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 Fundsupermart.com v15, 基金超市第十五章 - Rise the Dragon

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nexona88
post Oct 14 2016, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 12:27 AM)
Good as RSP date is coming soon  rclxms.gif
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Good time to top up brows.gif
AIYH
post Oct 14 2016, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Oct 14 2016, 10:02 AM)
everyone thinks the thais really love their king but in truth the king has been hated by the poor thais as he is anti democratic and an elitist.

starting today everyone in Thailand must wear black. failure to doing so will get you beaten up and sent to jail. my friend's family is anti monarchy and rightly so.

the palace and junta have to out the crown prince on the throne as he is next in line eventho everyone hates him due to his wild parties and etc. NOT putting him on the throne will anger the royatlist. putting the Princess on the throne will make the poor happy but the junta is against it.
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Oo, so media coverage from both thai and international had a bit conflict of interest, even some international media gave good reputation commentary to thai king rclxub.gif

So in a way, either prince or the princess ascend the throne, it will still cause a lot of instability in terms of political and social environment? doh.gif

That is a really unpredictable time and market for thailand sad.gif
dasecret
post Oct 14 2016, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 14 2016, 10:01 AM)
But that's what I was told by some sifus here wor. Do I have to requote what he said ?  blink.gif
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That's just a general idea since all 3 funds invests in the asiapac ex jap market; 1 in equity, 1 in FI and 1 balanced
But if you apply that formula xyz for 1 day, it won't work because they are not investing in the exact same stocks/bonds in the exact same proportion

However, on a 3 year returns basis you may find that it's quite close due to all the averaging effect. But that also depends on power of the respective fund manager. Investing is not so black and white and mathematical la

QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 14 2016, 10:02 AM)
Sales charge 0% or 1% (I still have the new customer benefit)?
NAV = 10/10/2016 NAV?

Same thing during dividends right?
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for the unit split? 0% la, takkan gotta pay sales charge for distribution pulak tongue.gif
The NAV u can just put whatever number, if you look at the calculation it has zero effect as unit split/distribution only increase units held and not investment cost
Avangelice
post Oct 14 2016, 10:23 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 10:10 AM)
Oo, so media coverage from both thai and international had a bit conflict of interest, even some international media gave good reputation commentary to thai king  rclxub.gif

So in a way, either prince or the princess ascend the throne, it will still cause a lot of instability in terms of political and social environment?  doh.gif

That is a really unpredictable time and market for thailand  sad.gif
*
people are afraid now that the leash has broken. the junta and the poor will begin another clash. remember there's almost a thousand red shirts unaccounted for and nobody knows where they have gone.

Anyways not to derail the topic, investors are looking at both news from ground level and it is not a pretty sight. if the palace doesn't short this out and a civil war erupts, fsm will be sure to give it a bad rating.

oh well that's life. let us focus on unit trusts. I derailed the topic enough.
puchongite
post Oct 14 2016, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Oct 14 2016, 10:15 AM)
That's just a general idea since all 3 funds invests in the asiapac ex jap market; 1 in equity, 1 in FI and 1 balanced
But if you apply that formula xyz for 1 day, it won't work because they are not investing in the exact same stocks/bonds in the exact same proportion

However, on a 3 year returns basis you may find that it's quite close due to all the averaging effect. But that also depends on power of the respective fund manager. Investing is not so black and white and mathematical la

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No, the point I want to say hoping to use RHB AIF as a replacement for Ponzi 2.0 + RHB ATR is a futile effort, it is not anyway near. There is no way for it. It like comparing apple+orange = durian.

On a >3 year return basis, actually RHB AIF = RHB ATR, we can just forget about the equity portion of RHB AIF.


dasecret
post Oct 14 2016, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 14 2016, 10:24 AM)
No, the point I want to say hoping to use RHB AIF as a replacement for Ponzi 2.0 + RHB ATR is a futile effort, it is not anyway near. There is no way for it. It like comparing apple+orange = durian.

On a >3 year return basis, actually RHB AIF = RHB ATR, we can just forget about the equity portion of RHB AIF.
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Sounds like I didn't quite get your point here

So what's the conclusion after you discover all these? What is your choice of fund and why?
Avangelice
post Oct 14 2016, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 14 2016, 10:24 AM)
No, the point I want to say hoping to use RHB AIF as a replacement for Ponzi 2.0 + RHB ATR is a futile effort, it is not anyway near. There is no way for it. It like comparing apple+orange = durian.

On a >3 year return basis, actually RHB AIF = RHB ATR, we can just forget about the equity portion of RHB AIF.
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QUOTE(dasecret @ Oct 14 2016, 10:30 AM)
Sounds like I didn't quite get your point here

So what's the conclusion after you discover all these? What is your choice of fund and why?
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I had both rhb atr and aif, I can see there is a correlation when one goes up the other follows. I abandoned atr as it has high volatility for a fixed income fund. I rather invest in aif and balance my portfolio with Anita. why take both?
puchongite
post Oct 14 2016, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Oct 14 2016, 10:30 AM)
Sounds like I didn't quite get your point here

So what's the conclusion after you discover all these? What is your choice of fund and why?
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My point was already mentioned in the previous post.

The three funds are separate entities, there is no way to emulate Ponzi 2.0 + RHB ATR with RHB AIF.

If one wants to invest only RHB AIF for longer term, he might as well instead invest in RHB ATR due to no service charge.

If one wants to invest in Ponzi 2.0, that's a separate risk accessment, an independent exposure, comes with it's risks and gains.

This post has been edited by puchongite: Oct 14 2016, 10:43 AM
AIYH
post Oct 14 2016, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 14 2016, 10:41 AM)
My point was already mentioned in the previous post.

The three funds are separate entities, there is no way to emulate Ponzi 2.0 + RHB ATR with RHB AIF.

If one wants to invest only RHB AIF for longer term, he might as well instead invest in RHB ATR due to no service charge.

If one wants to invest in Ponzi 2.0, that's a separate risk accessment, an independent exposure, comes with it's risks and gains.
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According to the latest semi annual report for Schroder Asian Income (RHB AIF Target Fund), the EQ:FI portion is roughly 6:4

Schroder Asian Income Semi Annual Report 20160630

Use that as a benchmark, we similarly create Ponzi 2.0 60% and RHB ATR 40%, and no rebalancing.

Portfolio 1 is combo Ponzi 2.0 and ATR
Portfolio 2 is AIF.

Here is the 3 year result. (as AIF is only 4 years old tongue.gif )

p/s: just a illustration smile.gif
My comment: the combo's incremental volatility is higher than the combo's incremental return in percentage of incremental smile.gif Therefore the combo is not better in risk adjusted return smile.gif

Is this how you evaluate? xuzen, learning process tongue.gif laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AIYH: Oct 14 2016, 10:56 AM


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AIYH
post Oct 14 2016, 11:00 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Oct 14 2016, 10:23 AM)
people are afraid now that the leash has broken. the junta and the poor will begin another clash. remember there's almost a thousand red shirts unaccounted for and nobody knows where they have gone.

Anyways not to derail the topic, investors are looking at both news from ground level and it is not a pretty sight. if the palace doesn't short this out and a civil war erupts, fsm will be sure to give it a bad rating.

oh well that's life. let us focus on unit trusts. I derailed the topic enough.
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But at least some one among us can share their perspective in understanding the market to aid learning.

After all, that is how we learn to analyze the market to determine whether it is just a noise or is it a momentum effect to a certain bull or bear market for that affect sector/region (even though UT is designed to let the fund manager do this, but from here we can understand how everyone perceive the market)

I am sure the reaction here will be faster than FSM articles? no? laugh.gif
puchongite
post Oct 14 2016, 11:06 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 10:53 AM)
According to the latest semi annual report for Schroder Asian Income (RHB AIF Target Fund), the EQ:FI portion is roughly 6:4

Schroder Asian Income Semi Annual Report 20160630

Use that as a benchmark, we similarly create Ponzi 2.0 60% and RHB ATR 40%, and no rebalancing.

Portfolio 1 is combo Ponzi 2.0 and ATR
Portfolio 2 is AIF.

Here is the 3 year result. (as AIF is only 4 years old  tongue.gif )

p/s: just a illustration smile.gif
My comment: the combo's incremental volatility is higher than the combo's incremental return in percentage of incremental smile.gif Therefore the combo is not better in risk adjusted return smile.gif

Is this how you evaluate? xuzen, learning process  tongue.gif  laugh.gif
*
This comparison is helpful. But I guess because there is no rebalancing throughout, as such we have removed the most realistic portion of the evaluation.

If we look at the history more than 3 years ( where human-dependent rebalancing were carried out ), in reality, the RHB AIF has become very closed to RHB ATR.
dasecret
post Oct 14 2016, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 10:53 AM)
According to the latest semi annual report for Schroder Asian Income (RHB AIF Target Fund), the EQ:FI portion is roughly 6:4

Schroder Asian Income Semi Annual Report 20160630

Use that as a benchmark, we similarly create Ponzi 2.0 60% and RHB ATR 40%, and no rebalancing.

Portfolio 1 is combo Ponzi 2.0 and ATR
Portfolio 2 is AIF.

Here is the 3 year result. (as AIF is only 4 years old  tongue.gif )

p/s: just a illustration smile.gif
My comment: the combo's incremental volatility is higher than the combo's incremental return in percentage of incremental smile.gif Therefore the combo is not better in risk adjusted return smile.gif

Is this how you evaluate? xuzen, learning process  tongue.gif  laugh.gif
*
rclxms.gif Great effort!

Now, if you look closer, you would notice that when equity is not doing well early this year, the gap narrowed which means AIF tends to be more resilient and that's where lower volatility comes in.

At the end of the day it depends on what you want, APDI made close to 20% in the last 6 months and that's something that AIF would never be able to do. But when all the EQ funds kaputed early this year, my AIF IRR maintained at around 7%

AIYH
post Oct 14 2016, 11:11 AM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 14 2016, 11:06 AM)
This comparison is helpful. But I guess because there is no rebalancing throughout, as such we have removed the most realistic portion of the evaluation.

If we look at the history more than 3 years ( where human-dependent rebalancing were carried out ), in reality, the RHB AIF has become very closed to RHB ATR.
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Erm you are comparing a combo and a single fund, how rebalancing will be helpful in comparing the 2? laugh.gif

Plus this tool only consider initial investment without considering DCA/RSP/Irregular top up (only rebalance date based on when you play the simulation) rolleyes.gif

Not really, they are not close, yet they are not distinct... could it be that both of their target fund come from the same fund manager (both from schroder)? hmm.gif tongue.gif


xuzen
post Oct 14 2016, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 10:53 AM)
Bla bla bla yadda yadda yadda

Is this how you evaluate? xuzen, learning process  tongue.gif  laugh.gif
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» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


I am a student / follower of Markowitz's Modern Portfolio Theory. What you mention above = siapa punya teori ar?

Xuzen


This post has been edited by xuzen: Oct 14 2016, 11:25 AM
puchongite
post Oct 14 2016, 11:26 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 11:11 AM)
Erm you are comparing a combo and a single fund, how rebalancing will be helpful in comparing the 2?  laugh.gif

Plus this tool only consider initial investment without considering DCA/RSP/Irregular top up (only rebalance date based on when you play the simulation)  rolleyes.gif

Not really, they are not close, yet they are not distinct... could it be that both of their target fund come from the same fund manager (both from schroder)?  hmm.gif  tongue.gif
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I am not sure we are talking about the same thing. All I was saying that your comparison of portfolio 1 vs portfolio 2 is not realistic in the sense it is not conveying the true picture, because you have fixed the ratio of ponzi 2.0% and RHB ATR % vs the dynamic (internal) rebalancing within the RHB AIF itself.

So when you use these charts to drawing a conclusion, your conclusion might be skewed.




David3700
post Oct 14 2016, 11:35 AM

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Thai share market actually up 3+% as of 11.30am malaysia time. Index shoot up on opening
AIYH
post Oct 14 2016, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 14 2016, 11:22 AM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


I am a student / follower of Markowitz's Modern Portfolio Theory. What you mention above = siapa punya teori ar?

Xuzen
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Newbie baby step theory laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif

I do know sharpe ratio to measure them, but dont really understand how to evaluate them based on them in real life, because sharpe ratio alone is not enough

When we talk about better risk adjusted return, what metric(s) do we based on?

QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 14 2016, 11:26 AM)
I am not sure we are talking about the same thing. All I was saying that your comparison of portfolio 1 vs portfolio 2 is not realistic in the sense it is not conveying the true picture, because you have fixed the ratio of ponzi 2.0% and RHB ATR % vs the dynamic (internal) rebalancing within the RHB AIF itself.

So when you use these charts to drawing a conclusion, your conclusion might be skewed.
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that would be very complex laugh.gif

and it is kinda impossible unless you feed all the funds annual report or fact sheet and all of them mention their equity fi portion and simulate them whatever proportion you wish to compare which is kinda complicated laugh.gif

you can try to do the simulation by keying the transaction in FSM mobile app, but too much to enter in phone laugh.gif
xuzen
post Oct 14 2016, 11:49 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 11:36 AM)
Newbie baby step theory  laugh.gif  laugh.gif  laugh.gif

I do know sharpe ratio to measure them, but dont really understand how to evaluate them based on them in real life, because sharpe ratio alone is not enough

When we talk about better risk adjusted return, what metric(s) do we based on?

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Below is copy & pasted post I wrote in Feb 2015. Read see if you can understand better what are risk - adjusted return performance measurement tools are.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


AIYH
post Oct 14 2016, 12:22 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 14 2016, 11:49 AM)
Below is copy & pasted post I wrote in Feb 2015. Read see if you can understand better what are risk - adjusted return performance measurement tools are.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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Roughly learnt during studies smile.gif

Do they have tool to calculate those?

I only come across Sharpe ratio readily available

Also our UT risk free rate is based on which instrument? Annualized EPF?
Avangelice
post Oct 14 2016, 12:50 PM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Oct 14 2016, 12:22 PM)
Roughly learnt during studies smile.gif

Do they have tool to calculate those?

I only come across Sharpe ratio readily available

Also our UT risk free rate is based on which instrument? Annualized EPF?
*
https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...tormaincode=All

Please read the risk methodology from fund supersmart. I hope I got your question right

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