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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 12:33 AM

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Crude seems struggling at 47.25. But dows has been resilient now. Will it hold?
mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 01:27 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 29 2016, 12:45 AM)
ya, wti is fragile...

up and then lost almost 2% in one hour, now recovering pretty fast too.

i thought it was going back to 46 but now, it looks like going to 48.

api data after closing, eia data tmrw - the weekly game coming up.
if dow close around +200, tmrw should see a continued recovery.

i'm starting to feel a little bullish. tongue.gif
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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 29 2016, 01:08 AM)
weak bear...
brexit may turn out a non-event.... hmm.gif
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Volatile volatile. Crude was crawling upwards thru out. Me too feeling bit bullish. Game on....for uwti??
mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 05:02 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 29 2016, 01:40 PM)
i'm already in.

price not so good - it was hard because it was a big V from start to finish.

but think can still get some profit tonight.

only thing is whether eia will report +3.9mil vs api -3.9mil. laugh.gif
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These 2 groups r making a fool of statistics. Always confusing me...

Still, many congrats to your brave persistent punt!
mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 10:16 PM

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Lower stockpiles!!!
Crude is on the rampage!!!
mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 10:35 PM

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Hitting 49 then 50 ?? !!!
mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 11:02 PM

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Wow. Look at that no end rising of crude chart !!
Impressive indeed.
mikehwy
post Jun 29 2016, 11:04 PM

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Crude could be pushing dows to +200 soon.
mikehwy
post Jun 30 2016, 02:04 AM

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omg! crude could be hitting towards 50 barrier soon.
what a ride!
mikehwy
post Jun 30 2016, 10:57 PM

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broad market is mild green now. except that naughty crude. its on its 1 day up 1 day down syndrome again.
mikehwy
post Jul 1 2016, 12:31 AM

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Arabs r givig duisounts again? These never work but rich sikhs r really hitting the oil producers on the faces.
If these r the cases, crude would not rise much further.
mikehwy
post Jul 12 2016, 12:59 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 12 2016, 12:46 AM)
"oil market becoming more balanced..."

i actually can't understand that... when stockpiles are still building, production still on the rise and demand not rising that much.

i am somehow curiously fearsome that one day soon, somebody won't/can't hold their stocks anymore. tongue.gif
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its 44+ now...heading for 42, then 40? recent rally and uptrend has been mystifying.
only consolation is that local petrol price might dip again, lol ...
mikehwy
post Jul 12 2016, 09:18 PM

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its 1 day up 1 day down syndrome.
its up day.....wow, up alot
mikehwy
post Jul 13 2016, 12:30 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 13 2016, 12:00 AM)
My eyes deceiving me..  rclxub.gif

I went out for a while, and it came back roaring to 46.65?  shocking.gif

Wow.. danger zone if u play today. 
Can get whack both ways.  sweat.gif
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me too!
yesterday i was talking about diving towards 44 then 42! now its shooting sharply up and up! incredicle! who r these people buying? i dont seem to find any 'good' news for crude.
What a game! i stay aside. rclxub.gif

mikehwy
post Jul 14 2016, 01:15 PM

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Agree with all the sayings here. Each time when i expect crude to dip below 45, 44 then 42, i will see my screen flashing msg like ' oil rallies due to ...'. Ut sinply doesnt make sense but thise opec, saudis n production disruptions would surface to DEFEND crude prices. Coincidence? Man-made? Will crude crash 1 day when reality sets in?
Ignoring all the facts, just by looking at cryde charts, its a bullish commodity! Hack! Omg.
Me speechless
mikehwy
post Jul 15 2016, 12:42 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 15 2016, 12:59 AM)
a pretty boring session...

dow +13x and not moving anymore.

wti at 45.50, not moving much.

where are the movers and shakers?! biggrin.gif
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Here! But patiently (but getting bored n tired) waiting for a huge reversal.

This post has been edited by mikehwy: Jul 15 2016, 12:42 PM
mikehwy
post Jul 15 2016, 12:51 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 14 2016, 11:13 PM)

On the fundamentals, right now, most of these oil producers stocks are not cheap anymore in terms of value, the historical PE was like 16-18 level and now - their PE at is around 25-35 (after the declined revenues for the past few quarters). If earnings continue to slump and cannot catch up.. I think we will see collapse in stock prices again.
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Assuming the industry norm is at 20, these oil producers r very expensive + high risk of lower crude prices n thus declining earnings to follow, dont seem like goid investment here.
Anyway i dont like to play those oil firms. To me, not the time at all.
mikehwy
post Jul 18 2016, 10:59 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 18 2016, 10:41 PM)
everything up.

except oil!
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Might up from day's low? Looks rather staedy now
mikehwy
post Jul 19 2016, 11:00 PM

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i still think....bulls r everywhere, crude might just pip past the 46?
mikehwy
post Jul 20 2016, 10:32 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 20 2016, 10:19 PM)
It is slowly moving back up.. I think the bulls got a sneak peek here.  biggrin.gif
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10.30. every large dip is being supported n pushed. small bulls could be around.
mikehwy
post Jul 25 2016, 09:21 PM

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Lookis like an evening of reckoning of 'truth' n fundamentals. Time to sell crude.
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