QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 3 2016, 11:56 PM)
if it repeats post apr 17, can go to 44 in the next day or two!USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?
USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?
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Aug 4 2016, 12:06 AM
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All Stars
24,453 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
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Aug 4 2016, 12:09 AM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
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Aug 4 2016, 01:49 AM
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Senior Member
1,033 posts Joined: Dec 2009 |
Hopefully it closes above 41 by 2.30
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Aug 4 2016, 01:52 AM
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All Stars
24,453 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
wa..! dramatic!
tonight the oil bulls showed they haven't forgotten how to charge after weeks of hiding! |
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Aug 4 2016, 02:09 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
guess bulls need to take out 42.17 for a return of confidence....
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Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense.
The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil. But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists. It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already. Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again. |
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Aug 4 2016, 06:09 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM) You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense. yes, fundamentally, bad for oil, nothing positive until we see meaningful demand surge worldwide. The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil. But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists. It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already. Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again. |
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Aug 4 2016, 07:29 AM
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All Stars
24,453 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM) You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense. next 2 days, esp fri will be very key - last wave of earnings reports, jobs report, rig count.The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil. But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists. It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already. Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again. if wti can hold the gains and stay above 41, it should go higher from there. if it returns to 40 or lower, the downtrend may resume. i do think the bulls are all wound up, ready to charge at any small signal, nay be reading the "rebalancing" a little too quick. i am out of uwti/dwti for now, will see on fri. the thrill never stops, just gotta be very watchful! |
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Aug 4 2016, 12:47 PM
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All Stars
17,100 posts Joined: Mar 2005 |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM) You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense. +1. The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil. But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists. It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already. Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again. Me too was confused/cheated by their stories n arguements. Crude pile rising n yet many stories about re balancing by gas!!! Ya. I guess its oversold and 41 and 42.....anytime? |
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Aug 4 2016, 06:23 PM
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All Stars
24,453 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
something interesting brewing now...
day time, asian traders continued to push wti to as high as 41.30. now, european traders are pushing it down to 40.50. will be fun to see what it will be at 9.30pm! |
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Aug 4 2016, 10:13 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Pulling back a little... but still holding $40 support here. Option decay starts to creep in. |
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Aug 4 2016, 10:36 PM
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All Stars
17,100 posts Joined: Mar 2005 |
i think 40 shd be a strong support, judging by yday's reversal. somehow, crude will go back >40. i dont know why but it seems that way.
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Aug 4 2016, 11:00 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
The play range for tonight is 40.50 to 41.50. It small but doable.
I think it will lean towards $41 or higher by closing. |
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Aug 4 2016, 11:25 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Wow... faster than a I expected.
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Aug 4 2016, 11:56 PM
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All Stars
24,453 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
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Aug 5 2016, 12:03 AM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Incredible... broke above 41.50, perhaps gunning for $42.
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Aug 5 2016, 01:16 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
wow....what a rebound...
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Aug 5 2016, 01:26 AM
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All Stars
24,453 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
1 eia report send the bears short covering, enough to take it out of bear territory.
rebounded 5.5% in 2 sessions, quite remarkable. we'll see what happens from this point. tmrw will be decisive. |
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Aug 5 2016, 01:44 AM
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Senior Member
1,033 posts Joined: Dec 2009 |
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Aug 5 2016, 01:51 AM
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All Stars
17,100 posts Joined: Mar 2005 |
omg, its 42! what a miracle to observe!!!
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