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 USD/MYR v5

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Ramjade
post May 23 2017, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(KTCY @ May 23 2017, 10:29 AM)
I thought will maintain at least 4.3x
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How to maintain?
- BNM reserves went up
- 1Q GDP at 5.6% beats estimate by a wide margin
- Donald Trump could be impeached. If Donald Trump kept his mouth shut then maybe can.

A weak USD is good. Go go go RM. Reach the 4.1 mark flex.gif

This post has been edited by Ramjade: May 23 2017, 10:35 AM
Ramjade
post May 25 2017, 09:33 PM

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I think strength of RM will last until June. US is 100% expected to increase interest rate in June. sad.gif

This post has been edited by Ramjade: May 25 2017, 09:38 PM
Ramjade
post May 27 2017, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(CKKwan @ May 27 2017, 09:50 AM)
I need to convert a lot of USD. Please go up.
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You can wait until June when Feds increase interest. If that doesn't reverse the course of USD, then you better grit your teeth and change it.
Ramjade
post May 27 2017, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(CKKwan @ May 27 2017, 10:07 AM)
My observation, usually the rate will increate when people speculating the rate will increase. The increase will stop after june, or decrease if the interest doesn't change sad.gif
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Increase in interest rate already 100% expected in june.
Ramjade
post May 27 2017, 03:21 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ May 27 2017, 02:43 PM)
Bro,... I think factored in already,... USD won't strengthen too much anymore from here on if NO OTHER catalysts appear (besides the June hike).

Chances for decrease WILL BE THERE though if Feds say pace of increase will be slower,... look at the pattern carefully !
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For USD I think will go further down. Reason
1) Trump son in law, one of his innermost people have been found to request for a secret communication line between US and Russia.
2) Trump travel ban have been override by the court.

The stuff which may reverse RM gain:
1) Market condition in china deteriorate.
Ramjade
post May 29 2017, 01:20 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 29 2017, 12:17 PM)
Myr/USD has been on down trend since 1997 and the downtrend is expected to continue with the same regime.
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Not if trump is impeached/all his promises went up in smoke.
Ramjade
post Jun 11 2017, 02:36 PM

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QUOTE(kjlow88 @ Jun 11 2017, 01:53 PM)
Sorry guys, what is GE meant to ?
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General election.
Ramjade
post Jul 6 2017, 07:07 PM

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QUOTE(powerlinkers @ Jul 6 2017, 06:43 PM)
In my opinion, ringgit is severely undervalued. Stable politics with high chance of BN is going to retain government, more than 5%gdp growth this year. We had Non-resident inflow into the government bond market amounted to RM9 billion in May, a second consecutive month of inflows, Bank negara simply can't stop ringgit appreciation further.
Should reach RM4 against 1 USD by end of this year: provided there is no federal reserve interest hike. If there is another hike: should expect RM 4.1 against 1 USD at the end of this year.
Possible
Dec 2018 RM 3.60
Dec 2019 RM 3.20
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Where you get the info? Fed will hike one more time in 2017, and 3 more times in 2018. Already mentioned by them and Feds keep to their promise. No sudden move by them.
Ramjade
post Jul 6 2017, 08:09 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jul 6 2017, 08:05 PM)
He is really a contrarian, bro,...  biggrin.gif  biggrin.gif
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Or you know boot licker whistling.gif whistling.gif
Ramjade
post Jul 11 2017, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jul 11 2017, 11:58 AM)
Yeah,... have noticed this for a long time already, and I'm very glad you brought this up now. ... BNM is just there to adjust vs the USD, and ALL materials we read out there abt the RM 'strengthening' actually refers to the USDRM pair only,... Of course, if one needed the USD in future for cap appreciation purposes, then it's fine to use this metric.

But, if one needs to use another denomination, eg the AUD or SGD,.... then the RM is a very weak, bs currency.

By the way, has any ctry ever pegged its currency to any other currencies besides the USD,... yes, there is.... the Bruneian Dlr with the SGD.

The people who are raided by the MACC - they will always have foreign currency notes in their City house or in their kampung house,... This certainly signals where the strength of the RM is.
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HK. Since independence from British, their currency have been pegged to the USD.
Ramjade
post Jul 12 2017, 12:25 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jul 12 2017, 12:19 PM)
I heard around me that it's worth taking a risk doing 'corruptive activities',... at least the family will be fine even if the man of the house goes to prison,... then the money 'earned' need to leave this country before the MACC raids the house. That's why SG MAS clamps down of funds 'coming in' from Msia,... and jails many banking execs that dealt with 1MXX earlier. Just what I heard,...

But 1MXX is contributing funds for haj pilgrims to fulfill their pilgrimage,... so as to 'balance out' the accusations earlier,... don't know if this will make things good.

Anyway,... to be right and proper, just send whatever we have to a proper bank overseas, earn in a proper way overseas, pay their taxes if necessary, and do the right and legal thing. Things should be fine, and our purchasing power would be maintained when the MYR weakens further.

Some of the elites around me mentioned that it's good for the MYR to be weak,... then, in this country,... everything can be 'kautimmed' with money. Whereas in a 'place like Singapore, want to do this cannot, want to do that cannot'... and can't even be 'kautimmed' with money,... hence, Msia is a better country,... this man who told me this is a successful aircond installation owner,...

Another lawyer friend told me that this is THE SYSTEM is in this country,... can't change it, must follow,...
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Wait, as investors, need to file income tax? Which country is that? blink.gif
Ramjade
post Jul 18 2017, 02:14 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Jul 18 2017, 01:42 PM)
Got it. Even Baht?  doh.gif  MYR really hopeless already.

Thai baht at 7.8 is at previous rates already. I heard that it did dip abit last 2 months right?
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Thailand have one of the strongest currency in SEA behind SG. Just look at their reserve. Also, constant inflow of foreign money from tourist.
Ramjade
post Jul 26 2017, 02:18 PM

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QUOTE(this1when1 @ Jul 26 2017, 02:01 PM)
So bro, you don't see the MYR picking up against these currencies anytime soon? Why is this bro when historically MYR has never been as low against these two currencies so I would have thought it has reached its floor and can only go up, right? Do you think it will go down even more in a year's time? Thanks.
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Yes. With BNM only interested in defending rm against the USD and letting it slide against others.
Ramjade
post Jul 26 2017, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(this1when1 @ Jul 26 2017, 02:20 PM)
Hansel,

Fair enough. I am currently working in NZ and was in Australia before that. Aim is to return home in 5 years time and hence the question. In your opinion, assuming  BN wins the next elections, do you think this will have a negative or positive impact on the MYR? Thanks.
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Nothing will change. RM will slide down further. Unless suddenly china economy slow down drastically, AUD will plunge.
Ramjade
post Jul 26 2017, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Jul 26 2017, 02:35 PM)
Yes, I concur to that. But the issue lies in that the miniorities here are and will continue to be surpressed due to population declination and this will ultimately cost you your say and rights. Those who has already realized this are looking at greener pastures elsewhere where everyone will be treated equally and will have the same opportunities and those countries will be developed countries like Australia, The UK, Singapore etc. Hence those who realized early have already moved their family and their wealth to these countries so that their family members could have a more secured future.

Back to the question, Wont playing with the asx or sgx be a bit risky? Of course I understand that there would definately be risks associated with this, but are there other worthy investsments other than this overseas?
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I think I have to give you a situation.
You invest in bursa earning 5% return (dividend only to make calculation simple)).
You invest the same amount in SGX/ASX and get nett 5% return (again dividend only).

By investing in Bursa only, you don't gain anymore, you don't lose.
By investing SGX/ASX say SGD/AUD gain 2%p.a over RM, that return in the long run is substantial.

Of course all this is assuming the RM continue to slide. Will it slide? Factors showing that it will sad.gif (I don't want it to slide but need to be practical)

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Jul 26 2017, 02:49 PM
Ramjade
post Jul 26 2017, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(TOMEI-R @ Jul 26 2017, 02:52 PM)
Both of us share the same ideology.  laugh.gif We can see whats coming to us.

Im saying in Au or Sg.
Good insight there. But knowing me, I dont want the extra headache of looking after too many things, especially when they are so far of us. If you get what Im trying say.
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Alright. Then what do you suggest as a hedge against the declining RM?
Ramjade
post Jul 27 2017, 08:54 AM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jul 27 2017, 08:33 AM)
So did you change all your money into USD? What do you do with the USD?
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QUOTE(xpmm @ Jul 27 2017, 08:43 AM)
i have changed a portion into usd 2 years ago, thinking of convert more now but dont know what to do with it.

currently usd is with fxcm getting 5% a year interest, but fxcm is not as secure as banks
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You have so many choices.
- Manulife US reits on SGX is one option
- Buy S&P500 Index on LSE
- Buy good US companies

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Jul 27 2017, 08:55 AM
Ramjade
post Jul 27 2017, 09:12 AM

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QUOTE(xpmm @ Jul 27 2017, 08:59 AM)
thank you, thats what im looking into now actually,  is ETF the same thing as indices trading?
https://www.vantagefx.com/trading-products/indices/
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Yes. Tracks the index which means you get average results. You won't be able to beat the market.

QUOTE(xpmm @ Jul 27 2017, 09:06 AM)
- really lazy to go down to Singapore to open an acc and transfer money there. too much work.
- US stock is all time high.scare to buy.
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You don't need to go down SG and open account. You can invest in SG without stepping a foot inside there. How?
- FSM SG now have a brokerage. SG and HK only at the moment. Application is online.
- Maybank KE. Application can be done via post (just need comissioner of oath to verify all documents)

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Jul 27 2017, 09:13 AM
Ramjade
post Jul 27 2017, 09:37 AM

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QUOTE(xpmm @ Jul 27 2017, 09:25 AM)
thank you bro. icon_rolleyes.gif
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If you are holding USD cash, then you can't do anything in malaysia. No one will accept your USD.

SG banks accept but charge you 1% for deposit. If you are holding USD in bank accounts, you can do the above to make your USD to work.
Ramjade
post Jul 27 2017, 10:42 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 27 2017, 10:05 AM)
It seems most unit trusts perform below the market and you expect novice to be better?
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1. UT are paid professionals. Individuals are not paid. When I pay someone, I expect that someone to do the job.
2. There might be people who make easily 30% a year and don't boast about it.
3. As an income investor, I couldn't be bothered about whether I beat the market or not. What I bother money is flowing into my bank account every few months. How to maximise my money flowing in.

If I want to beat the index, better I find a Fund manager to do the job for me. Yes. Not many fund manager can beat the US index. But there are many fund managers who can beat the asia pacific index, china/india index.

If this one cannot, that one cannot, what to invest in? I really want to know what do you invest in, which market. Show us what a always cannot guy invest in.

Always the pessimistic one eh?

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Jul 27 2017, 10:46 AM

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