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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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Hansel
post May 30 2022, 09:44 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ May 30 2022, 09:52 AM)
You do know I intend to live off cash flow right? I don't intend to touch the capital at all. So market crash or what so ever won't affect me. Why? Cause good or bad times, my options will give me the cash flow to survive.

Real life eg. My monthly options income have exceeded my real life monthly income for months already. Not a one time thing. I can actually stop working now itself but I am still working to get a bigger margin of safety. Yes even when market is selling off recently. That's was I was amaze. I am still am to generate more than my monthly salary via options.
I wouldn't be where I am if I had depend on dividend investing.

I told you, I am not scared of market crash. I welcomed it. That's why when market becomes red like recently, I will always be a buyer.

Er I don't follow traditional finance stuff to reduce to less risky stuff the older you gets. I buy and hold quality companies.

I quote a blogger. You want to invest in debt and IOU of the company or you want to invest in the company? (ASSI)

"I don't follow the traditional mindset of seling of stocks to reduce risk as you age" Mr tako escape.

I quote a YouTuber, "buy and hold quality companies." "I have been holdig onto Nvidia since the 30s pre spit, I have been holding onto microsoft and my yield on cost is 6-7%p.a currently"."Never bet against the US economy or quality if US companies." These are some of his words. Not mine (Mr fired up wealth).

"Buy and holding quality companies that are increasing dividends year on year. By holding on to quality companies that increase divdend at faster rate than inflation, you will outrun inflation" (ppcian)

Can't remember their exact words but something like that.

I follow examples by real life people and not what's put out by wall Street or textbook. That's why my ways are considered unorthodox.
That's why I stop. We can continue in options thread (but he didn't want to cont). I already said enough talking about it and he push back. So I just push back and decided to stop there and then.

Btw it's the truth. Tech + semis + some other us companies > s-reits anytime anyday. For me at least. That's why I am not going back.

I expected that. But it's ok.
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I invest in everything that you are investing in,... and more,... BUT the difference between you and I is : you put down others and use irresponsible statements which might hurt others. I don't.

Hansel
post May 31 2022, 05:40 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ May 31 2022, 12:28 AM)
I only share what works for me. And so far it works marvelously. And it's not that hard nor do you need to get large amount of capital to generate the same returns vs dividends.

The difference is you assume eveyone got huge capital to do what you do. Like I said come down to earth and smell the grass bro. I show ways which works for ordinary folks like me earning only measly RM5k/month. Ways which bypass priority/private banking privileges which ordinary folks like me will never have access to so that  ordinary folks is not at a disadvantage.
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You forgot : I always say : amount shld not be a distinguisher in your investing career. Please refer to my earlier postings.

By the way,... I'm curious : when have I ever said only by having priority/private banking privileges only then can you succeed in investing ? You've always argued to me like this. confused.gif

Back to your writings above,... What you are always proposing is : Come down to earth and smell the grass. It's okay to invest with small amounts, (and you signal) : you can still make a lot of money. What you are HIDING is : NOT EXPLAINING the risk level to the people you are writing to !

Look at your two paragraphs above. Is there anywhere that you mentioned abt the risks involved in your endeavours with Options ? Sure, it works for you (you always write this), but will it work for another person who is like you termed : an ordinary folk ? Or someone at a disadvantage ? What if these same people followed you due to what you wrote in the above without realising the risks involved AND LOST MONEY ?

So,... BE RESPONSIBLE in your writings. State the risks too. It's not too hard to add two more sentences to form a third paragraph : PLEASE DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE (DD). THERE ARE RISKS INVOLVED IN OPTIONS.

Well,... there is at least, one improvement in your writings above. YOU DID NOT PUT DOWN DIVIDEND-INVESTING LIKE IN YOUR OTHER ARTICLES. YOU DID NOT INSULT DIVIDEND-INVESTORS. smile.gif


Hansel
post May 31 2022, 05:59 PM

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Lots of people are going to get hurt by your writings below :-

"Real life eg. My monthly options income have exceeded my real life monthly income for months already. Not a one time thing. I can actually stop working now itself but I am still working to get a bigger margin of safety. Yes even when market is selling off recently. That's was I was amaze. I am still am to generate more than my monthly salary via options."

Gosh,... Is it too hard to add-in a risk awareness statement there ? You are the one expecting people to be able to emulate you are able to do. Or is there another agenda in your writings by intentionally saying Options is a good investment for you and thereafter, signalling everybody can do it too ?????

Are you being paid to write all these without putting in risk-related warning statements ?

Don't put words into my mouth and say that I said : only the rich can invest successfully.
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 06:01 PM

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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ May 31 2022, 05:52 PM)
may i know what risk level you are talking about? admittedly, Ramjade doesn't stress (as frequently as he should) that each option is 100 shares, and if you don't have that amount of $$/shares already bought to cover, you could lose more than you put in.
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Thank you.

He did not say in his major rebuttal above.

It is not too hard to include a simple one-liner risk-related warning in every article, bro,...
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ May 31 2022, 06:02 PM)
It's hard to find good cheap stocks.. Most good stocks are above 100 usd. So x100 you'd at least need 1-2k USD to play options. If a person doesn't have that much to begin with this is similar to putting too much eggs into one basket. Hard to predict their ups and downs too.
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Well,... this is one risk he shld have mentioned, since he claims his way is for the down-to-earth people and for the ordinary folk and for the disadvantaged. I'm surprised with the way he describes people,...
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 06:21 PM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ May 31 2022, 06:02 PM)
It's hard to find good cheap stocks.. Most good stocks are above 100 usd. So x100 you'd at least need 1-2k USD to play options. If a person doesn't have that much to begin with this is similar to putting too much eggs into one basket. Hard to predict their ups and downs too. Requiring 100 stocks is to buy covered puts or calls.

Naked puts and calls are using margin to buy. If not enough cash in your broker your other stocks will be liquidated to cover your losses.

So yea we have to state the risks too so that others are aware. I am still uneasy about options since we need to predict the stock price correctly. Predicting wrong means incurring losses. The realized gains and losses are much higher and faster than buying stocks.
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I read your posting again, bro,...

Emm,... I think he started slowly and did not use margin,.. if I recalled what he wrote earlier. He made some good calls and predicted the right directions for his sells and puts when times were good and 'easier to predict'. From here, he collected premiums. With such premiums, just like dividends, he bought more US shares with which he increased his holdings, then enabling him to partake more of Options 'gambles'.

Sorry,.. I also do Options,... I even do Forex,... and I call them 'gambles',... please tread carefully, bros....

His actions are 'commendable',... but not his writings when he started signalling to others that it is easy to win like this !!!!

And to top it off,... he started saying he is not going back to dividend-investing, blah-blah-blah,... and : dividend-investors are slow in making money. Why insult others ? Look at his past writings,...




Hansel
post May 31 2022, 06:24 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ May 31 2022, 06:14 PM)
AFAIK... he does mainly covered calls or secured puts... maybe some poor man's covered call... nothing fancy or high risks...

being super pro cc, sp, pmcc... is one thing... but also super anti reits... talks like okb... beh tahan lah... hahaha
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Yeah bro,... look at my immediate previous post,... that's how he managed to 'gather his stocks' for his 'gambles'.

Hehehe,... beh tahan, bro,.... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

I remembered you from the Forex thread,... hehehe,... biggrin.gif
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 06:39 PM

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All bros here,... to win in Options,.. sorry, Stock Options, not other Options,...

Assuming you guys know the game, have accounts and have had some experiences in equities and stock margin-financing,...

First, your direction must be right, then secondly, your price must be right in order to 'win'. Otherwise, you end-up holding lots of ctrs which may or may not be good and may or may not give you good dividends, OR,......you end-up losing your good ctrs at unreasonable prices to your ctr-parties. sad.gif

Tread carefully, bros,...

I have done my community service.
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 06:46 PM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ May 31 2022, 06:35 PM)
Yes I personally feel it's like gambling too. One can only know for sure if can see future correctly.

But if search articles "is options gambling" all of them say no.. 😂 
These derivatives are good income for brokers.. That's why. So thread carefully. My investors friends also told me if new to investing just stick to stocks or ETFs first. Greedy later end up lose more money.
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Yeah bro,... to win,.. you'll have to be right in both ways,... it's hard enough to be right in one way, but both ways ?

Yeah,... we win or lose,... our brokers make money,... these brokers will ONLY lose money if we don't play (because they have operational exoenses),... so, that's why, these brokers must always find ways to generate more interest in these 'gambles'. Perhaps,... these brokers have paid parties out there encouraging people to go more into this, compared to just buying and holding equities.

Tread carefully bros,...

Bro,.. it's 'tread', means walk,... not thread,... just sayin',...
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 07:01 PM

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QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ May 31 2022, 06:39 PM)
Options and Forex is indeed an act of gambling as you're trying to sell your Prediction in hope to get some $$. I don't know who Ramjade in real life, but since i started investing in the US market, most of the time i'll take his words as advices and things to consider when doing investing. He clearly understand the risk he's taking, he only buy the stock that he's comfortable holding it at the price he set. So if really things got sideway he won't blame himself for his miscalculation (Per what i understand from what he wrote on other thread).

sweat.gif Meanwhile, I'm doing quite bad for these two months, and I'm still trying to at least minimize my loses. Praying more opportunity arise that i can actually know how to grab.
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He knows,... bro,.. He won a few bets and probably has a net-win position (till now). I mentioned the following in an earlier posting this evening :-

Emm,... I think he started slowly and did not use margin,.. if I recalled what he wrote earlier. He made some good calls and predicted the right directions for his sells and puts when times were good and 'easier to predict'. From here, he collected premiums. With such premiums, just like dividends, he bought more US shares with which he increased his holdings, then enabling him to partake more of Options 'gambles'.

The problem here is,... in his writings, he did not write, in simple terms, there are risks involved in this game. Like you said : you do read his postings, and I believe many do,... it doesn't matter what he does and what he buys,... but it matters if he did not mention the risks involved.

Then I stepped-in,... and he started saying I said one can only invest if he has a lot of money, and one can only invest if he has private banking or privileged banking,...

And finally : luckily he ran away from basic dividend-investing because his Options way is faster for normal people. What is he trying to do ?

Generate more interest so that more people among the population will play Options instead of investing for dividends or buying ETFs ?


Hansel
post May 31 2022, 07:11 PM

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QUOTE(sgh @ May 31 2022, 06:53 PM)
I find it strange Ramjade say he is man on the street so using options he earn more monies than his current monthly paycheck. However going by above minimum 100 shares with good stock share price high how he cough up the monies? Unless he uses margin (aka borrow monies) in his play? I have a gut feeling he will soon resign from his current job and go full-time into options trading since it is already giving him more monies than the job paycheck every month.
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Hi bro from SJ and HWZ,...

Without numbers involved, it is impossible to know in detail. Assuming he's telling the truth abt what he has today, then he must have invested for a very long time, since he did not use margin. He also made the right calls many times in the past.

But he is also young,.... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

So, he must have started very early. Then he said he started from zero,... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

Now we are lost !!!!!!

Just to mention something related to the above scenario,... there is one blogger who said investing in REITs has allowed him to retire at 39. Then after much deliberation here and there, it was found out he inherited quite a substantial sum from his dad, and he invested this amt into SG REITs successfully,... hence, enabling him to reap the dividend he is enjoying today. So,... what he claimed earlier,... saying he started from zero without parental help is : A LIE !

biggrin.gif
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 08:13 PM

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QUOTE(RayleighH @ May 31 2022, 08:00 PM)
From what I recall from his previous posts, whenever Ramjade mentions options, he often mention stocks like Palantir which atm is trading at around USD8.85 per share. So 100 shares of Palantir will be USD885(RM3k-4k) in total. Therefore, with his claim of salary of around RM5000 plus any side income, it seems to be something achievable. Perhaps he has other shares at similar pricing which allows him to accumulate 100 stocks at a decent pace, thus enabling him to dabble in covered puts and calls. It's only my assumption, but I doubt he is dabbling in covered puts and calls with stocks with stocks of expensive tech companies.
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Could be, bro,... thumbsup.gif

The premiums from selling puts would be lower onto cheap stocks compared to vs the likes of msft, appl, tsla,... but given enough time in the mkt,... yeah, he could still gain from such gambles.
Hansel
post May 31 2022, 09:16 PM

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QUOTE(RayleighH @ May 31 2022, 08:17 PM)
From my reading of his posts, he mentioned that his returns from Options can rival his salary. So we can perhaps assume that his monthly returns from Options is around +/-RM5k. Now, Options is alien to me, so I wouldn't know if this is a great/average/below average performance. Perhaps someone like you will be in better position to make sense of his positions since you have mentioned that you dabble in Options too.
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I don't know his hldgs,... his hldgs will determine how he can win,... not too sure, bro,... but don't believe in everything he said. Just to be safe,....
Hansel
post Jun 1 2022, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jun 1 2022, 05:12 AM)
The reply is going to be super long. Later I reply nicely one by one once on pc. Lol

Short reply.
I posted examples of my losses in the options thread. I think 3 examples.

I only do options on stocks I want to buy and what I already owned.
That have always been my rule and that never change.

You need to pay for quality. Cannot be stingy. Doing options on stuff like Microsoft, Nvidia, amd, tsmc, Adobe is risky/gamble??? You got to be joking. FYI, I don't gamble. Never have and never will. By selling options, you are the insurance writer, the casino house. And insurance and casino house always in over the long term. Statistically the odds are always in favour of the insurance and the casino house.

To generate a significant amount of cash flow from dividend investing Vs using options, one will need higher capital. Higher capital = hard for ordinary folks to achieve. The word here is significant so that you can retire when passive income >= salary.
Eg A RM30k p.a in dividends Vs options premium. One will need higher capital for Rm30k in dividends Vs using options.
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At least you are more tactful, polite and NOT insinuating others in the above reply. This is an improvement. Hoped this behaviour of yours stays.

Let me think how to answer you in a productive way.

Your eg above is RIGHT ! Let me cfm this first, But,... the question becomes,... how many times can you repeat this ? Emm,... I do both,... if you ask me to do one only,... I'd prefer to do dividend-investing and protect my capital till I've accumulated enough before I start to go into Options.

And HEY BRO,..... I just remembered,...you also started with dividend-investing, remember ? You followed my guidance a few years ago ??????!!!!!??????? Then you accumulated enough capital,... and now you are into Options with accumulated funds FROM DIVIDEND-INVESTING to buy the ctrs for your Options.

vmad.gif

Why talk so much today abt Options ONLY ?

Ok,... now I gotta go,... I'm trying to predict how much will the RBA hike next Tuesday. Hse prices have started dropping in Australia since 2020.... Want to buy a hse with a lake if possible. Now my SGD stronger than AUD and keeps getting stronger,... Majulah,...Singapura,....

Good luck to all investors in US instruments,...
Hansel
post Jun 1 2022, 10:58 AM

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Bro DWRK.................. my AUDJPY has gone thru the moon,.... praise God,..
Hansel
post Jun 1 2022, 10:58 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jun 1 2022, 10:55 AM)
At least you are more tactful, polite and NOT insinuating others in the above reply. This is an improvement. Hoped this behaviour of yours stays.

Let me think how to answer you in a productive way.

Your eg above is RIGHT ! Let me cfm this first, But,... the question becomes,... how many times can you repeat this ? Emm,... I do both,... if you ask me to do one only,... I'd prefer to do dividend-investing and protect my capital till I've accumulated enough before I start to go into Options.

And HEY BRO,..... I just remembered,...you also started with dividend-investing, remember ? You followed my guidance a few years ago ??????!!!!!??????? Then you accumulated enough capital,... and now you are into Options with accumulated funds FROM DIVIDEND-INVESTING to buy the ctrs for your Options.

vmad.gif

Why talk so much today abt Options ONLY ?

Ok,... now I gotta go,... I'm trying to predict how much will the RBA hike next Tuesday. Hse prices have started dropping in Australia since 2020.... Want to buy a hse with a lake if possible. Now my SGD stronger than AUD and keeps getting stronger,... Majulah,...Singapura,....

Good luck to all investors in US instruments,...
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Tq bro Ramjade for the Like....
Hansel
post Jun 14 2022, 02:21 PM

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QUOTE(RayleighH @ Jun 13 2022, 10:12 PM)
What if come Wednesday, the Fed only announces 0.50% interest rate hike? Will the market climb up back?
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The other possibility is.... mkt drops further if only 0.50% hike because mkt prefers stronger moves from Feds to stop this 'madness'.
Hansel
post Jul 15 2022, 12:53 PM

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Last night,... biggest bank in the world by asset size achieved low results compared to consensus. The other bank reporting also missed.

Tonight,... Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Blackrock reporting.

On a side note : Cathie Woods has been loading up on Unity Software in her few funds.
Hansel
post Jul 17 2022, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jul 17 2022, 12:34 AM)
Why sell if thesis haven't change? I am an investor. Hence I hold them until fundamentals change.

I am not a trader so I don't care if it drop. If it drop, I will be glad to pick up more.
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Been a long time since I saw you writing this of youreslf. biggrin.gif

YOU've been calling yourself a champion options specialist. smile.gif
Hansel
post Jul 17 2022, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Jul 16 2022, 11:53 AM)
It's red for my overall portfolio so climb 5-15% won't make much difference. I'm reducing the amount for DCA as market most likely will go down some more later this month. Additional cash I have in the platform will go into option trading. Earn few $10 per week not too bad. At least breakfast covered while waiting for opportunity.
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Bro,... if the stock price has dropped to low,... yeah, it is hard to rise back to our hldg price,... That's why, if it's starting to approach 20% drop,... may have to start thinking abt cuttingloss. Or use the stocks to sell put options if you have minimum 100 shares and the offer is competitive.

Anyway,... you can consider PFLT for some income while awaiting mkt recovery. Dps is stable and justifiable even after the 30% wht, price does not drop too much and is the first to recover when the indices are green....

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