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 USD/MYR v5

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kopifan
post Jan 6 2017, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Jan 6 2017, 10:50 AM)
USD at 4.47 as of this morning at money changers. However RM still weaker than last week against SGD and AUD.
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NDF:
This morning SGD hit all time high of 3.140 surpassing 3.135 in early Dec '16 cry.gif
AUD high of 3.343 mid Dec '16 remained intact for now (vs recent high 3.297 hit yesterday)
kopifan
post Jan 6 2017, 02:15 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 6 2017, 01:57 PM)
my bank quotes this morning for SGD:

by 3.1645
sell 3.0945

the 2.2% spread sucks big time.

such a terrible spread ONLY with SGD, not USD or others.

i think same for all local banks - too much SGD/RM exchanging going on, banks making a killing.
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some money changers spread only 1-2c like those in MVM, KLCC and Pavilion hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 13 2017, 01:36 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jan 13 2017, 01:00 PM)
Actually I was commenting about the seizure of foreign cash by Malaysian authorities. Not SG. sweat.gif

Need to cash out my RM. But SGD keeps going up. Any idea if it will drop for a short while?
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u want to buy SGD with RM?
PERSONALLY I think this pair will move in tight range over the next 6 months unless 3.140 is breached hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 14 2017, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jan 13 2017, 01:47 PM)
I have to buy SGD if I want to start investing in SG market. Can't just let my money sit inside the Maybank earning only 3.55% pa
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Then is just a question of investing return > negative differential in MYR:SGD between transaction and pre/post transaction hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 14 2017, 09:31 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 13 2017, 01:51 PM)
if u look at SGD/AUD over the last 5 years, they were at parity many times last year.

sg almost fell into recession but rebounded fast, less need for MAS to recalibrate the FX band/slope.

if the economy picks up nicely this year, foreign funds will go back in.

we will then see 3.3x with the RM, like the AUD.
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PERSONALLY I think SGD will test the 3.3 region towards the end 2017 hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 14 2017, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(Mr Gray @ Jan 13 2017, 06:26 PM)
Singapore is unique as it's the only country in the world which has an explicit monetary policy to revalue SGD against its trading partners, primarily to control for inflation. As almost everything in Singapore is imported, it makes sense for them to have this kind of policy. Without a doubt, in the long run, SGD would gradually appreciate against MYR, breaching RM3.5 or even RM4. But how long would it take? 5 year, 10 year? Nobody knows for sure. In the short term, SGD would continue to fluctuate against the MYR.
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PERSONALLY I think 3.5 region is possible next year hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 14 2017, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Jan 14 2017, 10:15 AM)
MYR/SGD depreciated from 1 to 3 over the last 20+ years, it is a matter of time will reach 3.3, 3.5, 4.0, 5.0 and 6.0.
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PERSONALLY I will watch out for 3.5 region first. 4 a bit out of my time radar hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 17 2017, 07:18 PM

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QUOTE(bee993 @ Jan 17 2017, 03:54 PM)
sgd still so strong vs myr...last year this time i remember from 3.06 drop till 2.9 - 2.94 range already.i referring to 3 week before cny

then the usd seem like stagnant for now....
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SGD just broken the previous high of 3.140 at 05-Jan-17
New high is 3.148 around 6pm just now doh.gif
kopifan
post Jan 17 2017, 07:31 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Jan 17 2017, 04:40 PM)
All the talk about a possible Singapore economy slowdown seems just remain talk SGD $ is still strong as ever. More so against the RM. whistling.gif Its even going up now approaching CNY.
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Singapore's NODX up a strong 9.4% y-o-y in December, beating forecasts of just 5.8%.
Sales to China - Singapore's biggest market - jumped by 33.5% y-o-y following Nov's 15.8% .
kopifan
post Jan 17 2017, 07:42 PM

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QUOTE(limeuu @ Jan 17 2017, 06:31 PM)
The GBP has rebounded even before the brexit press conference....

Actually, the bnm "peg" on the USD is condemning the myr as the USD soften in the lead up to trump installation....
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I think there remain some risks that UK will go for a clean break from EU, i.e. the so called hard exit instead of a protracted and measured withdrawal.
This could potentially drive the GBP down to 5.0 level imho.
Let's see if there is some support around 5.30 region first hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 18 2017, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(limeuu @ Jan 17 2017, 07:54 PM)
she is going for a "hard" brexit....in the sense it will be a clean break....and market has already rebounded....it's often the uncertainty that causes the sell down....

wanted to go in this morning at 5.38 but officer delayed, and went up above 5.40....now 5.42....part of this movement is usd dropping rather than gbp rising....
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I still think gbp decline is far from over. 5.00 should be within reach imho hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 18 2017, 10:54 AM

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QUOTE(bee993 @ Jan 17 2017, 07:59 PM)
Yeah,thats wat i mean actually.
For money changer to offer 3.11,the actual sure is way beyond.

Even dbs bank free oversea money transfer goes up to 3.1095 just now.
I implying actually the rate of usd shud b much higher
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3.1532 the highest this morning rclxub.gif

kopifan
post Jan 18 2017, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(the99percent1 @ Jan 17 2017, 08:40 PM)
Not to mentioned the last quarter gdp for singapore up by 9.1%.

Overall 1.8% growth.  Pretty decent when many consider singapore going through a economic slump. If that is a slump, i cant wait to see actual growth.
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and they did farely well in exports to their biggest trade partner, PRC hmm.gif

kopifan
post Jan 19 2017, 07:52 AM

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QUOTE(limeuu @ Jan 18 2017, 04:22 PM)
any drop in gbp will be reactionary and transient, to political events....eg, after the vote, and worries about hard brexit before may's press conference and speech...

fundamentally, the economy is still robust, and the value of the gbp is well supported economically....

i tried to catch both falls, but failed both times...
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Brexit saga is far from over, now awaiting reactions from the EU negotiators hmm.gif
Their economy is hugely exposed to trade with EU, and with the increase in cost (tariffs, levies etc) and fallen GBP, their consumers r hard hit hmm.gif
Not to mention the loss of jobs etc etc the latest being HSBC and UBS shifting out ~ 1,000 jobs from London hmm.gif


kopifan
post Jan 19 2017, 08:02 AM

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QUOTE(limeuu @ Jan 18 2017, 08:22 PM)
AUD now at 3.36, historical high.... Never before....
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Ya AUD broke above long term resistance ~3.32 around 13-Jan-17 cry.gif
Let's see if this level could turn strong support now,if not perhaps around 3.25 imho hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 19 2017, 08:09 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jan 18 2017, 11:37 PM)
Faster buy. Although market price was 3.1532, money changer was selling at 3.123. Change a few. SGD went out of stock at lots of money changer in midvalley.
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SGD looks like strong support ~ 3.10 region hmm.gif
If miss out buy at this level may see short term burst to 3.18 region ?!? hmm.gif

kopifan
post Jan 22 2017, 08:52 AM

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Last quarter of 2016 to date, the international reserves of BNM amounted to:

as at 30 September 2016: USD97.7 billion (equivalent to RM405.0billion)
as at 14 October 2016: USD97.8 billion (equivalent to RM405.6 billion)
as at 31 October 2016: USD97.8 billion (equivalent to RM405.5 billion)
as at 15 November 2016: USD98.3 billion (equivalent to RM407.8 billion)
as at 30 November 2016: USD96.4 billion (equivalent to RM399.6 billion)
as at 15 December 2016: USD96.4 billion (equivalent to RM399.7 billion)
as at 30 December 2016: USD94.6 billion (equivalent to RM424.2 billion)
as at 13 January 2017: USD94.3 billion (equivalent to RM422.9 billion)
as at 31 January 2017: stay tune 6-7 February 2017 hmm.gif


kopifan
post Jan 23 2017, 07:54 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jan 22 2017, 09:42 AM)
Dec 15 to Dec 30 drop quite a lot
But from Dec 30 Jan 13 seems little differences only..
I thought bnm is actively interfering the currency market?? No??
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U need to break down the fluctuations into trade and non-trade in/outflows before can establish the extent of interference hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 23 2017, 08:12 AM

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QUOTE(SkyZ3312 @ Jan 22 2017, 11:31 PM)
Actually sgd compare to rm is count steady but there is some u.s shipment company after trump be the official one most of the ships now move to port in jb.. so it will still stable because of many billionaire putting their asset there..
For me sgd will move between 3.08-3.20  max this years
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i target 3.09 - 3.18 region first. Once 3.18 achieved then revisit hmm.gif
kopifan
post Jan 26 2017, 01:15 PM

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Suria KLCC buy/sell for SGD @ 3.13/3.14 rclxub.gif
MVM buy/sell for GBP @ 5.57/5.60 rclxub.gif
Last Friday MVM buy AUD @ high of 3.34 rclxub.gif
The only rejoice is buy/sell USD @ 4.38-4.40/4.42 thumbup.gif


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