QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jun 2 2017, 09:18 AM)
Ya Melbourne and Sydney property market started to cool. Just beginning. Perth and Brisbane already experience downturn.
To me, property market is dependent on the job market. WA suffered from end of mining boom and many relocate back to eastern states. So the property price is down in Perth. For Sydney and Melbourne, as long as economy is growing, people have jobs, then there won't be a crash. But economy and job prospect is quite persimistic now. And policy to reduce immigrants will also affect the economy. So I think Australia will experience recession again since 20+ years.
No good for stock market.
As for Malaysia property, jobs still aplenty. So although property market is no good in terms of transaction volume, but people are still holding to it and the price is still stuck up there. Except for those over leveraged speculators, I think Malaysia property market will be flat, or at worst a slight down in price. Until Malaysia economy is down, then situation might change
Perth property got a lot of bargain now. Expected yield in 2-3 years time could be quite good. You plan to buy for investment ?
The price dynamics of Melbourne/Sydney compared with Perth is very different IMO.
Perth is highly dependant on FIFO mining employees at the high of the mining industry. Hence, renting was easy peasy then.
Whereas Mel/Sydney is highly leveraged on Chinese investment which is essentially FDI.
Unless the Chinese economy tanks, Mel/Sydney will hold up. That really is the big question. Also, whether Beijing starts heavy clamping on the money laundering from China. Be that as it may, ALL property cycles have an end. It is a matter of time.
What the trigger is, is anybody's guess.
Just went to Perth recently. Land cost is still high. Building costs is down substantially.
In 2013 when my son first went there, a 3bedroom house rental would fetch around $420 to 450. Now it is down to $320 to 370.
Not thinking of investing at this time. My friend just recently invested in a studio in Mel CBD for his son's studies. Problem is resale. No white folk will want to live in the CBD. Neither will other ethnic PR. AND you cannot sell to non PR! How?
I will wait to see if my children settles in Aus before making any decisions on Aus property.