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 Fundsupermart.com v15, 基金超市第十五章 - Rise the Dragon

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wongmunkeong
post Sep 7 2016, 11:09 AM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Sep 7 2016, 09:50 AM)
I think LYN should implement the feature whereby the person who got reported knows who reports him and WHAT he is reporting about, otherwise, just don't bother me. wink.gif
*
better still - the biz, financial & investment forums in LYN should have IQ + EQ test before enabling users join & post, thus forcing spoon-fed flers to READ and ABSORB first before posting stuff tongue.gif..

if only wishes were ponies.. sweat.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 7 2016, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 7 2016, 11:12 AM)
Good morning Duterte wub.gif

What's your take on today's coming BNM announcement? Cut, or maintain?
*
Dunno - my balls aren't Krystal's tongue.gif
Whether up/down/left/right, as long as make >6%pa i ok, better >=8%pa

Buy value, buy holistically low corr THEN sell to crazy chasers.
still see people chasing "performance" rather than collect at value brows.gif is gud, is gud

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 7 2016, 11:39 AM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 8 2016, 09:13 AM

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QUOTE(lukenn @ Sep 8 2016, 02:17 AM)
There's a difference between being cheap and being frugal.

Quite dangerous to mistake one for the other.
Likelihood of a fire sale diminishing lor. Was actually hoping for a rate hike... Short term pain for long term gain.
*
IMHO - not cheap nor frugal la, VALUE hunter (worth vs cost of services/items) sweat.gif
Hard to reprogram views to look at value instead of at price or cost

eg.
until now (since my 20s) i've been trying to de-program momma (she's a stock "investor") like PBBank, Nestle, LPI VS low priced stocks cry.gif
look at Nestle, PBBank, LPI at the peak of 2007 VS end 2009 (right after worldwide credit crisis) VS now
wongmunkeong
post Sep 10 2016, 09:59 AM

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QUOTE(David3700 @ Sep 9 2016, 10:04 PM)
Earn money of course. Just not familiar with how to maximize return in UT  biggrin.gif
*
earn $?
lottery or genting not a consideration?
why not FD?

earning $ itself is only 1 portion to the WHY one is investing via UT or stocks or bonds or blackjack/poker bruce.gif
risk/reward level acceptable?
time/duration that $ is need back?
tax optimized?
etc etc.

"when student is ready to learn, sifus will appear"
i'm still asking / looking notworthy.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 10 2016, 11:52 AM

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QUOTE(David3700 @ Sep 10 2016, 11:38 AM)
IMO,
Chance of winning lottery is one in thousands.
Genting ppl say 10 times gamble lose 9 times.
FD interest barely cover inflation.
Shares only have bullets to buy limited counters. Riskier than UT.

Not urgent. I need the money for retirement. Still have 10 more years.

So, isn't UT is the best choice ?
*
1. Do U know that equity UTs = basket of shares?

2. Thus, can UT be LESS risky than shares?
ya ya - spread out thus not risk in 1 company's shares BUT still stock market / shares "risk level"

3. FD barely covers inflation?
IMHO, it depends on one's personal inflation - ignore the consensus.
If i have $1M and put in FD, get 4%pa ie $40K pa, spend only $25K pa and reinvest the $15K
When will concensus inflation kill me ar?

4. Bonus answer
Do U know there are "shares like UTs"?
They be called Exchange Traded Funds - ETFs

There is NO such thing as best choice - best for what & why & when?
lt's akin to saying weight training is the best choice for fitness/health then going on to ask what best sets/reps
VS
what is the health/fitness goal? time available? pain thresh-hold? already eating well / good diet? blah blah - then only do a holistically planned approach.

With the responses U provided, i'd be very surprise if any real sifus can advise U which /what to buy /how long to hold UTs etc.
U still haven't found your "WHYs & WHENs & HOW MUCH"

eg
can guide a person asking - i want to make $.
how much? dunno - as much as possible la
by when? er.. a few years la
for what? er.. make munnee la
can guide such souls other than "go buy 1 lottery ticket to infinitely increase your chances for $3M or jackpot, BUY 2 to double that" tongue.gif

sorry.. old fart blabbering notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 10 2016, 12:01 PM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 10 2016, 09:18 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Sep 10 2016, 08:29 PM)
VA would be good for those OCB people like the WMK fella..... those with an engineer mindset, everything must calculate to the nearest cent punya.

Xuzen
*
nearest percentage la
percentage is scale-able and easily comparable rclxs0.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 13 2016, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 13 2016, 09:33 AM)
Hang around to shoot the trolls as and when they appear is our duty. icon_rolleyes.gif
*
Off topic alert notworthy.gif
Fireballs or acid works well on trolls - stops them from regenerating (learned from AD&D tongue.gif )
However, IMHO, setting traps for the trolls to kill themselves are more satisfying AND gather conclusive logic / ill-logic laugh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 13 2016, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Sep 13 2016, 01:46 PM)
Bean counter's type geeky topic. Let me try to answer that

Previously something like this was discussed in the PRS thread on those PRS funds that feed into existing UTF

So for Global leaders, similarly the management fees was charged by the M&G fund as reflected in NAV daily, the management fee would then be refunded to EI Global Leaders and it is netted off against the management fee charged by EI Global Leaders. As a result the MER would look ridiculously low, but you obviously still pay management fee la, fund managers don't work for free

Excerpt from the accounts
[attachmentid=7518795]

CIMB GTF however, I have no explanation for why the MER is so high. Perhaps someone should write to them to demand for an explanation  hmm.gif
*that person is not me*
*
nah.. SELL SELL SELL <'ala Kramer-style> tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 14 2016, 05:26 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 14 2016, 05:25 PM)
Learn this word - arbitrage brows.gif
*
that word needs lots of leverage or capital to be worthwhile neh

thus have to learn 2 or 3 words tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 14 2016, 05:26 PM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 19 2016, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Sep 19 2016, 02:44 PM)
wongmunkeong sifu please help notworthy.gif
*
er.. sumimasen..
long time never did DETAILED stuff for mutual funds liao.

Only doing "chump change" that is too small to port over to overseas brokerage for direct ETFs and stocks notworthy.gif

and real sifus here are Pinky Xuzen etc.
i'm just coasting here heheh tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 21 2016, 03:23 PM

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U so cold & logical, no fun la - most people complain
I have my fun with my $ growth & hunnee - to which i respond, if i bother responding tongue.gif

up till now, still those Qs from a lot of forumers VS a planned approach.
i wonder if they play football or basketball with all attacker or defenders, and not a planned resource & holistic approach bruce.gif

QUOTE(xuzen @ Sep 21 2016, 03:02 PM)
When to take profit?

When to enter?

Perennial questions that bother UTF investors.

Rather than worry about it and remain clueless and continue to worry because you have no plan.

Rather, have a plan and remain wise and composed and hence less worry!

Try this method:

Let's say you have RM 100K to invest and you have determined to be a moderate risk taker (assuming you have done the risk profile questionnaire that is available from most UT Companies).

So you have decided to split 50% Libra Asnita Bond, 25% Kenanga Growth Fund and 25% Manulife US Equity Fund.

That will be:

Asnita = RM 50K
KGF    = RM 25K
US      = RM 25K

One year later:

Your portfolio looks something like this

Asnita =  RM 52,500.00 (gain 5%)
KGF    =  RM 22,500.00 (loss 10%)
US      =  RM 28,750.00 (gain 15%)
               =======
Portfolio= RM 103,750.00 (gain of 3.75%)

When you rebalance you will try to make them back to the same % that is:

Rebalanced:

Asnita =  RM 51,875.00 (50%)
KGF    =  RM 25,937.50 (25%)
US      =  RM 25,937.50 (25%)
                   ======
Portfolio =RM 103,750.00
From this you will realized that you are selling US Fund & a little of the Asnita Bond (or taking profit) and putting them into KGF (topping up) because KGF has seen a sell down.

In this way, a savvy investor have a system that will prompt them to sell or top up the funds in a systematic way.

This method is called "asset allocation model" method. It is scientific, it is unemotional, it can take away your fear and greed. You do not have to rely on external noises anymore!

Xuzen
*
This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 21 2016, 03:25 PM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 21 2016, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(lukenn @ Sep 21 2016, 03:42 PM)
xuzen & wongmunkeong

Waa .... so methodical ...

So, how to determine when to drop a fund completely instead of topping up ah ?
*
also simple methodical (for me):
1. If "investment" is no good after 3 years of "commitment"
VS similar "investments", time to cut loss and move to better ones
eg.
i commit to GEMs for emerging markets and after 3 years+, it shows it's averaging or above average compared to other emerging markets, keep on going
ELSE
find another emerging market fund

2. EXTRA lump sum in on top of VCA (bonus answer tongue.gif ) if it is already proven AND is at a lelong (the markets covered under that fund)

hmm.. sounds like a sound thing for partnerships too brows.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 23 2016, 11:09 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Sep 23 2016, 10:50 PM)
Fix deposits, epf, asx or whatever you call them these days have long down periods and FIXED Interests. There's nothing magnificent about it fyi. Just put money in and forget about it and let the banks do it for you.

Again it's comparing apples to oranges as we sacrifice the fixed interest to have more power and understanding on where and how our monies are invested in UTs.

And most of your argument over why your investment over UTs is flawed and baseless. Plus if you don't want to invest in UTs why bother coming in here and causing all the unnecessary drama.
*
just thinking:
1. Fixed Income stuff VS UTs.. big hoo ha - "quantum leap" if learned and kept executing

2. UTs VS direct stocks even ETFs.. another "quantum leap" if learned and kept executing

3. local VS foreign/worldwide stocks - another "quantum leap"if learned and kept executing

4. derivatives on held worldwide stocks OR derivatives on wanted to buy worldwide stocks - another awakening level.. (still stuck here personally)

i guess U are spot-on on the transitions needed for each stage of "awakening" - being happy, contented "staying there"
VS
being happy, contented YET wanting to keep improving/finding more options - these costs $, time, effort and lots of coffee (for me heheh)

Just thinking - no right/wrong, thus dont fatwa me for this ya notworthy.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 26 2016, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 26 2016, 11:13 AM)
U missed out the upside from recent MYR weakness whistling.gif
*
aiya - bulls wins, bears wins, ***s get slaughtered
ie ada cohesive plan/methodology, sell or accumulate ok
BUT if none.. tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 26 2016, 12:43 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Sep 26 2016, 12:27 PM)
I read a finance book recently. It talks about 3 different pockets for financial security.

1st Pocket : Saving pocket.
2nd Pocket : Investment pocket.
3rd Pocket  : Trading pocket.

1st pocket would be fire proof and earthquake proof. I assume this means FD or its equivalent. Once this is filled, then we have the 2nd pocket. This is meant for long term investment like unit trusts in FSM.

Then we have the 3rd pocket. This would be the gambling portfolio or where you allocate a certain amount of money for your "best bet". I assume this is the sector fund, gold fund, etc. I assume this would involve short term investment and active trading.
*
similar with:
1. Emergency buffer $
2. Logical / programmatic investing (no fear/greed) $
3. Crazy / punting $
?

wongmunkeong
post Sep 26 2016, 11:22 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Sep 26 2016, 09:43 PM)
Give lar some canggih name: KimYee High Frequency Trading Algorithm (KimyEE High Frequency Trading Algorithm: KEHFTA™ system)
*
Xuzen's Algozen Ball
KimYees' KY JellEe? tongue.gif

sorry - late in the day, uncaffeinated, weird(er) thoughts than usual .. tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Sep 27 2016, 12:24 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 27 2016, 09:50 AM)
Shit...please don't...again... doh.gif

Please understand what is a mutual fund and what is INSIDE it.

Say, Fund ABC has Maybank, Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank...

So, if u pay out distribution...by some magic will of God, the 3 stocks will go up?
If u don't pay out distribution, Mr Market or God will punish the fund?

doh.gif doh.gif doh.gif
*
people still insist on talking about IF price going up AFTER distribution ma
VS
net net at the point BEFORE VS AFTER distribution

IF i sold it earlier, IF i bought it better, IF i offered more..
IFs should have, could have

Dont have a cow yar Pinky - U can't "save them all" rclxs0.gif
Life's too short and.. who cares, after a few rounds why bother bangwall.gif
hey - when lar introducing me to your favourite popiah restaurants tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 27 2016, 12:26 PM
wongmunkeong
post Sep 27 2016, 05:08 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Sep 27 2016, 05:05 PM)
U try invest in IT/Tech fund at peak of tech bubble see
U try invest in Oil & Gas fund when Crude at >USD100 see
U try invest in China fund at peak of Shanghai index see

That is where DCA/VCA comes in
*
or wait 25 years smile.gif - TIME in market ma, statistically correct heheh
wongmunkeong
post Oct 4 2016, 04:31 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Oct 3 2016, 06:25 PM)
Stubborn people are like a glass full of shitty water. You pour in distilled water, won't go in. dasecret give up ba sleep.gif
*
of cows, water Vs piano?

Price price price
coz Value of dividends & composite of stocks held, time & clarity missing?

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Oct 4 2016, 04:36 PM
wongmunkeong
post Oct 6 2016, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(cheahcw2003 @ Oct 6 2016, 10:56 AM)
You got a point here.

But i believe his intention is not to show off his wealth here, it is just to convince the others on his investment approach and achievement, and he walks the talk.

What I can observe in this forum is: Many sifus here overanalyze their UT investment. Throw in standard deviation, correlation, sharp ratios, timing the market lah...DCA lah. Seems very book smart. Some talk big with just monthly DCA RM100 pm per fund. And at the end of the day, the return just enough to beat the inflation rate.   

At the end of the day, your IRR speaks how good is your strategy? No?
I am not taking side, just an observer.
*
bro - er..
high current IRR may not prove one's methodology is logically sound as a process leh
it may be pure luck.

it is the repeatable process & logical nature of a process (to it's "working environment") that can prove to be good logically & risk/rewarding.

heck, i'm sure of few of us have pre-2008 mutual funds held till now, giving >15% IRR
ask us to repeat performance on selecting such... sure dunno how/why wan bwhahaah laugh.gif
thus, doesn't mean high IRR = good, logical & repeatable/consistent

---
Other than the above,
some people "talk" with not-too-logical cause-effect, such as as those that think buying PURELY based on low NAVs = better win rate.
VS
NAVs are by default, mathematical values derived from the fund's held
(cash + stocks/bonds + other stuff like derivatives)
LESS
(calculated management & other fees/costs)
LESS
Distribution

Thus, if one were to argue just by buying low NAV, akin to buying a stock, instead of "holistic view".. susah to discuss logically lor

Even the "distributions" Vs "dividends" argument is not too logical coz:
1. PRICE of stock: market forces directly decides price of a stock before & after/ex dividends
VS
2. NAV: purely mathematical - it is the composite value of all stuff held,
INCLUDING DIVIDENDs from stocks & Interests from cash/debt vehicles held,
thus even if NAV goes down right after distribution point.. it's purely maths, not the buying/selling of the mutual fund.

Thus properly comparable meh - method for stocks vs method for mutual funds?
sigh..

sorry ar, not sighing about U, just some folks that insist "general truths" can be applied "literally"/specifically to mutual funds - eg. buy low/sell high.

Just thinking out loud - no absolute right/wrong notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Oct 6 2016, 11:48 AM

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