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 USD/MYR v5

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nexona88
post Aug 20 2019, 05:59 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 20 2019, 05:58 PM)
Those could afford are likely to invest in hongcouver, australia and uk. those not so well off are more likely to choose taiwan as more familiar and lower threshold.
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but there's seems to be spike in demand from Honkies blink.gif
nexona88
post Aug 20 2019, 06:12 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 20 2019, 06:02 PM)
more likely goreng by property agents and developers.
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how much can they do??
in the end sure stuck one biggrin.gif

forever cannot play the game...
nexona88
post Sep 24 2019, 06:54 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 24 2019, 01:45 PM)
This decision could be coming,... if included,... the Ringgit will strengthen,...

Decision is said to be at end of this month,....

https://themalaysianreserve.com/2019/09/12/...remain-on-wgbi/
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strengthen by how much? hmm.gif hmm.gif
nexona88
post Sep 24 2019, 08:18 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 24 2019, 07:30 PM)
Off the top of my head,... when the queries from FTSE started,..emm,... back in April this year,... USDMYR was at,... what,.. 4.10 ? SO,... I think it will move back to 4.10/4.05 PROVIDED no other 'more negative' news comes along,....

If oil price drops, then we can't get that level even if FTSE RUssell lets Msian Sovereign Bonds remain inside the index
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Hmm...
Around 4.10 huh..
Then not much different also..
I was thinking like 3.90 range....
nexona88
post Sep 25 2019, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 25 2019, 09:37 AM)
3.90 range,... think I've been hearing 4+ range for a long while,...I'm afraid,.. after the Norwegian Gov't removed RM Bonds, it won't be so easy anymore !
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Valid Point..
The bond thingy is the biggest problems...
The outflow is kinda big....
nexona88
post Sep 25 2019, 10:50 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 25 2019, 10:07 AM)
Yeah bro,... that's the inconvenience with our RM,... matters and events here and there will 'destabilise' it easily,...
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Don't know how long this situation would go on...
We needed stable policy & stern economy planning & strategy to move the country forward... And same time stabilize the MYR too & reduce the outflow....
nexona88
post Dec 4 2019, 03:56 PM

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RHB Investment Bank Bhd said today it expects the ringgit to strengthen to RM4.00 against the US dollar by end-2020 on factors including Malaysia's current account surplus and favourable bond yield differentials.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/ring...preciation-bias

lolz 2019 also not finished yet, already talking about end of 2020...
not to be so negative.. but can we really hit 4.00 level??? or better like 3.90 whistling.gif
nexona88
post Dec 4 2019, 04:14 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Dec 4 2019, 04:07 PM)
biggrin.gif

Well bro, the further they put out the target, the more time they have in-between to CHANGE the prediction.
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that's why I don't really believe all this fellows..
they keep change as they like.. I mean well we really cannot predict... Endless possibilities.....
there's could be sudden inflow of funds somewhere... thus MYR strengthen or more outflow thus MYR hitting history of 4.50 tongue.gif
nexona88
post Dec 4 2019, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Dec 4 2019, 04:19 PM)
Yeah,... only thing we can do is to look at the fundamentals, and to take into consideration the historical pattern. Looking at the MYR is like betting on forex,... FA and TA.

Hence, diversifying currency holdings is one way around it, just like diversifying into multiple funds and stocks when we invest. Then again, we can't over-diversify too.
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true..

on over-diversify part.. well that one is like drugs... once u get hooked.. no stopping.. u keep adding more & more...
nexona88
post Jan 11 2020, 06:22 PM

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CNY coming soon..

as usual... MYR sure would weakens later on...
it's been like that for years...

now is temporarily strengthening only...
nexona88
post Jan 14 2020, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 12 2020, 03:58 PM)
it could be that we are now experiencing the same effect as Philippines and Indonesia: remittances of our citizens working overseas.

Christmas and CNY, which usually means if one is working overseas, this would be the time to send money back to families etc.

No mistake that MYR is strengthening against all other currencies.
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Hmm...
But compared with those countries..
Our citizen working overseas is way lower..
I mean percentage vs population...

nexona88
post Jan 15 2020, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 15 2020, 06:04 PM)
Unfortunately, not sure if any official data been published by Malaysian government, but can do some guesses.

I think Singapore may have close to 2 million Malaysians working there, if not at least 1 million.
And then we count countries like UK, US, Australia, NZ, HK, Taiwan, China... should have at least another 1 million.

I am also guessing all of them 3 million malaysians will be earning much greater than our Malaysia's average income of around 5K rm. In fact, should be a lot more since we like to claim brain drain and better prospect.
So, lets say they can send back 2 months of their salary of say 10K rm min.

3 million x 10K x 2 month is like 60 billion ringgit.

Scary amount of remittance.

Disclaimer: all these are just my educated guesses.
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Possibilities is there..
But the amount u stated is really big yo....
Until there's clear info on how many Malaysian overseas working... And real reason are known...

We can speculate only as for now...
nexona88
post Mar 18 2020, 05:59 PM

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4.46 level like that .
Possibilities is there
nexona88
post Mar 22 2020, 01:26 PM

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QUOTE(oro102 @ Mar 22 2020, 01:12 PM)
don't bother with ringgit. Ringgit is sampah currency just like the its ppl.
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So which currency is not sampah then 😁
nexona88
post Mar 23 2020, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(coolguy99 @ Mar 23 2020, 08:57 AM)
SGD still pretty strong. Damn. Lucky SG people.
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One thing I realized..
Malaysia "lockdown" Singapore feels the effects.. now indirect begging to have exception for Singapore.. since their economy really depends on Malaysia 😅

Guess "Helang" also feels the effects since have many business in Singapore 😋
nexona88
post Apr 21 2020, 04:38 PM

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4.48 @ 30 Dec 2016 whistling.gif
nexona88
post Apr 21 2020, 04:48 PM

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QUOTE(Ckmwpy0370 @ Apr 21 2020, 04:46 PM)
ah I am outdated  doh.gif  doh.gif
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rindu zaman BossKu laugh.gif

so we otw that level...
nexona88
post Apr 26 2020, 10:13 AM

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Maybe BNM would split into part by part?.

25pts each meeting for the year? 🤔

Not to shock the market with sharp cut in 1 go??
nexona88
post Apr 26 2020, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(Leo the Lion @ Apr 26 2020, 10:39 AM)
It will not put the market into shock mode but will make the market feeling unease...
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So which one would.. hmm like smoothen the market?
25 or 50?
nexona88
post Apr 26 2020, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Apr 26 2020, 01:08 PM)
25 basis points x 3 for the whole year will smoothen the impact for the market.
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just as I target..

slowly steady cutting.. tongue.gif

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