QUOTE(fabu8238 @ Jun 15 2022, 09:45 PM)
Malaysia need not follow as inflation here is lower due to fuel subsidy. They may buy time and watch developments in Ukraine as west seems keen to end the war
I will be very disappointed if BNM do not increase OPR in the meeting next month. If they don't increase, Ringgit will drop further, by how much, i don't know. But, it will definitely drop. With dropping Ringgit, all imported goods (including imported raw materials and fertilizers), will costs more and therefore inflation will rise. Saying that the current inflation is not high and therefore no need to hike rate is backward looking. You need to expect what the future holds and react to the future, not the past. Or else, inflation will spiral out of control.
Yes, Malaysia does indeed subsidize fuel and cooking oil. But, do u really know how the subsidy work? I don't know about fuel oil. But, I know how the cooking oil works. The gov allocate a certain sum of $$ for subsidy. Not by gross weight like xxx tonnes. It subsidizes in ringgit terms. Meaning with Higher cooking oil prices, gov actually subsidizes correspondingly less amount of cooking oil by weight. That is why you have a shortage of cooking oil in the supermarket. You cannot find much stock right? Always out of stock signs.
For me, I believe all these subsidies schemes are INeffective and breed crony-ism and create opportunity for smuggling of these goods to go OUTSIDE of Malaysia.
There is actually a much smarter and easier way to help the lower income group. Just deposit these $$ into the bank account of these lower income group. If they don't have bank account, just do e-wallet depositing. Most people got handphone. If still don't have these, disperse the $$ through the local post office.
It is just a waste of human resources to do all these so call subsidies that are totally INeffective and breed corruption (knowingly or unknowingly). And then send officials to go into supermarket to check if they violated the rules,.. blah blah blah.