Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 USD/MYR v4

views
     
icemanfx
post Dec 7 2016, 10:49 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
21,456 posts

Joined: Jul 2012


QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 10:10 AM)
If we take 8 Nov, here are the numbers :

1 year :

KLCI 1672.00 / 1663.82 = -0.49%
STI 2876.03 / 2820.24 = -1.94%
DJI 17730.51 / 18332.74 = 3.40%

MYR/SGD 3.0031 / 3.0237
MYR/USD 4.215 / 4.2017

The returns in RM terms :

KLCI -0.49%
STI -1.27%
DJIA 3.07%
5 year :

KLCI 1460.13 / 1663.82 = 13.95%
STI 2694.60 / 2820.24 = 4.66%
DJIA 12184.26 / 18332.74 = 50.46%

MYR/SGD 2.4344 / 3.0237
MYR/USD 3.1475 / 4.2017

The returns in RM terms :

KLCI 13.95%
STI 30.00%
DJIA 100.86%
1. DJI climbed close to 1000 points since election. STI climbed close to 150 points. While KLCI dropped close to 20 poiints.

2. Agreed. The returns from dividend will be more in forex since RM lao sai in 2015
Conclusion : for the recent years, long term investment in STI and DJIA is better than KLCI mainly because of RM devaluation. Gains in KLCI is offset by the lost in RM value. KLCI is not a good hedge against inflation compare to investing overseas in forex dollars
*
100% gain in 5 years can't be complaining. Guess those kv property uuu herd members are regretting.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Dec 7 2016, 10:53 AM
Hansel
post Dec 7 2016, 11:27 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 7 2016, 10:43 AM)
aussie... may cut rates again!
*
AUD crawled back up, bro,... just dropped for 1 hr or so only,...Yeah,... so many news,...if rates are cut further, more retirees will flock over to Aussie divvy shares and REITs,...
Showtime747
post Dec 7 2016, 11:31 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 7 2016, 10:20 AM)
numbers don't lie.

unless one starts to nitpick to compare only the best counters with the worst.

so, yes, agree with conclusion.

going forward, one has to keep in mind the macros which do not change overnight:

.. usa experiencing some boom now due to trump rallies and feel good employment figures.
.. sg may technically fall into recession by end of this quarter.
.. china remains vigilant to keep RMB "low" to maintain their exports.
.. msia... what else do we not know?
*
Agreed. Every time frame has its macro development and can cause the market to be volatile. Hence the associated risks. Now is an exciting time. Could make a lot but also could lose a lot.

I am in the long term investment camp. That's why I shift my RM out whenever there is the chance.

Just that I have not done it fast enough sweat.gif
nexona88
post Dec 7 2016, 11:32 AM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
QUOTE(prophetjul @ Dec 7 2016, 10:04 AM)
Maybe Aus will become the next Tiger in the Asean region!    smile.gif
*
No wonder EPF invested in one of the fund focus on Australian commercial assets blush.gif
Showtime747
post Dec 7 2016, 11:34 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(Hansel @ Dec 7 2016, 10:28 AM)
Still,... if we remove the effect by DT, we're still ahead in the STI and in the DJIA compared to the KLCI,... And when the DT effect kicks-in, aka when the wind blows, the KLCI and the RM topples over,... first and the most compared to others,.... sad.gif

We really need a lot of patriotism to stay hard inside this Kerajaan place,...
*
Too bad we cannot rewind back 1 month (let alone 5 years). What has happened, happened. At this point of time, the reality is that KLCI and RM performed poorly.

History will repeat itself. We have to plan for the future what is best for ourselves...
Showtime747
post Dec 7 2016, 11:39 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 7 2016, 10:49 AM)
100% gain in 5 years can't be complaining. Guess those kv property uuu herd members are regretting.
*
If we can cherry pick like cherroy said investing in export counters of KLCI, then I would rather cherry pick a property flipper 5 years ago. With zero down and DIBS, their investment of RM20k can give returns of RM200k upon VP

That is 1000% in 2-3 years. Do it 5 times over 5 year period, and you made RM2m with RM100k capital

But history is history. Not going to happen again in the next decades.

cherroy
post Dec 7 2016, 11:47 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 11:31 AM)
Agreed. Every time frame has its macro development and can cause the market to be volatile. Hence the associated risks. Now is an exciting time. Could make a lot but also could lose a lot.

I am in the long term investment camp. That's why I shift my RM out whenever there is the chance.

Just that I have not done it fast enough  sweat.gif
*
That's why diversification asset is very important.
Every period of time, we have different trend and different performing asset.

For investment, opportunity is always there, market is always open.
If it is done too fast that resulted investing into the like stock code C in US prior before financial crisis, one may regret it was done too fast as well.

Investment shouldn't be rush upon, as it may lead to mistake made in between.

1986, 1997, 2008, next year is 2017, the curse of 10 years cycle?
spiderman17
post Dec 7 2016, 12:18 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
309 posts

Joined: Nov 2011
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 11:34 AM)
Too bad we cannot rewind back 1 month (let alone 5 years). What has happened, happened. At this point of time, the reality is that KLCI and RM performed poorly.

History will repeat itself.
We have to plan for the future what is best for ourselves...
*
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 11:39 AM)
If we can cherry pick like cherroy said investing in export counters of KLCI, then I would rather cherry pick a property flipper 5 years ago. With zero down and DIBS, their investment of RM20k can give returns of RM200k upon VP

That is 1000% in 2-3 years. Do it 5 times over 5 year period, and you made RM2m with RM100k capital

But history is history. Not going to happen again in the next decades.
*
History may or may not repeat, but it certainly rhymes.
biggrin.gif
It's the basis for technical analysis anyway...


QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 7 2016, 11:47 AM)
That's why diversification asset is very important.
Every period of time, we have different trend and different performing asset.

For investment, opportunity is always there, market is always open.
If it is done too fast that resulted investing into the like stock code C in US prior before financial crisis, one may regret it was done too fast as well.

Investment shouldn't be rush upon, as it may lead to mistake made in between.

1986, 1997, 2008, next year is 2017, the curse of 10 years cycle?
*
Oil, Asian, USA, now back to oil?

icemanfx
post Dec 7 2016, 01:41 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
21,456 posts

Joined: Jul 2012


QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 11:39 AM)
If we can cherry pick like cherroy said investing in export counters of KLCI, then I would rather cherry pick a property flipper 5 years ago. With zero down and DIBS, their investment of RM20k can give returns of RM200k upon VP

That is 1000% in 2-3 years. Do it 5 times over 5 year period, and you made RM2m with RM100k capital

But history is history. Not going to happen again in the next decades.
*
Leveraged magnified return as well as losses. Unless exited the market, most are trapped.

Showtime747
post Dec 7 2016, 02:23 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Dec 7 2016, 12:18 PM)
History may or may not repeat, but it certainly rhymes.
biggrin.gif

*
biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

The first one refers to stock market and RM. Cycles happen time and again

The second one refers to property market. The super bull run for the last few years are not seen decades. And I don't think it will happen again for the next few decades. The cycle is less apparent compare to stock market and forex market
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 7 2016, 02:37 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Dec 7 2016, 12:18 PM)
History may or may not repeat, but it certainly rhymes.
biggrin.gif
It's the basis for technical analysis anyway...
*
Eventually, investor/trader sentiment overides the underlying analysis at tat moment of time
Showtime747
post Dec 7 2016, 02:38 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 7 2016, 01:41 PM)
Leveraged magnified return as well as losses. Unless exited the market, most are trapped.
*
If it is for trading (like flipper and stock traders), they will be trapped if they don't close their position. No different between property flipper, commodity trader, forex trader or stock trader

For long term investors, your above doesn't apply
aspartame
post Dec 7 2016, 03:23 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,165 posts

Joined: Feb 2015
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 02:38 PM)
If it is for trading (like flipper and stock traders), they will be trapped if they don't close their position. No different between property flipper, commodity trader, forex trader or stock trader

For long term investors, your above doesn't apply
*
Yup, flippers with leverage with no cash buffer will be trapped and sell at loss. For long term investors, they wished they had more properties "trapped" since decades ago, the longer the better.
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 7 2016, 03:29 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
QUOTE(aspartame @ Dec 7 2016, 03:23 PM)
Yup, flippers with leverage with no cash buffer will be trapped and sell at loss. For long term investors, they wished they had more properties "trapped" since decades ago, the longer the better.
*
"Trapped" won't carry any value unless the original owner have drawn up a proper n valid trust/will in order for the next generations to njoy the fruits
nexona88
post Dec 7 2016, 03:33 PM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
hmm both XE.com & BNM rate is the same @ 4.43 hmm.gif hmm.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 7 2016, 03:33 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,454 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Dec 7 2016, 11:31 AM)
I am in the long term investment camp. That's why I shift my RM out whenever there is the chance.

Just that I have not done it fast enough  sweat.gif
*
Well, we have been talking about this at least 2 years now, and the rm has basically been falling and falling.

Not much chance to buy fx at great rate.

It is like holding a losing stock.

When it recovers a bit, the instinct is watch, hope it can recover further.

But after a short reprieve, it falls again.

It takes a lot of nerve to cut losses and move on.

If u hv been converting bit by bit over time, thats quite ok, better than no action at all.



Lately, there is a lot of talk, many fingers pointing at "speculators" as the main culprit.

To me, that is an attempt to create a partially fictitious enemy, like the usual local politicking.

If the fundamental weaknesses are not addressed, more controls and propaganda cant do much, may make it worse eventually.

Major investors and biz people, foreign or domestic, are not as gullible as some powers like them to be.



aspartame
post Dec 7 2016, 03:37 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,165 posts

Joined: Feb 2015
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 7 2016, 03:29 PM)
"Trapped" won't carry any value unless the original owner have drawn up a proper n valid trust/will in order for the next generations to njoy the fruits
*
Wills/Trusts are a must. Nevertheless, "trapped" value can be "untrapped" anytime and enjoyed as and when needed unless one has too many properties such that most properties are "trapped" not because cannot untrap but because there was no need to tap into the "trapped" props..anyway...major diversion liau from topic tongue.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 7 2016, 03:41 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
Bank Negara international reserves down US$1.9b at Nov 30
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...pt9b-at-nov-30/

As expected...
nexona88
post Dec 7 2016, 03:53 PM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
decrease by US$1.9bil? shocking.gif

wow just wow.. the numbers is kinda huge wor..
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 7 2016, 03:58 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
The value of a currency does not lie
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...y-does-not-lie/

Our neighbour (S'pore/Thai/Phil) is doing better than us
Thus, policy makers need to stop pointing finger to speculators for d dismay performance of USD/MYR

155 Pages « < 152 153 154 155 >Top
Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0187sec    0.43    6 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 7th December 2025 - 01:28 PM