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 USD/MYR v5

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limeuu
post Dec 7 2016, 08:01 PM

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There were periods of time in 2011 when it was below 3....
limeuu
post Dec 8 2016, 12:47 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Dec 8 2016, 08:41 AM)
i know i asked this before...........

while those who invested outside heavily can pat theirselves on the back and be smug.....think of the rest who have not.

HOW much do you hedge your net worth in foreign assets  IF you are NOT MIGRATING?
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Half....and comfortable with that level....still need to live and spend here, not migrating....

Going forward, if opportunities arise (ie periods of strong myr), will move more out....just need to keep enough for local spending....rest is cheap overseas holiday money....lol
limeuu
post Dec 8 2016, 11:00 PM

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QUOTE(kit2 @ Dec 8 2016, 08:51 PM)
now that china is bailing out 1mdb, any chance of myr strengthening? what do you all think?
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that "bailout" is mildly positive on the short term....and very negative on the intermediate term....it is not a bailout per se, but a pawning of the country....

don't believe for a minute prc is doing this out of the goodness of their heart....paybacks will be needed, in terms of pawning msian assets and approval of over-priced projects like east coast railway...

eventually prc will want to be paid....and it will come from future taxpayers....including your children....

this cannot be good for the currency in the mid to long term....
limeuu
post Dec 10 2016, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 10 2016, 02:48 PM)
Would gladly change some myr if hit 4.35 as said in previous report..

Sure long que at money changers devil.gif
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No need wait....long queues already at mvm now....
limeuu
post Dec 11 2016, 12:00 PM

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In a way, that's a very msian thing.... raising prices....so there is merit for the old fixed price system....

Other countries prices fluctuates daily....nobody raise prices....
limeuu
post Dec 25 2016, 06:28 PM

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You all should find some Aussie tourists to change with....Mel airport currently gives them myr2.79 for aud1....lol
limeuu
post Dec 26 2016, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(Lcclcc @ Dec 26 2016, 04:32 PM)
I wonder if it's a good move,
to increase leverage(borrow more loan) to invest in property market.

My point is,

Since the ringgit is weak, so in very soon there will be increase in labour(bangla, indon, etc), steel bar prices as well as various construction materials.

There is a good chance for us to get a good property at a discounted price.

If this is a move like "SHORT" ringgit and give us the effect of hedging on currency?
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only works if the property market is real, with little of no speculation, ie the value is based on cost plus....

in a bubble market, price depreciation is real, in spite of currency devaluation....subprime/2008 is a perfect example....

so how much of msia's property market is in a speculative bubble?....
limeuu
post Dec 30 2016, 09:36 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Dec 30 2016, 04:11 PM)
Try looking at Bruneian Dollar. Its holding similar value with SGD and its near you.

whistling.gif
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Eh.....Look at your map lah.... Brunei is just as far as Singapore from kuching....And harder to go, as no direct flight....By road, it's a 12hr journey....
limeuu
post Dec 30 2016, 10:11 PM

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QUOTE(bbgoat @ Dec 30 2016, 03:46 PM)

Coupon rate of 4% is low. I was shown effective returns like 1 to 7.5% depending on maturity and current price. Minimum purchase is like 250k in S$, US$ or A$ though some bonds may be lower. UK pound is 100k.
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 30 2016, 03:51 PM)
there are no $, yen, SGD, AUD bonds that have such high yields like 7%... maybe junk/high risk bonds?
QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 30 2016, 04:44 PM)
No way good rating bond is more than 6% yield

Most I knew are in the region 4~5%.
you will not get high yields on high rating bonds...but semi "junk" bonds with BBB rating can give reasonable yields....coupons of 5-7+%....and can be from strong companies, eg HSBC etc...

however, their prices on the secondary market is of course pretty high, so the effective yield will likely be 3-5% only....

the msian investment banks normally have a minimal purchase of rm250k equivalent...not the foreign currency...

usd is still pretty "cheap" money....and can still be geared....so an option is to borrow to buy....the investment bank will allow 50-70% gearing.. interests is currently about mid 2+%....so by gearing 70%, and choosing carefully, it is possible to bump up the yield to 7-9%.....

i have usd bonds bought when usd was 3.2....coupon 7.5%, bought at 4% premium, geared 70% hence yielding 11%....yields will drop as the usd borrowing cost goes up....
limeuu
post Dec 30 2016, 10:20 PM

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it's callable in just over a year, so it will likely be called, as 7.5% is too high.....
limeuu
post Dec 30 2016, 10:56 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Dec 30 2016, 10:52 PM)
Eh.. check your facts la.  doh.gif  You can fly from Kuching to Miri (direct flight by MAS, AA) and take a cab to Bandar Sri Begawan. Flight 1 hour, taxi ride 1 1/2 hours. If you dont know how to count, its about 2 1/2 hours not including customs etc. Its faster than driving from KL to Singapore and definately faster than flying to KL then to singapore.
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read carefully what i wrote again...

and hello....there are 3-4 direct flights a day between kuching to singapore.....
limeuu
post Jan 1 2017, 05:54 PM

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i believe there is no trading during the weekends, so there should be no movement till the market opens early tuesday morning in nz....
limeuu
post Jan 3 2017, 10:08 AM

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the above chart is difficult to interpret as the scales are different for each currency....
limeuu
post Jan 3 2017, 02:02 PM

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QUOTE(xpmm @ Jan 3 2017, 01:34 PM)


seriously, land is one of the best hedge against inflation and currency drop.
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It is a good way of asset preservation in the very long term window....But because it lags acute events, and very iliquid, so not wise if your window is short....Less than say 5 years....
limeuu
post Jan 4 2017, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 4 2017, 10:08 AM)
The difference here is the Chinese Gov't has emphasized specifically that the foreign exchange cannot be used for the following three types of foreign purchases :-
1) homes.
2) shares.
3) insurance.

So,.. the Chinese can't change money anymore for the above purchases.
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actually...they have prohibited such uses even before....but what is new from this year is, those converting will now need to sign a declaration the money will not be used as such....

not sure how much compliance there will be....how is the chinese gov going to check?...
limeuu
post Jan 4 2017, 10:28 AM

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when i was moving big sums in 2015, i already had to sign a declaration, and give the bank a copy of the s&p of the property i was buying...but no restrictions....was just for the record....my "big sum" is peanuts compared to mo1...

i think if you have legitimate reasons, and your money is "halal", there is nothing to fear....

This post has been edited by limeuu: Jan 4 2017, 10:29 AM
limeuu
post Jan 4 2017, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 4 2017, 10:53 AM)
Blocked....
limeuu
post Jan 5 2017, 08:54 AM

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QUOTE(bbgoat @ Jan 5 2017, 08:40 AM)
Those who must have USD for need especially those parents having children in US.  sad.gif  cry.gif
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not just in the us....uk, oz and nz equally affected....
limeuu
post Jan 6 2017, 10:12 AM

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USD retreating...
limeuu
post Jan 7 2017, 12:34 PM

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QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jan 7 2017, 12:26 PM)
what i understand is that bank do create money, or the illusion of it, through lending. this is of course governed by central lank, controlling the reserve requirement.
i put rm100 in bank. he lends out 80 to bizA. bizA pay out in total 80(expense, profit to owner etc), whch eventually go to bank. then bank lend out  0.8*80....and the cycle flow
given that it's less than 1(100%), the exponential series will hit asymptotic value which control the total money circulating in market. It's much larger than 100 initial money.
isn't that how srr works in adjusting inflation?
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That is correct...And it works the same way whether you carry pieces of paper in your pocket, or a piece of plastic...

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