QUOTE(nexona88 @ Sep 19 2016, 04:19 PM)
OPEC can't control Iran or shale oil.USD/MYR v4
USD/MYR v4
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Sep 19 2016, 06:35 PM
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#1
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All Stars
21,456 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Oct 6 2016, 02:58 PM
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#2
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21,456 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Oct 16 2016, 08:37 AM
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#3
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21,456 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Oct 22 2016, 12:55 AM
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#4
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 21 2016, 08:00 PM) hope everyone read the budget, at least the summary. Like previous years, unpopular tax increase could be outside October budget, and extra spending could be announced later at supplemental budget. October budget is a windows dressing exercise for mgs buyers and peasants.a lot of SPENDING. revenues, income, investment... i didn't see much. will be hard to achieve this: • In addition, the government is expected to achieve a fiscal deficit target of 3 per cent of GDP in 2017 compared to 3.1 per cent this year. RM is not going anywhere, imo. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Oct 22 2016, 12:59 AM |
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Nov 9 2016, 11:06 PM
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#5
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Some said about rm50bn mgs is maturing by year end and a portion is owned by farang. if these farang don't roll over, may make a dent on bnm forex reserve. |
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Nov 10 2016, 01:50 PM
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#6
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 10 2016, 11:32 AM) many currencies got battered too since the oil slide. BUT... the RM is one continues to slide down when others recovered a good bit. e.g. brazilian peso, south african rand - they were among the worst but have recovered a lot in last year. the trouble with our situation here is not unlike everything else with some entrenched mentality over the decades: to improve, no need to do much; just wayang and wait for others to do worse, u come out better. education ranking - "we are still better than @#$". illicit money outflows - "we are only no. 5, not #1". xmbd theft - "others before us also did same, also stole". currency - wait for usa or uk to f up, their currencies fall, hooray, RM will strengthen. the stark facts laid bare: .. oil price down. .. unabated leakage and wastage in big civil service. .. massive losses in xmbd and the likes. .. little real productive investment made in last few years. (china new cash won't come so soon, so easy.) .. some lost hope, going away; others expect more free money; yet others continue to steal with approval. .. energy, resources and time spent in cabinet, parliament, poliz, courts on race-religion politicking, punishing those who don't kneel. so, who is left working to produce something of value to sell or export? a currency like that can strengthen?! 4.30 anytime now with fed hike looming. 2017 may see 4.50. come 2020, m may get to see 5.0 - n's gift to him. QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 10 2016, 11:37 AM) You said it all there. There is a political doctrine to call for the peasants to remain poorly educated, live from hand to mouth, depending on handout from the master, grateful to the master and in exchange master will forever in charge.Crappy education system producing crappy grads. Poor aptitude AND attitute. Crappy transparency systems. Corruption aplenty draining more monies out. Crappy Que sera sera attitude. Waiting for hnadouts from goemn all the time. Gomen waiting for hnadouts from Petronas. No Vision. All short term flip flops. The biggest problem for Msia is CORRUPtion. i see SGD:MYR at 4 sooner than later. We will see it before we ssee 2.9 On forex rate, peasants have little or no foreign trading, inflation is blamed on greedy traders. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 10 2016, 01:54 PM |
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Nov 10 2016, 09:41 PM
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#7
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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Nov 10 2016, 08:08 PM) Damn la. Don't know why so weak. Where's china money? It takes a few months for cp to be fully compliance, payment from chinese bank is made to chinese main contractor in china. the market will only see chinese money after chinese contractor is mobilized and amount spent in the local economy is substantially smaller than most expected.Coukd be because end of the year? Everytime end of the year, RM fall. |
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Nov 11 2016, 12:27 PM
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#8
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QUOTE(jack2 @ Nov 11 2016, 12:20 PM) *BREAKING UPDATE!!!*📢 If bnm is halting usd exchange may cause mgs farang holders to exit. Raising mgs yield and interest rate is a tool to halt myr slide.Ringgit is facing great sell off today because: 1.) the hope of new US President Donald Trump will bring "America Great Again". Market has suddenly turned 180 degree and support Donald Trump vision instead fearing him now. 2.) the high possibilities of US rate hike due to the inflationary that is going to happen due to upcoming very large spending by Donald Trump to build walls and infrastructures These two main factors is driving US market very very much uptrend. Thus, many USD (mainly) and other foreign currencies wants to go back to US (leaving Malaysia) and thus Ringgit has been sold off crazily now. Ringgit is weakening big time now! To avoid Ringgit to weaken any furthur, Bank Negara has issued an order to ban all foreign currency exchange that involves MYR. So no FX conversion and DCI involving MYR for all banks and money changer today. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 11 2016, 12:35 PM |
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Nov 11 2016, 02:56 PM
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#9
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Nov 11 2016, 03:12 PM
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#10
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Nov 11 2016, 03:24 PM
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#11
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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Nov 11 2016, 03:14 PM) with trump now planning to cease the Paris climate agreement and opening up investment to fosil fuel and shale, I doubt our petronas will have any income Cheap fuel is beneficial to the aggregate economy and consumers e.g. higher disposable income and company profit. Petronas income is not US concern.QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 11 2016, 03:17 PM) If retail money changer run out of USD could create market panic. Guess they are waiting for bnm to deliver bags full of USD.This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 11 2016, 03:28 PM |
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Nov 11 2016, 03:30 PM
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#12
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Nov 11 2016, 03:53 PM
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#13
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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Nov 11 2016, 03:45 PM) "This is effectively an unofficial capital control. Foreign bond holders can't even convert ringgit to foreign currency after selling bonds," the source added.This may unsettle farang bond holders, not a good sign or practice. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 11 2016, 03:58 PM |
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Nov 11 2016, 04:42 PM
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#14
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 11 2016, 04:39 PM) this big spread capital control is not going to end well. Unless bnm to control outflow, big spread may create a parallel black market.buy $, pay with a lot more RM. sell $, get much less RM. this kind of situation usually spark more fears, real or unreal. when control lifted, more capital will fly, might move to 5.0 for a while. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 11 2016, 04:43 PM |
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Nov 12 2016, 12:22 PM
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#15
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 12 2016, 10:30 AM) Not that I am always advocating for the Singapore Dollars, but certainty is very important for the majority of us,... not the punters and the speculators, of course,... Myr depreciated from 1.0 to >3.0 speak for itself.This article proves it. The incident yesterday stands for this thinking of mine, gentlemen,.. : http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016...over-positions/ |
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Nov 12 2016, 01:14 PM
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#16
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 12 2016, 01:10 PM) Yes,.... But looking at it this way is not enough, because if we say,... look at the USD now, it has appreciated against the RM, this is also true. What we need to understand is that the USD too dropped to 2.80% against the RM years ago, which says that the USD is still volatile. Every currency is volatile in the short term.The SGD, on the other hand,... has always been on an appreciative trend against the RM,... hence, there is stability, compared to many other currencies of the world. |
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Nov 12 2016, 03:52 PM
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#17
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QUOTE(kit2 @ Nov 12 2016, 01:47 PM) costs of living tripled. not much impact to business owners but salary earners suffer tremendously. Until productivity pick up, real salary is expected to dwindling further.savings and low yield investments are also shrinking in value. it is heartbreaking to see my insurance plan *depreciating*. QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 12 2016, 01:59 PM) that, for sure. Medical insurance is probably the most mis sold products and a cash drain to most.medical insurance will face double whammy: .. hefty premium increase for same RM benefits. .. lower value benefits as hospitals raise prices + GST. as more people turn to gomen hospitals already faced with budget cuts and increasing foreign workers, it's going to get chaotic. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 12 2016, 03:55 PM |
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Nov 13 2016, 06:34 PM
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#18
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For farang to buy 40% of mgs, someone may have give implicit guarantee there won't be capital control.
Peasants capacity to convert myr cash to usd is rather limited. bnm is likely to have or going to supply retailers with bags of usd. If peasants experienced losses on usd exchange, the rush for conversion will die off. On farang mgs holders conversion is another story. Bnm is unlikely to allow reserve to drop too much and could increase mgs yield to encourage rollover. This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 13 2016, 07:01 PM |
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Nov 13 2016, 11:36 PM
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#19
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 13 2016, 11:18 PM) When we say RM5 or any rate that we desire for that matter, we are effectively saying that we are keen to 'act' on that rate, be it to buy or to sell the USD at the desired rate. Why foreign currencies in cash won't be safe? If large variance occur between onshore and offshore rate for extended period, black market rate could be available.But now, BNM has stopped us from taking actions on that rate, so,... we are literally stuck with USDs that can't be used in conjunction with our livelihood in the country. Secondly, even if they do let us act on that rate, the spread will be so big that it becomes nonsensical to act on it. This experience has taught us a lesson in that if we keep foreign currencies in the country, it is still not safe. QUOTE(Ramjade @ Nov 13 2016, 11:27 PM) No it's not. If you have a USD in FCA, you can straight transfer without going through the exchange at bank. Also, I think it's good idea to change when the controls are in place as we will be getting more USD worth (compare the onshore USD/MYR with offshore USD/MYR). If capital control, one may need approval from bnm for transfer.Of course if you are talking about changing USD > MYR then it's not worth it as you will be getting less MYR/USD changed. That's just my opinions. |
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Nov 14 2016, 12:23 AM
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#20
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