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 USD/MYR v5

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Ramjade
post Mar 17 2017, 07:51 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Mar 17 2017, 07:44 PM)
Lets give him some pressure to change his risk appetite  biggrin.gif

If the inflation rate in Malaysia is 3%, in five years, his RM value will lose by 15.9%

In another words, if he keeps A$ under the pillow doing nothing for 5 years, the A$1 - RM3.41 today has to appreciate to RM3.95 just to beat inflation. If A$ does not appreciate to 3.95, his inflation-adjusted wealth will shrink.

That is just the official inflation rate. We all knew it is way higher than that. Let's say it is 6%. The Aussie dollar has to appreciate to 4.56 just to beat inflation and breakeven.

So, By making the decision to come back to Malaysia, he has to sweat it out to fight inflation as well as currency depreciation just to preserve his wealth (let alone growing it). Risk averse person has no choice but to be more aggressive  sweat.gif

The solution to this dilemma is to invest in foreign currency investment. Then we take away the "RM depreciation" from the equation and fight only inflation

That's what many of us here including you and me are doing... biggrin.gif
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Good motivation. blink.gif shocking.gif Didn't realized about the bolded statements.
Ramjade
post Mar 19 2017, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(kopifan @ Mar 19 2017, 01:38 PM)
Imho MYR could be bearish until 3rd week next month, then turn bullish for 1 month  hmm.gif
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The reason for bullish? Don't tell me GE?
Ramjade
post Mar 20 2017, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Mar 20 2017, 05:08 PM)
You still need a reason to boost investor confidence. And just another GE which will be manipulated by some party is not one of it.
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If same old thing, don't you think it will boost the RM for short term? Investor like stability and dislike volatility.
Ramjade
post Mar 20 2017, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 20 2017, 08:49 PM)
investors like stability but not a corruption based one - that will break at some point.
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If like that, why is indon seems more attractive now? They are more corrupt then us. I seems to see sites like bloomberg, reuters, market watch all recommending indon.
Ramjade
post Mar 20 2017, 09:15 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 20 2017, 09:02 PM)
u read the news from those sources, how come u not understand?!!
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They didn't mentioned anything about indon corruption.
They juat said huge population, tax amnesty, increasing middle class.
Ramjade
post Mar 21 2017, 08:35 PM

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Anyone read this ridiculous rule by BNM? doh.gif
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4229770

Ramjade
post Mar 29 2017, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 29 2017, 11:13 AM)
actually, "successful".

it is very stable.

but against USD only, not recovering at all.

and worsening against other major currencies, even baht (rm1=baht7.8) and rupiah (rm1=3000 rupiah).

while the goons clap hands, i see that as a trend leading to continuous accelerated inflation.

and as usual, what is there to help RM appreciate?


is there anyone, any sector, any major effort put in for that?

or just same syok sendiri talk, harp on exports and tourists?
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DFTZ, Jack Ma setting up shop in Malaysia?
Ramjade
post Mar 29 2017, 07:32 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 29 2017, 07:31 PM)
can't confirm but i think sgd/rm just hit a new high of 3.17153.
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S*it bangwall.gif ranting.gif
Ramjade
post Mar 29 2017, 07:52 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 29 2017, 07:42 PM)
u u keep waiting... why?!!!
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Because I want to change at 3.145.
Ramjade
post Mar 29 2017, 11:21 PM

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We shall see. With GE coming, RM still got chance. After GE, then..

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Mar 29 2017, 11:22 PM
Ramjade
post Mar 30 2017, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Mar 30 2017, 11:24 PM)
By the time GE arrives, it could be easily 3.3 to 3.4 already. There is nothing that will change. Like people say, its still going to be the same old shit again. While the ruling party here is thinking of how to spend more money to buy more votes to keep them in power, Sinkies are utilizing their funds fully to develop their nation and improving their economy. I just dont see any good vibes another election will bring. Honestly.
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I think there's where you are wrong. With GE, they need to pump up the market to create a feel good factor. Even the exchange will be pump up. Short term appreciation should be enough for me to change what I want. bruce.gif flex.gif Long term depreciation. sad.gif puke.gif mega_shok.gif
Ramjade
post Mar 30 2017, 11:40 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Mar 30 2017, 11:34 PM)
It used to be like this in yestey-years. But is there much money left now to 'pump'? There are not even enough projects to go around after budget was cut. laugh.gif
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I believed money will flow in "somehow' devil.gif
Why?
A win is a must. Do or die bruce.gif flex.gif

What we need to worry is how much RM will depreciate after GE

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Mar 30 2017, 11:42 PM
Ramjade
post Apr 4 2017, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 4 2017, 09:08 PM)
Myr long term depreciation against usd, JPY, rmb and SGD is almost certain to continue with the same regime.
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Maybe you can show how is JPY vs MYR since 1997 until today?

QUOTE(yklooi @ Apr 4 2017, 09:36 PM)
icemanfx mentioned Invest anything outside the kangkong land 20 years ago, would have forex gained by default.

so how many % has the JNY appreciated against MYR since 1990? any idea?
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Ramjade
post Apr 5 2017, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(lynnssssss @ Apr 5 2017, 05:15 PM)
hi all expert - what's the trend of USD/MYR in the near term, towards end of 2017, u guys think it will increase further or MYR will strengthen especially with rumour that election coming soon?

i have ard 100k USD from the US share that i sold off last yr still sitting USD acct, not sure to convert now or wait?

plz advice me. thanks.
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You convert, you will lose earning power and stuck with RM.
If I am holding that much USD, I will find a way for my USD to work.
Ramjade
post Apr 5 2017, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(lynnssssss @ Apr 5 2017, 05:30 PM)
got it! i'm doubtful due to i'm earning little interest only in USD acct. sad.gif
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Even putting money into S&P 500 and come back after 10 years is also a good move.
Ramjade
post Apr 6 2017, 09:44 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Apr 6 2017, 09:18 AM)
sorry to intrude what's NPL? been seeing it often
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NPL = non performing loan. Basically prople who defaulted their payment. NPL = money which the bank cannot get back.
The higher it is, it will eat into their profit and may destabilise a bank if kept unchecked. That's the reason public bank have good track record. They don't simply give money to people and very stingy to cut down cost aka chinaman bank.
Ramjade
post Apr 13 2017, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 13 2017, 10:18 AM)

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Not only that. Trump doesn't want strong USD biggrin.gif
Ramjade
post Apr 13 2017, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 13 2017, 10:42 AM)
trump comment on $ sent it falling.

the pegged RM rm follows.

so, SGD, AUD, BAHT RMB all rising against RM.

good luck! tongue.gif
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Damn. sad.gif
Ramjade
post Apr 17 2017, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(simonhtz @ Apr 17 2017, 10:31 AM)
It's probably just temporary, news sources says that it will appreciate sometime in Q2.
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That's what all local news said. It's temporarily only. Have it appreciated back to 4.3/4.2? They have been saying it's temporarily for like forever. Fundamental is strong, ringgit not reflecting it's real price.
Ramjade
post Apr 17 2017, 12:44 PM

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QUOTE(simonhtz @ Apr 17 2017, 12:05 PM)
You mean MY's fundamental is strong...or it is slated to drop further? While I applaud for SGD's appreciation, but I'm still skeptical that MYR will stay this way forever.

Thoughts anyone?
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If fundamental is strong, why have MYR been depreciating againsy the SGD for 30+ years? devil.gif
If fundamental is strong, it won't be the worst performaner among asian counterparts.
A decreasing foreign reserve + high debts + same old "stuff" doesn't show fundamental is strong. We can compare malaysian foreign reserves with our neighbours. No need to compare vs SG. Let's compare with Thailand and indon. Just look at the chart from this 2 article.
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles...come-out-on-top
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles...-into-fans-foes

QUOTE
And while other Southeast Asian nations took advantage of low U.S. interest rates to build reserves, Malaysia’s buffers are little changed from a decade ago



This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 17 2017, 12:46 PM

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