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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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danmooncake
post Mar 31 2017, 11:15 PM

Market Up, Market Down...Wheee..
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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Mar 31 2017, 12:09 PM)
hehe - simplistic but holistic

Got assigned CVX at $71 (assigned by Put buyer)
and rode her all the way to $112 (called away by Call buyer)
while getting dividends & premiums

similar with HCP, VGK, RSX
now hoping to be assigned for TGT  smile.gif
Gold bro
It's simple when U draw it out on paper. If U are around Klang Valley, for a dish of Hokkien Mee + Yin Yong Kong Fu Chow, i can bet U that U'll be able to absorb within 1 hr - especially if U have stocks long & short understanding.

The most confusing part for me (as a regular joe stock/mutual fund fler) was the REVERSAL of ideas - as a seller of PUTs and CALLs.

When it gelled, the light came on on how to use options WITH normal value investing + asset allocation.
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LOL! You're selling the PUT options for Hokkien mee with the YinYongKongFuCHow as possible divi now.
ProphetJul just gave you a bid for that PUT. biggrin.gif

Come to think of this.. USA options market is pretty sophisticated. Much more than
the local Bursa CALLs WARRANTs only where only the stockbroker house more most likely to win.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 31 2017, 11:18 PM
danmooncake
post Apr 1 2017, 02:18 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 1 2017, 12:24 AM)
A 2016 study by S&P Dow Jones Indices showed that about 90 percent of active stock managers failed to beat their index targets over the previous one-year, five-year and 10-year periods.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...d-quicktake-q-a
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That's the reason why Blackrock has fired most of the active portfolio managers and deploy AI and Robots to replace them. Everything is auto indexing.. why bother with human being making those decisions. Just have the algo
trades them. Furthermore, the rates for active management (mutual funds) were so high, yet if they can't beat the index, then consumer won't pay for them. They'll go with the index method of investing. Even Buffet say it is better.


The "RISE of the Machines" is already here..... biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Apr 1 2017, 04:26 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 1 2017, 03:03 AM)
If funds manager couldn't beat index, what's more for retail investors.
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True.. that's why, nowadays people just go with ETF and Index funds. Fire all so-called expensive
fund managers.

Another thing is going changing too. Today most US investment broker, they don't hire
dealer rep anymore (aka. remisier). In Malaysia & Singapore, we still have these kind of jobs.
Sooner or later, all will turn into self-help or virtual robots for the customer service. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 1 2017, 04:30 AM
danmooncake
post Apr 4 2017, 11:58 PM

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Hey guys, Oil is making its move again.
UWT back above $20.. DWT back to initial $25 soon.

If this continues, they may meet up and cross over at $22.50-$23.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 4 2017, 11:59 PM
danmooncake
post Apr 5 2017, 12:35 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 5 2017, 12:24 AM)
it lost 12% in 15 days and then recovered 8% in the next 7.

rise when libyan production disrupted.

rise when stocks incr a little less than expected.

rise when libyan production resumed.

rise when reuters reported a poll thinks us stocks fell last week.

the bulls want it to rise!! biggrin.gif

we'll have api and eia data tmrw.
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Yup.. if API indicates any increased in inventory, down we go again.
danmooncake
post Apr 5 2017, 10:29 AM

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API numbers are good!

1.83mln draw vs 0.3 mln expected.

Gasoline/Petrol are in demand now. Weather getting warmer in North Hemisphere, they're
out on road trips.

Time to ride UWT back to $25 or higher..
danmooncake
post Apr 5 2017, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 5 2017, 10:34 PM)
BREAKING: Oil pares gains as EIA reports surprise 1.6 million barrel rise in US crude stockpiles
never mind, the bulls will still be at it later... biggrin.gif
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Oil still holding on the gains...we're in the 50-55 range now.
Still hold on the long side.

XLE got strong gains. I'm riding it again.
danmooncake
post Apr 5 2017, 11:05 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 5 2017, 11:00 PM)
great jobs report, all stocks rallying.
crude... not weak at all, will take another week of rig count incr and bigger stocks build up for it to go below 50.
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I think we'll know more by Friday about rig counts. I just noticed that EIA report took a chunk out from from UWT but still positive so far. The bulls took a leap of faith pre-market and before the report being released.
Now, all liquidating positions. Gotta to watch that $50 level again.

I gotta to watch for stop too.. eventho XLE hasn't got much effect yet. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Apr 6 2017, 03:41 AM

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Got kicked out by my stop... market is selling off after Fed mtg. mad.gif

danmooncake
post Apr 7 2017, 11:36 PM

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Dang.. shoulda have stay long oil. Didn't know Trump would attack Syria. So many times he said to focus on domestic issues, even blasted Obama for interfering. Now, he's doing the same damn thing.


Oh well, looks like $50 oil or higher will hold from here.

Need to wait for another opportunity to sneak back in.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 7 2017, 11:37 PM
danmooncake
post Apr 8 2017, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 8 2017, 01:17 AM)
BREAKING: US oil rigs rise by 10 at 672: Baker Hughes
BUT... oil price keeping rising... incredible! biggrin.gif
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Uh huh... risen by 10? I bet we'll sure go down next week.
Usually, they don't care about it until on Monday.

Each rig will pump up the few thousands bb/day.
danmooncake
post Apr 10 2017, 11:00 PM

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UWT and DWT are about to cross over.

Both has decayed approx 10% from its initial debut around Dec last year.

If shorted both, also can win despite Oil going nowhere. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 10 2017, 11:00 PM
danmooncake
post Apr 11 2017, 04:07 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Apr 10 2017, 11:06 PM)
Guys, if we buy US stocks and submit the wben8 form, do we still kena witholding tax for the dividend?
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Yes. AFAIK, the W8BEN is the notification to the broker that tells them you're non-resident.
Non-resident subject to tax withholding (up to 30%) for dividends but no capital gain tax.

For example:
You're getting 50c dividends for every X share you own. 30% of 50c goes into IRS withholding.
If you file US tax by April 15 of that calendar year, you can claim back half of that. Assuming 15% is standard based on income level. Hopefully, it is significant so that it is worth the effort. A lot of non-resident just ignores it and don't file because
usually it isn't significant amount.
danmooncake
post Apr 11 2017, 12:53 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Apr 11 2017, 04:15 AM)
looks like crude really wants to try 57.... hmm.gif
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You mean Brent?.. hmm.gif not sure, frankly I don't track Brent much 'coz
the US ETF that I use don't track Brent. It uses WTI instead.
danmooncake
post Apr 12 2017, 10:14 AM

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QUOTE(talexeh @ Apr 12 2017, 01:06 AM)
Sold my $JNUG & queued for $UAL at $66. Looking at the momentum, I think it's not gonna get filled. tongue.gif
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Waah.. UAL? Missed that short after the big news. laugh.gif

But, on one hand, I felt people should boycott them to punish them for such lousy service.
Most of the time, big corporation like them won't change unless it affects their bottom line.
danmooncake
post Apr 12 2017, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Apr 11 2017, 02:04 PM)
Guys I know there's a withholding tax. It's clear as night and day but when someone showed you proof that his US stocks holdings doesn't have withholding tax, you have to wonder how is it possible when every google search says there is a withholding tax.
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Ramjade,

Unless you see that other person personal W8BEN filing, his/her situation may or may not apply to you. At times, some broker may have made a mistake too (non-resident vs resident witholding) and if you're lucky, you can get away from it if they don't ask or forgot to withhold.
danmooncake
post Apr 12 2017, 01:19 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Apr 12 2017, 11:23 AM)
Hi Dan
It is me. I have been in US markets for last 15 years.
As far as I can see from my Dividend advice there is 0.000% tax.
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That's good. If your broker not withholding your dividends as required.. then, just D.A.D.T.

(Don't Ask Don't Tell) whistling.gif





danmooncake
post Apr 12 2017, 11:14 PM

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Pull back tonight... time to buy dips again.

Also, crossing over between DWT and UWT..

Which is which? biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 12 2017, 11:23 PM
danmooncake
post Apr 14 2017, 05:30 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Apr 13 2017, 04:28 AM)
so fast? i want more....give me 5% correction... biggrin.gif
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I think you may get it next week.. general market lost 1.5% this week.
The charts aren't looking good due to political situation now.

Mother of All Bombs (err.. Bears) also will be on the stock market soon. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Apr 14 2017, 05:32 AM
danmooncake
post Apr 15 2017, 08:18 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Apr 15 2017, 01:59 AM)
ya man. just too good to be true. they called immediately after receiving my filled form. the video then welcome me by calling my actual name!!! just got an email too. wow. just deposit usd 250 and can earn hourly by hundreds.
... actually i m tempted.
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Bro, no such thing as free lunch.. they may give you a few dollars to win as tempt but will suck in a lot more.
Read the scams alerts being posted..
http://www.quintup.com/quantum-code-review-scam/

Real stuff don't need to advertise. They work in stealth and they won't sell to you.
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