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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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yok70
post Sep 13 2019, 07:36 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 13 2019, 05:30 AM)
I think time to take money off the table again ...already reach 52 weeks high.

Market now looking for a reason to dive.. another sectors moving down. Oil/Energy, Emerging, Small Caps..  sweat.gif
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i think so too. I've been selling some shares this week since monday until today. laugh.gif

DT said "consider", not yet proceed, although China already proceed partially.

ECB's further lowering the already negative rate is definitely a double sword, they even re-start the QE engine to buy bond every month. These things kind of help creating more market volatility and uncertainty, range bound will be expected. hmm.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Sep 13 2019, 07:39 AM
yok70
post Sep 18 2019, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 18 2019, 11:07 PM)
Tonight, Fed expected to cut 25bps rate again after 6 weeks from initial cut in late July/early Aug.
Last time, DT blasted Powell for not enough.. then issue more tariff for China. Market went straight down the following week.

Is DT going to scold Powell again?
Maybe it will go something like this:

Trump: "The economy is amazing and we're going to keep growing, a lot. MAGA"

Economists: "Actually, things arent that great, theres a lot of problems that have never been fixed from 2008 and we're seeing warnings signs"

Trump: " Fake news.  My data says GDP is strong and going higher"

Powell: "Actually, Trump, economists are right, there are some warning signs.  I'm trying to be neutral here, but its really hard to keep all the promises you're making".

Trump: "Well I told people the economy would boom so its your job to make it true you bonehead.  Lower rates like everyone else is or I'll throw a tantrum and blame it all on you and my followers will think this is YOUR fault, because it is!"

Powell: "It doesn't work like that -"

Trump: "MAGA. Bonehead!"
tongue.gif
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rclxs0.gif
yok70
post Sep 19 2019, 06:31 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 19 2019, 04:19 AM)
There you go.. Fed lowered rate 25bps.
Market sold off initially, but came back green at close.

DT scolded Powell again via twitter:

Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve Fail Again. No “guts,” no sense, no vision!  A terrible communicator!

  laugh.gif

So darn funny...
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communicator? what the hack, he means puppet lah! rclxs0.gif
yok70
post Sep 23 2019, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 22 2019, 11:26 AM)
The official published news always late because it has to go thru the editing process eventho media got thousands of staff looking at it but
the raw wire news are fed into the trading machines with algos able to detect keywords and it will move equities/funds very quickly.
The other index funds just follow.. they don't parse news but just follow those buy/sell patterns in proportion of the master index being track.

Everything just moves in milliseconds...

Hence, that's why there's perception is that the market can "smell" out the futures where things are going before it happens in the real world.
Pretty scary at times.  sweat.gif
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when do "raw wire news are fed into the trading machines"? do you mean media companies have some kind of deal with the trading machines companies? therefore they got the raw news before those news being edited for publications? And that means few days to few hours before the publications?

This post has been edited by yok70: Sep 23 2019, 01:46 PM
yok70
post Sep 24 2019, 02:59 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 23 2019, 10:27 PM)
Yes, that's how it works. The big banks have trading machines hosted at the exchange center and feed into
the financial news agency (live audio/video/data) and also govt stats center (eg. the labor department/treasury/fed news).
Sometimes, the govt agency have embargoed news and release at same time but even a split micro seconds can
give them the advantage to buy/sell ahead of reaching the others.

By the time we (retail investors) get them, it usually already happened.
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i see. Thanks for sharing biggrin.gif
yok70
post Sep 24 2019, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 24 2019, 08:59 AM)
OMG, so market miss-interpreted this news for the past few days out of misunderstanding. Interesting market laugh.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Sep 24 2019, 10:04 PM
yok70
post Sep 25 2019, 01:20 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 25 2019, 01:04 AM)
It's finally here again. Bears out. I'm in for the ride again.
Democrats talking about impeaching DT. Let the show begin.  rclxms.gif
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impeaching? then you are in as a bear ? cool2.gif
yok70
post Sep 25 2019, 02:25 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 25 2019, 01:40 AM)
Yes... in for the short ride here. Dunno how much they can take it down.
DT going to fight as hard as it can. Democrats will try to push for it.

Going to be difficult fight for Democrats too because Republicans
will defend DT no matter what.
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Interesting time. I bet China will get some popcorn to watch this show. tongue.gif
yok70
post Sep 27 2019, 12:53 AM

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market has been quite calm so far....there is no history of successfully dismissed a president from impeachment before....china/hk market today has some green even....
yok70
post Sep 28 2019, 07:29 AM

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Trump has been creating too much drama on the economy. A few is fine, but, just too much. I bet, if he stepped down, market will shocked at first, then rally big time to new all time high and beyond. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Sep 28 2019, 07:29 AM
yok70
post Sep 28 2019, 07:30 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 28 2019, 03:15 AM)
Going take a shot at BABA here.. a bit overdone on the downside (-6%).  hmm.gif
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i'm waiting for JD....maybe around 26.... biggrin.gif
yok70
post Oct 2 2019, 02:23 AM

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Anyone has comments regarding Cool Holdings?
yok70
post Oct 2 2019, 06:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 1 2019, 02:12 AM)
If the US Congress House of Rep managed to successfully impeach him, the Senate will have to give him a trial.
The Senate will likely find him NOT guilty..because too many Republicans there.

But, politically, Trump running for 2020 could be damaged once the House is successful because people unlikely will vote for him.

Trump got majority of the wins in 2016 because of the midwestern farmers and conservatives southern states and some white hicks/hillbillies folks and people are tired of old timer politicians. The hicks/hillbillies folks may still vote for him but midwestern farmers are very angry with him. The upper middle class/conservative may lean to the middle but they may just likely stay out if the too far left liberals win the primary.

The stock market prefers someone in the middle.

As for US adversary.. Russia prefers Trump. North Korea prefers Trump. Saudi prefers Trump..

China initially likes him but after this trade war spat, they may not like him anymore,
geopolitics wise,  China may actually still want him since he's a easy to fool and he's reducing US global influence.
They just may have to throw him a few bones for this trade war win.  biggrin.gif
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Interesting sharing! thumbup.gif
yok70
post Oct 2 2019, 06:44 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 2 2019, 02:59 AM)
Not sure about that one... ticker?
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AWSM, Apple's retail sales "premium" partner. The company's financials has been really bad past two years, turning from profit into loss. However, that might caused by aggressive expansion. I found this stock really "exciting but super high risk" for trading....have been monitoring it for almost a year now, still not yet jump in.... laugh.gif
yok70
post Oct 3 2019, 12:01 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 2 2019, 10:47 PM)
Market all red tonight except for shorts/inverse etf.

My shorts working.. Dow almost -500 pts.
Going to take some off here.
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nice play.
however, it's not low enough for me to hit that buy button....but VIX number is pretty already.... hmm.gif
yok70
post Oct 3 2019, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 3 2019, 09:59 AM)

anyone here thinks trump will soon u-turn to make quick deal with china?! biggrin.gif
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the more pressure he received, the more possibility he might quickly settle a deal with China, i think. mega_shok.gif
yok70
post Oct 4 2019, 07:12 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 4 2019, 12:55 AM)
Sorry, dunno much about this one. Looks like penny stock to me. Price and Volume so low, can be easily manipulated.
Yes, very high risk.  sweat.gif
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cheers.gif
yok70
post Oct 9 2019, 08:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 9 2019, 04:05 AM)
Not good news on trade...

https://www.axios.com/state-department-chin...766acd499e.html

The State Department on Tuesday announced that it would impose visa restrictions on Chinese government officials who are believed to be responsible for, or complicit in, the mass detention and surveillance of Uighurs and other Muslim minority groups in Xinjiang province.

The big picture: China has detained an estimated 1 million to 2 million Uighur Muslims in the region of Xinjiang in "re-education camps" as part of a coordinated campaign of forced assimilation. The State Department's announcement follows a decision by the Commerce Department on Monday to blacklist 28 Chinese companies from doing business with the U.S. over the alleged abuses — moves that come just days before another round of highly anticipated trade talks in Washington.

In response to Monday's announcement, a Chinese Ministry of Commerce spokesperson said:

    "We strongly urge the U.S. to immediately stop making irresponsible remarks on the issue of Xinjiang, stop interfering with the wrong actions of China’s internal affairs, and remove relevant Chinese entities from the list of entities as soon as possible."


https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stoc...tocks-drubbing/

Amid the escalating trade sanctions, and with China's government threatening to end the planned Oct. 10-11 trade negotiations early , the markets again took a hit. At around 3:20 p.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 0.7%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1%. The tech-laden Nasdaq fell almost 1.1%, while the small-cap Russell 2000 declined 1.3%.

Trade talks failing before it begins..
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China is fox, i think more foxy than Trump who thought he was the most foxy one.
yok70
post Oct 10 2019, 11:03 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 10 2019, 09:59 AM)
I'm in again for re-short ride eventho market is up today.

Thurs/Friday could be very volatile. Looks like a setup for sell off.
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lets play rclxs0.gif
yok70
post Oct 11 2019, 09:39 PM

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market very optimistic on the trade talk this time....trap or for real? hmm.gif

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