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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Aug 4 2016, 12:06 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 3 2016, 11:56 PM)
Going back to $41 for sure... buy buy buy.  biggrin.gif
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if it repeats post apr 17, can go to 44 in the next day or two!
danmooncake
post Aug 4 2016, 12:09 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Aug 4 2016, 12:06 AM)
if it repeats post apr 17, can go to 44 in the next day or two!
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If it happens, I will be very happy because XLE will likely go back above 68 here. thumbup.gif
zacknistelrooy
post Aug 4 2016, 01:49 AM

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Hopefully it closes above 41 by 2.30
AVFAN
post Aug 4 2016, 01:52 AM

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wa..! dramatic!

tonight the oil bulls showed they haven't forgotten how to charge after weeks of hiding! laugh.gif
yok70
post Aug 4 2016, 02:09 AM

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guess bulls need to take out 42.17 for a return of confidence....
danmooncake
post Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM

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You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense.

The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil.

But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists. It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already. Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Aug 4 2016, 06:09 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM)
You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense.

The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil.

But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists.  It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already.  Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again.  biggrin.gif
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yes, fundamentally, bad for oil, nothing positive until we see meaningful demand surge worldwide. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 4 2016, 07:29 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM)
You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense.

The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil.

But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists.  It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already.  Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again.  biggrin.gif
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next 2 days, esp fri will be very key - last wave of earnings reports, jobs report, rig count.

if wti can hold the gains and stay above 41, it should go higher from there.

if it returns to 40 or lower, the downtrend may resume.

i do think the bulls are all wound up, ready to charge at any small signal, nay be reading the "rebalancing" a little too quick.

i am out of uwti/dwti for now, will see on fri.

the thrill never stops, just gotta be very watchful! biggrin.gif


mikehwy
post Aug 4 2016, 12:47 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 05:24 AM)
You know, that latest inventory report makes no sense.

The financial writers were just making up stories of strange behavior of oil prices (plunges, then rally) and try to link it to the opposite direction of what is supposedly still a very bearish news for oil.

But, I think it is good for us who are more technical analysts/readers than fundamentalists.  It's basically oversold condition at the lower side of the range already.  Must bounce back to 40-41, and hopefully it can continue to claw itself back to 44-45, we will play bear again.  biggrin.gif
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+1.
Me too was confused/cheated by their stories n arguements. Crude pile rising n yet many stories about re balancing by gas!!!
Ya. I guess its oversold and 41 and 42.....anytime?
AVFAN
post Aug 4 2016, 06:23 PM

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something interesting brewing now...

day time, asian traders continued to push wti to as high as 41.30.

now, european traders are pushing it down to 40.50.

will be fun to see what it will be at 9.30pm! biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 4 2016, 10:13 PM

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Pulling back a little... but still holding $40 support here.
Option decay starts to creep in. tongue.gif
mikehwy
post Aug 4 2016, 10:36 PM

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i think 40 shd be a strong support, judging by yday's reversal. somehow, crude will go back >40. i dont know why but it seems that way.

danmooncake
post Aug 4 2016, 11:00 PM

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The play range for tonight is 40.50 to 41.50. It small but doable.
I think it will lean towards $41 or higher by closing.





danmooncake
post Aug 4 2016, 11:25 PM

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Wow... faster than a I expected. rclxms.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 4 2016, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2016, 11:25 PM)
Wow... faster than a I expected.  rclxms.gif
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this is scary!

i am taking some slb profit off the table. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 5 2016, 12:03 AM

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Incredible... broke above 41.50, perhaps gunning for $42.
yok70
post Aug 5 2016, 01:16 AM

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wow....what a rebound...
AVFAN
post Aug 5 2016, 01:26 AM

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1 eia report send the bears short covering, enough to take it out of bear territory.

rebounded 5.5% in 2 sessions, quite remarkable.

we'll see what happens from this point.

tmrw will be decisive.
zacknistelrooy
post Aug 5 2016, 01:44 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Aug 5 2016, 01:26 AM)
1 eia report send the bears short covering, enough to take it out of bear territory.

rebounded 5.5% in 2 sessions, quite remarkable.

we'll see what happens from this point.

tmrw will be decisive.
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Yes tomorrow rig count and jobs data.
mikehwy
post Aug 5 2016, 01:51 AM

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omg, its 42! what a miracle to observe!!!

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