them leave the market?

This post has been edited by cocbum4: Mar 6 2017, 12:54 AM
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:45 PM)
its fun to see flipper hold.

most agents also out of job already.

financing will not get any easier.

interesting time indeed.
*
Jew belip the index 21000 is flipper too? Is it fun to watch?
TSicemanfx
post Mar 6 2017, 06:13 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 12:50 AM)
When index is 16000, the ultra rich already left the market
When index is 20000, the ultra rich already left the market
When index is 21000, the ultra rich already left the market
.
.
We have so many ultra rich, how long will it take to make all of them leave the market?
*
QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 01:06 AM)
Jew belip the index 21000 is flipper too? Is it fun to watch?
*
U.s economy is currently stronger than many realized, almost at full employment without trump budget. Gop is pro business, deregulation (e.g limiting epa power, banking compliance) will increase corporate profit. Loosening lending will push stocks, house price and inflation higher until next bubble is formed.

kevyeoh
post Mar 6 2017, 06:58 AM

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Next bubble??? So current bubble when pop first ?

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 06:13 AM)
U.s economy is currently stronger than many realized, almost at full employment without trump budget. Gop is pro business, deregulation (e.g limiting epa power, banking compliance) will increase corporate profit. Loosening lending will push stocks, house price and inflation higher until next bubble is formed.
*
TSicemanfx
post Mar 6 2017, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Mar 6 2017, 06:58 AM)
Next bubble??? So current bubble when pop first ?
*
Property is illiquid, bubble deflate over a few years.

Jliew168
post Mar 6 2017, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 10:30 AM)
Property is illiquid, bubble deflate over a few years.
*
Last 3 years u already say will deflate over few years, now after 3 years another's few years flex.gif notworthy.gif rclxub.gif
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 10:30 AM)
Property is illiquid, bubble deflate over a few years.
*
So bubble can be deflated eventually?
Ayam hope next to know about bubble actually has nine life, one go there is eight more life left to go
MishimaZ
post Mar 6 2017, 02:02 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Dec 23 2016, 07:22 PM)
Omg!!! ..just found out my fren condo is up for an auction from browsing the auction site 😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱

So shocking!
*
Got kacau ur friend or not?

QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Jan 9 2017, 02:10 PM)
Im looking at bungalow lot now..and the price is kinda stubborn..not to mention procedures can make you dizzy too 🤕🤕🤕
*
Dude, bungalows and condos are different market la.

QUOTE(Quang1819 @ Jan 15 2017, 06:33 PM)
I doubt it. KL are just flooded with too many malls

But they claim to be a food hub lol
*
Inkambing like Viva mall... first launch food court macam hggh now see the sad condition.

QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:45 PM)
its fun to see flipper hold.

most agents also out of job already.

financing will not get any easier.

interesting time indeed.
*
Let them hold... Its like hoping a gangrene to cure by itself in fact is it need to be cut off.

These agents also, like vermins only. Spam fb and sms and whatsapp.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 6 2017, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 6 2017, 12:57 PM)
Last 3 years u already say will deflate over few years, now after 3 years another's few years  flex.gif  notworthy.gif  rclxub.gif
*
Over inflated property price deflate longer than most expected e.g. property in the US and UK took about 6 years to reach bottom. due to slower foreclosure process in the kangkong land, kv property price will take longer than 6 years to reach bottom, and this 6+ years count down to bottom is only about to begin or just begun.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 6 2017, 04:00 PM
Jliew168
post Mar 6 2017, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 03:42 PM)
Over inflated property price deflate longer than most expected e.g. property in the US and UK took about 6 years to reach bottom. due to slower foreclosure process in the kangkong land, kv property price will take longer than 6 years to reach bottom, and this 6+ years count down to bottom is only about to begin or just begun.
*
U stated predict 3 years ago and now drag another 6years ...omg almost 9 years only good time biggrin.gif


TSicemanfx
post Mar 6 2017, 04:33 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 6 2017, 04:18 PM)
U stated predict 3 years ago and now drag another 6years ...omg almost 9 years only good time  biggrin.gif
*
user posted image

Property is illiquid; there is a transition phase from bull run to bear market and vv.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 6 2017, 04:34 PM
blanket84
post Mar 6 2017, 04:44 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 5 2017, 10:49 PM)
so far, none of property guru could explain or understand reason for kv property bull run 2011 to 2014.

kv property bull run 2011 to 2014 was a fallout of u.s qe. consequently, kv property market stagnant after local bank lending to residential properties got harder following tapered u.s qe.

moving forward, kv property is likely to face after shock of u.s. rate rise in the next few years.
*
Four letters.

D I B S
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 04:51 PM

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applying mortgage on 4 four banks, only one responded, i want to cry sad.gif
dzila_87
post Mar 6 2017, 05:42 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 04:51 PM)
applying mortgage on 4 four banks, only one responded, i want to cry  sad.gif
*
not only you face that. me too

one of it straightly rejected my loan lol bye.gif
KoChun
post Mar 6 2017, 05:45 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 6 2017, 04:18 PM)
U stated predict 3 years ago and now drag another 6years ...omg almost 9 years only good time  biggrin.gif
*
Said the same thing to TS few years ago.
Nay sayer always say drop, but .... biggrin.gif hahaha

QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 04:51 PM)
applying mortgage on 4 four banks, only one responded, i want to cry  sad.gif
*
You call ask why fail. Then prove that you can afford to pay.

QUOTE(dzila_87 @ Mar 6 2017, 05:42 PM)
not only you face that. me too
one of it straightly rejected my loan lol  bye.gif
*
Youi not qualified. You apply for Pr1ma,

kurtkob78
post Mar 6 2017, 05:51 PM

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loan also so strict now. so low sales. how flippers ?

so any overpriced high rise prop just vped last year ? can sell or not?
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(KoChun @ Mar 6 2017, 05:45 PM)
You call ask why fail. Then prove that you can afford to pay.
*
if only they call me and said hey your application rejected and goodbye, but no, no call/message whatsoever.
oh well dry.gif


KoChun
post Mar 6 2017, 06:16 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 06:15 PM)
if only they call me and said hey your application rejected and goodbye, but no, no call/message whatsoever.
oh well  dry.gif
*
Banks who process application have lots. So they dont call everyone.
You can call to ask and find out.
Otherwise, best apply for Pr1ma.
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 06:23 PM

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QUOTE(KoChun @ Mar 6 2017, 06:16 PM)
Banks who process application have lots. So they dont call everyone.
You can call to ask and find out.
Otherwise, best apply for Pr1ma.
*
using runner for application,malas nak tanya which bank branches he submit the application , but oh well, im only purchase those property if only bank are willing to take risk lol. I know that the bank nearly reaching their loan-to-deposit ratio limit, so they will not give loan suka2 hati.

so for now, im committed to proceed with the only bank responded lol, hopefully that the loan process goes well, so far so good, dsr ratio is good, ccris records is good

This post has been edited by zerorating: Mar 6 2017, 06:29 PM
WhitE LighteR
post Mar 6 2017, 07:24 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 06:23 PM)
using runner for application,malas nak tanya which bank branches he submit the application , but oh well,  im only purchase those property if only bank are willing to take risk lol. I know that the bank nearly reaching their loan-to-deposit ratio limit, so they will not give loan suka2 hati.

so for now, im committed to proceed with the only bank responded lol, hopefully that the loan process goes well, so far so good, dsr ratio is good, ccris records is good
*
sometimes cannot trust runner. they say will submit to 10 bank. but in reality they submit mayb 1-2 only... dont be surprised if u call the bank they say dont have your application.
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Mar 6 2017, 07:24 PM)
sometimes cannot trust runner. they say will submit to 10 bank. but in reality they submit mayb 1-2 only... dont be surprised if u call the bank they say dont have your application.
*
im awared of that, but i dont know any good mortgage officers anyway, so the runner (also property agent) know better than me anyway. I managed to get a loan meaning he closed the deal and getting commission.
its not a property that i die2 must buy anyway.

This post has been edited by zerorating: Mar 6 2017, 07:42 PM
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(ghi note8 @ Mar 6 2017, 07:35 PM)
great news for who looking to buy
*
with cash biggrin.gif
scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 07:42 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 03:42 PM)
Over inflated property price deflate longer than most expected e.g. property in the US and UK took about 6 years to reach bottom. due to slower foreclosure process in the kangkong land, kv property price will take longer than 6 years to reach bottom, and this 6+ years count down to bottom is only about to begin or just begun.
*
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 04:33 PM)
user posted image

Property is illiquid; there is a transition phase from bull run to bear market and vv.
*
Well, I'd say you can't follow US or UK simply because people's mentality are different, you must look at Asian countries for a better indicator or better still look at past trends in Malaysia itself. The last time there was a down trend in property prices was back in 2009 during the economy crisis. But this lasted only for 2 years then properties started shooting up.

This time around should be the same. The downtrend maxxxxx lah, until early 2020 but I predict by early or mid 2019 it should already end and go upwards. The downward price trend started somewhere end of last year.
scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 07:47 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 5 2017, 11:21 PM)
Ayam was expecting super bubble burst after it has inflated too much.
*
Super bubble burst will not happen.

I predict max also market price drop by 40%...maybe 50% la.... But more likely most properties will just see 30% reduction in price.


QUOTE(ALeUNe @ Mar 5 2017, 11:23 PM)
Yes, I'm waiting for that.
Wanna buy a condo near KLCC park.
*
Ready 500k++, I think end 2018 or next yr can get some smaller and older 3r2b condos for around there. Those below 1500sq feet la.

QUOTE(party @ Mar 5 2017, 11:39 PM)
I trust iceman...3years later still cant buy condo nx to klcc for 50k..demit
*
50k you rewind 20 yrs also can't get la. Wat tok Jew.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 6 2017, 08:23 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 07:42 PM)
Well, I'd say you can't follow US or UK simply because people's mentality are different, you must look at Asian countries for a better indicator or better still look at past trends in Malaysia itself. The last time there was a down trend in property prices was back in 2009 during the economy crisis. But this lasted only for 2 years then properties started shooting up.

This time around should be the same. The downtrend maxxxxx lah, until early 2020 but I predict by early or mid 2019 it should already end and go upwards. The downward price trend started somewhere end of last year.
*
No vendor is willing to sell at below market price, property price drop by way of foreclosure. Foreclosure in the kangkong land could takes years to execute, hence, price will take many years to bottom.

Unless bnm to allow Myr to free fall, expect local bank interest rate to track fed. By 2019/2020, fed rate is likely 2 to 4% higher than currently.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 6 2017, 08:34 PM
scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 08:28 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 08:23 PM)
No vendor is willing to sell at below market price, property price drop by way of foreclosure. Foreclosure in the kangkong land could takes years to execute, hence, price will take many years to bottom.

Unless bnm to allow Myr to free fall, expect local bank interest rate to track fed. By 2019/2020, fed rate is likely 2 to 3% higher than currently.
*
Now oledi banyak ppl sell 10% below market price la. They dun say less, they use the term rebate. So many 500k condo rebate 50k...summore can use the rebate for dp. End of day loan 450k only...means already happening la. But they dun make it obvious onli. Wait a while more 20%, 30% also will come la.
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post Mar 6 2017, 08:36 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 07:47 PM)
Super bubble burst will not happen.

I predict max also market price drop by 40%...maybe 50% la.... But more likely most properties will just see 30% reduction in price.
Ready 500k++, I think end 2018 or next yr can get some smaller and older 3r2b condos for around there. Those below 1500sq feet la.
50k you rewind 20 yrs also can't get la. Wat tok Jew.
*
Bubble everyday deflate and after it deflated it cannot burst, need to inflate everyday so it can burst
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post Mar 6 2017, 08:36 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 08:28 PM)
Now oledi banyak ppl sell 10% below market price la. They dun say less, they use the term rebate. So many 500k condo rebate 50k...summore can use the rebate for dp. End of day loan 450k only...means already happening la. But they dun make it obvious onli. Wait a while more 20%, 30% also will come la.
*
This is only possible if bank value the condo for 500k.

heavensea
post Mar 6 2017, 08:36 PM

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Property market gg already, especially lapsap condo/highrise. It's not a very big issue for property that already finished installments, but GOOD LUCK to those 90ltv...

main reasons:
1) supply damn much >>>>>>>> than demands
2) due to greedy developer, built high density shyt products
3) also due to AFFORDABLE HOUSING such as PR1MA/Rumawip/Ruma selangorku.
4) 100 housings, 30 buyers need it to stay, 300 buyers goreng/speculators/so called invest.. so you do the math ya.

Fyi, now the condo CAN'T EVEN RENT OUT. The market is very very over supply just like our great country sohem shopping malls. Everyone copy cat lead to everyone wait dai.

Marehsia is a great nation in term of copy this and that. #lovejib #lovemarehsia
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post Mar 6 2017, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 6 2017, 08:36 PM)
Property market gg already, especially lapsap condo/highrise. It's not a very big issue for property that already finished installments, but GOOD LUCK to those 90ltv...

main reasons:
1) supply damn much >>>>>>>> than demands
2) due to greedy developer, built high density shyt products
3) also due to AFFORDABLE HOUSING such as PR1MA/Rumawip/Ruma selangorku.
4) 100 housings, 30 buyers need it to stay, 300 buyers goreng/speculators/so called invest.. so you do the math ya.

Fyi, now the condo CAN'T EVEN RENT OUT. The market is very very over supply just like our great country sohem shopping malls. Everyone copy cat lead to everyone wait dai.

Marehsia is a great nation in term of copy this and that. #lovejib #lovemarehsia
*
Malaysia index is flying up fast today, Ayam can't wait to see the bubble to come
kevyeoh
post Mar 6 2017, 08:38 PM

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Does this mean the buyer getting 100% loan?

QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 08:28 PM)
Now oledi banyak ppl sell 10% below market price la. They dun say less, they use the term rebate. So many 500k condo rebate 50k...summore can use the rebate for dp. End of day loan 450k only...means already happening la. But they dun make it obvious onli. Wait a while more 20%, 30% also will come la.
*
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 08:40 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 6 2017, 08:36 PM)
Property market gg already, especially lapsap condo/highrise. It's not a very big issue for property that already finished installments, but GOOD LUCK to those 90ltv...

main reasons:
1) supply damn much >>>>>>>> than demands
2) due to greedy developer, built high density shyt products
3) also due to AFFORDABLE HOUSING such as PR1MA/Rumawip/Ruma selangorku.
4) 100 housings, 30 buyers need it to stay, 300 buyers goreng/speculators/so called invest.. so you do the math ya.

Fyi, now the condo CAN'T EVEN RENT OUT. The market is very very over supply just like our great country sohem shopping malls. Everyone copy cat lead to everyone wait dai.

Marehsia is a great nation in term of copy this and that. #lovejib #lovemarehsia
*
lets suggest to gomen for importing more awang hitam, profit profit biggrin.gif
scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 08:45 PM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Mar 6 2017, 08:38 PM)
Does this mean the buyer getting 100% loan?
*
Yes, it's a trick/gimmick from a lot of property developer recently.

Sell prop for 500k with 50k rebate. Use rebate as deposit, submit to bank loan for 450k (90%) of selling price which is stated as 500k. But in the end, yes they getting 100% loan. 1 cent dp also din pay.
scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 6 2017, 08:36 PM)
This is only possible if bank value the condo for 500k.
*
If not possible Jew think developer dare to do. They sure kaotim with the bank d la. Plus market price memang around there onli. So bank valuation sure lepas 1
heavensea
post Mar 6 2017, 08:49 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 08:37 PM)
Malaysia index is flying up fast today, Ayam can't wait to see the bubble to come
*
Ayam stocks jatuh, sedih.

QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 08:40 PM)
lets suggest to gomen for importing more awang hitam, profit profit  biggrin.gif
*
Ph is the saviour for condo owners.

And about those MRT project, ask the SA stop their skl... a public transport can save the whole market while avoiding rental price war? This's some bs like BR1M can save our country inflation that's caused by our suprim leader...

About those MRT projects, ask those skl sa buy two for themselves dulu la.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 09:22 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 6 2017, 08:49 PM)
Ayam stocks jatuh, sedih.
Ph is the saviour for condo owners.

And about those MRT project, ask the SA stop their skl... a public transport can save the whole market while avoiding rental price war? This's some bs like BR1M can save our country inflation that's caused by our suprim leader...

About those MRT projects, ask those skl sa buy two for themselves dulu la.
*
Ayam can simply make 10-20% from the recent bull run, just any stock will do
It has never been so bull before
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 09:28 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 08:47 PM)
If not possible Jew think developer dare to do. They sure kaotim with the bank d la. Plus market price memang around there onli. So bank valuation sure lepas 1
*
but nowdays rehda complaining banks rejecting alot of applications, other than DSR/income factor, maybe sangkut on the valuation part? hmm.gif
gark
post Mar 6 2017, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 09:28 PM)
but nowdays rehda complaining banks rejecting alot of applications, other than DSR/income factor, maybe sangkut on the valuation part?  hmm.gif
*
Banks are deleveraging their balance sheet due to bad loans from the OnG fallout and also from personal loans. They are likely going to cap their loan amount until they have cleaned their books.

Imho from the recent results, they are mostly done. Last 2 years was very bad with lots of writeoffs.
kurtkob78
post Mar 6 2017, 09:37 PM

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next year more fun.

strata owner not paying maintenance will get their units auction off. o yeahhhhhhhhhhh hahahahahahahahahhaaaaa ahahaa ha ha ha

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Mar 6 2017, 09:38 PM
zerorating
post Mar 6 2017, 09:50 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 6 2017, 09:37 PM)
next year more fun.

strata owner not paying maintenance will get their units auction off. o yeahhhhhhhhhhh hahahahahahahahahhaaaaa ahahaa ha ha ha
*
not fun la, banks suffers the most sad.gif
only rich people could have the slice of the fun sad.gif
KoChun
post Mar 6 2017, 09:58 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 06:23 PM)
using runner for application,malas nak tanya which bank branches he submit the application , but oh well,  im only purchase those property if only bank are willing to take risk lol. I know that the bank nearly reaching their loan-to-deposit ratio limit, so they will not give loan suka2 hati.

so for now, im committed to proceed with the only bank responded lol, hopefully that the loan process goes well, so far so good, dsr ratio is good, ccris records is good
*
Congrats

QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 07:42 PM)
Well, I'd say you can't follow US or UK simply because people's mentality are different, you must look at Asian countries for a better indicator or better still look at past trends in Malaysia itself. The last time there was a down trend in property prices was back in 2009 during the economy crisis. But this lasted only for 2 years then properties started shooting up.

This time around should be the same. The downtrend maxxxxx lah, until early 2020 but I predict by early or mid 2019 it should already end and go upwards. The downward price trend started somewhere end of last year.
*
The image bluff one.

QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 08:28 PM)
Now oledi banyak ppl sell 10% below market price la. They dun say less, they use the term rebate. So many 500k condo rebate 50k...summore can use the rebate for dp. End of day loan 450k only...means already happening la. But they dun make it obvious onli. Wait a while more 20%, 30% also will come la.
*
how do u determine they seller at discount?
sheahann
post Mar 6 2017, 10:02 PM

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Wait petrol increase till 3/4/5 per liter. Then got more show to watch. By that time chicken rice also rm9 haha
heavensea
post Mar 6 2017, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 09:22 PM)
Ayam can simply make 10-20% from the recent bull run, just any stock will do
It has never been so bull before
*
Please jadi tipster ayam.
scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 09:28 PM)
but nowdays rehda complaining banks rejecting alot of applications, other than DSR/income factor, maybe sangkut on the valuation part?  hmm.gif
*
Maybe also but then again some ppl can approve so I'm thinking more likely it's the dsr/income factor

QUOTE(KoChun @ Mar 6 2017, 09:58 PM)
Congrats
The image bluff one.
how do u determine they seller at discount?
*
Initial launching price higher than price after rebate that they offering recently. So for me I consider it as discount.
lch78
post Mar 6 2017, 10:07 PM

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Property stocks start to move up again after 2 years lausai.. Signs of property market bottoming is almost ending.
NGFN
post Mar 6 2017, 10:08 PM

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there are more sign that the world is going to end soon. these property bubble sign is useless
KoChun
post Mar 6 2017, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 10:04 PM)
Maybe also but then again some ppl can approve so I'm thinking more likely it's the dsr/income factor
Initial launching price higher than price after rebate that they offering recently. So for me I consider it as discount.
*
Agreed. How do you track the launch price?
TSicemanfx
post Mar 6 2017, 10:12 PM

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QUOTE(lch78 @ Mar 6 2017, 10:07 PM)
Property stocks start to move up again after 2 years lausai.. Signs of property market bottoming is almost ending.
*
Yes, yes, yes, property price will rise with bank interest rate.

scorptim
post Mar 6 2017, 10:18 PM

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QUOTE(KoChun @ Mar 6 2017, 10:10 PM)
Agreed. How do you track the launch price?
*
I didn't reli track la. Just the few that I saw before, the sales agent approach me early last year when launch, price was around 500k, no rebate, last month still not fully sold they still put same price but got rebate. Got another one, last year April 530k, now giving 50k rebate oso...

Unless jew remember reli hard to track, kenot belip what the agents say what. Haha


KoChun
post Mar 6 2017, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 10:18 PM)
I didn't reli track la. Just the few that I saw before, the sales agent approach me early last year when launch, price was around 500k,  no rebate, last month still not fully sold they still put same price but got rebate. Got another one, last year April 530k, now giving 50k rebate oso...

Unless jew remember reli hard to track, kenot belip what the agents say what. Haha
*
OIC, thanks for sharing.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 6 2017, 10:03 PM)
Please jadi tipster ayam.
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Add everything in today top gainer into the watchlist and find a good entry price to buy next few days
heavensea
post Mar 6 2017, 10:28 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 10:22 PM)
Add everything in today top gainer into the watchlist and find a good entry price to buy next few days
*
Thanks! I got it, cari dead chicken in daily top gainer.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 10:40 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 6 2017, 10:28 PM)
Thanks! I got it, cari dead chicken in daily top gainer.
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Ayam prefer the top gainer with bullish sentiment, it go higher and higher and minimum retrenchment
KoChun
post Mar 6 2017, 10:44 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 6 2017, 09:37 PM)
next year more fun.

strata owner not paying maintenance will get their units auction off. o yeahhhhhhhhhhh hahahahahahahahahhaaaaa ahahaa ha ha ha
*
Got tip how to find such properties?

QUOTE(NGFN @ Mar 6 2017, 10:08 PM)
there are more sign that the world is going to end soon. these property bubble sign is useless
*
Yep, but some k/ tard buthurt still driving this tered, yelling end of the world.
heavensea
post Mar 6 2017, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 10:40 PM)
Ayam prefer the top gainer with bullish sentiment, it go higher and higher and minimum retrenchment
*
Like the recent stock hibiscs, manyak untung.
heavensea
post Mar 6 2017, 10:53 PM

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QUOTE(KoChun @ Mar 6 2017, 10:44 PM)
Got tip how to find such properties?
Yep, but some k/ tard buthurt still driving this tered, yelling end of the world.
*
Ya, time to resign and given out all money.
Don't forget orgy party yo.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 6 2017, 10:59 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 6 2017, 10:51 PM)
Like the recent stock hibiscs, manyak untung.
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Any good stock must can keep going up
If it can't keep going up it is not good
If it go down it is bad
heavensea
post Mar 7 2017, 12:15 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 6 2017, 10:59 PM)
Any good stock must can keep going up
If it can't keep going up it is not good
If it go down it is bad
*
This's a penny stock, goreng and cabut type imho.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 7 2017, 12:22 AM

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In the short term, stock price is on random walk.

heavensea
post Mar 7 2017, 12:57 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 7 2017, 12:22 AM)
In the short term, stock price is on random walk.
*
betting jer.
MishimaZ
post Mar 7 2017, 01:11 AM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 08:45 PM)
Yes, it's a trick/gimmick from a lot of property developer recently.

Sell prop for 500k with 50k rebate. Use rebate as deposit, submit to bank loan for 450k (90%) of selling price which is stated as 500k. But in the end, yes they getting 100% loan. 1 cent dp also din pay.
*
This. With somemore free RM8888 angpow. Ma ka chao hai scummy agents and developers these days.

My brother bought one without even consulting the family. End up kena diu left right up down from me.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 7 2017, 01:22 AM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 7 2017, 12:15 AM)
This's a penny stock, goreng and cabut type imho.
*
Any good share will keep going up, do jew see any blue chip not keep going up? If they don't keep going up they are not good
SUScocbum4
post Mar 7 2017, 02:00 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 7 2017, 12:22 AM)
In the short term, stock price is on random walk.
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When are jew going to open tered to discuss index bubble since property bubble is deflated
party
post Mar 7 2017, 02:12 AM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Mar 6 2017, 07:47 PM)
Super bubble burst will not happen.

I predict max also market price drop by 40%...maybe 50% la.... But more likely most properties will just see 30% reduction in price.
Ready 500k++, I think end 2018 or next yr can get some smaller and older 3r2b condos for around there. Those below 1500sq feet la.
50k you rewind 20 yrs also can't get la. Wat tok Jew.
*
But according to icemanfx prof it will drop 95% when bubble burst so 50k is posible.
heavensea
post Mar 7 2017, 02:42 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 7 2017, 01:22 AM)
Any good share will keep going up, do jew see any blue chip not keep going up? If they don't keep going up they are not good
*
Got money to "bet" can play contra BAT, but need big bola lo.

QUOTE(party @ Mar 7 2017, 02:12 AM)
But according to icemanfx prof it will drop 95% when bubble burst so 50k is posible.
*
50k/condo?
SUSashestoashes
post Mar 7 2017, 02:56 AM

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already V20? doh.gif doh.gif doh.gif

still no sign of the bubble. these flippers...
debbierowe
post Mar 7 2017, 03:00 AM

so fast 6 stars di...
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QUOTE(party @ Mar 7 2017, 02:12 AM)
But according to icemanfx prof it will drop 95% when bubble burst so 50k is posible.
*
LOL ya u wait . Like the terrace house in BU will drop from 1.5mil to 750k
SUScocbum4
post Mar 7 2017, 03:03 AM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Mar 7 2017, 02:42 AM)
Got money to "bet" can play contra BAT, but need big bola lo.
50k/condo?
*
Ayam will never deny stock is subset of gambling
If the gambling keep going up, it is a winning gambling, and vice versa.
If jew do not have a good record of winning the gambling, jew aren't gonna winning it anytime sooner.
The same go for property, Ayam gambling on the property price will BBB, did Ayam win the gambling? Obviously.
party
post Mar 7 2017, 04:14 AM

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QUOTE(debbierowe @ Mar 7 2017, 03:00 AM)
LOL ya u wait . Like the terrace house in BU will drop from 1.5mil to 750k
*
75k actually as its 95%drop. My prof told me its possible. Just need to be patient and wait coz property is quite illiquid and takes time to burst.
lch78
post Mar 7 2017, 09:37 AM

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NO doubt there's bubble in Klang Valley and Johor property market.
But property sector is the backbone of the economy (think everybody knows this). If your backbone breaks, you will be paralysed, likewise if property bubble really burst, economy will fall into doldrums as well. Meaning banks will explode first before you do. Maybe a blessing in disguise for those with multiple bank loans? brows.gif
dzila_87
post Mar 7 2017, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(KoChun @ Mar 6 2017, 05:45 PM)
Said the same thing to TS few years ago.
Nay sayer always say drop, but .... biggrin.gif hahaha
You call ask why fail. Then prove that you can afford to pay.
Youi not qualified. You apply for Pr1ma,
*
Apply for Pr1ma, you can't buy house?
dzila_87
post Mar 7 2017, 10:14 AM

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QUOTE(zerorating @ Mar 6 2017, 06:23 PM)
using runner for application,malas nak tanya which bank branches he submit the application , but oh well,  im only purchase those property if only bank are willing to take risk lol. I know that the bank nearly reaching their loan-to-deposit ratio limit, so they will not give loan suka2 hati.

so for now, im committed to proceed with the only bank responded lol, hopefully that the loan process goes well, so far so good, dsr ratio is good, ccris records is good
*
I'm using runner too but that is the loan that I got directly rejected.
So I go and do it my own. It's under processing now. But dunno la since I already purchase a house. This is my second house.
kurtkob78
post Mar 7 2017, 11:39 AM

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better do it ownself. cannot trust agents. nowadays all advertise under market value, however when check with bank's valuer, cannot get the value.

WhitE LighteR
post Mar 7 2017, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 7 2017, 11:39 AM)
better do it ownself. cannot trust agents. nowadays all advertise under market value, however when check with bank's valuer, cannot get the value.
*
asking price too high. bank usually value only based on the last transacted price. so some agent will kaodim with bank to push this value higher by finding one sucker to buy a "renovated" property. then the whole area last transacted value goes up...
TSicemanfx
post Mar 7 2017, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Mar 7 2017, 02:12 AM)
But according to icemanfx prof it will drop 95% when bubble burst so 50k is posible.
*
Show me where i claimed property price will drop 95%.

QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 7 2017, 03:03 AM)
Ayam will never deny stock is subset of gambling
If the gambling keep going up, it is a winning gambling, and vice versa.
If jew do not have a good record of winning the gambling, jew aren't gonna winning it anytime sooner.
The same go for property, Ayam gambling on the property price will BBB, did Ayam win the gambling? Obviously.
*
During bull run, every punters think he is the gold finger.

In the short term, stock price is on random walk but those ride on uptrend will reap the fruits.

QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Mar 7 2017, 11:42 AM)
asking price too high. bank usually value only based on the last transacted price. so some agent will kaodim with bank to push this value higher by finding one sucker to buy a "renovated" property. then the whole area last transacted value goes up...
*
This was how subsale price went up. It won't be easy to find buyer that could pay cash for difference between purchase price and the bank valuation.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 7 2017, 03:35 PM
KoChun
post Mar 7 2017, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(dzila_87 @ Mar 7 2017, 10:10 AM)
Apply for Pr1ma, you can't buy house?
*
Apply Pr1ma, can buy affordable house
SUScocbum4
post Mar 7 2017, 03:44 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 7 2017, 03:17 PM)
Show me where i claimed property price will drop 95%.
During bull run, every punters think he is the gold finger.

In the short term, stock price is on random walk but those ride on uptrend will reap the fruits.
This was how subsale price went up. It won't be easy to find buyer that could pay cash for difference between purchase price and the bank valuation.
*
Obviously jew have no idea what make a good stock, and what jew care about is want to buy it as cheap as possible. The same reason why most poor people tend for penny cheap stock. Definitely Ayam is more interest on expensive one as it will get even more expensive.
Same goes for property, it would only get higher with no chance of getting cheaper.
Jew pay peanut jew get monkey, it always work the same.

Proof of Ayam made money:
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by cocbum4: Mar 7 2017, 04:04 PM
cwtien
post Mar 7 2017, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Mar 7 2017, 04:14 AM)
75k actually as its 95%drop. My prof told me its possible. Just need to be patient and wait coz property is quite illiquid and takes time to burst.
*
The only way house prices will drop 95% is if 95% of Malaysians suddenly disappeared. Plague? War? Alien abduction?
SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 10:24 AM

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Ayam is making good moneh everyday
mana ada bubble?
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

TSicemanfx
post Mar 8 2017, 11:11 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 8 2017, 10:24 AM)
Ayam is making good moneh everyday
mana ada bubble?
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Great for you.

Quite a few penny stocks.

kurtkob78
post Mar 8 2017, 11:19 AM

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stock and property is different asset class.

nowadays stock is speculation only. most corporates' earnings keep declining from before. yet people keep speculate.luckily can sell easily in stock market.

However in property market, so many speculator / flippers stuck and keep losing. Especially overprised high rise props.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 8 2017, 11:32 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 8 2017, 11:19 AM)
stock and property is different asset class.

nowadays stock is speculation only. most corporates' earnings keep declining from before. yet people keep speculate.luckily can sell easily in stock market.

However in property market, so many speculator / flippers stuck and keep losing. Especially overprised high rise props.
*
Stocks is more liquid, could lock in gain or cut loss with certainty, and won't drain cash flow.

Property flippers are not only incurring bank interest every day but draining cash flow every month. In soft market or downtrend, the longer they hold, more worst off they are.

SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 8 2017, 11:11 AM)
Great for you.

Quite a few penny stocks.
*
When it is going up everyday, should Ayam care about whether it is a penny? Didn't jew know all the blue chip listed today is used to be penny chip too? One day it will turn into blue chip, and Ayam is very confident about it.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 8 2017, 11:19 AM)
stock and property is different asset class.

nowadays stock is speculation only. most corporates' earnings keep declining from before. yet people keep speculate.luckily can sell easily in stock market.

However in property market, so many speculator / flippers stuck and keep losing. Especially overprised high rise props.
*
Definitely Ayam is expected the same answer from the person like jew, Ayam could conclude Ayam didn't make moneh from stock out of luck, Ayam plan it so well that it will need to work.
kurtkob78
post Mar 8 2017, 03:12 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 8 2017, 03:08 PM)
Definitely Ayam is expected the same answer from the person like jew, Ayam could conclude Ayam didn't make moneh from stock out of luck, Ayam plan it so well that it will need to work.
*
so after 2015 which property did you buy ?
we are in prop thread btw
SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 8 2017, 03:12 PM)
so after 2015 which property did you buy ?
we are in prop thread btw
*
Ayam had few properties under Ayam watch list, would Ayam buy it? Definitely Ayam will buy it, when the time is right. Is it going to be a good gambling? Obviously it is going to be a good gambling again.
kurtkob78
post Mar 8 2017, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 8 2017, 03:18 PM)
Ayam had few properties under Ayam watch list, would Ayam buy it? Definitely Ayam will buy it, when the time is right. Is it going to be a good gambling? Obviously it is going to be a good gambling again.
*
Didnt buy prop recently. so mysterious .... !!! UUUUUUU

now U start showing some cropped and blurred stock screenshot. Its not related and not gonna change our current gloomy prop market at all
SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 8 2017, 03:27 PM)
Didnt buy prop recently. so mysterious .... !!! UUUUUUU

now U start showing some cropped and blurred stock screenshot. Its not related and not gonna change our current gloomy prop market at all
*
Ayam had bot plenty of property related stock, after Ayam enough money from it, Ayam use the profit to BBB UUU their properties, don't jew think Ayam has a great plan ahead of Ayam? If jew are very interested with Ayam stock pick, Ayam is very happy to share with jew via PM. How long will Ayam buy another properties? It will be sooner than jew can expect.
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post Mar 8 2017, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 8 2017, 05:34 PM)
Ayam had bot plenty of property related stock, after Ayam enough money from it, Ayam use the profit to BBB UUU their properties, don't jew think Ayam has a great plan ahead of Ayam? If jew are very interested with Ayam stock pick, Ayam is very happy to share with jew via PM. How long will Ayam buy another properties? It will be sooner than jew can expect.
*
I dont care about stock.

U said u didnt buy anything after 2016. This shows that u also are pessemistic towards prop market now.

No need to change topic to stock.
SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 06:11 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 8 2017, 05:51 PM)
I dont care about stock.

U said u didnt buy anything after 2016. This shows that u also are pessemistic towards prop market now.

No need to change topic to stock.
*
Stock is a good indication of overall market performance, after all property market is driven by stock market, they are both highly correlated.

Ayam will never change Ayam mind that Ayam is very confident with the property market in the future

Ayam do not need to explain to Jew why Ayam bring stock market into this tered.
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post Mar 8 2017, 06:17 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 8 2017, 06:11 PM)
Stock is a good indication of overall market performance, after all property market is driven by stock market, they are both highly correlated.

Ayam will never change Ayam mind that Ayam is very confident with the property market in the future

Ayam do not need to explain to Jew why Ayam bring stock market into this tered.
*
Property market is normally lagging behind stocks market by a few years except 2011 to 2024 bull run.

With current economic and market sentiment, bursa stock price is unlikely to sustain especially after the ge and o&g counters. If you are into stocks, suggest you look into u.S stocks. Bursa was known as crocodile pool for reasons.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 8 2017, 06:19 PM
SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 06:44 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 8 2017, 06:17 PM)
Property market is normally lagging behind stocks market by a few years except 2011 to 2024 bull run.

With current economic and market sentiment, bursa stock price is unlikely to sustain especially after the ge and o&g counters. If you are into stocks, suggest you look into u.S stocks. Bursa was known as crocodile pool for reasons.
*
Ayam has been into local market for so many years
Ayam basically has no idea what are Jew trying to say
It has been very profitable for ayam
Since jew are also agree with both the market are mutually correlated
Ayam don't think there is anything Ayam need to explain to kurtkob78
kurtkob78
post Mar 8 2017, 06:49 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 8 2017, 06:44 PM)
Ayam has been into local market for so many years
Ayam basically has no idea what are Jew trying to say
It has been very profitable for ayam
Since jew are also agree with both the market are mutually correlated
Ayam don't think there is anything Ayam need to explain to kurtkob78
*
i dont say its related. you make up stories.

whatever u say, sales an value of transacted properties keep dropping. number of agents keep shrinking.
still gloomy since 2015.

flippers still stuck. u also stuck. thats why keep making stories.

next year who dont pay maintenance will get their units auction off. so have u paid your maintenance? cool2.gif


SUScocbum4
post Mar 8 2017, 07:04 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 8 2017, 06:49 PM)
i dont say its related. you make up stories.

whatever u say, sales an value of transacted properties keep dropping. number of agents keep shrinking.
still gloomy since 2015.

flippers still stuck. u also stuck. thats why keep making stories.

next year who dont pay maintenance will get their units auction off. so have u paid your maintenance?  cool2.gif
*
Yeah, Ayam is so worry now, Ayam has so many properties under Ayam name, and it generate so much passive income for Ayam to put back into the stock market, do Ayam need to worry about getting auction? Of course Ayam is worried it will steal away Ayam only source of passive income. Ayam make a story? Of course Ayam always make new story, jew may not need to belip Ayam.
scorptim
post Mar 8 2017, 07:13 PM

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QUOTE(MishimaZ @ Mar 7 2017, 01:11 AM)
This. With somemore free RM8888 angpow. Ma ka chao hai scummy agents and developers these days.

My brother bought one without even consulting the family. End up kena diu left right up down from me.
*
GG to your brother lo. Well, let's hope he can hold the property long enough until the market recovers.

QUOTE(lch78 @ Mar 7 2017, 09:37 AM)
NO doubt there's bubble in Klang Valley and Johor property market.
But property sector is the backbone of the economy (think everybody knows this). If your backbone breaks, you will be paralysed, likewise if property bubble really burst, economy will fall into doldrums as well. Meaning banks will explode first before you do. Maybe a blessing in disguise for those with multiple bank loans?  brows.gif
*
Well I guess this is why banks tightening on property loans nowadays., probably they already anticipate this and trying to soften the impact when it happens. Like it or not, you can't sustain a bubble forever.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 9 2017, 09:50 AM

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https://livingincorrectness.wordpress.com/2...17-and-forward/

The winter is likely to last over 2 years.

debbierowe
post Mar 10 2017, 08:41 PM

so fast 6 stars di...
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QUOTE(party @ Mar 7 2017, 04:14 AM)
75k actually as its 95%drop. My prof told me its possible. Just need to be patient and wait coz property is quite illiquid and takes time to burst.
*
750k from 1.5mil is 50%

You and your prof need to revise primary school math
ck98
post Mar 10 2017, 09:51 PM

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Country Garden: Closure of Forest City sales galleries in China not because of capital outflow controls

By Shawn Ng / TheEdgeProperty.com | March 10, 2017 6:53 PM MYT
25

PETALING JAYA (March 10): Hong Kong-listed Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd has denied that the closure of Forest City’s sales galleries in China was due to the government’s capital control policy.

In a statement today in response to a report by South China Morning Post on the closure of the sales galleries in China, Country Garden Pacificview Sdn Bhd chief of strategy Yu Runze said the closure is temporary and in line with a shift in the company’s sales and marketing efforts which began early this year.

Country Garden Pacificview is the master developer of Forest City, a RM444 billion mega development in Johor. The project, which spans 14 sq km of land on four artificial islands, is a joint-venture development between Country Garden Holdings and Esplanade Danga 88 Sdn Bhd, a Johor state-owned associate of Kumpulan Prasarana Rakyat Johor. Most of its residential units sold so far have been to China buyers.

“It is not a knee-jerk reaction to the Chinese government’s policy implementation. With the continued opening up of the Chinese economy and the globalisation of Chinese companies, there is an increased demand for cross-border trade settlement in China’s yuan currency. We believe the Chinese government will approach this matter [capital controls] in a fair and pragmatic manner that will benefit all,†said Yu.

He added that the company initially targeted buyers from mainland China because of Country Garden’s strong reputation in China but the company has “always planned to sell beyond Chinaâ€.

“We have chosen to bring those plans [to sell beyond China] forward this year. Country Garden will be taking a holistic approach to our sales and marketing initiatives, and looks to present an overview of our projects in China and beyond,†he said. This includes its mixed-used development in Hainan and Forest City.

“This will also allow us to sell to foreigners. As such, we had to close our centres to refurbish our sales galleries, upgrade our marketing materials and retrain our sales professionals,†he explained.

Yu envisaged the Forest City project to be one that will attract buyers from around the world, and hence the company is promoting Forest City to prospective buyers from Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, India, the Middle East, Europe, and the US.

Meanwhile, in a reaction to the news on the closure of the sales galleries, real estate agents who spoke to TheEdgeproperty.com said there will be fewer Chinese buyers for the Forest City development going forward.

Tiram Realty principal Lim Ah Leck, who is currently helping Country Garden market Forest City and Country Garden Danga Bay, said the project may be affected as about 95% of Forest City’s buyers are from China.

“The construction progress and sales of the unsold units in Forest City are expected to slow down while the units that were sold prior to this may not be affected,†he said.

Lim added that other Chinese developers in Johor, such as R&F Properties Co Ltd and Shanghai state government linked-Greenland Group, and Malaysian developers will be less affected as they rely less on Chinese buyers compared with Forest City.

Hartamas Realty (OUG) real estate agent Tey Ren Zian, who provides real estate services to Chinese property buyers, believes the impact of the capital flow controls on Chinese buyers would be temporary as developers will adjust their strategies to deal with the issue.
axisresidence17
post Mar 14 2017, 07:41 PM

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Oh oh!
nearlee
post Mar 14 2017, 07:43 PM

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when collapse?

Nearlee

langstrasse
post Mar 14 2017, 07:48 PM

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Big wave of investments coming from China guys, all will be fine don't worry laugh.gif
WhitE LighteR
post Mar 14 2017, 07:50 PM

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QUOTE(langstrasse @ Mar 14 2017, 07:48 PM)
Big wave of investments coming from China guys, all will be fine don't worry  laugh.gif
*
kena cap liao...
Jliew168
post Mar 14 2017, 10:01 PM

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Hunting for 6 months dy still no good buy....bearbearwong got any dead chicken mou?
bearbearwong
post Mar 14 2017, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 14 2017, 10:01 PM)
Hunting for 6 months dy still no good buy....bearbearwong got any dead chicken mou?
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come seremban court tomorrow ..i be there...
Jliew168
post Mar 14 2017, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 14 2017, 10:13 PM)
come seremban court tomorrow ..i be there...
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So far lazy la..got what kang Tao there
Jliew168
post Mar 14 2017, 10:43 PM

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QUOTE(300 @ Mar 14 2017, 10:39 PM)
hunt so long haven't buy must be no money.
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Hahahah yes I conlanfirm I no money biggrin.gif
TSicemanfx
post Mar 14 2017, 10:56 PM

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QUOTE(teNtiOn @ Mar 14 2017, 10:43 PM)
Rental is dropping everywhere.. 650sf one bed room (non studio) in damansara perdana dropped from 1700 few years back to merely 1200 today..
*
If rental yield is a lead indicator of property price, price drop is almost inevitable.

SUScocbum4
post Mar 14 2017, 11:01 PM

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So it is gonna crash this night?
Ayam is amused
Btw cash ready to buy any house with cash
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post Mar 14 2017, 11:06 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 14 2017, 10:13 PM)
come seremban court tomorrow ..i be there...
*
QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 14 2017, 11:01 PM)
So it is gonna crash this night?
Ayam is amused
Btw cash ready to buy any house with cash
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Please pm to meet bbw at seremban court tomorrow.

Jliew168
post Mar 14 2017, 11:53 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 14 2017, 10:56 PM)
If rental yield is a lead indicator of property price, price drop is almost inevitable.
*
Only selected area rental drop due to increase supply however most of this area capital appreciate more than 100% already..ask any young professional, most of them feel that 400 psf for new developement in secondary location like old klang road is super bargain already


TSicemanfx
post Mar 15 2017, 12:02 AM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 14 2017, 11:53 PM)
Only selected area rental drop due to increase supply however most of this area capital  appreciate more than 100% already..ask any young professional, most of them feel that 400 psf for new developement in secondary location like old klang road is super bargain already
*
Appreciated over 100% and is super bargain?

Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 12:40 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 15 2017, 12:02 AM)
Appreciated over 100% and is super bargain?
*
Many condo in old klang road , sentul , Taman desa selling less than 300psf 10 years ago..similar condo now transacted more than 600 psf..last time rental 2k now around 1.8-2.2k
TSicemanfx
post Mar 15 2017, 12:50 AM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 15 2017, 12:40 AM)
Many condo in old klang road , sentul , Taman desa selling less than 300psf 10 years ago..similar condo now transacted more than 600 psf..last time rental 2k now around 1.8-2.2k
*
Price doubled in 10 years is about 7.2% p.a compounded. If 2011 to 2014 bull run is excluded, annualized increment would be lower than 7.2%, which is consistent with inflation rate.

yslysl
post Mar 15 2017, 01:02 AM

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Is duplex any good if wanna buy condo???
Also is it a good time to buy in kl???
Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 15 2017, 12:50 AM)
Price doubled in 10 years is about 7.2% p.a compounded. If 2011 to 2014 bull run is excluded, annualized increment would be lower than 7.2%, which is consistent with inflation rate.
*
So do agreed that buying property can hedging against inflation?
bearbearwong
post Mar 15 2017, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 15 2017, 12:40 AM)
Many condo in old klang road , sentul , Taman desa selling less than 300psf 10 years ago..similar condo now transacted more than 600 psf..last time rental 2k now around 1.8-2.2k
*
diu ur condo at midfields drop like mother also cant recognize... negro area

can pm Manutdgiggs to confirm
Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 15 2017, 03:50 PM)
diu ur condo at midfields drop like mother also cant recognize... negro area

can pm Manutdgiggs to confirm
*
U talk what shit ..midfield 1 developer is less than 300k , around 280psf ..

Now subsale transacted 450psf -500 psf

Hahhaha
bearbearwong
post Mar 15 2017, 06:32 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 15 2017, 04:59 PM)
U talk what shit ..midfield 1 developer is less than 300k , around 280psf ..

Now subsale transacted 450psf -500 psf

Hahhaha
*
mid fields 2 wor... u ask mangala to beratur one... not 500k plus meh?
Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 07:20 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 15 2017, 06:32 PM)
mid fields 2 wor... u ask mangala to beratur one... not 500k plus meh?
*
Midfield 1 subsale 550k above,i bought midfield 2 at 500k which much more newer.. Huat ah
bearbearwong
post Mar 15 2017, 07:22 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 15 2017, 07:20 PM)
Midfield 1 subsale 550k above,i bought midfield 2 at 500k which much more newer.. Huat ah
*
u say all lor... Mid fields 1 300k sth like that profit oh... Midfields 2 case god also you, ghost also you dont be like Manutdgiggs, everyday he try to pou Jade residents one... lol

This post has been edited by bearbearwong: Mar 15 2017, 07:25 PM
muhibah
post Mar 15 2017, 07:35 PM

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Subsale house at my taman asking price reduce from rm690k to rm600k
ManutdGiggs
post Mar 15 2017, 07:53 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 15 2017, 03:50 PM)
diu ur condo at midfields drop like mother also cant recognize... negro area

can pm Manutdgiggs to confirm
*
In resi I onli gd in gvh. Wat u wanna know in gvh???
party
post Mar 15 2017, 07:57 PM

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QUOTE(muhibah @ Mar 15 2017, 07:35 PM)
Subsale house at my taman asking price reduce from rm690k to rm600k
*
Wats the price in 2011??
Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 09:23 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 15 2017, 07:22 PM)
u say all lor... Mid fields 1 300k sth like that profit oh... Midfields 2 case god also you, ghost also you dont be like Manutdgiggs, everyday he try to pou Jade residents one... lol
*
I just give u fact but seem that u don't want to accept haha
bearbearwong
post Mar 15 2017, 09:28 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Mar 15 2017, 07:53 PM)
In resi I onli gd in gvh. Wat u wanna know in gvh???
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hami gvh gvh...u mai like dis..vely bo seady.. very bo steady...
alchmiya
post Mar 15 2017, 09:30 PM

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QUOTE(muhibah @ Mar 15 2017, 07:35 PM)
Subsale house at my taman asking price reduce from rm690k to rm600k
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What taman? Can reveal?
ManutdGiggs
post Mar 15 2017, 09:58 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Mar 15 2017, 09:28 PM)
hami gvh gvh...u mai like dis..vely bo seady.. very bo steady...
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Gvh is Goodview heights
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post Mar 15 2017, 09:58 PM

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QUOTE(JoshuaMS7 @ Mar 9 2017, 08:47 PM)
Anyone interested to buy sovo unit? I am planning to let go. Willing to sell cheaper than developer price.
*
QUOTE(JoshuaMS7 @ Mar 11 2017, 10:49 PM)
Personally issue. Currently wondering buy an unit to stay instead of investment. Lacking of holding power too. Abit rush to sell since it needs pay 800++ interest every month and gst 24k.
*
QUOTE(JoshuaMS7 @ Mar 12 2017, 11:08 AM)
No. They never breakdown. The team leader dealing with me cheated me sovo no gst incurred and interest will not be so fast being charged. My friend and me double confirm with the team leader even I got WhatsApp to record down and he keeps said no gst. Currently billed me gst and interest installment 850++ per month. I think the leader wanna hit the sales target and cheated me. I feel it's suffering in financial since I got another house installment and willing let this sovo go.
*
QUOTE(JoshuaMS7 @ Mar 12 2017, 02:40 PM)
My unit size 504 sf. Yes I bought year 2015 and I doubt sovo whether got gst and double check with developer team leader and he guarantee no gst incurred and I trapped in the financial difficulties now since I received gst invoice and bank interest increased letter from 450 to 850 per month now. Any suggestion? I only can sell in cheaper price now. Else it's really trouble in my living expenses.
*
QUOTE(JoshuaMS7 @ Mar 12 2017, 07:37 PM)
My buying price actually no really cheap anymore. After "discount" still need pay 396k and need pay buyer lowyat fee about 398k. But my floor is 30th. I think lower floor is cheaper but 2015 the price is increased i think. I am very worry is that i will need pay 2200 per month for the installment in the next year and my current financial can't afford to save for single cent after pay the gst and 850 interest every month.
*
Believe more and more of similar case will surface.

cocbum4 Jliew168 time to walk the talk, please make a offer


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 15 2017, 10:07 PM
Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 15 2017, 09:58 PM)
Believe more and more of similar case will surface.

cocbum4 Jliew168 time to walk the talk, please make a offer
*
He is welcome to offer after completion.. In Malaysia owner not allow to transfer before ccc
kurtkob78
post Mar 15 2017, 10:27 PM

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bearbearwong if didnt pay the bank anything before ccc, when will the prop get auctioned?

i said this multiple times. agents are liars
yslysl
post Mar 15 2017, 11:01 PM

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Any good duplex in kl to recommend???
Jliew168
post Mar 15 2017, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 15 2017, 10:27 PM)
bearbearwong if didnt pay the bank anything before ccc, when will the prop get auctioned?

i said this multiple times. agents are liars
*
Before ccc bank unable auction the property la..bank have right to stop the progessive payment and claim back from borrower whatever that have disburse

This post has been edited by Jliew168: Mar 16 2017, 11:47 AM
ManutdGiggs
post Mar 16 2017, 07:14 AM

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ohmy.gif
axisresidence17
post Mar 16 2017, 06:31 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 15 2017, 09:58 PM)
Believe more and more of similar case will surface.

cocbum4 Jliew168 time to walk the talk, please make a offer
*
Omg! 😲
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post Mar 17 2017, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(wendy771782 @ Mar 17 2017, 08:37 AM)
tower a rebate 80k
tower b rebate 18%


i m agent also a buyer for tower b.their workmanship i think is good thn other as i knw wardrobes,kitchen cabinet is using good branded" signiture"
when.i.get key also many problem.but not big.deal.. n thy hlp to repair vry fast.y i choosee here got few point one.of tht is low density two block one 6xx unit. before i buy also got.visit for neighbour lakexx n ecoxx price compare with thm.i can accept but both of thm many block n unit.. i cant tahan.. haha ..

n location i think also better thn.other.. walk can reach ktm.. n developer also no bad la.. do a road derect turn in building from bridge..even go out also no need from g floor can derect turn out to jln kuching.

jst a bad is shoplot noyet get ready n for the good concept for macadia also no ready... if gv sometime i think will be better...

this is my opinion for this project la.. haha..

n my bedroom.water heater also spoil one time... thy hlp.repair vry fast... jst in few days.. i think servise vry good la.
*
Believe this development was VP last year.


kurtkob78
post Mar 17 2017, 09:20 AM

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Wtf rebate so much? Bank allow this?
SUSic no 851025071234
post Mar 17 2017, 09:26 AM

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When is the bubble coming? I'm still keeping my bullets to shoot when the bubble arrive.
kurtkob78
post Mar 17 2017, 09:29 AM

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QUOTE(ic no 851025071234 @ Mar 17 2017, 09:26 AM)
When is the bubble coming? I'm still keeping my bullets to shoot when the bubble arrive.
*
In auction can shoot if more than 30% under market value (asking price). Just pay cash
SUSic no 851025071234
post Mar 17 2017, 09:55 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 17 2017, 09:29 AM)
In auction can shoot if more than 30% under market value (asking price). Just pay cash
*
I dun like auction. Usually is haunted or have problem house. Feng shui also not good.

I'm looking for new project or at least house less than 20 yrs where I can visit and determine good or not
muhibah
post Mar 17 2017, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Mar 15 2017, 07:57 PM)
Wats the price in 2011??
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2011 price i dunno. I start monitoring since last year only. Im interested to buy house here, still saving money first.
muhibah
post Mar 17 2017, 12:16 PM

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QUOTE(alchmiya @ Mar 15 2017, 09:30 PM)
What taman? Can reveal?
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Cant say smile.gif. I'm eyeing that unit
kurtkob78
post Mar 17 2017, 12:42 PM

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QUOTE(muhibah @ Mar 17 2017, 12:16 PM)
Cant say smile.gif. I'm eyeing that unit
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u go to auction portal. see whats the reserve price for the housing area
wendy771782
post Mar 17 2017, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 17 2017, 09:16 AM)
Believe this development was VP last year.
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yup.. last year..
wendy771782
post Mar 17 2017, 03:20 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 17 2017, 09:20 AM)
Wtf rebate so much? Bank allow this?
*
deloverper leave higher floor wanna sold fast for.go for future plan gua... but i bought last year pay for almost one year interest... buy now more good.. atleast no.need pay for interest edi. for the rebate before.spa bot tht high la.. some rebate is with t&c
Aurora Boreali
post Mar 18 2017, 07:28 PM

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icemanfx

Relevant to your constant sounding of alarm bell on subprime crisis in Malaysia.

What is your comment on this article especially point 6: consumer sentiment appears set for recovery? Given your argument that as more units VP more people - who will be unable to flip their properties (or even those who buy for own stay) - will have less disposable income, and that we ain't no seen the aftermath of the the end of US QE, is this article BS?

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...est-in-malaysia

This post has been edited by Aurora Boreali: Mar 18 2017, 07:48 PM
TSicemanfx
post Mar 18 2017, 11:53 PM

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QUOTE(Aurora Boreali @ Mar 18 2017, 07:28 PM)
icemanfx

Relevant to your constant sounding of alarm bell on subprime crisis in Malaysia.

What is your comment on this article especially point 6: consumer sentiment appears set for recovery? Given your argument that as more units VP more people - who will be unable to flip their properties (or even those who buy for own stay) - will have less disposable income, and that we ain't no seen the aftermath of the the end of US QE, is this article BS?

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...est-in-malaysia
*
This article verified the kangkong land economy has been on downtrend or doldrum.

Consumer sentiment follow income and wealth, will improve if income or wealth increase.

Will pile of dirt under the carpet waiting to surface after the next g.e. Consumer sentiment is more likely to dip after the next g.e.

With many alternative and better investment available, doubt foreign funds would consider kangkong land anytime soon.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 19 2017, 11:02 AM
axisresidence17
post Mar 19 2017, 08:23 AM

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QUOTE(wendy771782 @ Mar 17 2017, 03:20 PM)
deloverper leave higher floor wanna sold fast for.go for future plan gua... but i bought last year pay for almost one year interest... buy now more good.. atleast no.need pay for interest edi. for the rebate before.spa bot tht high la.. some rebate is with t&c
*
Omg! 😲
TSicemanfx
post Mar 22 2017, 11:49 PM

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Buying a RM500,000 property? Better to rent, says expert
Robin Augustin | March 22, 2017

PETALING JAYA: Thinking of buying a RM500,000 house?

A veteran property expert said for that amount of money, renting might be a more viable option given the price of properties and the rising cost of living.
“There is no shame in renting,†Ernest Cheong told FMT in a recent interview.

“People often say, ‘If I rent a house, for the next 30 years I will only enrich the landlord and after 30 years I won’t own a home’.â€
Cheong said this was only true if a person could afford the monthly instalments for 30 years.

But even then, Cheong said, given the inflated price of properties and the rising cost of living, people looking to own a home shouldn’t rush into owning one because, in the future, they might have other needs such as their children’s education or medical expenses.

“Let’s look at a RM500,000 property as an example. Say, for that price, it is a 1,000 square feet apartment in Puchong with three bed rooms, with a rental value of RM1,500 a month.â€

“One man, Harry, rents it for RM1,500 a month, and his neighbour Sally decides to purchase her unit for RM500,000.â€

After 30 years, Cheong said, Harry would have paid his landlord a total of RM702,000 assuming that after every three years the rent was increased by RM100 per month.

Sally, meanwhile, would have paid RM50,000 for the 10% deposit required and taken a RM450,000 bank loan to pay the balance 90% of the purchase price.

“She would also have to pay around RM40,000 in stamp duty and legal fees.â€

With a 30 year loan, Cheong said, Sally’s monthly repayment to the bank would be around RM2,734 per month.

“In 30 years, Sally would have paid the bank a total of RM984,240 (RM2,734 x 360 months) and plus the 10% (RM50,000) deposit and RM40,000 legal fees and stamp duty, she would have paid a grand total of RM1,074,240 for her apartment.â€

Cheong, a chartered surveyor, said over the period of 30 years, the value of both properties might increase three-fold, but this might only be on paper.

“In reality, we are now seeing an oversupply of residential units and with the rising cost of living, can many people say with confidence that they can afford a bank loan repayment of over RM2,734 a month for 30 years? Or that the value of properties will go up as planned?â€

In recent times, Cheong noted, it had been reported that EPF figures showed there were 14.5 million working Malaysians in the country, of whom 89% were earning less than RM5,000 a month.

Cheong said a lot could happen in 30 years, with children needing to go to college or salaries not rising in tandem with the cost of living.

“So in reality, renting may not be a bad option because it allows you to be flexible. Lose a job or need to raise funds? Move to a cheaper place. If you take a loan, you’re committed for 30 years. Sure, you could sell the place, but are you sure you can get the ideal price given the oversupply of properties nowadays?â€

Cheong said if people couldn’t afford to repay their bank loan at any time within the 30-year period, they might lose all their money, or even be made bankrupt if they could not sell the property at a price sufficient enough to pay the balance of the loan.
This, Cheong said, was why renting a property – rather than buying one – was a viable option which people should consider.

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...nt-says-expert/

axisresidence17
post Mar 24 2017, 01:31 PM

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BBB would keep on BBB😂😂😂

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 22 2017, 11:49 PM)
Buying a RM500,000 property? Better to rent, says expert
Robin Augustin | March 22, 2017

PETALING JAYA: Thinking of buying a RM500,000 house?

A veteran property expert said for that amount of money, renting might be a more viable option given the price of properties and the rising cost of living.
“There is no shame in renting,†Ernest Cheong told FMT in a recent interview.

“People often say, ‘If I rent a house, for the next 30 years I will only enrich the landlord and after 30 years I won’t own a home’.â€
Cheong said this was only true if a person could afford the monthly instalments for 30 years.

But even then, Cheong said, given the inflated price of properties and the rising cost of living, people looking to own a home shouldn’t rush into owning one because, in the future, they might have other needs such as their children’s education or medical expenses.

“Let’s look at a RM500,000 property as an example. Say, for that price, it is a 1,000 square feet apartment in Puchong with three bed rooms, with a rental value of RM1,500 a month.â€

“One man, Harry, rents it for RM1,500 a month, and his neighbour Sally decides to purchase her unit for RM500,000.â€

After 30 years, Cheong said, Harry would have paid his landlord a total of RM702,000 assuming that after every three years the rent was increased by RM100 per month.

Sally, meanwhile, would have paid RM50,000 for the 10% deposit required and taken a RM450,000 bank loan to pay the balance 90% of the purchase price.

“She would also have to pay around RM40,000 in stamp duty and legal fees.â€

With a 30 year loan, Cheong said, Sally’s monthly repayment to the bank would be around RM2,734 per month.

“In 30 years, Sally would have paid the bank a total of RM984,240 (RM2,734 x 360 months) and plus the 10% (RM50,000) deposit and RM40,000 legal fees and stamp duty, she would have paid a grand total of RM1,074,240 for her apartment.â€

Cheong, a chartered surveyor, said over the period of 30 years, the value of both properties might increase three-fold, but this might only be on paper.

“In reality, we are now seeing an oversupply of residential units and with the rising cost of living, can many people say with confidence that they can afford a bank loan repayment of over RM2,734 a month for 30 years? Or that the value of properties will go up as planned?â€

In recent times, Cheong noted, it had been reported that EPF figures showed there were 14.5 million working Malaysians in the country, of whom 89% were earning less than RM5,000 a month.

Cheong said a lot could happen in 30 years, with children needing to go to college or salaries not rising in tandem with the cost of living.

“So in reality, renting may not be a bad option because it allows you to be flexible. Lose a job or need to raise funds? Move to a cheaper place. If you take a loan, you’re committed for 30 years. Sure, you could sell the place, but are you sure you can get the ideal price given the oversupply of properties nowadays?â€

Cheong said if people couldn’t afford to repay their bank loan at any time within the 30-year period, they might lose all their money, or even be made bankrupt if they could not sell the property at a price sufficient enough to pay the balance of the loan.
This, Cheong said, was why renting a property – rather than buying one – was a viable option which people should consider.

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...nt-says-expert/
*
SUScocbum4
post Mar 24 2017, 01:47 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 18 2017, 11:53 PM)
This article verified the kangkong land economy has been on downtrend or doldrum.

Consumer sentiment follow income and wealth, will improve if income or wealth increase.

Will pile of dirt under the carpet waiting to surface after the next g.e. Consumer sentiment is more likely to dip after the next g.e.

With many alternative and better investment available, doubt foreign funds would consider kangkong land anytime soon.
*
Too bad jew can't tell what the good and bad investment in the market. Credit Swiss made a lot of good point. Property now is fully in BBB mode, jew can wait for another bubble in the next 10 years
TSicemanfx
post Mar 24 2017, 06:19 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Mar 24 2017, 01:31 PM)
BBB would keep on BBB😂😂😂
*
No doubt, those have vested interest wish price uuu until give up hope.

QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 24 2017, 01:47 PM)
Too bad jew can't tell what the good and bad investment in the market. Credit Swiss made a lot of good point. Property now is fully in BBB mode, jew can wait for another bubble in the next 10 years
*
You can do whatever you want with your money.

Some may know a few o&g companies have defaulted in the small red dot but none is heard in the kangkong land. if oil to stay below $50, mo1 may need to call the next ge sooner than originally picked by astrologist. after the next ge, cat will be out from the bag.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 24 2017, 07:16 PM
SUScocbum4
post Mar 24 2017, 07:12 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 24 2017, 06:19 PM)
No doubt, those have vested interest wish price uuu until give up hope.
You can do whatever you want with your money.
*
Poor people today are loaded with high dose of disposable income, dream house program build house for less than 100k attract so many poor people to attend it, Ayam think poor people are readily to BBB anytime sooner. Wait for bubble to buy a 100k house? It must be the best joke Ayam could get.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 24 2017, 07:18 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Mar 24 2017, 07:12 PM)
Poor people today are loaded with high dose of disposable income, dream house program build house for less than 100k attract so many poor people to attend it, Ayam think poor people are readily to BBB anytime sooner. Wait for bubble to buy a 100k house? It must be the best joke Ayam could get.
*
The more rm100k house supply, the better for the people, those qualified must buy even queue for one week.

kevyeoh
post Mar 25 2017, 08:52 AM

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Seriously????

If you really DDD also... you think this argument logic is valid? I think this expert is one of the worst expert I have come across....

You buy... end of the day... you still got the property you own which you can sell and recoup back the money... this expert fail to include this scenario ...

The rm702k is paid and burnt up in the air already.....


QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 22 2017, 11:49 PM)
Buying a RM500,000 property? Better to rent, says expert
Robin Augustin | March 22, 2017

PETALING JAYA: Thinking of buying a RM500,000 house?

A veteran property expert said for that amount of money, renting might be a more viable option given the price of properties and the rising cost of living.
“There is no shame in renting,†Ernest Cheong told FMT in a recent interview.

“People often say, ‘If I rent a house, for the next 30 years I will only enrich the landlord and after 30 years I won’t own a home’.â€
Cheong said this was only true if a person could afford the monthly instalments for 30 years.

But even then, Cheong said, given the inflated price of properties and the rising cost of living, people looking to own a home shouldn’t rush into owning one because, in the future, they might have other needs such as their children’s education or medical expenses.

“Let’s look at a RM500,000 property as an example. Say, for that price, it is a 1,000 square feet apartment in Puchong with three bed rooms, with a rental value of RM1,500 a month.â€

“One man, Harry, rents it for RM1,500 a month, and his neighbour Sally decides to purchase her unit for RM500,000.â€

After 30 years, Cheong said, Harry would have paid his landlord a total of RM702,000 assuming that after every three years the rent was increased by RM100 per month.

Sally, meanwhile, would have paid RM50,000 for the 10% deposit required and taken a RM450,000 bank loan to pay the balance 90% of the purchase price.

“She would also have to pay around RM40,000 in stamp duty and legal fees.â€

With a 30 year loan, Cheong said, Sally’s monthly repayment to the bank would be around RM2,734 per month.

“In 30 years, Sally would have paid the bank a total of RM984,240 (RM2,734 x 360 months) and plus the 10% (RM50,000) deposit and RM40,000 legal fees and stamp duty, she would have paid a grand total of RM1,074,240 for her apartment.â€

Cheong, a chartered surveyor, said over the period of 30 years, the value of both properties might increase three-fold, but this might only be on paper.

“In reality, we are now seeing an oversupply of residential units and with the rising cost of living, can many people say with confidence that they can afford a bank loan repayment of over RM2,734 a month for 30 years? Or that the value of properties will go up as planned?â€

In recent times, Cheong noted, it had been reported that EPF figures showed there were 14.5 million working Malaysians in the country, of whom 89% were earning less than RM5,000 a month.

Cheong said a lot could happen in 30 years, with children needing to go to college or salaries not rising in tandem with the cost of living.

“So in reality, renting may not be a bad option because it allows you to be flexible. Lose a job or need to raise funds? Move to a cheaper place. If you take a loan, you’re committed for 30 years. Sure, you could sell the place, but are you sure you can get the ideal price given the oversupply of properties nowadays?â€

Cheong said if people couldn’t afford to repay their bank loan at any time within the 30-year period, they might lose all their money, or even be made bankrupt if they could not sell the property at a price sufficient enough to pay the balance of the loan.
This, Cheong said, was why renting a property – rather than buying one – was a viable option which people should consider.

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...nt-says-expert/
*
Jliew168
post Mar 26 2017, 03:52 PM

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http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...erin-properties

Bincangkan

bearbearwong icemanfx
TSicemanfx
post Mar 26 2017, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 26 2017, 03:52 PM)
Since when snake oil seller claim this year is not the best year to buy?

TSicemanfx
post Mar 26 2017, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(trust4you @ Mar 26 2017, 04:12 PM)
Now is rental market Villa wangsamas from RM2500 5 years back now can get RM2000 only leleleleleleleleleleleleelelelelelleleleleleleleleleeleleleleleleleleleleleleleleeleleleleleleleleleleelelelelelelelellelelell  rclxms.gif
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Jliew168
post Mar 26 2017, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 26 2017, 04:22 PM)

*
Hahaha 2k still very good
Darth_Maul
post Mar 26 2017, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 26 2017, 03:52 PM)
According to them got which year is not good year to buy property o...
SUStikaram
post Mar 26 2017, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Mar 27 2017, 12:17 AM)
Hahaha 2k still very good
*
Kakikong Kakisong sifu like you sure saying 1k still very good.

Vroom vroom to the max topkek.

This post has been edited by tikaram: Mar 26 2017, 11:25 PM
Jliew168
post Mar 27 2017, 10:45 AM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ Mar 26 2017, 11:24 PM)
Kakikong Kakisong sifu like you sure saying 1k still very good.

Vroom vroom to the max  topkek.
*
U not agree 2k still a very good rate there?
gark
post Mar 27 2017, 10:58 AM

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From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia....
I dont understand all these UUU and DDD, both also waiting for something that might or might not come.

Instead of speculating, I prefer to invest my money in a more sure thing rather than local properties, which currently does not make sense. rclxub.gif

I prefer investing in foreign REITs, as a proxy for property investment.

I can buy properties at up to 30%-40% discount from market, and getting 7%-9% annual dividend annually from rental. I only choose counters which can at least raise their rental annually because of collective bargaining power. You can never get all these with your standard property purchase.

Buying local overpriced properties, you be lucky to get 5% discount to market and rental yields of 2.5%... what a foolish investment:lol: laugh.gif laugh.gif

If property goes DDD, I am protected with my high yield.

If property goes UUU, I enjoy my NTA going up, thus they can buy more property with debt.

If RM crash, I am also protected from Forex (I invest in >6 countries)

I dont have to worry about tenancy problem, selling, and all the associated headache related with property ownership.

The reit itself is already leveraged, but I can pledge my REIT to get loan (rate not much different than housing loan), which I only pay interest, and I can pay off the principal at any amount or one go if i like.

Sounds too good to be true? Sounds impossible? It is not. I have been doing this for the past 8 years, and it has done very well for me indeed.

To know more head to the stock exchange forum under REIT threads to know more.

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 27 2017, 11:03 AM
TSicemanfx
post Mar 27 2017, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(Coup De Grace @ Mar 27 2017, 02:09 PM)

The proposed amendments to the Stamp Act 1949 will see more stringent requirements imposed on property buyers. This includes the introduction of a self-

assessment system, upfront payment of ad valorem duty on contracts for the sale of property and an exponential increase in the penalties for late stamping.

One of the more significant changes proposed in the Stamp (Amendment) Bill 2016 — which was tabled for first reading in parliament on Nov 23 last year — is that the ad valorem duty must be paid before the sales and purchase agreement (SPA) is signed. Under the current Act, the duty is paid in the later stages of the property-buying process.

Ad valorem duty is one of two stamp duties payable in the country, apart from fixed duty (RM10). Unlike the latter, the ad valorem duty depends on the type and value of the instrument, be it property, stock or marketable securities.

Shawn Ho, partner at legal firm Donovan & Ho, says property buyers will have to be more aware of their stamp duty obligations once the bill is passed. “The normal sequence of a transaction is that the parties come together, agree on the terms of the SPA and sign it. Then, the purchaser applies for a loan. After the loan has been secured, the bank makes the payments. Only after two to three months is the instrument of transfer stamped with ad valorem duty.

“But under the proposed amendments, the SPA will be the instrument that has to be stamped with ad valorem duty. That means purchasers will have to prepare the money needed for this even before they sign the agreement.â€

The proposed amendments have caused a stir among local property developers, who in the past had offered to absorb the stamp duty for the SPA, says Sunita S Sothi, partner at legal firm Zaid Ibrahim & Co. “Normally, most developers offer to pay your legal fees and stamp duty for the SPA. Some buyers do not realise that payment of stamp duty on the SPA refers to the RM10 duty payable on each copy of the SPA. Under the proposed amendments, the ad valorem duty will have to be paid upon execution of the SPA, which will now carry the ad valorem duty based on the value of the property and not a nominal sum. This will be the first expense a buyer needs to pay upon execution of the SPA and banks will not release a loan until the documents evidencing the purchase have been properly stamped.

“This may hit property flippers the most because they have to take this amount into account when acquiring properties. Some flippers tend to buy condominium units and request that the developer transfer the property directly to the third-party buyer who bought the unit from them. The flippers are able to do this and avoid paying the stamp duty because it used to take a considerable time for the strata titles of condominium units or apartments to be issued. With the amendments, property flippers will have to pay in advance. So, this will greatly impact them. Developers that have agreed to pay the stamp duty on the SPA will have to rethink and reword their brochures and promotional packages or budget for this payment of ad valorem duty.â€

Those who have signed the SPA and paid the ad valorem duty but are unable to secure a loan can choose to terminate the agreement (in accordance with the terms of the agreement) and get a refund from the stamp office. But buyers and developers need to understand that refunds may take a while. Sunita advises buyers to include the ad valorem duty cost in their purchasing budget when the amendments kick in to avoid any cash flow disruptions.

Under the current Act, property purchasers incur ad valorem duty on every RM100 of the property price. Buyers are charged RM1 for every RM100 on the first RM100,000, RM2 for every RM100 between RM100,001 and RM500,000, and RM3 for every RM100 above RM500,000. Thus, for a property worth RM500,000, the buyer incurs an ad valorem duty of RM9,000.

However, first-time homebuyers are exempt from stamp duty if the loan is less than RM300,000. They get a discount of RM1,500 if the loan is between RM300,000 and RM500,000.

Under the proposed amendments, there will be heftier penalties for those who do not have their SPA stamped on time. Errant property buyers can be penalised up to 100% of the original amount if they are 90 days late, compared with just 5% currently.

From the 91st to the 160th day, they can be penalised up to 200% of the original amount. And from the 181st day onwards, they can be penalised up to 400% of the original amount.

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/en/article/p...property-buyers
*
Mean subsale buyer need to have stamp duty and downpayment in hand before buying.

Tokok_King
post Mar 27 2017, 02:42 PM

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not yet effective right? still in draft session only from above statement.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 27 2017, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(Tokok_King @ Mar 27 2017, 02:42 PM)
not yet effective right? still in draft session only from above statement.
*
bbb before this amendment is gazetted.

Jliew168
post Mar 27 2017, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 27 2017, 02:38 PM)
Mean subsale buyer need to have stamp duty and downpayment in hand before buying.
*
No effect la sooner or later also need to pay biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by Jliew168: Mar 27 2017, 05:43 PM
kurtkob78
post Mar 27 2017, 05:35 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 27 2017, 10:58 AM)
I dont understand all these UUU and DDD, both also waiting for something that might or might not come.

Instead of speculating, I prefer to invest my money in a more sure thing rather than local properties, which currently does not make sense.  rclxub.gif

I prefer investing in foreign REITs, as a proxy for property investment.

I can buy properties at up to 30%-40% discount from market, and getting 7%-9% annual dividend annually from rental. I only choose counters which can at least raise their rental annually because of collective bargaining power. You can never get all these with your standard property purchase.

Buying local overpriced properties, you be lucky to get 5% discount to market and rental yields of 2.5%... what a foolish investment:lol:  laugh.gif  laugh.gif

If property goes DDD, I am protected with my high yield.

If property goes UUU, I enjoy my NTA going up, thus they can buy more property with debt.

If RM crash, I am also protected from Forex (I invest in >6 countries)

I dont have to worry about tenancy problem, selling, and all the associated headache related with property ownership.

The reit itself is already leveraged, but I can pledge my REIT to get loan (rate not much different than housing loan), which I only pay interest, and I can pay off the principal at any amount or one go if i like.

Sounds too good to be true? Sounds impossible? It is not. I have been doing this for the past 8 years, and it has done very well for me indeed.

To know more head to the stock exchange forum under REIT threads to know more.
*
nowadays mreit can buy? price still rising?
gark
post Mar 27 2017, 06:08 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 27 2017, 05:35 PM)
nowadays mreit can buy? price still rising?
*
Mreit has risen more then 30-40% from last year already. Yields still around 4.x%-5.x%.

Better to look at reits across the causeway. tongue.gif
TSicemanfx
post Mar 28 2017, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(Hunakadoo @ Mar 27 2017, 09:22 PM)
Putrajaya: Another 43 Rumawip projects get DO


KUALA LUMPUR (March 27): Another 43 projects under the Federal Territories Affordable Housing Scheme (Rumawip) have been issued a development order, Federal Territories Minister (pictured) said.

These projects involve 25,308 housing units.

Tengku Adnan said another 44 Rumawip projects, consisting of 26,138 units, are still in consideration stage.

A total of 19 projects or 11,627 units have been sold under the Rumawip initiative as at Dec 31, 2016.

Of the total, the minister said 3,802 units have been completed with the keys hand over, 6,990 units have signed the sales and purchase agreement (SPA) and the remaining 835 units is in the stage of finalising their SPA.

“On top of this, there are another 23 projects comprising 14,238 units still under construction, as well as owners’ applications that are in final stages of approval,†he said at the question-and-answer session in Parliament today.

Rumawip projects are affordable home developments located across all three federal territories, namely Kuala Lumpur, Putrajaya, and Labuan. The units under this scheme are priced between RM198,000 and RM300,000 each. — theedgemarkets.com
*
Did someone say no more land in kv to build? new house price could only rise?

Ron2828
post Mar 28 2017, 08:28 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 27 2017, 10:58 AM)
I dont understand all these UUU and DDD, both also waiting for something that might or might not come.

Instead of speculating, I prefer to invest my money in a more sure thing rather than local properties, which currently does not make sense.  rclxub.gif

I prefer investing in foreign REITs, as a proxy for property investment.

I can buy properties at up to 30%-40% discount from market, and getting 7%-9% annual dividend annually from rental. I only choose counters which can at least raise their rental annually because of collective bargaining power. You can never get all these with your standard property purchase.

Buying local overpriced properties, you be lucky to get 5% discount to market and rental yields of 2.5%... what a foolish investment:lol:  laugh.gif  laugh.gif

If property goes DDD, I am protected with my high yield.

If property goes UUU, I enjoy my NTA going up, thus they can buy more property with debt.

If RM crash, I am also protected from Forex (I invest in >6 countries)

I dont have to worry about tenancy problem, selling, and all the associated headache related with property ownership.

The reit itself is already leveraged, but I can pledge my REIT to get loan (rate not much different than housing loan), which I only pay interest, and I can pay off the principal at any amount or one go if i like.

Sounds too good to be true? Sounds impossible? It is not. I have been doing this for the past 8 years, and it has done very well for me indeed.

To know more head to the stock exchange forum under REIT threads to know more.
*
thumbup.gif thumbup.gif
Bro....well said and well done.Following your footsteps soon

kurtkob78
post Mar 28 2017, 06:25 PM

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Rising likelihood of OPR hike

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...lihood-opr-hike

gets really interesting by the day.
TSicemanfx
post Mar 28 2017, 07:55 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Mar 28 2017, 06:25 PM)
Rising likelihood of OPR hike

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...lihood-opr-hike

gets really interesting by the day.
*
25 basis points rise won't be enough to pay for a family wanton mee lunch, only negligible effects if any on property market.

axisresidence17
post Mar 28 2017, 07:56 PM

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You can pledge reit? Well thats something new to me. Can you pledge to a local bank? How about local reits? Can you pledge that also? Whats the ratio for pledging like? 1:1?

QUOTE(gark @ Mar 27 2017, 10:58 AM)
I dont understand all these UUU and DDD, both also waiting for something that might or might not come.

Instead of speculating, I prefer to invest my money in a more sure thing rather than local properties, which currently does not make sense.  rclxub.gif

I prefer investing in foreign REITs, as a proxy for property investment.

I can buy properties at up to 30%-40% discount from market, and getting 7%-9% annual dividend annually from rental. I only choose counters which can at least raise their rental annually because of collective bargaining power. You can never get all these with your standard property purchase.

Buying local overpriced properties, you be lucky to get 5% discount to market and rental yields of 2.5%... what a foolish investment:lol:  laugh.gif  laugh.gif

If property goes DDD, I am protected with my high yield.

If property goes UUU, I enjoy my NTA going up, thus they can buy more property with debt.

If RM crash, I am also protected from Forex (I invest in >6 countries)

I dont have to worry about tenancy problem, selling, and all the associated headache related with property ownership.

The reit itself is already leveraged, but I can pledge my REIT to get loan (rate not much different than housing loan), which I only pay interest, and I can pay off the principal at any amount or one go if i like.

Sounds too good to be true? Sounds impossible? It is not. I have been doing this for the past 8 years, and it has done very well for me indeed.

To know more head to the stock exchange forum under REIT threads to know more.
*
gark
post Mar 28 2017, 08:31 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Mar 28 2017, 07:56 PM)
You can pledge reit? Well thats something new to me. Can you pledge to a local bank? How about local reits? Can you pledge that also? Whats the ratio for pledging like? 1:1?
*
Yes you can pledge reits even local ones, speak to your broker about it.

Depend on your amount, you may get 60-80% compared to pledge amount.
Ron2828
post Mar 28 2017, 09:00 PM

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Bro gark,

How do you view the current retail space oversupply?can retail Reits maintain or increase their dividend payout in near terms (3-5 years)?I am looking at Pavreit,IGB reit,KLCC and Sunreit.

Your opinion is highly appreciated smile.gif

ManutdGiggs
post Mar 29 2017, 09:33 PM

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http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2017...bankruptcy-act/
gark
post Mar 29 2017, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(Ron2828 @ Mar 28 2017, 09:00 PM)
Bro gark,

How do you view the current retail space oversupply?can retail Reits maintain or increase their dividend payout in near terms (3-5 years)?I am looking at Pavreit,IGB reit,KLCC and Sunreit.

Your opinion is highly appreciated smile.gif
*
Best you post at reit thread.. otherwise off topic.

In short, retail like mega mall is not going to die anytime soon. If you have visit it before you will know.

Avoid 2nd class retail reits like those who own summit usj for instance.

Reit choosing is also all about the location... Like buying properties.

However current MY reit price is already expensive thanks to the huge run up in last year. Better target in SG reits.

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 29 2017, 10:32 PM
Ron2828
post Mar 29 2017, 10:41 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 29 2017, 10:29 PM)
Best you post at reit thread.. otherwise off topic.

In short, retail like mega mall is not going to die anytime soon. If you have visit it before you will know.

Avoid 2nd class retail reits like those who own summit usj for instance.

Reit choosing is also all about the location... Like buying properties.

However current MY reit price is already expensive thanks to the huge run up in last year. Better target in SG reits.
*
Thanks notworthy.gif
I will go reits topic look look see see thumbup.gif
TSicemanfx
post Apr 4 2017, 06:40 PM

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“Too many loans are still made where the borrower has the skinniest of income buffers,†Lowe said in the text of a speech to a Reserve Bank of Australia board dinner in Melbourne Tuesday. “In some cases, lenders are assuming that people can live more frugally than in practice they can, leaving little buffer if things go wrong.â€

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ky-home-lending

Believe this statement apply to the kangkong land too.

Noyoudontcare
post Apr 4 2017, 06:51 PM

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KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia is not expected to see a property bubble in the next five years, said iProperty General Manager Data Services, P. Premendran.

He said Malaysia has prepped fallback measures from the 1997-1998 economic turmoil and from the US sub-prime mortgage crisis in 2008.
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“Malaysia would not be heading into a property bubble as the next five years look promising,†he told Bernama.

Although Bank Negara Malaysia has said it would take some time to stabilise house prices, Premendran said, the silver lining is to slow down economic growth.

He said the current economic landscape allows the market to re-adjust and respond to factors that correlate with the rising living costs, stagnant income growth and the increase of house prices.

“This is why we are seeing a stabilisation of prices,†he said, adding that Malaysia’s National House Price Index rose by 5.36 per cent in the third quarter 2016, slightly lower than the 7.35 per cent in the same period in previous corresponding year.

He said house prices rose more than the average Malaysian household income since 2009 till 2015, recording a double-digit growth between 2012 and 2013.

Premendran said the market was currently supported by the coming property projects initiated a year ago.

“These projects would be able to match the public’s expected pricing for houses,†he said.

House prices from 2010 surpassed the average Malaysian household income, ahead of the implementation of Goods and Services Tax.

Moving forward, Premendran said, affordable houses continue to be in high demand, similar to situations in the UK, Australia and the US.

“The government’s initiative to boost infrastructure was a positive move for the Malaysian property market.

“We should give the market ample time to fix itself and we will start seeing more reasonable pricing for houses,†he said.

Meanwhile, Premendran said, there are plenty of choices for millennials to own their properties if they could compromise on size and distance between home and workplace.

He said Australia’s benchmark for a good quality of life is 30 minutes, whereby if a person arrives at the workplace within half an hour, it is considered good.

Prememdran said the latest housing schemes, such as ‘My First Home Scheme’ and ‘Reside-and-Purchase’, enable first-time house owners to receive their keys sooner than the usual time frame as compared to the normal regulatory process of house purchases
http://www.nst.com.my/news/2017/04/227074/...80%93-iproperty
TSicemanfx
post Apr 4 2017, 08:38 PM

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QUOTE(Noyoudontcare @ Apr 4 2017, 06:51 PM)
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia is not expected to see a property bubble in the next five years, said iProperty General Manager Data Services, P. Premendran.

He said Malaysia has prepped fallback measures from the 1997-1998 economic turmoil and from the US sub-prime mortgage crisis in 2008.
ADVERTISING
inRead invented by Teads

“Malaysia would not be heading into a property bubble as the next five years look promising,†he told Bernama.

Although Bank Negara Malaysia has said it would take some time to stabilise house prices, Premendran said, the silver lining is to slow down economic growth.

He said the current economic landscape allows the market to re-adjust and respond to factors that correlate with the rising living costs, stagnant income growth and the increase of house prices.

“This is why we are seeing a stabilisation of prices,†he said, adding that Malaysia’s National House Price Index rose by 5.36 per cent in the third quarter 2016, slightly lower than the 7.35 per cent in the same period in previous corresponding year.

He said house prices rose more than the average Malaysian household income since 2009 till 2015, recording a double-digit growth between 2012 and 2013.

Premendran said the market was currently supported by the coming property projects initiated a year ago.

“These projects would be able to match the public’s expected pricing for houses,†he said.

House prices from 2010 surpassed the average Malaysian household income, ahead of the implementation of Goods and Services Tax.

Moving forward, Premendran said, affordable houses continue to be in high demand, similar to situations in the UK, Australia and the US.

“The government’s initiative to boost infrastructure was a positive move for the Malaysian property market.

“We should give the market ample time to fix itself and we will start seeing more reasonable pricing for houses,†he said.

Meanwhile, Premendran said, there are plenty of choices for millennials to own their properties if they could compromise on size and distance between home and workplace.

He said Australia’s benchmark for a good quality of life is 30 minutes, whereby if a person arrives at the workplace within half an hour, it is considered good.

Prememdran said the latest housing schemes, such as ‘My First Home Scheme’ and ‘Reside-and-Purchase’, enable first-time house owners to receive their keys sooner than the usual time frame as compared to the normal regulatory process of house purchases
http://www.nst.com.my/news/2017/04/227074/...80%93-iproperty
*
Kv property price has been on downtrend for 8 consecutive quarters. If current market sentiment persists, downtrend is likely to accelerate.

Until oversupply is fully digested and relax in bank lending, property bull run or bubble is unlikely.

TSicemanfx
post Apr 6 2017, 07:22 AM

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The government and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) would continue to organise educational programmes, with the assistance of government and private agencies, on financial literacy and sound financial management as only six percent of Malaysians have sufficient savings to last six months, says Deputy Finance Minister Othman Aziz.

http://m.malaysiakini.com/news/378126

This number is consistent with wealth report and epf statistics.


heavensea
post Apr 6 2017, 07:33 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 6 2017, 07:22 AM)
The government and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) would continue to organise educational programmes, with the assistance of government and private agencies, on financial literacy and sound financial management as only six percent of Malaysians have sufficient savings to last six months, says Deputy Finance Minister Othman Aziz.

http://m.malaysiakini.com/news/378126

This number is consistent with wealth report and epf statistics.
*
Mostly kampung ppl....
TSicemanfx
post Apr 6 2017, 07:41 AM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Apr 6 2017, 07:33 AM)
Mostly kampung ppl....
*
Kampung people expenses is lower than urban dwellers.

6% likely mean those are bank priority/privilege customers.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 6 2017, 07:55 AM
TSicemanfx
post Apr 10 2017, 04:25 PM

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The property market is expected to continue from where it left off last year — slow, challenging and uncertain.

Sales of properties — especially high-end condominiums, retail malls and office spaces — had been muted in the last two years, creating overhangs in certain parts of the country and leaving speculators in a quagmire over their investment.

Developers rode the boom of easy financing, allowance of the Developer Interest Bearing Scheme, rising profits and endless demands from 2010 to build more homes and offices. However, that euphoria is all but dead now.

UEM Sunrise Bhd MD and CEO Anwar Syahrin Abdul Ajib said 2017 is forecast to be another challenging year for the property sector, after two years of sluggish performance.

He remarked that weak consumer sentiment, rising cost of living, low income growth, high household debt and the relatively high loan rejection rate posed a challenge to the industry.

“Home price rise has eased to a single digit in recent times and prices may continue to trend slightly downwards before the market recovers — especially for high-rise homes where certain segments are facing an oversupply.

“And the first-half of 2017 (1H17) will continue to be a buyers’ market,†he told The Malaysian Reserve.

Based on data from Bank Negara Malaysia, 2016 saw the lowest percentage of loan approvals over the last decade.

Although total residential loans applied increased by 1% year-on- year (YoY) in 2016, the amount approved fell 15% YoY to RM87.7 billion from RM103.4 billion in 2015.

The average loan approval rate was at 42.3% in 2016, down by 7.9 percentage points from 2015. During the pre-global financial crisis, the yearly average loan approval rate was slightly above 60%.

Total residential loans applied for January and February this year were RM15.7 billion and RM16.2 billion, while the approved loans for residential property were RM6.6 billion (January) and RM6.5 billion (February).

Anwar Syahrin said the real estate industry was experiencing “a tighter lending environment†as loans approvals were based on net income instead of gross income, resulting in a low percentage of successful applications.

http://themalaysianreserve.com/new/story/p...%E2%80%99s-pace

For a developer to admit publicly property market is slowing down is exceptional.

With npl rising in residential sector, expect tighter lending to persists.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 10 2017, 04:26 PM
axisresidence17
post Apr 12 2017, 08:53 PM

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A lot of developers now are advertising on FB and IG 😂😂😂
Veda
post Apr 12 2017, 10:55 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Apr 12 2017, 08:53 PM)
A lot of developers now are advertising on FB and IG 😂😂😂
*
Areas like Kajang, Bangi and even overbuilt Jalan Ampang got developer selling property at RM2XXk-RM3XXk range these days. But mostly relatively unknown developers or developers with "mixed" record or got high tensions cables or the project in the worst part of a decent location, so buyers will shoulder a fair amount of risk.


Veda
post Apr 12 2017, 11:10 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 4 2017, 06:40 PM)
“Too many loans are still made where the borrower has the skinniest of income buffers,†Lowe said in the text of a speech to a Reserve Bank of Australia board dinner in Melbourne Tuesday. “In some cases, lenders are assuming that people can live more frugally than in practice they can, leaving little buffer if things go wrong.â€

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ky-home-lending

Believe this statement apply to the kangkong land too.
*
Threads like this make me think your wet dream of a property mart crash might soon become reality laugh.gif
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4264634
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4264540

But on the other hand, I've seen ppl with a million ringgit in their bank accounts, the money just lying there not utilized ... and the big malls like Sunway Pyramid and KLCC are full on weekends, so .... confused.gif

My brave prediction is an economic crisis will hit sometime between 2017-2020. I wrote a short essay on why I think so, but deleted it because I want it to catch most ppl unaware. I want to watch the world burn devil.gif

But in the meantime, I hope you are contend with your rented apartment. I'm curious which apartment u are renting, but I guess u are not telling brows.gif
TSicemanfx
post Apr 13 2017, 12:23 AM

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QUOTE(Veda @ Apr 12 2017, 11:10 PM)
Threads like this make me think your wet dream of a property mart crash might soon become reality  laugh.gif
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4264634
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4264540

But on the other hand, I've seen ppl with a million ringgit in their bank accounts, the money just lying there not utilized ... and the big malls like Sunway Pyramid and KLCC are full on weekends, so ....  confused.gif

My brave prediction is an economic crisis will hit sometime between 2017-2020. I wrote a short essay on why I think so, but deleted it because I want it to catch most ppl unaware. I want to watch the world burn  devil.gif

But in the meantime, I hope you are contend with your rented apartment. I'm curious which apartment u are renting, but I guess u are not telling  brows.gif
*
Economic recession is not the end of the world, about 90% of people will still have jobs; these people could afford regular lifestyle. visiting shopping malls is a favourite and cheap pass time for many, selected shopping malls are packed during weekends and holidays regardless beside we are not yet in economic recession.

kv property bubble was fueled by cheap and easy credit, a fallout of us qe. as income didn't rise in line or faster, the inflated property is not sustainable. long term equilibrium always prevailed. so either property price will drop or stagnant to wait for inflation to catch up.

most of those ride the bullrun will end up worst off than the beginning. more money to be made during economic recession.

believe many income didn't rise as expected, with more property vp, those highly geared will be financially stressed. any increase bank interest rate will almost tip them over.

our gomen re-base the statistics every few years, it is possible to find gdp contraction or larger than reported contraction a few quarters after, so don't be so hopeful the gomen will declare economic recession unless our neighbours have declared first.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 13 2017, 12:25 AM
axisresidence17
post Apr 16 2017, 06:44 PM

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Wow! Lots of auction unit.. some appear attractive to me!

I mean you hardly see Maytower auction unit!

http://auctions.com.my/pah/list-kl.asp
ZenGTMM
post Apr 17 2017, 11:05 AM

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Jeng jeng jeng.. First the high end market gets affected, then once the mid range starts to get VP for their units, the domino effect comes in.


KUALA LUMPUR, April 17 — A growing glut in the luxury property segment here is pushing some owners to shave nearly a third off their asking prices in order to secure a sale or rental.

According to data from the National Property Information Centre (NAPIC) on residential homes here valued at over RM1 million, unsold units increased by over 9 per cent from the first quarter of 2014 to the same period a year later.

Cumulatively, this was equivalent to RM158 million worth of surplus units in the luxury home segment, based on figures from the first quarter comparison alone. Figures for subsequent quarters are not yet available.

Property agents speaking to Malay Mail Online also noted that the phenomenon was especially prevalent in the secondary market, saying owners in the Klang Valley, Penang, and Johor were now prepared to lower their asking prices.

“If you look at the property market in KLCC and KL Sentral, owners are willing to rent out office spaces and homes for RM3 and RM4 per square feet compared to RM7 and RM8 before 2013,†senior property consultant Jeremy Jr told Malay Mail Online when contacted.

“Owners lowering the price of their properties by 20 to 30 per cent is also becoming a norm these days,†the agent from Oriental Realty added.

The drop is also fuelling a vicious cycle. Lower rental yields are making it harder for owners to meet their mortgage payments, leading some to sell off their units at discounted prices, which in turn affects rental prices further.

With an excess of luxury property, Jeremy also said new launches were being affected.

Property firms are now aggressively promoting their new developments in the hopes of meeting sales targets, he said, albeit noting that they have so far resisted blatant price-cutting.

“Freebies like kitchen cabinets, plaster ceilings, 0 per cent down payment… these are among other (offers) developers give out these days to sell their new launches,†he said.

The zero down payment is effectively a 10 per cent discount on the list price.

The realtors who spoke to Malay Mail Online declined to speculate on reasons for the drop in demand for luxury property, but a study released in January by property investment firm JLL Malaysia attributed the decline to the slump in the financial services as well as the oil-and-gas sectors.

Depressed oil prices have hit the once-lucrative O&G industry hard, with even state oil firm Petronas resorting to layoffs. O&G expatriates were some of the main takers of high-end property, but are now a relative rarity.

“Sales and rentals for properties valued at more than RM1 million have been very slow in the past four years or so,†said property agent Michael Lim

“After almost six months, I just sold one condo in KL for RM1.2 million recently after the owner was willing to reduce the price by RM300,000,†he said.

More recent data from NAPIC also showed a general decline in transactions within the luxury home segment. From the second quarter to the third quarter of 2016, total transactions dropped from 2,014 to 1,826 — a 9.3 per cent decline.

The same was seen with high-end commercial properties that fell 10 per cent in the same period.

For Lim, however, the falling prices were not entirely negative. Buyers, for instance, could take advantage of the situation and get property in the area for up to a third less than the previous asking price.

But he conceded that the long-term effects would be detrimental to the overall development and area.

“If everyone is selling off their property for 20 to 30 less in a particular area, the value of the development will definitely start dropping,†he said.

When contacted, Malaysian Institute of Estate Agents (MIEA) past president Siva Shanker concurred with the property agents on the weak demand for high-end property.

Siva said that renting out expensive property would also be difficult as owners could only afford to go so low before it was no longer worthwhile.

“At some point, the asking price will be similar to the price at which they bought the property about three years ago, which makes no sense any more to sell because they are definitely going to lose money,†he said.

He predicted that the property market would grow in 2020.


http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia...o-seal-the-deal
TSicemanfx
post Apr 17 2017, 11:26 AM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Apr 17 2017, 11:05 AM)

“At some point, the asking price will be similar to the price at which they bought the property about three years ago, which makes no sense any more to sell because they are definitely going to lose money,†he said.

He predicted that the property market would grow in 2020.
http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia...o-seal-the-deal
*
Provided oversupply is almost fully consumed by 2020.

TSicemanfx
post Apr 17 2017, 01:54 PM

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http://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...blishingId=4708

It seems incoming supply and planned supply is not slowing down. kv property price downtrend is unlikely to turn before 2020.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 17 2017, 01:56 PM
ZenGTMM
post Apr 17 2017, 10:43 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 17 2017, 11:26 AM)
Provided oversupply is almost fully consumed by 2020.
*
My self analysis will see a huge oversupply in the mid range market (450-800k) due to the current onslaught of properties launched since 2014 onwards.

1) House prices reduce by 5-8% average annually till 2022, since a lot of "investors" have overlooked the burden of forking out maintenance fee for their properties. With MF trending around 30-40sen/sqft currently, an increase to 40-50sen within the next 3-4 years (past trends of condo launched in 2011-2014 with mf fee of 22-28sen). a 1000sqft property will command 400-500 monthly in maintenance, eating out a sizable chunk of salary.

2) When management starts increasing mf due to poor collection from house owner, existing tenant can and will force management to initiate foreclosing against a property for outstanding mf as they would definitely not want to be burdened by unperforming flippers

3) Condos that are not family orientated, or for own stay purpose will attract subprime renters (maipren, habibis), reducing resale value of properties in prime locations. This is not to say that rental yield will be bad, its just tougher to off load the property to someone else who is looking for long term stay. Cost of repairing the house might go out due to irresponsible bad tenants.

4) Salary growth will be muted in the future as more jobs are being taken up by upcoming markets and also automation of most jobs that can be replaced by robots etc.

5) Low upside in O&G, Banking and other high income jobs will further put pressure on the high end market in the foreseeable future which will cascade down towards the mid range as existing condo-owners will not have much room for price appreciation as the high end markets are rather muted. with existing condos going for more than 450/sqft in the past 2-3 years, a 1000-1400sq ft house will cost 450k-630k before even calculating interest and maintenance cost that has been incurred for the next 5-10 years. Therefore even if the condo-owner is able to dispose it off at a 30-40% increase in property price, end of the day the discounted cash flow coming in 10 years later on will probably be even lower than just saving up the cash and investing in alternative investment such as REITs, mutual funds or businesses etc.

6) Just assuming every couple in Malaysia have a minimum combined income of 6k nett with no other commitments, they would still be hard pressed to afford any property above 600-700k.

Just my 5 cents on this. For property surplus to be fully consumed by 2020 is a rather optimistic presumption. Especially for those UUU hardliners.
party
post Apr 17 2017, 10:50 PM

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Problem is the so called crash begins since 2014 till now.

Oversupply? Not sure bro...unless u tell me someone build twon towers in kedah.
ZenGTMM
post Apr 17 2017, 11:31 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Apr 17 2017, 10:50 PM)
Problem is the so called crash begins since 2014 till now.

Oversupply? Not sure bro...unless u tell me someone build twon towers in kedah.
*
One thing the market has failed to realised is how willingly local flippers are willing to gear themselves up in debt.
Added on to the very low savings most msian have, a new property will always be more attractive than a subsale due to the low downpayment, deferred loan payment for 3-4 years in hope that by that time their income would have increased enough to offset the new loan commitment as well as the ease of taking up personal loans etc.

A subsale property will have to be sold at a 10% loss compared to market price for a new buyer to purchase it without downpayment. Furthermore the buyer will have to fork up extra 6% GST on the sale price.

Simple calculation:

Property price : RM700,000

DP@10% : RM 70,000
GST @ 6% : RM 42,000
Stamp Duty : RM 12,000
SPA Legal Fees : RM 4,650

Upfront: RM128,650

* Loan stamp duty & Legal fees are ignored since it can easily be added into the loan.

How many people are able to afford even 100k upfront to buy a subsale property?
Hence the domino effect takes time to set it. Low interest rate, hot money flowing in due to QE from western market, China buyers looking for ways to diversify their undeclared money out from China etc have contributed a huge inflationary effect on the property market in Msia.

With the outflow restriction on China hot money, hiking interest rate in US and probably Europe in the near future will cause a massive outflow from emerging markets, causing a big wound for local investors to lick on their own.

A market crash in property prices is not going to reduce prices by 50-70% for all properties, outskirt places like Rawang, Kajang, Semenyih etc will be the places to suffer the most. Core KV area will have a downside pressure easily in the range of 30-50% for condo market and around 20-35% for landed units as the prices have appreciated tremendously with no major market correction happening since 1998.
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post Apr 17 2017, 11:43 PM

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guys, stop dreaming about property bubble.

sure, middle income group will suffer, but u need to know who holds the majority of properties in Malaysia.

it's the businessman & tycoons, also kronnies & gomen servants.

before they go down, they would have sucked as much money as possible from society and you would go down before them, for example making the economy crash.

sure by that time comes, many people will be forced to dump their properties, but you will also be unable to purchase them because local economy has slumped too much to buy a house.

for those businessman & kronnies, the money they sucked in by sacrificing the country's economy will allow them to hold on to their properties, and as property price collapse, they have more funds to sapu these properties.

when economy recover, we will see even bigger disparity between super rich vs commoners.

just look at 1997. the rich became richer. those that suffer, are middle class people & small time businessman. those on top will not get affected because they will use the country as a shield.

unless u have a way to stash ur ringgit in foreign banks, maybe by the time ringgit collapse u have more money to make purchase. if ur money is in Malaysia, forget about it.
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post Apr 17 2017, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Apr 17 2017, 10:43 PM)
My self analysis will see a huge oversupply in the mid range market (450-800k) due to the current onslaught of properties launched since 2014 onwards.

1) House prices reduce by 5-8% average annually till 2022, since a lot of "investors" have overlooked the burden of forking out maintenance fee for their properties. With MF trending around 30-40sen/sqft currently, an increase to 40-50sen within the next 3-4 years (past trends of condo launched in 2011-2014 with mf fee of 22-28sen). a 1000sqft property will command 400-500 monthly in maintenance, eating out a sizable chunk of salary.

2) When management starts increasing mf due to poor collection from house owner, existing tenant can and will force management to initiate foreclosing against a property for outstanding mf as they would definitely not want to be burdened by unperforming flippers

3) Condos that are not family orientated, or for own stay purpose will attract subprime renters (maipren, habibis), reducing resale value of properties in prime locations. This is not to say that rental yield will be bad, its just tougher to off load the property to someone else who is looking for long term stay. Cost of repairing the house might go out due to irresponsible bad tenants.

4) Salary growth will be muted in the future as more jobs are being taken up by upcoming markets and also automation of most jobs that can be replaced by robots etc.

5) Low upside in O&G, Banking and other high income jobs will further put pressure on the high end market in the foreseeable future which will cascade down towards the mid range as existing condo-owners will not have much room for price appreciation as the high end markets are rather muted. with existing condos going for more than 450/sqft in the past 2-3 years, a 1000-1400sq ft house will cost 450k-630k before even calculating interest and maintenance cost that has been incurred for the next 5-10 years. Therefore even if the condo-owner is able to dispose it off at a 30-40% increase in property price, end of the day the discounted cash flow coming in 10 years later on will probably be even lower than just saving up the cash and investing in alternative investment such as REITs, mutual funds or businesses etc.

6) Just assuming every couple in Malaysia have a minimum combined income of 6k nett with no other commitments, they would still be hard pressed to afford any property above 600-700k.

Just my 5 cents on this. For property surplus to be fully consumed by 2020 is a rather optimistic presumption.  Especially for those UUU hardliners.
*
house price will never reduce, for new houses, if house price drop, so does the size, so in the end price per sqft is still more expensive.

reason is simply because 1.inflation 2.subsidies removed 3.ringgit drop 4.increased material cost 5.GST 6.more undertable required to acquire land 7.increased minimum wage. and now we have Steel Tax on imported Steel forcing builders to either pay for the tax, or source steel locally at exorbitant price.


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post Apr 17 2017, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 17 2017, 11:43 PM)
guys, stop dreaming about property bubble.

sure, middle income group will suffer, but u need to know who holds the majority of properties in Malaysia.

it's the businessman & tycoons, also kronnies & gomen servants.

before they go down, they would have sucked as much money as possible from society and you would go down before them, for example making the economy crash.

sure by that time comes, many people will be forced to dump their properties, but you will also be unable to purchase them because local economy has slumped too much to buy a house.

for those businessman & kronnies, the money they sucked in by sacrificing the country's economy will allow them to hold on to their properties, and as property price collapse, they have more funds to sapu these properties.

when economy recover, we will see even bigger disparity between super rich vs commoners.

just look at 1997. the rich became richer. those that suffer, are middle class people & small time businessman. those on top will not get affected because they will use the country as a shield.

unless u have a way to stash ur ringgit in foreign banks, maybe by the time ringgit collapse u have more money to make purchase. if ur money is in Malaysia, forget about it.
*
According to a wealth report, only about 3% of adults in the kangkong land has over us$100k net worth. To the rich, investment opportunity is not limited to kv property.

According to a recent bnm report, only about 6% of people have enough saving for 6 months of living expenses.

Most bought new launch because of low entry cost. Most wannabes lack holding power and if current market sentiment persists, many will end up in foreclosure.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 17 2017, 11:59 PM
TSicemanfx
post Apr 17 2017, 11:58 PM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 17 2017, 11:48 PM)
house price will never reduce, for new houses, if house price drop, so does the size, so in the end price per sqft is still more expensive.

reason is simply because 1.inflation 2.subsidies removed 3.ringgit drop 4.increased material cost 5.GST 6.more undertable required to acquire land 7.increased minimum wage. and now we have Steel Tax on imported Steel forcing builders to either pay for the tax, or source steel locally at exorbitant price.
*
House price did dropped in 1997. House price is normally drop from foreclosure.

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post Apr 18 2017, 12:00 AM

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now only flippers realize they have taken significant losses. padan muka

now developers and government are focusing on affordable housing.

price will come down
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:01 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 17 2017, 11:43 PM)
guys, stop dreaming about property bubble.

sure, middle income group will suffer, but u need to know who holds the majority of properties in Malaysia.

it's the businessman & tycoons, also kronnies & gomen servants.

before they go down, they would have sucked as much money as possible from society and you would go down before them, for example making the economy crash.

sure by that time comes, many people will be forced to dump their properties, but you will also be unable to purchase them because local economy has slumped too much to buy a house.

for those businessman & kronnies, the money they sucked in by sacrificing the country's economy will allow them to hold on to their properties, and as property price collapse, they have more funds to sapu these properties.

when economy recover, we will see even bigger disparity between super rich vs commoners.

just look at 1997. the rich became richer. those that suffer, are middle class people & small time businessman. those on top will not get affected because they will use the country as a shield.

unless u have a way to stash ur ringgit in foreign banks, maybe by the time ringgit collapse u have more money to make purchase. if ur money is in Malaysia, forget about it.
*
They are already sucking out the money, but not investing in local properties. Black money are all brought overseas and invested in safe haven places like US, UK, Australia, France etc.

Who ask you to get stucked in a rat race? When times are good now you should be hustling instead of slaving off working in a day job. There are many ways of alternative investment u can do now, Mutual funds, money games, quick hit investment, forex exchange (self-trade or master trader account tagging), uber/grab around etc. Ride the wave as you go, dont fight the wave. Ikan bilis like us will have to ride the wave first to gain more before we can be the wave maker.

Property bubble have been floating around since 2012/2013. Why?
Because at that time, people were used to market prices of 150-250/sqft house prices. And that is landed property.
When prices went out of their comfort range, many people thought that prices way beyond normal affordability, hence the hope it will crash.

We laugh at our neighbours (singapore) for their pigeon hole housing. Look at KV now, its a swift nest housing market now.
Now when prop prices are going at 450-600/sqft, and easily up to 700-900/sqft if its near a Mall or MRT station, when the market crashes, its not going to go back to 150-250/sqft. the new norm will be 300-350sqft and appreciate from there onwards. at 300-350/sqft price, people would rather buy then rent, hence reversing the bubble pop.

Easier way to put it is petrol prices. Ignore world market prices of oil. we were so used to RM1.30-1.60/L of petrol back then. Whenever there was a price hike above 1.60/L, example a 10sen hike, people would be bee lining at petrol stations to fill up their tank. After a market adjustment of prices beyond RM2 and above, now with a weekly price adjustment of 3-8sens, rarely u can see petrol station having such a huge line like before. Rm2 is the new norm for petrol price and people have adjusted to that. Now if it goes below RM2, people are going to say its cheap as compared to before.
Similar theory applies to property market.

After every bubble price will still trend at a higher high and higher lows.

This post has been edited by ZenGTMM: Apr 18 2017, 12:07 AM


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SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 12:10 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 17 2017, 11:58 PM)
House price did dropped in 1997. House price is normally drop from foreclosure.
*
yes dropped, but most commoners have no money to buy even at low price, only the super rich & kronnies have sufficient wealth to sapu the properties, this is why you see, after 1997, house ownership for commoners has fallen even more while the rich continues to own more and more properties despite the "falling value" of properties throughout 2010's.

always remember property price drops when economy is not good, and when economy is not good, the value of ur money also drops.

if not, why people don't sapu all the landed properties sold at rm60k like 30 years back? it's cheap right? and with the salary vs house price, most people can actually afford 2-3 houses with a mean salary of rm3k. takes less than 5 years to finish the loan for 1 house. by the time u reach 40, you should be able to own at least 5 properties.

but why, people back then average own at most 1-2 houses? coz they cannot forsee properties skyrocketing?

why people don't buy classic sports car back when it was only rm100k? if they bought them back then, would have worth rm300k now.

simple. they can't afford it.
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:11 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Apr 18 2017, 12:00 AM)
now only flippers realize they have taken significant losses. padan muka

now developers and government are focusing on affordable housing.

price will come down
*
True with PR1MA and affordable projects coming up here and there, those current renters who couldnt afford to buy property at current prices will move on to the cheaper affordable property. More units are going to be vacant and putting more pressure on people who especially those leveraged on multiple property. Vacant unit surplus up, rent goes down. Rent goes down, cashflow will be squeezed. We dont need so many foreclosure. Just a 4-5% of existing units in the market will be enough to cause panic in the market. Just a 5-7% in unemployment rate among city dwellers will be enough to trigger panic in the market.
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:13 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 13 2017, 12:23 AM)
Economic recession is not the end of the world, about 90% of people will still have jobs; these people could afford regular lifestyle. visiting shopping malls is a favourite and cheap pass time for many, selected shopping malls are packed during weekends and holidays regardless beside we are not yet in economic recession.

kv property bubble was fueled by cheap and easy credit, a fallout of us qe. as income didn't rise in line or faster, the inflated property is not sustainable. long term equilibrium always prevailed. so either property price will drop or stagnant to wait for inflation to catch up.

most of those ride the bullrun will end up worst off than the beginning. more money to be made during economic recession.

believe many income didn't rise as expected, with more property vp, those highly geared will be financially stressed. any increase bank interest rate will almost tip them over.

our gomen re-base the statistics every few years, it is possible to find gdp contraction or larger than reported contraction a few quarters after, so don't be so hopeful the gomen will declare economic recession unless our neighbours have declared first.
*
90%?

dude, back in 1997, the country still have strong reserves.

now 2017, Malaysia is close to red. many business already moved out of the country, many are downsizing, retrenchment going on for few years and now affecting downstreams. many people are jobless. not because they cannot find job, but because business are closing down.

this time it's no play play, i doubt Malaysia economy can ever get back on it's feet.

the only way is to sell the country to the only buyer: China.

hopefully China should be able to revitalize local economy if it plans to use Malaysia as a strategic military outpost. like how USA is doing with Taiwan & South Korea.

in the mean time, i can't imagine how Malaysia can recover on it's own. we're on our last legs. with Crude oil supplies falling, we have little left with our blessed natural resources.
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:16 AM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Apr 18 2017, 12:01 AM)
They are already sucking out the money, but not investing in local properties. Black money are all brought overseas and invested in safe haven places like US, UK, Australia, France etc.

Who ask you to get stucked in a rat race? When times are good now you should be hustling instead of slaving off working in a day job. There are many ways of alternative investment u can do now, Mutual funds, money games, quick hit investment, forex exchange (self-trade or master trader account tagging), uber/grab around etc. Ride the wave as you go, dont fight the wave. Ikan bilis like us will have to ride the wave first to gain more before we can be the wave maker.

Property bubble have been floating around since 2012/2013. Why?
Because at that time, people were used to market prices of 150-250/sqft house prices. And that is landed property.
When prices went out of their comfort range, many people thought that prices way beyond normal affordability, hence the hope it will crash.

We laugh at our neighbours (singapore) for their pigeon hole housing. Look at KV now, its a swift nest housing market now.
Now when prop prices are going at 450-600/sqft, and easily up to 700-900/sqft if its near a Mall or MRT station, when the market crashes, its not going to go back to 150-250/sqft. the new norm will be 300-350sqft and appreciate from there onwards. at 300-350/sqft price, people would rather buy then rent, hence reversing the bubble pop.

Easier way to put it is petrol prices. Ignore world market prices of oil. we were so used to RM1.30-1.60/L of petrol back then. Whenever there was a price hike above 1.60/L, example a 10sen hike, people would be bee lining at petrol stations to fill up their tank. After a market adjustment of prices beyond RM2 and above, now with a weekly price adjustment of 3-8sens, rarely u can see petrol station having such a huge line like before. Rm2 is the new norm for petrol price and people have adjusted to that. Now if it goes below RM2, people are going to say its cheap as compared to before.
Similar theory applies to property market.

After every bubble price will still trend at a higher high and higher lows.
*
high risk high return, you invest in mutual funds or FD, you get low risk but low return that can't even cover inflation & ringgit drop.

u invest in quick hit investment? good luck.

Forex? wow. you actually believe in it. OK if i had the money back when ringgit was 2:1 sgd, i might have stashed my money in Singapore. but hey it's not too late, soon it'd be 1:4. depends if you have the heart to bear with the high exchange rate right now 1:3
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 12:10 AM)
yes dropped, but most commoners have no money to buy even at low price, only the super rich & kronnies have sufficient wealth to sapu the properties, this is why you see, after 1997, house ownership for commoners has fallen even more while the rich continues to own more and more properties despite the "falling value" of properties throughout 2010's.

always remember property price drops when economy is not good, and when economy is not good, the value of ur money also drops.

if not, why people don't sapu all the landed properties sold at rm60k like 30 years back? it's cheap right? and with the salary vs house price, most people can actually afford 2-3 houses with a mean salary of rm3k. takes less than 5 years to finish the loan for 1 house. by the time u reach 40, you should be able to own at least 5 properties.

but why, people back then average own at most 1-2 houses? coz they cannot forsee properties skyrocketing?

why people don't buy classic sports car back when it was only rm100k? if they bought them back then, would have worth rm300k now.


simple. they can't afford it.
*
Valid question. Because everyone ignore the higher high and higher low theory.

Do u know before the year 2001,
1) the maximum loan tenure is only 20 years? 25 years for fresh grads.
2) Maximum loan installment amount is only 30% of your gross salary?
3) People are very geared towards a landed property instead of condo?

Fast forward to 2016
1) max loan tenure at 35 years.
2) max loan installment up to 80% DSR ratio. It went from 30% of gross salary to 50% of gross to 65% of gross and now 80% of DSR?
3) People now are adjusted to the mentality that landed in KV is too expensive and the new generation is too focused on lifestyle activities and are attracted by facilities offered by condos etc. Plus landed props are in such short supply, rich people see it as a statement of wealth to own a landed unit, hence the constant price increase for landed units.
SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Apr 18 2017, 12:11 AM)
True with PR1MA and affordable projects coming up here and there, those current renters who couldnt afford to buy property at current prices will move on to the cheaper affordable property. More units are going to be vacant and putting more pressure on people who especially those leveraged on multiple property. Vacant unit surplus up, rent goes down. Rent goes down, cashflow will be squeezed. We dont need so many foreclosure. Just a 4-5% of existing units in the market will be enough to cause panic in the market. Just a 5-7% in unemployment rate among city dwellers will be enough to trigger panic in the market.
*
those PR1MA & affordable projects are targetted to the poor income group, mainly Malays & Indians.

while those current on market are still targeted towards middle income group, and you can say Chinese.

those that invested in poor areas will suffer but they also bought their units not so expensive. their units will still be desirable for those that can afford because no way Prima will be better in terms of living condition.

these are targeted to the 10% hardcore poor. you still have the rest of the 90% population.
SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 12:24 AM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Apr 18 2017, 12:19 AM)
Valid question. Because everyone ignore the higher high and higher low theory.

Do u know before the year 2001,
1) the maximum loan tenure is only 20 years? 25 years for fresh grads.
2) Maximum loan installment amount is only 30% of your gross salary?
3) People are very geared towards a landed property instead of condo?

Fast forward to 2016
1) max loan tenure at 35 years.
2) max loan installment up to 80% DSR ratio. It went from 30% of gross salary to 50% of gross to 65% of gross and now 80% of DSR?
3) People now are adjusted to the mentality that landed in KV is too expensive and the new generation is too focused on lifestyle activities and are attracted by facilities offered by condos etc. Plus landed props are in such short supply, rich people see it as a statement of wealth to own a landed unit, hence the constant price increase for landed units.
*
i'm sorry, supply vs demand, as population keeps increasing and with the influx of millions of foreigners, and people gathering more on big cities, i cannot see how properties price will collapse.

it may drop, but still to a level where it's still considered high. because the inflation in house price has went out of control for the past few years. and together with increased building cost & profit margin, no way developers will lower the price "significantly".

KL land is almost full, so the amount of houses/condos you can build is limited. which will act as the limit stopper.

and with more and more companies closing down on smaller states, you expect more people moving into bigger cities.

House price may drop, but it will never collapse, and will still remain as unfordable for most. only those hardcore poors would consider moving to Pr1ma.
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:30 AM

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So when is the best time to buy???
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post Apr 18 2017, 12:36 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 12:13 AM)
90%?

dude, back in 1997, the country still have strong reserves.

now 2017, Malaysia is close to red. many business already moved out of the country, many are downsizing, retrenchment going on for few years and now affecting downstreams. many people are jobless. not because they cannot find job, but because business are closing down.

this time it's no play play, i doubt Malaysia economy can ever get back on it's feet.

the only way is to sell the country to the only buyer: China.

hopefully China should be able to revitalize local economy if it plans to use Malaysia as a strategic military outpost. like how USA is doing with Taiwan & South Korea.

in the mean time, i can't imagine how Malaysia can recover on it's own. we're on our last legs. with Crude oil supplies falling, we have little left with our blessed natural resources.
*
Well u said it urself. There is no future for current workers to have upside in their salary. How will there be an upside in property prices?

QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 12:16 AM)
high risk high return, you invest in mutual funds or FD, you get low risk but low return that can't even cover inflation & ringgit drop.

u invest in quick hit investment? good luck.

Forex? wow. you actually believe in it. OK if i had the money back when ringgit was 2:1 sgd, i might have stashed my money in Singapore. but hey it's not too late, soon it'd be 1:4. depends if you have the heart to bear with the high exchange rate right now 1:3
*
I never said FD. FD is for stupid people to invest. U can keep a minimal amount in FD as rain cash. The rest should be in higher investment return.

Mutual funds suggestion:

http://www.chokleong.com/2015/05/28/what-i...-last-10-years/

http://screen.morningstar.com/fundsearch/fundrank.html

U can see from here, an annualised return of 12-15%, with lump sum deposit of 100k can give u 330k-444k in 10years.
This is just assuming u do a lump sum deposit, if u factor in monthly contribution to smoothen out the average price of ur units, u can gain even more.

Quick hit investment? Why not? As i said ride the wave. The everpopular money game from Penang is based off on a system advisor that Im using in my real forex account. 20% a month sounds absurd, but put it this way, u take 1k usd put in there, monthly get 20% u take and reinvest into ur unit trust. Nobody ask u to put ur whole life wealth in there.1k USD = RM4.7k. Sounds like big money, but its better off than buying a new car and suffering a depreciation of 15-20k a year. Diversify and ride the wave.

Real world forex trading? Why cant believe? Msians only pandai do MLM. Ask u go study and research urself and trade in real market urself.

babypips, forex.com, fxstreet all provide valuable information on how to trade the market. Learn the basics before jumping on the bandwagon. Learn to paper trade. Everyone wants quick money and when they get burned, they turn back and cry saying its a scam.

U said msia on its last leg and its almost beyond hope of returning. so why not change SGD now at 1:3 and wait for 1:5 later and profit?

U have to learn to look long term my friend.




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post Apr 18 2017, 12:48 AM

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QUOTE(ZenGTMM @ Apr 18 2017, 12:36 AM)
Well u said it urself. There is no future for current workers to have upside in their salary. How will there be an upside in property prices?
I never said FD. FD is for stupid people to invest. U can keep a minimal amount in FD as rain cash. The rest should be in higher investment return.

Mutual funds suggestion:

http://www.chokleong.com/2015/05/28/what-i...-last-10-years/

http://screen.morningstar.com/fundsearch/fundrank.html

U can see from here, an annualised return of 12-15%, with lump sum deposit of 100k can give u 330k-444k in 10years.
This is just assuming u do a lump sum deposit, if u factor in monthly contribution to smoothen out the average price of ur units, u can gain even more.

Quick hit investment? Why not? As i said ride the wave. The everpopular money game from Penang is based off on a system advisor that Im using in my real forex account. 20% a month sounds absurd, but put it this way, u take 1k usd put in there, monthly get 20% u take and reinvest into ur unit trust. Nobody ask u to put ur whole life wealth in there.1k USD = RM4.7k. Sounds like big money, but its better off than buying a new car and suffering a depreciation of 15-20k a year. Diversify and ride the wave.

Real world forex trading? Why cant believe? Msians only pandai do MLM. Ask u go study and research urself and trade in real market urself.

babypips, forex.com, fxstreet all provide valuable information on how to trade the market. Learn the basics before jumping on the bandwagon. Learn to paper trade. Everyone wants quick money and when they get burned, they turn back and cry saying its a scam.

U said msia on its last leg and its almost beyond hope of returning. so why not change SGD now at 1:3 and wait for 1:5 later and profit?

U have to learn to look long term my friend.
*
everyone needs a roof. they can't afford, they rent for life. value still there, just more for rental than sales. the demand will keep increasing, even if locals don't rent, foreigners will, as the country bring in more foreigners, they will replace the poor locals moving to Pr1ma and rent the units these folks left.

houses aren't being built as fast as people moving into the big cities. there will still be shortage of houses.

and what you are encouraging here is take bigger risk for better returns than working a full time job.

i mean if it does u well, good on you, i would not advise people with little knowledge on investment to participate. even mutual funds aren't guaranteed. but sure if it works for you good on you. i would put some disclaimer about the cons & risks too if i were a responsible poster.

unless ur an agent.
Holyboy27
post Apr 18 2017, 12:55 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 12:24 AM)
i'm sorry, supply vs demand, as population keeps increasing and with the influx of millions of foreigners, and people gathering more on big cities, i cannot see how properties price will collapse.

it may drop, but still to a level where it's still considered high. because the inflation in house price has went out of control for the past few years. and together with increased building cost & profit margin, no way developers will lower the price "significantly".

KL land is almost full, so the amount of houses/condos you can build is limited. which will act as the limit stopper.

and with more and more companies closing down on smaller states, you expect more people moving into bigger cities.

House price may drop, but it will never collapse, and will still remain as unfordable for most. only those hardcore poors would consider moving to Pr1ma.
*
Would like some clarification on the bolded statements

1. Influx of foreigners
Blue or white collar?
Intake of blue collar workers is heavily controlled recently after the 6m Bangladheshi workers drama.
With the downward economic trend, are there as many white collar human resources being imported?

2. Are people gathering more in big cities as in moving to stay there on a permanent basis or just during working hours?
Perhaps there may be an increasing trend of people travelling to and fro the big cities from nearby towns, Seremban/Semenyih - KL.

3. What kinds of companies are closing down in smaller states? How many job opportunities did they provide?
I do think that for certain segments e.g manufacturing and plantation, smaller or underdeveloped states/outskirts may actually be more strategic since
- area/ha is relatively cheaper
- local blue collar workers are more easily sourced

4. I'm not sure the hardcore poor can afford Pr1ma.
SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 01:07 AM

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QUOTE(Holyboy27 @ Apr 18 2017, 12:55 AM)
Would like some clarification on the bolded statements

1. Influx of foreigners
Blue or white collar?
Intake of blue collar workers is heavily controlled recently after the 6m Bangladheshi workers drama.
With the downward economic trend, are there as many white collar human resources being imported?

2. Are people gathering more in big cities as in moving to stay there on a permanent basis or just during working hours?
Perhaps there may be an increasing trend of people travelling to and fro the big cities from nearby towns, Seremban/Semenyih - KL.

3. What kinds of companies are closing down in smaller states? How many job opportunities did they provide?
I do think that for certain segments e.g manufacturing and plantation, smaller or underdeveloped states/outskirts may actually be more strategic since
- area/ha is relatively cheaper
- local blue collar workers are more easily sourced

4. I'm not sure the hardcore poor can afford Pr1ma.
*
1.The slowdown of foreign workers just temporary, wait until the heat cool off. it's a minister's cash cow, no way they will let the milk stop flowing.
generally you see more blue collars, which will fill in the void for the low end properties as local hardcore poor move into Pr1ma and other cheaper housing. they won't buy, but they will rent, so the value will still be relevant, as for low end properties people aim for rental gains rather than sales.

locals that aren't bottom 10% will still look for decent properties, and since land is limited, so are their choices even if new properties are being built, still cannot cope with influx of folks moving from other states.

2.Most are, look at CNY & Hari Raya, many folks no longer balik kampung coz whole family including young & old already moved to KL. as small town jobs getting lesser, you expect more people moving into bigger cities. even Penang has lost lots of job opportunities and many are moving to KL. and don't forget, Sabah & Sarawak, many younger people are moving here too. just my place there's quite a few Q plated cars. don't think they plan to move back, due to the place being underdeveloped, and the recent political tension between Indonesia/Phillipines, and also China military vessels. if war were to break out, Sabah & Sarawak will be the main battlefield. so yes, more people will move to bigger cities, and i mean KL or JB.

older people with family may stay in Seremban work in KL, but younger ones won't.

3.Mostly tech companies in big cities are affected, this in turn snowball down to downstream, many operates in smaller town. with operation cost rise with inflation/removed subsidies/increased minimum wage/increased material cost, many business are facing hard times right now, and with smaller town companies, their market is smaller, as such they won't be able to hold too long. manufacturing requires close to port & to clients, if you are in rural place where transportation is a problem, even with cheap operation cost no one will move there, unless China builds a highspeed rail connecting these places. Plantation, maybe, who's willing to work there if not foreigners?

4.Hardcore poor can't afford anything. They #RentForLife.
galkelly
post Apr 18 2017, 01:32 AM

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v20 and the price still havent drop...
TSicemanfx
post Apr 18 2017, 08:59 AM

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QUOTE(galkelly @ Apr 18 2017, 01:32 AM)
v20 and the price still havent drop...
*
Which subsale area or condo are you referring to?

Property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom. And property price drop by foreclosure.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 18 2017, 08:59 AM
ZenGTMM
post Apr 18 2017, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 12:19 AM)
those PR1MA & affordable projects are targetted to the poor income group, mainly Malays & Indians.

while those current on market are still targeted towards middle income group, and you can say Chinese.

those that invested in poor areas will suffer but they also bought their units not so expensive. their units will still be desirable for those that can afford because no way Prima will be better in terms of living condition.

these are targeted to the 10% hardcore poor. you still have the rest of the 90% population.
*
These 10-15% are the ones that are forever renters, feeding the current property owners.
another 20-35% is the young adults, waiting for salary to increase before they can purchase their own house.

QUOTE(0105869784 @ Apr 18 2017, 12:28 AM)
what is money games
*
Quick Return investment scheme. Like JJPTR, Richway etc etc. MLM is old school now. People are not buying into that.

SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(galkelly @ Apr 18 2017, 01:32 AM)
v20 and the price still havent drop...
*
will not drop. price increment will slow down, but since when you actually see something in Malaysia drop price?

Petrol got drop?

Rice got drop?
ZenGTMM
post Apr 18 2017, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 12:48 AM)
everyone needs a roof. they can't afford, they rent for life. value still there, just more for rental than sales. the demand will keep increasing, even if locals don't rent, foreigners will, as the country bring in more foreigners, they will replace the poor locals moving to Pr1ma and rent the units these folks left.

houses aren't being built as fast as people moving into the big cities. there will still be shortage of houses.

and what you are encouraging here is take bigger risk for better returns than working a full time job.

i mean if it does u well, good on you, i would not advise people with little knowledge on investment to participate. even mutual funds aren't guaranteed. but sure if it works for you good on you. i would put some disclaimer about the cons & risks too if i were a responsible poster.

unless ur an agent.
*
Nope. What I am saying is diversify your funds to grow faster than the inflation rate.
I have shown how to get consistent 15% return a year in mutual funds. U will need to target growth orientated funds compared to balanced or fixed income funds. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, so stick to reliable ones. Public Mutual, Kenanga are the 2 firms I invest in. Nothing is guaranteed in life, not even ur job, nor your life.

pros and cons, its up to individual investors to read and research up. A simple rule is the higher the return, the more riskier it is.

QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 01:07 AM)
1.The slowdown of foreign workers just temporary, wait until the heat cool off. it's a minister's cash cow, no way they will let the milk stop flowing.
generally you see more blue collars, which will fill in the void for the low end properties as local hardcore poor move into Pr1ma and other cheaper housing. they won't buy, but they will rent, so the value will still be relevant, as for low end properties people aim for rental gains rather than sales.

locals that aren't bottom 10% will still look for decent properties, and since land is limited, so are their choices even if new properties are being built, still cannot cope with influx of folks moving from other states.

2.Most are, look at CNY & Hari Raya, many folks no longer balik kampung coz whole family including young & old already moved to KL. as small town jobs getting lesser, you expect more people moving into bigger cities. even Penang has lost lots of job opportunities and many are moving to KL. and don't forget, Sabah & Sarawak, many younger people are moving here too. just my place there's quite a few Q plated cars. don't think they plan to move back, due to the place being underdeveloped, and the recent political tension between Indonesia/Phillipines, and also China military vessels. if war were to break out, Sabah & Sarawak will be the main battlefield. so yes, more people will move to bigger cities, and i mean KL or JB.

older people with family may stay in Seremban work in KL, but younger ones won't.

3.Mostly tech companies in big cities are affected, this in turn snowball down to downstream, many operates in smaller town. with operation cost rise with inflation/removed subsidies/increased minimum wage/increased material cost, many business are facing hard times right now, and with smaller town companies, their market is smaller, as such they won't be able to hold too long. manufacturing requires close to port & to clients, if you are in rural place where transportation is a problem, even with cheap operation cost no one will move there, unless China builds a highspeed rail connecting these places. Plantation, maybe, who's willing to work there if not foreigners?

4.Hardcore poor can't afford anything. They #RentForLife.
*
We can forget about hardcore poor. They wont even be able to pay for their rent consistently, so they are out of our target market equation.
The one fuelling this property growth and rent yield is the fresh grad to below 30yo crowd. This is the crowd that wants to stay in the city, enjoy nightlife, after work activities. The urban crowd. They are willing to pay more for rental compared to a 30yo++ who is looking for a permanent property to settle down.
sheahann
post Apr 18 2017, 11:26 AM

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Now so many project from government 200-300k ..
even developer launch project alot below 500k already..
whoever bought prop to flip during property rush 2013-2017 need to keep their property for long time.. by the time wanna sell also OLD already as developer keep on building new condo ..

those bought before property rush already make money. those trapped good luck ..
TSicemanfx
post Apr 18 2017, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 11:01 AM)
will not drop. price increment will slow down, but since when you actually see something in Malaysia drop price?

Petrol got drop?

Rice got drop?
*
In the long term, kv property price increase at about inflation rate. However, drastic property price from in 2011 to 2014 was largely speculative. As income didn't rise inline or faster than home price, it is unsustainable. Property price drop from foreclosure sale.

SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2017, 11:39 AM)
In the long term, kv property price increase at about inflation rate. However, drastic property price from in 2011 to 2014 was largely speculative. As income didn't rise inline or faster than home price, it is unsustainable. Property price drop from foreclosure sale.
*
i'm sorry, salary increment barely caught up with inflation, so in no way salary could catch up with property price increment even under non-speculative environment.

i already said many times, ask urself where ur annual increment come from? from the sky? No. from consumers a.k.a ur own pocket.

you get rm100 increment, but you never realize next year you have to spend rm150 more on your living cost because business will need to increase their price to cover your increased wage, and they will always put a margin to cushion their risk, so end up price increase more than ur salary.

this is how capitalize works. rich gets richer, poor gets poorer. sure there will be rare cases that people rose to success from nothing, but it's like Winning Toto. chances of hitting the jackpot are low.

Property price will never fall. Time to wake up.

The longer the wait the more u end up paying and less quality house you get. which means all these years of hard work meant nothing.
SUSadvocado
post Apr 18 2017, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(sheahann @ Apr 18 2017, 11:26 AM)
Now so many project from government 200-300k ..
even developer launch project alot below 500k already..
whoever bought prop to flip during property rush 2013-2017 need to keep their property for long time.. by the time wanna sell also OLD already as developer keep on building new condo ..

those bought before property rush already make money. those trapped good luck ..
*
hows the quality of these "Low Cost" units? i'm sure to lower the profit margin they have to try really hard to cut cost.

there will be 1st batch of people not realizing this, it will take few years before major problems on these cheap units start to show, by that time, people would realize the mistake they made by choosing cheaper option.
TSicemanfx
post Apr 18 2017, 12:10 PM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 11:45 AM)
i'm sorry, salary increment barely caught up with inflation, so in no way salary could catch up with property price increment even under non-speculative environment.

i already said many times, ask urself where ur annual increment come from? from the sky? No. from consumers a.k.a ur own pocket.

you get rm100 increment, but you never realize next year you have to spend rm150 more on your living cost because business will need to increase their price to cover your increased wage, and they will always put a margin to cushion their risk, so end up price increase more than ur salary.

this is how capitalize works. rich gets richer, poor gets poorer. sure there will be rare cases that people rose to success from nothing, but it's like Winning Toto. chances of hitting the jackpot are low.

Property price will never fall. Time to wake up.

The longer the wait the more u end up paying and less quality house you get. which means all these years of hard work meant nothing.
*
Property price drop is not unprecedented e.g Singapore, Hong Kong, USA, Japan, etc.

Unlike consumer items, most bought property with borrowing. Those bought to flip need to service bank interest monthly. Hence, foreclosure and price drop is a possibility.
TSicemanfx
post Apr 19 2017, 02:53 PM

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http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...-remain-steady/

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...YgfEbO6VAkm3.99

Kv property is on downtrend for eight consecutive quarters. If current market sentiment persists, downtrend is to continue and likely to accelerate.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 19 2017, 02:55 PM
galkelly
post Apr 20 2017, 01:00 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 11:46 AM)
hows the quality of these "Low Cost" units? i'm sure to lower the profit margin they have to try really hard to cut cost.

there will be 1st batch of people not realizing this, it will take few years before major problems on these cheap units start to show, by that time, people would realize the mistake they made by choosing cheaper option.
*
beggar cant be choosy, whatever is cheap now will sapu...
AyamBannedTwice
post Apr 20 2017, 01:06 AM

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Last weekend i pay a visit to 2 well known project in Bangi and Kajang
Both already completed but the sales rate booommm!! Less than 50%
Even worse for the bangi project.. can see in the chart less than 10 unit got buyer
heavensea
post Apr 20 2017, 01:47 AM

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http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...volume-in-2016/

wait die only?
riezzien
post Apr 20 2017, 05:50 AM

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QUOTE(AyamBannedTwice @ Apr 20 2017, 01:06 AM)
Last weekend i pay a visit to 2 well known project in Bangi and Kajang
Both already completed but the sales rate booommm!! Less than 50%
Even worse for the bangi project.. can see in the chart less than 10 unit got buyer
*
can share which bangi project?
AyamBannedTwice
post Apr 20 2017, 06:46 AM

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QUOTE(riezzien @ Apr 20 2017, 05:50 AM)
can share which bangi project?
*
Near to ukm ktm
riezzien
post Apr 20 2017, 07:38 AM

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QUOTE(AyamBannedTwice @ Apr 20 2017, 06:46 AM)
Near to ukm ktm
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tiara imperio izzzit?
t3n
post Apr 20 2017, 07:54 AM

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QUOTE(advocado @ Apr 18 2017, 11:01 AM)
will not drop. price increment will slow down, but since when you actually see something in Malaysia drop price?

Petrol got drop?

Rice got drop?
*
kangkung got drop...
prody
post Apr 23 2017, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Apr 22 2017, 01:03 PM)
According to Prestige Realty Sdn Bhd sales and leasing manager Chris Lee (who closed the deal) the seller who was moving to another area sold the semi-dee at RM2.4 million, lower than his initial asking price of RM2.8 million.

The previous owner had bought the semi-dee for about RM2.2 million seven years ago.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...ampang-selangor

The appreciation is less than 2% p.a compounded, less than bank fd rate. it seems landed property may not be a hedge to inflation.
*
Yeah, property is not a hedge for inflation if you buy it at inflated prices.
kurtkob78
post Apr 23 2017, 11:20 AM

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high rise with price of more than 500k is overpriced property. sure loss
coolstore
post Apr 23 2017, 11:40 AM

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what bank lelong website(s) available?
zerorating
post Apr 23 2017, 11:47 AM

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QUOTE(coolstore @ Apr 23 2017, 11:40 AM)
what bank lelong website(s) available?
*
https://www.ngchanmau.com/
TSicemanfx
post Apr 27 2017, 03:51 PM

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“As it stands, there are more of us from six million in 1957 to 30 million now and [it] is going to be 40 million [in 2050]. But we are going to be an old society. Old, poor, sick, have to work and [many] without children or grandchildren [by 2050],†said DM Analytics Malaysia chief economist Dr Muhammed Abdul Khalid, who spoke at the forum on “Malaysia’s Population in 2050: What Does This Mean Socio-Economically?†yesterday. The forum was organised by the Institute of Strategic and International Studies Malaysia.

Muhammed said Malaysia at present does not have a comprehensive policy to address the issue of an ageing population. He cited a presentation by Unicef Malaysia’s deputy representative and senior social policy specialist Dr Amjad Rabi, which showed Malaysia becoming an ageing nation by 2035, with more than 15% of the population aged 65 and above, compared with 8% now.

He noted that currently there are about 70% of Malaysians — who are about to withdraw their money from the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) — with less than RM50,000 in EPF savings and about 20% having less than RM7,000.

“Young people are also not doing well. Youth unemployment is going up. Even if you get a job, your salary is probably going to be stagnant. Between 2007 and 2015, the job wage growth for graduates was about 2%. Minus inflation, it (wage growth) was negative,†he said.

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mala...hout-children-0

There are far fewer well off people than most expected.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 27 2017, 03:57 PM
kurtkob78
post Apr 27 2017, 03:55 PM

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similar to japan, very low inflation or deflation.

people not breeding due to the high cost of living. furthermore, living with parents
TSicemanfx
post Apr 30 2017, 03:08 AM

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Compared with the main sub-sectors, the residential sub-sector registered a drop of 13.9% and 10.7% in transaction volume and value last year compared with the previous year, respectively.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...rms-market-2016


This was in tandem with the overall market performance for 2016 as property transactions nationwide declined for the second consecutive year with 320,425 transactions worth RM145.51 billion, indicating a 11.5% decrease in volume and 3% dip in total value of transactions from the year before.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...ming-areas-2016

Unless market sentiment change, down trend is expected to continue.

axisresidence17
post May 2 2017, 10:58 AM

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Wow! So now both value and number of transaction is going down? UUU nightmare??

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 30 2017, 03:08 AM)
Compared with the main sub-sectors, the residential sub-sector registered a drop of 13.9% and 10.7% in transaction volume and value last year compared with the previous year, respectively.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...rms-market-2016
This was in tandem with the overall market performance for 2016 as property transactions nationwide declined for the second consecutive year with 320,425 transactions worth RM145.51 billion, indicating a 11.5% decrease in volume and 3% dip in total value of transactions from the year before.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...ming-areas-2016

Unless market sentiment change, down trend is expected to continue.
*
Jliew168
post May 2 2017, 05:18 PM

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bearbearwong how r u ? brows.gif
TSicemanfx
post May 3 2017, 11:21 AM

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KUALA LUMPUR: A property expert has rejected the view that property prices in Malaysia have bottomed out.

Speaking to FMT, chartered surveyor Ernest Chong said he foresaw prices dropping for another two to three years.

He was responding to comments made recently by Sarkunan Subramaniam, the managing director of property consultancy firm Knight Frank.
Subramaniam said in a press interview that the property market had now “seriously bottomed out†and that the market was expected to recover by the end of the year.

But Cheong said property prices could drop more deeply than they did during the 1997/1998 Asian Financial Crisis.

“The cost of living then was still manageable,†he said. “People weren’t struggling as much as they’re doing now and could even afford to save money. It was the banks that were struggling.

He noted that during that financial crisis, residential property values dropped by 36% while commercial property values dropped by 43.9%.

He acknowledged that this was more than the 25% to 30% drop in prices of some properties in today’s market. However, he added: “I believe the percentage prices of properties will drop to levels which are even lower than during the Asian Financial Crisis due to the reduction in consumers’ purchasing power, stagnant salaries, the current economic climate, the goods and services tax and, of course, the oversupply of properties.â€

He said he couldn’t say for sure when prices would finally bottom out, but expected them to go lower than the 1997/1998 levels by the middle of 2018.
He said speculators who bought properties between 2010 to 2014 were likely to be the hardest hit.

“So if you are looking for a home, I would say wait till next year. But be sure to evaluate your financial capabilities. If you can afford a loan, then it might be a good time to buy a home.

“But if you’re in no hurry, it would be better to wait till 2019 or 2020. By then, if prices haven’t bottomed out, they would have reached very low levels.â€

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...ch-rock-bottom/

bbb, uuu!

iGamer
post May 3 2017, 11:33 AM

Toxic ktards probably losers irl
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State (developed state or not)
Location
Property class (luxury or peasant property)

Forecasting property price drop as a whole without really specifying the above 3 important criteria is laughable.
Whilst demands for luxury property has shown huge drop, demand for peasant property around RM300k-400k is in hot demand, price drop? Keep dreaming.
TSicemanfx
post May 3 2017, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(iGamer @ May 3 2017, 11:33 AM)
State (developed state or not)
Location
Property class (luxury or peasant property)

Forecasting property price drop as a whole without really specifying the above 3 important criteria is laughable.
Whilst demands for luxury property has shown huge drop, demand for peasant property around RM300k-400k is in hot demand, price drop? Keep dreaming.
*
When luxury property price dropped near peasants property price, peasants property price will be dropped but at lower rate/amount.

iGamer
post May 3 2017, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2017, 11:37 AM)
When luxury property price dropped near peasants property price, peasants property price will be dropped but at lower rate/amount.
*
Peasant property are mostly small size, no way any true luxury property would go down to peasant price range given the larger size.
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post May 3 2017, 11:53 AM

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QUOTE(iGamer @ May 3 2017, 11:39 AM)
Peasant property are mostly small size, no way any true luxury property would go down to peasant price range given the larger size.
*
how do you classify soho, xoho, studio size? luxury or peasant?

iGamer
post May 3 2017, 11:59 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2017, 11:53 AM)
how do you classify soho, xoho, studio size? luxury or peasant?
*
Yes difficult to truly classify. That's why I wrote "truly luxury" properties in my previous comment, many fake small size properties disguised as luxury product to sell at higher price.... biggrin.gif
The location would be another important price factor for such borderline properties.


axisresidence17
post May 4 2017, 12:19 AM

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Wow! 259k for an auction property sold from around 224k before construction!

http://auctions.com.my/pah/list-details-cu...25288&Key=94008

This post has been edited by axisresidence17: May 4 2017, 12:22 AM
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post May 4 2017, 01:09 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 2 2017, 04:13 AM)
Im not into props, but I have a client who bought Cyberia Town Apartment, 2k sqft for RM350k

Is that the right price? The owner was desperate, but I think he scored a deal. As usual, I don't really keep up with property news because there are so many that I process to care. But this one though... RM180/sqft. 

Built by MK Land (blacklisted by some banks), title is just about to be transferred. He got special exception though, he got to transfer the title directly to him.
*
QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 4 2017, 12:20 PM)
1912.74 sq ft. to be exact after conversion from sqm in the spa

I really dont know man, I did the valuation and the price was above RM550k, it isn't even a lelong... pretty good deal for him.
*
Jliew168
post May 4 2017, 01:13 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ May 4 2017, 12:19 AM)
Wow! 259k for an auction property sold from around 224k before construction!

http://auctions.com.my/pah/list-details-cu...25288&Key=94008
*
Dude that is reserve price ...not incur maintenance fees , assessment which buyer usually need to pay for lelong property ..
kurtkob78
post May 4 2017, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 4 2017, 01:13 PM)
Dude that is reserve price ...not incur maintenance fees , assessment which buyer usually need to pay for lelong property ..
*
you see the reserve value is not to the nearest thousand. This is not first time went to the auction hall.

the previous reserve price should be 288k. If anyone went during the previous auction, confirm will be the winner at 288k. I donno if 288k is good value or not.
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post May 4 2017, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 4 2017, 01:09 PM)

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haha sounds contradictory, but i was surprised too when it was bought at the price. valuation can be off, but at this price... the seller must have been desperate
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post May 5 2017, 08:53 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ May 4 2017, 02:44 PM)
you see the reserve value is not to the nearest thousand. This is not first time went to the auction hall.

the previous reserve price should be 288k. If anyone went during the previous auction, confirm will be the winner at 288k. I donno if 288k is good value or not.
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259k is quite near to the ori dev price though
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post May 7 2017, 11:16 PM

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QUOTE(iGamer @ May 3 2017, 11:33 AM)
State (developed state or not)
Location
Property class (luxury or peasant property)

Forecasting property price drop as a whole without really specifying the above 3 important criteria is laughable.
Whilst demands for luxury property has shown huge drop, demand for peasant property around RM300k-400k is in hot demand, price drop? Keep dreaming.
*
igamer Your dream may have been fulfilled.

Unless pandan indah is exception, believe property in other areas in kv are having similar fate.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 7 2017, 11:40 PM
wild_card_my
post May 8 2017, 10:44 AM

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As a broker who handles multiple cases each day for the past 7 years (I was a banker too)... house price have definitely droppped in many areas.. it used to be that getting the MV to match the selling price was almost impossible unless I beg beg beg hahaha...

now the MV is actually HIGHER than the selling price.

GOod luck guys, you keep on buying and selling ya. hehe
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post May 8 2017, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(iGamer @ May 3 2017, 11:39 AM)
Peasant property are mostly small size, no way any true luxury property would go down to peasant price range given the larger size.
*
It will still drop due to domino effect. First, luxury prop drop then the price will be similar to some of those more expensive mid end properties, then this will cause mid end properties prices to drop and then it will trickle down to those peasant properties. Of course, peasant properties will be the last to drop.

QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 4 2017, 01:13 PM)
Dude that is reserve price ...not incur maintenance fees , assessment which buyer usually need to pay for lelong property ..
*
Check d terms and conditions, some lelong units the previous outstanding maintenance fee will be absorbed by the bank.
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post May 8 2017, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 8 2017, 10:44 AM)
As a broker who handles multiple cases each day for the past 7 years (I was a banker too)... house price have definitely droppped in many areas.. it used to be that getting the MV to match the selling price was almost impossible unless I beg beg beg hahaha...

now the MV is actually HIGHER than the selling price.

GOod luck guys, you keep on buying and selling ya. hehe
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Do you mean during hot time, you were begging the banks to give the required MV to match the selling price?
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post May 8 2017, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(alchmiya @ May 8 2017, 11:18 AM)
Do you mean during hot time, you were begging the banks to give the required MV to match the selling price?
*
Not the banks, but the valuers. The banks empanel the valuers which are different entities to the banks, to get a 3-rd party valuation of the properties, within reason. Usually they will use past transactions, but during hot times, the prices went up up and up (!!!) that the rencet transactions did not catch up fast enough..

so people were like "well last month someone bought it at RM500k, how come I can't get RM520k valuation for this property?!"

If the valuation doesnt match the selling price, that is fine, the house can still be sold/bought but the loan will be based on which ever is lower, either the MV or the selling price... so if the property was sold at RM520k, but the MV was only RM500k, loan would be given based on the RM500k.. there will be a shortfall and the buyer will have to fork out more cash...

This is the dangers of subprime cirisis. That is why I love it when Zeti made it difficult to borrow money, because the easy of credit will only make the house price go uncontrolably higher. I'm a good broker, I don't need speculation to drive sales because my services are tip-top. I would find it more difficult to run the business if the market crashes, than if the market is being tightened.
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post May 8 2017, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 8 2017, 11:38 AM)
Not the banks, but the valuers. The banks empanel the valuers which are different entities to the banks, to get a 3-rd party valuation of the properties, within reason. Usually they will use past transactions, but during hot times, the prices went up up and up (!!!) that the rencet transactions did not catch up fast enough..

so people were like "well last month someone bought it at RM500k, how come I can't get RM520k valuation for this property?!"

If the valuation doesnt match the selling price, that is fine, the house can still be sold/bought but the loan will be based on which ever is lower, either the MV or the selling price... so if the property was sold at RM520k, but the MV was only RM500k, loan would be given based on the RM500k.. there will be a shortfall and the buyer will have to fork out more cash...

This is the dangers of subprime cirisis. That is why I love it when Zeti made it difficult to borrow money, because the easy of credit will only make the house price go uncontrolably higher. I'm a good broker, I don't need speculation to drive sales because my services are tip-top. I would find it more difficult to run the business if the market crashes, than if the market is being tightened.
*
Since, you need to "beg", I'm guessing not many are willing to top up the differences even during hot times?
If not, you won't need to beg as buyers will just willingly buy above MV as they think there will be further appreciation.
Is my assumption correct?
wild_card_my
post May 8 2017, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(alchmiya @ May 8 2017, 11:56 AM)
Since, you need to "beg", I'm guessing not many are willing to top up the differences even during hot times?
If not, you won't need to beg as buyers will just willingly buy above MV as they think there will be further appreciation.
Is my assumption correct?
*
Topping out is difficult, since not many have cash in hand, all they are doing is investing using other people's money. And when the credit is easy to get for everyone, you get an inflation. That's why sub-prime crisis leads to a bubble and everyone bought - except for TAN SRI ZETI the heroine.

Buyers would still need to pay the 10% of the price, so they actually believe that the price is "right" but they simply dont have the money to top up, and rely on the bank's money - and my begging the valuers to match the price.
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post May 8 2017, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 8 2017, 12:29 PM)
Topping out is difficult, since not many have cash in hand, all they are doing is investing using other people's money. And when the credit is easy to get for everyone, you get an inflation. That's why sub-prime crisis leads to a bubble and everyone bought - except for TAN SRI ZETI the heroine.

Buyers would still need to pay the 10% of the price, so they actually believe that the price is "right" but they simply dont have the money to top up, and rely on the bank's money - and my begging the valuers to match the price.
*
When the market was hot and price is on uptrend, low risk for valuer to increase valuation.

kurtkob78
post May 8 2017, 01:04 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 8 2017, 12:29 PM)
Topping out is difficult, since not many have cash in hand, all they are doing is investing using other people's money. And when the credit is easy to get for everyone, you get an inflation. That's why sub-prime crisis leads to a bubble and everyone bought - except for TAN SRI ZETI the heroine.

Buyers would still need to pay the 10% of the price, so they actually believe that the price is "right" but they simply dont have the money to top up, and rely on the bank's money - and my begging the valuers to match the price.
*
its unprofessional for valuer to increase the price for sales. Indirectly, valuer also help to speculate the house price higher.

The valuer agency need to be monitored closely to avoid this thing from happening. Impose heavy fines to them
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post May 8 2017, 02:49 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ May 8 2017, 01:04 PM)
its unprofessional for valuer to increase the price for sales. Indirectly, valuer also help to speculate the house price higher.

The valuer agency need to be monitored closely to avoid this thing from happening. Impose heavy fines to them
*
Yes, this is true, the many valuers face sanctions during my time... some were delisted by the banks for giving out outrageous valuation (if bank needs to lelong the property and the valuation did not match the previous valuation, the banks will kena lah)

Nowadays, such a thing isnt an issue, MV is usually higher than the selling price - but that bring about a different set of issues, some of which you smart gentlement ca probably figure out.
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post May 8 2017, 03:51 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 8 2017, 02:49 PM)
Yes, this is true, the many valuers face sanctions during my time... some were delisted by the banks for giving out outrageous valuation (if bank needs to lelong the property and the valuation did not match the previous valuation, the banks will kena lah)

Nowadays, such a thing isnt an issue, MV is usually higher than the selling price - but that bring about a different set of issues, some of which you smart gentlement ca probably figure out.
*
If valuation is higher than transacted price and in the event of default, valuer could be liable.

rizts
post May 15 2017, 12:13 PM

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So bubble already or not?
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post May 15 2017, 12:41 PM

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QUOTE(rizts @ May 15 2017, 12:13 PM)
So bubble already or not?
*
You mean bubble burst already or not? If it has burst we would know.. right now everyone is saying either that we are in an bubble or there is no bubble...

but if it has burst, everyone would be in agreement.
axisresidence17
post May 15 2017, 12:42 PM

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Wow! Thats a drop!

QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 7 2017, 11:16 PM)
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http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...e-earners-dwell
igamer Your dream may have been fulfilled.

Unless pandan indah is exception, believe property in other areas in kv are having similar fate.
*
axisresidence17
post May 15 2017, 12:47 PM

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Id say no burst yet..but its deflating.. so might not burst after all..

QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 15 2017, 12:41 PM)
You mean bubble burst already or not? If it has burst we would know.. right now everyone is saying either that we are in an bubble or there is no bubble...

but if it has burst, everyone would be in agreement.
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post May 15 2017, 01:14 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ May 15 2017, 12:47 PM)
Id say no burst yet..but its deflating.. so might not burst after all..
*
I fully agree, and this is because of BNM's and the ministry's having taken the steps to cool off the market in the past few years with the (re)introduction of the RPGT, the 70% MOF limit on the 3rd residential property loan, the minimum price for the foreigners to purchase their properties, the use of the net income to calculate eligibility vs gross as per previous etc.

When the lending is made more difficult, the market will cool down, and in a way this is good, because better to deflate than to burst.
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post May 15 2017, 01:53 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ May 15 2017, 12:47 PM)
Id say no burst yet..but its deflating.. so might not burst after all..
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Unlike stocks and commodities; property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.

scorptim
post May 15 2017, 02:12 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 15 2017, 01:53 PM)
Unlike stocks and commodities; property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.
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This line should be your siggy man, coz its definitely the most repeated point by you.
wild_card_my
post May 15 2017, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 15 2017, 01:53 PM)
Unlike stocks and commodities; property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.
*
Problem is, properties are usually invested with a loan.. if the price deflates, even for a little, may cause issues for the investor. The bank may even do a margin call and ask for a payment, you don't need to wait for the price to bottom up like shares to face issues.


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QUOTE(scorptim @ May 15 2017, 02:12 PM)
This line should be your siggy man, coz its definitely the most repeated point by you.
*
because there are still have some expect property price to drop like stocks or commodities.

QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 15 2017, 02:23 PM)
Problem is, properties are usually invested with a loan.. if the price deflates, even for a little, may cause issues for the investor. The bank may even do a margin call and ask for a payment, you don't need to wait for the price to bottom up like shares to face issues.
*
That will depend on how strict auditors, bnm and banks in implementing mfrs9 and when they need to provide provision. expect those classified npl won't have an easy way out like previously especially those without individual title.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 15 2017, 03:22 PM
axisresidence17
post May 15 2017, 08:34 PM

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Id expect 800 sqft apartment to be priced around 250( currently around 300k) in major areas and should be cheaper in outskirt areas 1000sq ft around 300k(currently 400k) and landed to start around 500k depending on locations. This cud be the bottom price unless the economy deteriorate further. But then again prices might also stay at the current level before going up again..

Also logically a studio then would perhaps be just around 200k? (Currently they are from 300k to 400k)

I think prices of global oil would hv an impact too, what do you guys think?

1) what is the bottom price if prices weaken further?
2) is the economy looks like its going to weaken further or the worse is over?

QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 15 2017, 01:14 PM)
I fully agree, and this is because of BNM's and the ministry's having taken the steps to cool off the market in the past few years with the (re)introduction of the RPGT, the  70% MOF limit on the 3rd residential property loan, the minimum price for the foreigners to purchase their properties, the use of the net income to calculate eligibility vs gross as per previous etc.

When the lending is made more difficult, the market will cool down, and in a way this is good, because better to deflate than to burst.
*
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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ May 15 2017, 08:34 PM)
Id expect 800 sqft apartment to be priced around 250( currently around 300k) in major areas and should be cheaper in outskirt areas 1000sq ft around 300k(currently 400k) and landed to start around 500k depending on locations. This cud be the bottom price unless the economy deteriorate further. But then again prices might also stay at the current level before going up again..

Also logically a studio then would perhaps be just around 200k? (Currently they are from 300k to 400k)

I think prices of global oil would hv an impact too, what do you guys think?

1) what is the bottom price if prices weaken further?
2) is the economy looks like its going to weaken further or the worse is over?
*
price should follow rumah selangorku. thats afforable. Pr1ma is overpriced shit
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post May 15 2017, 08:47 PM

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I'ld say it has bottomed out, but it's a long long bottom. And becos it's a long long bottom thr r downside risks. I think, atm, house prices r waiting for d "real" economy (importantly, wages) to catch up.
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post May 16 2017, 09:02 PM

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http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/chin...kandar-malaysia

How would china capital control affect property prices?
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post May 17 2017, 05:46 PM

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Heard a well established plc is vss 800 staffs from its property division.

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post May 17 2017, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 17 2017, 05:46 PM)
Heard a well established plc is vss 800 staffs from its property division.
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just annnounced la ... u hear wrong also OK because its kopitiam here
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post May 17 2017, 07:41 PM

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got any arrogant property agents nowadays ?
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post May 17 2017, 07:57 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ May 17 2017, 07:41 PM)
got any arrogant property agents nowadays ?
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I just had to deal with 2 of them recently... 1 was a newbie, the other a senior

For the senior one the property price was 900k, my client ended up not buying at all. He lost out.. the property was on listing since January. Dumb.
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QUOTE(BrokeBack @ May 17 2017, 05:51 PM)
just annnounced la ... u hear wrong also OK because its kopitiam here
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Which company?
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post May 17 2017, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 17 2017, 07:57 PM)
I just had to deal with 2 of them recently... 1 was a newbie, the other a senior

For the senior one the property price was 900k, my client ended up not buying at all. He lost out.. the property was on listing since January. Dumb.
*
Lol. Same. Dealt with 2 agents concerning two different properties. I ended up buying elsewhere. Many are still in dreamland and/or hoping to net many gullible buyers just like the good 'old days'. Both properties have been for sale since middle of last year. No joke. (this was despite my attempts to negotiate with them with realistic figures from NAPIC and not just relying on their 'asking prices' which are just plucked out of thin air. It was futile, like talking to a brick wall)

This post has been edited by timo1003: May 17 2017, 11:24 PM
alchmiya
post May 18 2017, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(timo1003 @ May 17 2017, 11:18 PM)
Lol. Same. Dealt with 2 agents concerning two different properties.  I ended up buying elsewhere. Many are still in dreamland and/or hoping to net many gullible buyers just like the good 'old days'. Both properties have been for sale since middle of last year. No joke. (this was despite my attempts to negotiate with them with realistic figures from NAPIC and not just relying on their 'asking prices' which are just plucked out of thin air. It was futile, like talking to a brick wall)
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May I know which area? Condo or landed?
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post May 18 2017, 02:04 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ May 15 2017, 08:34 PM)
Id expect 800 sqft apartment to be priced around 250( currently around 300k) in major areas and should be cheaper in outskirt areas 1000sq ft around 300k(currently 400k) and landed to start around 500k depending on locations. This cud be the bottom price unless the economy deteriorate further. But then again prices might also stay at the current level before going up again..

Also logically a studio then would perhaps be just around 200k? (Currently they are from 300k to 400k)

I think prices of global oil would hv an impact too, what do you guys think?

1) what is the bottom price if prices weaken further?
2) is the economy looks like its going to weaken further or the worse is over?
*
I will wait till 800sqft priced at 250k.

Now only can afford property 300k below. So sad.. :0

Any Axis Residence wanna let go at 250k?.. hehe...
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post May 18 2017, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(rizts @ May 18 2017, 02:04 PM)
I will wait till 800sqft priced at 250k.

Now only can afford property 300k below. So sad.. :0

Any Axis Residence wanna let go at 250k?.. hehe...
*
nowadays, rumah selangorku 900sqft priced at 250k
pr1ma, 900sqft priced from 300-340k

i dont think any developers will priced below that range.

the only way u can find discounted props is in auction scene. some are 30-40% below asking price
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post May 19 2017, 07:20 PM

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It will be hard to get axis at 250k but Tasik Height is already asking 285k

http://m.mudah.my/view?q=Tasik+height&ca=9...&ad_id=54907574

QUOTE(rizts @ May 18 2017, 02:04 PM)
I will wait till 800sqft priced at 250k.

Now only can afford property 300k below. So sad.. :0

Any Axis Residence wanna let go at 250k?.. hehe...
*
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post May 26 2017, 05:12 PM

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http://dbv47yu57n5vf.cloudfront.net/s3fs-p..._new_locked.pdf

It seems MK high rise price only raise at 2% p.a. from 2012 to 2016.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 26 2017, 05:12 PM
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post May 26 2017, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 2 2017, 05:18 PM)
bearbearwong how r u ?  brows.gif
*
BearbearWong must be dam busy right now with so many workload coming his way.....same as my friend working in jabatan insolvesi.....young, old, middle age all go by bus load to them thank to the banks credit card.
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post May 27 2017, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(Battlefield1942 @ May 26 2017, 11:26 PM)
BearbearWong must be dam busy right now with so many workload coming his way.....same as my friend working in jabatan insolvesi.....young, old, middle age all go by bus load to them thank to the banks credit card.
*
bearbearwong bz with something else now..
Mostly kena credit card now is gen y n gen x.. Good to serve them a lesson don't spend future money
. Credit card debt no big deal la, they credit limit normally won't that high and bank can't sue them for bankruptcy. They should contact akpk or bank to restructure the payment to keep a good record
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post May 27 2017, 09:47 AM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 27 2017, 09:38 AM)
bearbearwong  bz with something else now..
Mostly kena credit card now is gen y n gen x.. Good to serve them a lesson don't spend future money
. Credit card debt no big deal la,  they credit limit normally won't that high and bank can't sue them for bankruptcy. They should contact akpk or bank to restructure the payment to keep a good record
*
I actually like Zeti's initiative to control the credit - mortgages, credit cards, etc. Now there is a limit to the maximum cc limit you can get, about 2x of your gross perhaps?
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post May 27 2017, 09:50 AM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ May 27 2017, 09:47 AM)
I actually like Zeti's initiative to control the credit - mortgages, credit cards, etc. Now there is a limit to the maximum cc limit you can get, about 2x of your gross perhaps?
*
I don't know coz not in banking line.. I only use those cc that have cash back or special discount
kevyeoh
post May 27 2017, 12:36 PM

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How you know a lot of ppl kena credit card issue?

QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 27 2017, 09:38 AM)
bearbearwong  bz with something else now..
Mostly kena credit card now is gen y n gen x.. Good to serve them a lesson don't spend future money
. Credit card debt no big deal la,  they credit limit normally won't that high and bank can't sue them for bankruptcy. They should contact akpk or bank to restructure the payment to keep a good record
*
Battlefield1942
post May 27 2017, 02:22 PM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ May 27 2017, 12:36 PM)
How you know a lot of ppl kena credit card issue?
*
Meet some of them from jabatan insolvesi while they attended course in putrajaya last month for the new act. Just chitchat during lunch break and to my suprise - their workload double since last year! Thanks to the bank who push their problem to jabatan insolvesi. The funny joke with them - hutang along, kenal potong telinga, hidung atau jari, hutang bank - potong gaji saja. Tak bayar - potong credit! Most of the time, we will think those who speculate on house price will get it but this group usually are much smarter and won;t be careless with the bank like waiting for it to default otherwise their credit rating gone down hill and their borrowing rate gone up! To get a loan for a few houses required some solid financial background and won;t be easy to fall but if they fall into jabatan insolvesi. It usually is too big the amount. One of them = 1000 credit card case! I learn from them, our financial rating from CTOS and those like service are important. Keep it clean.

This post has been edited by Battlefield1942: May 27 2017, 02:25 PM
TSicemanfx
post May 31 2017, 11:52 PM

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According to Deutsche Bank’s Mapping the World’s Price 2017 study on the quality of life in 47 countries, Kuala Lumpur is just one place from the bottom – as reported in The Malay Mail Online.

The survey also found residents in Kuala Lumpur to be 13% poorer than last year; with the average salary dropping to US$987 (about RM4279) per month. In comparison, it was US$1,136 (about RM4925) last year.

Falling 14 places down the ladder this year, the city is now beneath Mumbai and Jakarta. In contrast, Wellington was the top city in the index while the last spot went to Manila in the Philippines.

Dragging down KL’s score was its climate, which took last spot in the entire survey. It fared marginally better in the area of safety, where it took the 43rd place. It was 39th for healthcare and 38th for pollution.

http://www.humanresourcesonline.net/averag...-nearly-rm4280/

Mean consumers spending and disposable income could be lowered this year; negative market sentiment persists.

TSicemanfx
post Jun 2 2017, 04:12 AM

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PETALING JAYA (May 30): Looks like more property owners are losing their holding power as 1Q2017 has seen a rise in the number of residential properties put up for auction in the country.

The number of residential properties that went under the hammer in 1Q2017 surged 14.4% to 6,225 cases worth RM1.78 billion from 5,442 cases worth RM1.375 billion registered in the same period a year ago, according to data compiled by AuctionGuru.com.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...14-y-o-y-1q2017

axisresidence17
post Jun 5 2017, 10:22 AM

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14 percent! Wow!

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jun 2 2017, 04:12 AM)
PETALING JAYA (May 30): Looks like more property owners are losing their holding power as 1Q2017 has seen a rise in the number of residential properties put up for auction in the country.

The number of residential properties that went under the hammer in 1Q2017 surged 14.4% to 6,225 cases worth RM1.78 billion from 5,442 cases worth RM1.375 billion registered in the same period a year ago, according to data compiled by AuctionGuru.com.

http://www.theedgeproperty.com.my/content/...14-y-o-y-1q2017
*
kurtkob78
post Jun 5 2017, 10:26 AM

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sales of property in primary and secondary market decreasing in double digits

while sales of auction properties increase in double digits.

soon. sales of auction properties is more than all
wild_card_my
post Jun 7 2017, 10:43 AM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jun 5 2017, 10:26 AM)
sales of property in primary and secondary market decreasing in double digits

while sales of auction properties increase in double digits.

soon. sales of auction properties is more than all
*
Property game is so illiquid... Im sure plenty ex-owners of the properties that got auctioned off actually wanted to let them go at cheaper prices, but couldn't due to the slow nature of getting a buyer, the mortgage approvals, and the process of transfer.

Eventhough im in the industry I would not recommend buying properties just for the sake of it.
axisresidence17
post Jun 8 2017, 08:48 AM

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Auctioned unit mostly sold at reserve price!

http://auctions.com.my/pah/info-recentlysold.asp
tohca
post Jun 8 2017, 07:32 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Jun 8 2017, 08:48 AM)
Auctioned unit mostly sold at reserve price!

http://auctions.com.my/pah/info-recentlysold.asp
*
Thanks, that's very useful site.
TSicemanfx
post Jun 9 2017, 01:23 PM

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As for the residential sector, the Klang Valley has an overhang in condominiums priced from RM500,000 onwards and this figure is rising.

Referring to the Malaysian House Price Index which includes all types of residentials, Napic director Khuzaimah Abdullah says double-digit growth – seen in 2011 right until 2013 – are not sustainable. From 2013 onwards until the third quarter of 2016, annual growth rate was between 7% and 9.6%, which is still high. It was only in the last quarter of 2016 that saw growth at 5.5%.

Government’s role

Despite the high overhang rate, the government will be increasing the stamp duty rate from 3% to 4% for properties costing RM1mil and above effective Jan 1, 2018.

The rate rise may actually see more sales in this segment, Zailan says. Investors may say this is not the right time to raise stamp duty but this move may spur the well heeled to bring out their cheque book to order to avoid higher taxes next year, she says.

Although there were issues about the office, retail and residential sector, the day’s focus was the short supply of affordable housing and the difficulties getting on the house ownership ladder.

While the government is doing all it can by way of subsidies, there is another view that the government can resolve the issue by taking another trajectory.

Khazanah Research Institute research director Dr Suraya Ismail is of the view that if just one government-linked company (GLC) were to price units reasonably, prices will come down considering that both federal and state governments are large land owners.

“If one developer, hopefully a GLC, were to built units with built-up of between 1,200 and 1,500 sq ft in places like Shah Alam and price them at about RM250,000 each, prices will go down,†Suraya says.

“Most of the GLCs have gone into the property market. If one or two were to do this, prices will come down. The move has to begin with the GLCs,†she says.

Suraya says there has to be a strong resolve on the part of the government to do this. Healthy profit margins are still possible, she says. The public and private sectors must have the political will to modernise construction methods that cut labour and construction time.

http://www.krinstitute.org/Read-@-Too_Much...h.pEM2zy6e.dpuf

TSicemanfx
post Jun 19 2017, 05:52 PM

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The ratio of new and repeated auction cases was about 50% in 1Q2017.

http://dbv47yu57n5vf.cloudfront.net/s3fs-p...tep_pullout.pdf

mean many 1st auction has no bidder and reserve price is likely to drop.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jun 19 2017, 05:55 PM
TSicemanfx
post Jun 19 2017, 05:57 PM

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A survey by the Real Estate and Housing Developers’ Association Malaysia (REHDA), on the other hand, showed that 72 percent of commercial and residential units remained unsold in 2H 2016 from 71 percent in 1H 2016.

https://www.propertyhunter.com.my/news/2017...inancing-issues
Red_rustyjelly
post Jun 19 2017, 05:59 PM

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please bubble, i want to see all BBB and UUU unite.
axisresidence17
post Jun 19 2017, 06:52 PM

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Wow! BBB much?

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jun 19 2017, 05:52 PM)
The ratio of new and repeated auction cases was about 50% in 1Q2017.

http://dbv47yu57n5vf.cloudfront.net/s3fs-p...tep_pullout.pdf

mean many 1st auction has no bidder and reserve price is likely to drop.
*
axisresidence17
post Jun 19 2017, 06:53 PM

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Well BBB will continue to BBB 😂😂😂

QUOTE(Red_rustyjelly @ Jun 19 2017, 05:59 PM)
please bubble, i want to see all BBB and UUU unite.
*
tohca
post Jun 19 2017, 07:11 PM

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what's BBB and UUU?
tohca
post Jun 19 2017, 07:16 PM

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Jun 19 2017, 07:40 PM
This post has been deleted by icemanfx because: double posted

TSicemanfx
post Jun 20 2017, 10:42 AM

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Analysts expect long hard recovery for property sector

Tuesday, June 13th, 2017 at , Corporate Malaysia | Property

By IZZAT RATNA

Analysts do not see a fast turnaround in the multibillion ringgit property sector, despite house prices inching slightly higher in some parts of the country.

PropertyGuru Market Index, in its latest report, showed a marginal 0.2% rise in property prices during the January-March 2017 period compared to the final three months of 2016.

According to the portal’s data, property in Kuala Lumpur, Selangor and Johor rose 0.3%, 0.3% and 3.4% respectively, indicating the sector could have turned the corners.

But economists and industry experts said it is too early to predict the end of the property doldrum as uncertainties and headwinds remain despite a strong first-quarter (1Q) economic growth.

SERC Sdn Bhd ED Lee Heng Guie said the upcoming general election, policy changes and uncertain economic indicators are weighing on the country, and dictating the direction of many sectors including property.

He said in such instances, property buyers are reluctant to make “big ticket investments†as the micro backdrop and other economic indicators have always been the catalyst for such purchases.

“Individuals will take into consideration income stability and encouraging signs in the job market before making major purchasing decisions.

https://themalaysianreserve.com/2017/06/13/...roperty-sector/


WhatMan
post Jun 20 2017, 10:53 AM

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Property ain't selling that well here in Miri. Lots of empty shop lots, and even housing area some still not occupants for years. I think some of those developers have lost their mind because they keep making new commercial buildings.

There was this new property sale last year, all house fully booked during launch. Few weeks later, start to see flippers start selling the new house even before it completes.

Few months later, that same developer had to 'relaunch' its property sale again because the first round got many buyer not able to get bank approval.

Visit the property developer office, I see got few units unsold because buyers fail to get loan.

Heh, nowadays you can even rent a new corner lot unit for RM500.
rizts
post Jun 20 2017, 03:52 PM

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Yes, more auction please.
TSicemanfx
post Jun 23 2017, 04:16 PM

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House prices will never go down†is probably what we hear whenever we are told to invest in a residential property. And property developers have enforced that time and again, citing the rising cost of construction and strong demand from a growing population.

However, the latest data from the Valuation and Property Services Department’s Property Market Report 2016 showed that the Malaysian House Price Index (HPI) had in the fourth quarter of 2016 (4Q2016) stood at 243.3 points, down by 1.8 points, or 0.7%, against 3Q2016.

This is the first quarterly decline since 4Q2008, when the HPI contracted by 2.4 points, or 1.83%, to 129 points from 131.4 points in 3Q2008. Since then, the index has been reflecting an escalation in prices, until now.

....

Residential property market yet to bottom
Going forward, Tang says the residential market in all states will remain soft in 2017. He thinks the market has yet to bottom and the soft market conditions will persist for the rest of this year and possibly the first half of next year. He says the decline in the volume and value of residential property transactions only just started in 2013 and 2015, respectively.

https://dbv47yu57n5vf.cloudfront.net/s3fs-p...wres_locked.pdf

At current market sentiment, kv property is expected to be on 10th consecutive quarter of down trend. with more dibs units vp, downtrend is likely to accelerate.


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jun 23 2017, 04:21 PM
axisresidence17
post Jun 24 2017, 06:34 AM

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Wow even the index is decreasing now.. where are all the UUU? Still BBB is it?

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jun 23 2017, 04:16 PM)
House prices will never go down†is probably what we hear whenever we are told to invest in a residential property. And property developers have enforced that time and again, citing the rising cost of construction and strong demand from a growing population.

However, the latest data from the Valuation and Property Services Department’s Property Market Report 2016 showed that the Malaysian House Price Index (HPI) had in the fourth quarter of 2016 (4Q2016) stood at 243.3 points, down by 1.8 points, or 0.7%, against 3Q2016.

This is the first quarterly decline since 4Q2008, when the HPI contracted by 2.4 points, or 1.83%, to 129 points from 131.4 points in 3Q2008. Since then, the index has been reflecting an escalation in prices, until now.

....

Residential property market yet to bottom
Going forward, Tang says the residential market in all states will remain soft in 2017. He thinks the market has yet to bottom and the soft market conditions will persist for the rest of this year and possibly the first half of next year. He says the decline in the volume and value of residential property transactions only just started in 2013 and 2015, respectively.

https://dbv47yu57n5vf.cloudfront.net/s3fs-p...wres_locked.pdf

At current market sentiment, kv property is expected to be on 10th consecutive quarter of down trend. with more dibs units vp, downtrend is likely to accelerate.
*
kurtkob78
post Jun 24 2017, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Jun 24 2017, 06:34 AM)
Wow even the index is decreasing now.. where are all the UUU? Still BBB is it?
*
Thats old news. Napic should publish 1q 2017 data already. From the latest stats, the value sales drop further in double digit
TSicemanfx
post Jun 26 2017, 05:11 AM

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According to BIS, while rising household debt boosts short-term consumption, an increase of just 1 percentage point in the debt-to-GDP ratio “is associated with growth that is 0.1 percentage point lower in the long run.â€

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...nd-sickly-wages

With elevated household debt in the kangkong land, future GDP growth is suppressed.

ed1torz
post Jun 26 2017, 09:36 AM

Обучение на протÑжении вÑей жизни ï
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sales didnt go down; partially true

however, new pricing scheme for landed house range at 400k from developer.... teeheee

buyer win; say goodbye to fllippers range between 500k - 1M; 1M above shouldnt be much affected as those buyer are at comfortable range smile.gif


SUScocbum4
post Jun 30 2017, 09:21 PM

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Fund supermart BBB UUU
US market BBB UUU
Bitcoin also BBB UUU
Next wave will be property BBB UUU
Don't miss out this once in a lifetime chance
Hater gonna hate when everything is BBB UUU
TSicemanfx
post Jul 1 2017, 01:07 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jun 30 2017, 09:21 PM)
Fund supermart BBB UUU
US market BBB UUU
Bitcoin also BBB UUU
Next wave will be property BBB UUU
Don't miss out this once in a lifetime chance
Hater gonna hate when everything is BBB UUU
*
KV property has been on down trend for 9 consecutive quarters and lowest point is not yet in sight. with bank interest rate on up trend, property investment is less desirable. until oversupply is fully consumed, property is unlikely to uuu.

believe most property uuu/bbb are highly geared, worrying of next month loan repayment, lack the resources to invest in other assets class.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 1 2017, 01:07 AM
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 11:53 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 1 2017, 01:07 AM)
KV property has been on down trend for 9 consecutive quarters and lowest point is not yet in sight. with bank interest rate on up trend, property investment is less desirable. until oversupply is fully consumed, property is unlikely to uuu.

believe most property uuu/bbb are highly geared, worrying of next month loan repayment, lack the resources to invest in other assets class.

*
Basically jew are blind to see all other vehicle is sky rocketing recently. Reason is people is very rich now, they have too much disposable income, they dunno what to do with money, very big problem in this world. It doesn't took very long before the rich buy up all the cheap property available in this world. Why did Ayam know it? Because it is kambing.
Red_rustyjelly
post Jul 1 2017, 11:56 AM

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my wife just bought a property from a flipper, market price 465k, he is selling for 395k, want 20% deposit cash.

Want to press lower, but he just dont want biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by Red_rustyjelly: Jul 1 2017, 11:57 AM
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(Red_rustyjelly @ Jul 1 2017, 11:56 AM)
my wife just bought a property from a flipper, market price 465k, he is selling for 395k, want 20% deposit cash.

Want to press lower, but he just dont want  biggrin.gif
*
Pm location Ayam has too much cash now looking for gooding deal.
Red_rustyjelly
post Jul 1 2017, 12:16 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 12:11 PM)
Pm location Ayam has too much cash now looking for gooding deal.
*
the flipper is her friend rclxs0.gif who works in Property line.
All good location, Mont kiara, damansara, denai alam also got.

she was forced to sell because 4 of her other property repayment is overdue.
So she let go one early to do get cash for repayment for her other 4 property.

TSicemanfx
post Jul 1 2017, 12:23 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 11:53 AM)
Basically jew are blind to see all other vehicle is sky rocketing recently. Reason is people is very rich now, they have too much disposable income, they dunno what to do with money, very big problem in this world. It doesn't took very long before the rich buy up all the cheap property available in this world. Why did Ayam know it? Because it is kambing.
*
With increasing oversupply and rising bank interest rate, property is probably one of the last investment, the rich or anyone sensible would be considering.

There is no doubt, the rich are getting richer, the poor remain poor and many middle class to become new poor. according to a wealth report, only 4% of adults in the kangkong land have over us$100k net worth. become a herd member is almost automatic exclude one to be in the elite group.

QUOTE(Red_rustyjelly @ Jul 1 2017, 11:56 AM)
my wife just bought a property from a flipper, market price 465k, he is selling for 395k, want 20% deposit cash.

Want to press lower, but he just dont want  biggrin.gif
*
If the vendor is desperate for cash, need to be extra careful. suggest to pay deposit to lawyer escrow account.

SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 12:24 PM

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QUOTE(Red_rustyjelly @ Jul 1 2017, 12:16 PM)
the flipper is her friend rclxs0.gif who works in Property line.
All good location, Mont kiara, damansara, denai alam also got.

she was forced to sell because 4 of her other property repayment is overdue.
So she let go one early to do get cash for repayment for her other 4 property.
*
Very lich she could have four house and worth 400k each.
Sell one of it she could retire entirely.
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 12:27 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 1 2017, 12:23 PM)
With increasing oversupply and rising bank interest rate, property is probably one of the last investment, the rich or anyone sensible would be considering.

There is no doubt, the rich are getting richer, the poor remain poor and many middle class to become new poor. according to a wealth report, only 4% of adults in the kangkong land have over us$100k net worth. become a herd member is almost automatic exclude one to be in the elite group.

If the vendor is desperate for cash, need to be extra careful. suggest to pay deposit to lawyer escrow account.
*
Jew can continue to rant all jew could, Ayam can never get it wrong, because Ayam is part of the ultra lich group and now Ayam is targeting property, Ayam do not want to mislead anyone, so it is everyone else decision to make any purchase.
TSicemanfx
post Jul 1 2017, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 12:24 PM)
Very lich she could have four house and worth 400k each.
Sell one of it she could retire entirely.
*
Provided are fully paid which is unlikely as she is behind loan installment.

QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 12:27 PM)
Jew can continue to rant all jew could, Ayam can never get it wrong, because Ayam is part of the ultra lich group and now Ayam is targeting property, Ayam do not want to mislead anyone, so it is everyone else decision to make any purchase.
*
If one is in the elite top 4% group won't be in the herd.

SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 1 2017, 01:21 PM)
Provided are fully paid which is unlikely as she is behind loan installment.
If one is in the elite top 4% group won't be in the herd.
*
She is no doubt property millionaire meanwhile jew can only speculate she is unable to pay the debt whistling.gif whistling.gif good luck trying to deceive millionaire.

The peasant has very serious insecurity problem, they cannot think like a top 4% lich elite group, this is why they can always be peasant. thumbup.gif
kurtkob78
post Jul 1 2017, 03:50 PM

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http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...housing-market/

So many property overhang why the riches dont want to buy. Go support before sliding
TSicemanfx
post Jul 1 2017, 05:57 PM

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QUOTE(Red_rustyjelly @ Jul 1 2017, 12:16 PM)
the flipper is her friend rclxs0.gif who works in Property line.
All good location, Mont kiara, damansara, denai alam also got.

she was forced to sell because 4 of her other property repayment is overdue.
So she let go one early to do get cash for repayment for her other 4 property.
*
QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 02:43 PM)
She is no doubt property millionaire meanwhile jew can only speculate she is unable to pay the debt whistling.gif  whistling.gif  good luck trying to deceive millionaire.

The peasant has very serious insecurity problem, they cannot think like a top 4% lich elite group, this is why they can always be peasant. thumbup.gif
*
Flippers tend to maximize loan or over stretched.

Most if not all herd members are peasants.

SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 1 2017, 05:57 PM)
Flippers tend to maximize loan or over stretched.

Most if not all herd members are peasants.
*
No doubt jew can read all the conversation correctly, and even can correctly assume flipper who's maximizing loan, however it didn't make jew any richer. Ayam is very confident the wave is kambing, this time it will make more property millionaire than last time, and leaving the hater gonna hate more.
Peasant will still be peasant with or without herd
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 08:16 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jul 1 2017, 03:50 PM)
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...housing-market/

So many property overhang why the riches dont want to buy. Go support before sliding
*
Everything is BBB already
What are jew still waiting for?
Want to be the anal list who always made a wrong guess?
It is all jew choice
scorptim
post Jul 1 2017, 08:29 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 08:06 PM)
No doubt jew can read all the conversation correctly, and even can correctly assume flipper who's maximizing loan, however it didn't make jew any richer. Ayam is very confident the wave is kambing, this time it will make more property millionaire than last time, and leaving the hater gonna hate more.
Peasant will still be peasant with or without herd
*
Wave come also earliest will be after GE, more likely by next year coz it will take time for the prices to go up right after election. But I do agree it's already a good time to buy if you manage to get a good deal.
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 08:35 PM

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QUOTE(scorptim @ Jul 1 2017, 08:29 PM)
Wave come also earliest will be after GE, more likely by next year coz it will take time for the prices to go up right after election. But I do agree it's already a good time to buy if you manage to get a good deal.
*
Remember building materials is on the rise now, Ayam is expecting the ripple effect will pass down to all the property market sooner than anyone can expect. Ayam do not want to mislead anyone.
kurtkob78
post Jul 1 2017, 08:52 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 08:16 PM)
Everything is BBB already
What are jew still waiting for?
Want to be the anal list who always made a wrong guess?
It is all jew choice
*
Thats you speculating. Read the stats from napic.

Clearly supply more than demand. Sales dropping further. Where do you get bbb from?
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 09:02 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jul 1 2017, 08:52 PM)
Thats you speculating. Read the stats from napic.

Clearly supply more than demand. Sales dropping further. Where do you get bbb from?
*
Jew can be insecure the rest of jew life for all Ayam care.
Ayam can see it clearly, it has never been so excited since 2011, Ayam do not need to convince anyone who trying to be deaf or trying to be blind.
heavensea
post Jul 1 2017, 09:10 PM

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rent for life
yolo
SUSendau02
post Jul 1 2017, 09:11 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 08:35 PM)
Remember building materials is on the rise now, Ayam is expecting the ripple effect will pass down to all the property market sooner than anyone can expect. Ayam do not want to mislead anyone.
*
china is flooding us with cheap steel
powerlinkers
post Jul 1 2017, 09:18 PM

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all of you are insane.Mild correction occurs every decade. Malaysian properties are very lowly priced compared to other ASEAN countries.
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 09:23 PM

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QUOTE(endau02 @ Jul 1 2017, 09:11 PM)
china is flooding us with cheap steel
*
Ayam do not want to entertain kiddo who know nothing about world issues. Property price will BBB in the world wide, peasant had no idea what is going on.
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post Jul 1 2017, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 09:23 PM)
Ayam do not want to entertain kiddo who know nothing about world issues. Property price will BBB in the world wide, peasant had no idea what is going on.
*
aiyo, no need to resort to personal attack. rebut this one lar. i was expecting u to tell us gomen n the steel makers are discussing on imposing import tax on china steel. im VERY disappointed with u
SUSendau02
post Jul 1 2017, 09:39 PM

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http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...housing-market/
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 09:43 PM

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QUOTE(endau02 @ Jul 1 2017, 09:37 PM)
aiyo, no need to resort to personal attack. rebut this one lar. i was expecting u to tell us gomen n the steel makers are discussing on imposing import tax on china steel. im VERY disappointed with u
*
All these small issues is just too uninteresting to ayam.
The wave is kambing, jew can give all the reason for all ayam care, it will has no impact to what is going to happen. whistling.gif whistling.gif
kurtkob78
post Jul 1 2017, 10:08 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 09:02 PM)
Jew can be insecure the rest of jew life for all Ayam care.
Ayam can see it clearly, it has never been so excited since 2011, Ayam do not need to convince anyone who trying to be deaf or trying to be blind.
*
U r spewing nonsense. Napic stats indicated the prop market is in bad state.

Speculate all you want. The data dont lie
SUSendau02
post Jul 1 2017, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 09:43 PM)
All these small issues is just too uninteresting to ayam.
The wave is kambing, jew can give all the reason for all ayam care, it will has no impact to what is going to happen. whistling.gif  whistling.gif
*
wave is coming? http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...housing-market/

yes indeed, it is coming
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:08 PM)
U r spewing nonsense. Napic stats indicated the prop market is in bad state.

Speculate all you want. The data dont lie
*
QUOTE(endau02 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:09 PM)
wave is coming? http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...housing-market/

yes indeed, it is coming
*
Ayam do not need to read napic or belip
the anal list to make decision to buy a house.
Ayam making own decision, did Ayam suceed? Sure Ayam is more success than all the anal list can even imagine
kurtkob78
post Jul 1 2017, 10:24 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:19 PM)
Ayam do not need to read napic or belip
the anal list to make decision to buy a house.
Ayam making own decision, did Ayam suceed? Sure Ayam is more success than all the anal list can even imagine
*
May u go bankrupt soon
SUSendau02
post Jul 1 2017, 10:26 PM

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lol
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 10:27 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:24 PM)
May u go bankrupt soon
*
Too bad Ayam is making a killing from the recent stock run, Ayam has enough money to buy property with cash, Ayam has no reason to not to be licher, hater gonna hate more.
kurtkob78
post Jul 1 2017, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:27 PM)
Too bad Ayam is making a killing from the recent stock run, Ayam has enough money to buy property with cash, Ayam has no reason to not to be licher, hater gonna hate more.
*
So funny. Just go buy the overhang unit

Flippers need your help
SUScocbum4
post Jul 1 2017, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:30 PM)
So funny. Just go buy the overhang unit

Flippers need your help
*
It is very good deal
Ayam very happy to buy
TSicemanfx
post Jul 2 2017, 12:05 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 08:16 PM)
Everything is BBB already
What are jew still waiting for?
Want to be the anal list who always made a wrong guess?
It is all jew choice
*
Many assets class could be uuu but not kv property for the foreseeable future. given current market sentiment, those who are in other assets class are unlikely to consider kv property.

QUOTE(powerlinkers @ Jul 1 2017, 09:18 PM)
all of you are insane.Mild correction occurs every decade. Malaysian properties are very lowly priced compared to other ASEAN countries.
*
House price is cheaper in terengganu and perak but how relevant to kv dweller or comparing with kv? similarly, how relevant if kv property price is the cheapest in asean or even the world? beside, foreigners could only buy property worth over rm 1m.

QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 1 2017, 10:33 PM)
It is very good deal
Ayam very happy to buy
*
uuu/bbb need to support the kv property market else they have only themselves to blame on price fall.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 2 2017, 12:50 AM
SUScocbum4
post Jul 2 2017, 01:44 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 2 2017, 12:05 AM)
Many assets class could be uuu but not kv property for the foreseeable future. given current market sentiment, those who are in other assets class are unlikely to consider kv property.
House price is cheaper in terengganu and perak but how relevant to kv dweller or comparing with kv? similarly, how relevant if kv property price is the cheapest in asean or even the world? beside, foreigners could only buy property worth over rm 1m.
uuu/bbb need to support the kv property market else they have only themselves to blame on price fall.
*
ayam do not need to argue with peasant
ayam already make ayam stand very clear
it is just a friendly reminder to anyone else so they do not ended up to be some of the peasant who miss out the opportunity again whistling.gif
when global property price shoot up due to rising building materials cost, peasant will be themself to be blamed again to beliping the analliar. whistling.gif
and globalisation will affect anyone else despite demographically different.
TSicemanfx
post Jul 2 2017, 06:22 AM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 2 2017, 01:44 AM)
ayam do not need to argue with peasant
ayam already make ayam stand very clear
it is just a friendly reminder to anyone else so they do not ended up to be some of the peasant who miss out the opportunity again whistling.gif
when global property price shoot up due to rising building materials cost, peasant will be themself to be blamed again to beliping the analliar. whistling.gif
and globalisation will affect anyone else despite demographically different.
*
What has property price in San Francisco, cape Town, Nairobi, Nanjing, Jaipur, Bishkek, etc to do with kv? If property price in Dubai, mosul, etc is certain to rise faster and early than kv, why not invest there?

Past 2 years and current data and market sentiment contradict uuu/BBB wishes and prediction. Given current trend to persists, uuu/BBB wish and prediction is more likely will be defied.

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post Jul 2 2017, 08:21 AM

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QUOTE(tankhebeng1 @ Jul 2 2017, 02:13 AM)
I believe bubble is coming soon especially in jb
*
Jb gg.com long time di.. rich ppl not affected poor ppl rent.. middle class pay loans..

Rich become richer.. where are those bbb?
SUScocbum4
post Jul 2 2017, 12:28 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 2 2017, 06:22 AM)
What has property price in San Francisco, cape Town, Nairobi, Nanjing, Jaipur, Bishkek, etc to do with kv? If property price in Dubai, mosul, etc is certain to rise faster and early than kv, why not invest there?

Past 2 years and current data and market sentiment contradict uuu/BBB wishes and prediction. Given current trend to persists, uuu/BBB wish and prediction is more likely will be defied.
*
Because Ayam is lich elite 4%
Ayam do not need to follow what peasant belip.
The last two years is very fruitful years, but for peasant it is a cursed, kek.
axisresidence17
post Jul 2 2017, 01:28 PM

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QUOTE(Red_rustyjelly @ Jul 1 2017, 11:56 AM)
my wife just bought a property from a flipper, market price 465k, he is selling for 395k, want 20% deposit cash.

Want to press lower, but he just dont want  biggrin.gif
*
Wow! Did she go ahead?
TSicemanfx
post Jul 2 2017, 02:08 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 2 2017, 12:28 PM)
Because Ayam is lich elite 4%
Ayam do not need to follow what peasant belip.
The last two years is very fruitful years, but for peasant it is a cursed, kek.
*
Indeed, those peasants that joined the herd is a cursed, likely to end up as a mortgage prisoner.

one knows himself best; whether is syok sendiri, sorrow or happy.

SUScocbum4
post Jul 2 2017, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 2 2017, 02:08 PM)
Indeed, those peasants that joined the herd is a cursed, likely to end up as a mortgage prisoner.

one knows himself best; whether is syok sendiri, sorrow or happy.
*
Flipper is very fruitful this year too
Peasant know nothing about the lich elite 4%
They are peasant will always be peasant.
And peasant do not even have money enough to secure a loan, very pitiful indeed.
TSicemanfx
post Jul 2 2017, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(cocbum4 @ Jul 2 2017, 02:25 PM)
Flipper is very fruitful this year too
Peasant know nothing about the lich elite 4%
They are peasant will always be peasant.
And peasant do not even have money enough to secure a loan, very pitiful indeed.
*
Indeed those who were born in peasants family are likely died as peasants.

SUScocbum4
post Jul 2 2017, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 2 2017, 03:22 PM)
Indeed those who were born in peasants family are likely died as peasants.
*
Ayam feel bad to all jew kids who gonna be peasant
Ayam will make sure they continue to be peasant like jew
Jliew168
post Jul 2 2017, 05:45 PM

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Market is flooded with new low quality launching.. Buy sub sale is good kekeke
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post Jul 2 2017, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Jul 2 2017, 05:45 PM)
Market is flooded with new low quality launching.. Buy sub sale is good kekeke
*
Datuk liew.. my prop here oso drop price leh.. zzz
TSicemanfx
post Jul 2 2017, 08:32 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Jul 2 2017, 05:45 PM)
Market is flooded with new low quality launching.. Buy sub sale is good kekeke
*
Affordable exclude unnecessary facility like gym, swimming pool, etc doesn't mean low quality. However, expect price of those condo mostly bought for investment to converge to affordable apartment level.

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post Jul 2 2017, 09:59 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jul 2 2017, 06:02 PM)
Datuk liew.. my prop here oso drop price leh.. zzz
*
Own stay no worry la... After cheap units sold then price go up again.. Property all time game la
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post Jul 2 2017, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 2 2017, 08:32 PM)
Affordable exclude unnecessary facility like gym, swimming pool, etc doesn't mean low quality. However, expect price of those condo mostly bought for investment to converge to affordable apartment level.
*
New launching with fancy facilities and sell at premium price is crap..now new launching super high density really can't imagine how to stay
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post Jul 3 2017, 12:47 AM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jul 2 2017, 06:02 PM)
Datuk liew.. my prop here oso drop price leh.. zzz
*
For own stay, market price rise or drop is immaterial until it is sold.

QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Jul 2 2017, 10:00 PM)
New launching with fancy facilities and sell at premium price is crap..now new launching super high density really can't imagine how to stay
*
number of units is basically limited by plot ratio. so called high density is because of bigger land area, and many of these were launched before 2015 e.g. 40+ storey high.

Timespace
post Jul 3 2017, 01:11 AM

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What is the average density for new/old condo/apartment?
party
post Jul 3 2017, 01:24 AM

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I don't believe in property crash but the current new property is like sh*t. Low quality as in the worksmanship (not sure this word correct anot), limited parking space, extreme high density (saw one plan where 2 blocks 20-storey each and only got 1 exit and entrance!!). So this kind of property the price will be high in first place but then fall because no sane and logical person in Malaysia would want it.

This post has been edited by party: Jul 3 2017, 01:25 AM
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post Jul 3 2017, 06:14 AM

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Haizz,own stay paid the price... still there will be rich ppl ard
TSicemanfx
post Jul 3 2017, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(party @ Jul 3 2017, 01:24 AM)
I don't believe in property crash but the current new property is like sh*t. Low quality as in the worksmanship (not sure this word correct anot), limited parking space, extreme high density (saw one plan where 2 blocks 20-storey each and only got 1 exit and entrance!!). So this kind of property the price will be high in first place but then fall because no sane and logical person in Malaysia would want it.
*
Property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.

poor workmanship is not limited to new launch or cheaper price unit e.g.
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid...97&id=753417896

residential title couldn't have higher density than commercial e.g. soho, soxo, which were popular during the property bull run. given practicality and stagnant income, those units launched during the bull run is likely to converge to affordable units.

TSicemanfx
post Jul 3 2017, 12:00 PM

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Singapore home prices fell in the quarter ended June, extending the drop in property values to a record 15th quarter as most measures to cool the market remain in place despite a slight easing in March.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...h-curbs-to-stay

Property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.

If property price in land scarce small red dot could drop for so long, what about land abundant kv?

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post Jul 3 2017, 12:12 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jul 3 2017, 06:14 AM)
Haizz,own stay paid the price... still there will be rich ppl ard
*
GVH not good stay meh? That area seem sibeh far away from city.. Every morning fuxking jam towards jalan ampang

Jliew168
post Jul 3 2017, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 3 2017, 11:07 AM)
Property is illiquid, price takes years to bottom.

poor workmanship is not limited to new launch or cheaper price unit e.g.
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid...97&id=753417896

residential title couldn't have higher density than commercial e.g. soho, soxo, which were popular during the property bull run. given practicality and stagnant income, those units launched during the bull run is likely to converge to affordable units.
*
After many years u still same old story leh.... So buy or no buy
TSicemanfx
post Jul 3 2017, 12:21 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Jul 3 2017, 12:13 PM)
After many years u still same old story leh.... So buy or no buy
*
As predicted many years ago, price is still on down trend.

Jliew168
post Jul 3 2017, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 3 2017, 12:21 PM)
As predicted many years ago, price is still on down trend.
*
U are so passive.. Now is good time to buy value subsale

Election is coming, If BN win, gov will have another round of sucking people money and everything will go higher due to inflation..

If pakatan win, u will see another penang model n price will UUUUU
TSicemanfx
post Jul 3 2017, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Jul 3 2017, 03:09 PM)
U are so passive.. Now is good time to buy value subsale

Election is coming,  If BN win, gov will have another round of sucking people money and everything will go higher due to inflation..

If pakatan win,  u will see another penang model n price will UUUUU
*
The world is greater than the kampung; kv property is not the only or best investment opportunity available.

with bank interest rate on uptrend; until oversupply is fully consumed, property is unlikely to uuu.

with more dibs units to vp, subsale price has further to slide.


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